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The IAB will lose horrifically. It will be worse than wack-a-mole, similar to the music industry's futile attempts to keep its jurassic-world business models on life support, like battling unsophisticated malware or like the battle social networks have with keeping bots and fake profiles from taking over their MAU numbers.

What the Ad industry needs is a completely new and innovative business/revenue model, one that has not been thought of before. On the bright side, it's the dawn of a AdAge!

I'm not so sure, it really depends on what the major browsers need for a funding model.
Let me fix that for you:

The Adblockers will lose horrifically. It will be worse than wack-a-mole, similar to the file-sharing industry's futile attempts to keep music free and shareable...

I now pay more per month for music than I did at any other time in my life, and I am becoming locked in to paying more per month forever. The music industry has won, they've replaced their old business model with one that costs us more while they take less risk.

Some people really dislike the idea of ads. They install adblockers. Publishers who make their living from ads respond. Who has more motivation, those who are vaguely annoyed, or those who lose their jobs and companies if they fail? The latter, of course. They will find a way around this because they have everything to lose.

I dislike the IAB, it's a force against progress within the ad business. But they're not going to lose horrifically, and even if they lose slightly it won't mean that you have won, just like with music.

By your logic, people starving or being bombed could stop famine and wars because they have more motivation. What actually happens: whoever has more power wins.

I have the power over my browser. I won't consume ads.

Doesn't matter.

Following that same hypothetical, you alone can dodge the bombs but most people can't, because let's face it - you're not colluding with others.

And unless you're up to date on bomb tech, even you are eventually going to get hit by a smart "ad".

The problem for content produces is that if I end up in a situation where I can't get your content without ads (I'm willing to pay), then I'm eventually going to not view your content, and I'm going to not share your content, and others will do the same, and you'll see readership drop. When readership drops, any revenue you had from ads will also drop because some of the people I shared your articles with viewed your ads, even if I didn't.

Furthermore, when the OS vendors are putting ad blocking tech into their browsers, I no longer worry about the ad producers having the better tech. When smart bomb detection is built-in to the OS, all I need is an update and mom and pop can avoid the bombs as well as anyone.

> I'm going to not share your content, and others will do the same, and you'll see readership drop

The point is that you're extrapolating your intent and level of control to the rest of the internet audience, which you're not colluding with.

The ad-blocking at OS level is arguably even easier to detect than browser-based. It also doesn't stop advertising in apps, which is an example of how Apple is incentivized to keep advertising for it's own platform (i.e. Apple is looking out for #1 when it comes to blocking ads, not you).

I can turn off JavaScript, those people being bombed can not turn off the sky.

If it gets to the point that sites are placing ads into the content themselves, I will likely end up sticking only to sites that are subscription or donation based.

The IAB and its corporate drones and whoever they attempt to hire are no match for today's (or yesterday's) independent and thoughtful hackers, software developers and engineers, just like the music industry was no match for a technology company called Apple and was no match for P2P.

"Some people really dislike ... ads"? Lets be honest, Try "Most".

There's no subsitute for free speech and freedom in general, particulary in the way that one wants to consume content of anykind.

"The IAB and its corporate drones..."

I agree the IAB is no match, but the corporate drones you refer to are Google and Facebook, both of which will cease to exist without advertising revenue.

> I now pay more per month for music than I did at any other time in my life

Me too, but I don't feel that that's a win for the music industry, I see that as a win for me.

I didn't engage with a business model that didn't work for me, like millions of others; and eventually a business model emerged that I was willing to support. Maybe Napster lost, but I still got what I wanted, and it seems like the record labels did too.

Why would you assume the same thing is impossible for online publishing?

Probably because it's the same principal of creative content consumption.

Sure you've got your go-to artists and albums, but music discovery is so much easier when you have an all-access pass to everything.

Same goes with the news - you'll always have your BBCs, Reuters, etc. but you also want to see something new and creative, which [probably] wouldn't have got off the ground if it required paid consumption models.

Two outcomes for publishers in general, more profit-biased content and more content users are asked to pay for. Facebook and any other apps with very large audiences are the big winners.
Really depends, do they want to track people who are using ad blockers so they have numbers? Because that is a pretty important goal.

Or do they want to track people who are using ad blockers so they can nag and bully them into disabling their ad blockers? Because that will end badly. People will eventually develop browsers which render 2 versions of the page, one showing showing ads that provides all results to javascript and css queries and one which has all ads removed for the user.

If that happens, they will lose any metrics they have on who is blocking ads.

My emphasis:

> The IAB's new group working on the problem will convene its first meeting next week, aiming to study and experiment with responses including a more clutter-free web experience, strict guidelines for the data that ads traffic in...

Even were the IAB to strictly prohibit trafficking in all tracking data, I would never trust any policy that says, in effect, "trust us, we're IAB and we won't track you, wink, wink". First, only a small subset of all Internet advertisers will hold themselves to IAB's standards (and like any cartel or wannabe cartel, members will defect). More importantly, advertisers and ad networks have proven themselves to be completely untrustworthy.

The Internet is a wild place, and ad networks carry the most dangerous threats the average user will encounter. Ad blocking is, most importantly, a means to protect ourselves. The superior user experience is a nice side effect.

I want to write a browser extension that automatically clicks all ads seen, loads the page in a hidden tab, and closes it.

It would be pretty painful for the online ad markets, as their effectiveness rates could easily be cut in half with a dozen people on their site that click every ad without viewing the results. So few people interact with ads, that a small cohort of 100% active users would overwhelm data with noise.

But, in the short term, you'd be supporting all the websites you browse until advertisers discover a way to filter out your false clicks.

There are so many "click bots" out there already that your extension probably wouldn't change much!
Hypothetically: if I were to create a random website with ads and then have clickbots click those ads, would that make me money?
To avoid accusations of fraud, you should have your clickbots randomly click ads on every site they can find except those that you control.

If enough people do the same, without any formal agreements or informal collusion, you would all be able to get ad revenue without any one person having fraudulent intent.

The only way for an ad-provider to counter would be to insert in your agreement that you are not allowed to click on any ads, not just those that appear on your own sites. And then ad-blocking would become an ethical obligation for you.

From the article: "Part of the problem is as an industry we have gone a little bit overboard on the advertising," said Rick Jaworski, CEO at JoyOfBaking.com, during a main-stage session with Mr. Rothenberg designed to publicize the plight of publishers. "For myself, when I go to a lot of sites these days, i'm irritated and I want an ad blocker."

So even people who speak at ad exec conferences use ad blockers.

"... renewed promotion of the industry's AdChoices program, which aims to give consumers some control over their digital experience."

The site says:

"Welcome to Your AdChoices, where you're in control of your Internet experience with interest-based advertising—ads that are intended for you, based on what you do online."

This isn't an alternative to adblocking - it's pretty much the opposite og adblocking.

The old guard dies, it does not surrender.
> we have gone a little bit overboard on the advertising

Quite an understatement.

I will repeat myself: visible ads are the tip of the tracking/data-mining iceberg. Not seeing ads is not a sign that a site is more respectful of its visitors.

Found a pretty good example of this earlier today. See how there are no visible ads on the page, it looks rather clean, and yet see the amount of 3rd parties being pulled into the page[1]:

https://cloud.githubusercontent.com/assets/585534/10198746/6...

[1] this is the result of temporarily whitelisting the site to be able to see what it pulls in without a blocker.

May the odds never be in their favor.

Also, an ad never knowingly requested by a user constitutes theft of (Internet) service, so the whole ad industry by definition are law-breakers.

I don't understand the mentality that says "the person I'm trying to reach has blocked me, so I will subvert the method they are using to force them to view my ad." Isn't the whole point of an ad to persuade someone to buy your product? Why would anyone think this hostile approach would achieve that?
It's more like movie theaters politely asking patrons to not sneak candy in, except they are only asking when they know someone is doing it.
Pretty sure that when you have to wadge a battle against obvious technology to justify your business model, your industry is going to end up on the wrong side of history.