Ask HN: What are the must-read books about economics/finance?
Hey HN,
I am pursuing an engineering degree in Statistics, I hope to get into finance so I am interested in knowing what books you consider a must-read for someone who doesn't know almost anything about economics (from a philosophical point of view; positive vs normative economics) and finance in general to help them grow intellectually.
Thanks!
273 comments
[ 2.6 ms ] story [ 262 ms ] threadI found Larry Harris' Trading and Exchanges: Market Microstructure for Practitioners a solid introduction to market making and trading. Terms and concepts are easy to pick up from the text. I was comfortable enough after reading it to skim stats journal papers talking about market making models. The Stockfighter team had mentioned it in older threads here. It's expensive, but I just borrowed it from the library at my university instead of buying.
I also like The Elements of Statistical Learning which is free from the authors (http://statweb.stanford.edu/~tibs/ElemStatLearn/download.htm...). Although it isn't specifically about economics or markets, you should at least read it.
I'm at a loss on general economics books.
Thank you Tom!
Wealth of Nations
And who knows, perhaps one day you'll invent something that obviates the need for a global system of monetary trust ;)
Don't know if the WSJ is still a good source today, but "a steady diet" of one or more of these day to day sources and watching what they get right and wrong will do you a world of good.
Human Action by Ludwig von Mises
BTW, you should also read Hazlitt's "The Failure of the 'New Economics' ". Hazlitt shredded Keynes and doesn't pull any punches. Too bad nobody listened to him.
"This country, and with it most of the Western world, is presently going through a period of inflation and credit expansion. As the quantity of money in circulation and deposits subject to check increases, there prevails a general tendency for the prices of commodities and services to rise. Business is booming. Yet such a boom, artificially engineered by monetary and credit expansion, cannot last forever. It must come to an end sooner or later. For paper money and bank deposits are not a proper substitute for nonexisting capital goods. Economic theory has demonstrated in an irrefutable way that a prosperity created by an expansionist monetary and credit policy is illusory and must end in a slump, an economic crisis. It has happened again and again in the past, and it will happen in the future, too."
What he failed to understand, that in capitalism -basically give or take after 1750 in the western world - complex production has to be pre-financed and EVERY boom leads to a credit expansion. The bigger the boom, the bigger the expansion. It is tragic, that he had deep insights into market economy mechanism, but not into capitalism. He was still dreaming of a treasure box full of gold in the cellar of a company that the company uses to build things. The biggest driving force of capitalism is...debt. Debt that has to be serviced with new debt. More debt.
Thought provoking on a variety of levels - Seeking Wisdom: From Darwin To Munger by Peter Bevelin > http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/1995421.Seeking_Wisdom
FINANCIAL SECURITIES / BANKING / VENTURE CAPITAL
Bruck, Connie (1988) Predator's Ball: Inside Story of Drexel Burnham and Rise of Junk Bond Raiders
Draper, William (2011) Startup Game
Graham, Benjamin and Jason Zweig (2006) Intelligent Investor, revised ed.
_________ and David Dodd (2008) Security Analysis, 6E
Greenblatt, Joel (1999) You Can Be a Stock Market Genius
Greenwald, Kahn, Sonkin, Biema (2001) Value Investing: From Graham to Buffett and Beyond
Henwood, Doug (1997) Wall Street: How It Works and for Whom
Levitt, Arthur (2003) Take on the Street: How to Fight for Your Financial Future
Lewis, Michael (1989) Liar's Poker: Rising Through the Wreckage on Wall Street
_________ (2010) Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine
STATISTICS
Ayres, Ian (2007) Super Crunchers: Why Thinking by Numbers is the New Way to Be Smart
Bernstein, Peter (1996) Against the Gods: Remarkable Story of Risk
Kahneman, Daniel (2011) Thinking, Fast and Slow
Silver, Nate (2012) Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail, but Some Don't
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas (2005) Fooled by Randomness, 2E
_________ (2010) Black Swan: Impact of the Highly Improbable, 2E
BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT / ENTREPRENEURSHIP / INNOVATION
Christensen, Clayton (1997) Innovator's Dilemma
Stone, Brad (2013) Everything Store: Jeff Bezos and the Age of Amazon
Wallace, James and Jim Erickson (1992) Hard Drive: Bill Gates and Making of the Microsoft Empire
Walton, Sam with John Huey (1992) Sam Walton: Made in America
Wilson, Mike (1996) Difference between God and Larry Ellison: Inside Oracle Corp
POLITICAL ECONOMY / THEORY / ECONOMIC HISTORY
Arrighi, Giovanni (1994) Long Twentieth Century
Braudel, Fernand (1979) Civilization & Capitalism 15th-18th Century, vol. 3: Perspective of the World, trans. Siân Reynolds
Brechin, Gray (2006) Imperial San Francisco: Urban Power, Earthly Ruin
Heilbroner, Robert (1999) Worldly Philosophers: Lives, Times & Ideas of Great Economic Thinkers, 7E
Marx, Karl (1867) Capital, vol. 1
Stiglitz, Joseph (2003) Roaring Nineties: A New History of the World’s Most Prosperous Decade
_________ (2010) Freefall: America, Free Markets and the Sinking of the World Economy
Vallianatos, E.G. (2014) Poison Spring: Secret History of Pollution and EPA
Vilar, Pierre (1976) A History of Gold and Money: 1450-1920
Yergin, Daniel (1992) Prize: Epic Quest for Money, Oil and Power
Would enjoy email correspondence with anyone interested in these subjects: mitchelldeacon9@gmail.com All the best
I'm exploring a set of related topics at https://reddit.com/r/dredmorbius
I'm setting up some small and quiet broader forums at https://reddit.com/r/MKaTS
A funny and probably relevant piece from Joel Spolsky:
"Super quick review if you haven't taken any economics courses: econ is one of those fields that starts off with a bang, with many useful theories and facts that make sense, can be proven in the field, etc., and then it's all downhill from there. The useful bang at the beginning is microeconomics, which is the foundation for literally every theory in business that matters. After that things start to deteriorate: you get into Macroeconomics (feel free to skip this if you want) with its interesting theories about things like the relationship of interest rates to unemployment which, er, seem to be disproven more often than they are proven, and after that it just gets worse and worse and a lot of econ majors switch out to Physics, which gets them better Wall Street jobs, anyway. But make sure you take Microeconomics, because you have to know about supply and demand, you have to know about competitive advantage, and you have to understand NPVs and discounting and marginal utility before you'll have any idea why business works the way it does."
http://www.joelonsoftware.com/articles/CollegeAdvice.html
"If academic writings were difficult because of the deep thoughts involved, that might be understandable, even if frustrating. Seldom is that the case, however. Jaw-breaking words often cover up very sloppy thinking. It is not uncommon in academic writings to read about people “living below subsistence.” The academic writers I edited seemed to have great difficulty accepting my novel and controversial literary doctrine that the whole purpose of writing is so that people can read the stuff later on and know what you are trying to say. These professors seemed to feel that, once they put their priceless contributions to mankind on paper, a sacred obligation fell upon the reader to do his damndest to try to figure out what they could possibly mean."
http://www.tsowell.com/About_Writing.html
However, "engineering" in France is more of a title than a field. It corresponds to all degrees delivered by the écoles d'ingénieurs which, although they were intended to create engineers, have since evolved to meet the requirements of the job market, and have kept their name although their teachings aren't quite as strictly engineering-related as they used to be.
So yeah, you could get a degree from an engineering school that's mostly about statistics. But you could also learn about statistics while doing a math degree at the university. It's just some terminological oddity coming from our weird system.
For people wanting recommendations, I suggest Carl Menger's Principles of Economics, which has saved me from stupidification on college.
In fact look in to the field of econometrics and unless that field is a fantasy, there is a huge relation between statistics and economics.
Reminisces of a stock operator
When genius failed
Unconventional success
And generally just read financial news and follow markets until you develop a sense for spotting BS.
Economic history- lords of finance, too big to fail.
Most quant finance books are low quality and I'd suggest avoiding them.
Great introductory book on investing, especially if you're interested in personal finance.
https://www.cfainstitute.org/programs/cfaprogram/courseofstu...
Principles of Corporate Finance by Richard Brealey, Stewart Myers, Franklin Allen
Traders, Guns and Money: Knowns and unknowns in the dazzling world of derivatives by Satyajit Das
Corporate Finance by Stephen Ross is another text. I'm not sure how it compares to Brealey.
Debunking Economics - Steve Keen
The Volatility Machine - Michael Pettis
I think the essence of good economic thinking is understanding unintended consequences and reading the road to serfdom is a great way to really think about unintended consequences. Basically that well-meaning policies that have a side effect of centralizing power tend to do more harm than good.
Also points out how essential economic freedom is to all other freedoms, for if all jobs come from the state, to disagree with it ... well, at the extreme, as two roommates from the PRC in 1988 explained it to me, the biggest change in their lifetimes was how getting on the wrong side of the local political committee was no longer an automatic death sentence through their refusing to issue you food ration coupons, it just meant you had to spend more money buying food on the free market.
Wikipedia entry is here, haven't reviewed it except to note it has links to condensed versions (Hayek was amazed at how well the Readers Digest did it) and citations of the published editions: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Road_to_Serfdom
It's extremely readable and funny and covers most of the situations in real life where you can apply economic concepts to understand why something is the way it is.
Understanding why countries and economies grow (and why some grow faster than others!) doesn't always fall under the "economics" umbrella but is really useful for informing policy (and a useful reminder these days, when both US presidential candidates rail against trade agreements). "From Poverty to Prosperity" lays out a very readable and convincing argument for how countries have grown and become rich. https://www.amazon.com/Poverty-Prosperity-Intangible-Liabili...
For finance I very much enjoyed The Intelligent Investor, which also (apparently) inspired Warren Buffett's investing philosophy. https://www.amazon.com/Intelligent-Investor-Definitive-Inves...
When Buffett bought Berkshire Hathaway a few years after closing the partnership, his investment philosophy had changed. Your best bet to understand his investing is to simply read his letters.
He may come across as a bit folksy or country bumpkin, but he's fairly clear in his methodology.
Here are some links you may find helpful: http://www.rbcpa.com/WEB_letters/WEB_Letters_pre_berkshire.h...
http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/letters.html
Enjoy.
http://www8.gsb.columbia.edu/rtfiles/cbs/hermes/Buffett1984....
I think 'invalidated' is a little strong. Do be aware that within economic models, the map is not the territory.
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.459...
M&M says there shouldn't be 1st order implications for a firm's dividend payout ratio on its stock price (there are potential effects caused by taxes, agency and signalling that they assume away for simplicity).
However, other popular value metrics such as low price to earnings, market cap to book value, historic beta or past/future earnings growth are not affected by M&M. The efficient market hypothesis is an assumption rather than an implication of the theorem and there is a good empirical case for the combination of value investing and leverage.
One Up on Wall Street by Peter Lynch
https://www.amazon.com/Progress-Poverty-Industrial-Depressio...
Why is there so much poverty amongst all our progress? Georgism and land value tax. Essential reading IMHO and an enjoyable read also.
Great account on central banking in general and central banking policy during the 08-09 crisis in particular!