While this is a hell of a lot better than the current system of non-electric, I feel that people owning their own car won't be a thing after cars are self driving.
After they are, I think people will just call for a car and it would drive to you and pick you up. Obviously this won't work for rural and off road areas, though.
Not really a fantasy. I would prefer to own my own, but I can see why people argue that it won't be a thing. I find it inconvenient as hell to not own one, though.
I'm not a lefty (somewhat the opposite in fact!) but I would love this "fantasy" to be true. Self driving cars is literally a panacea right now, but hopefully it is achievable in my life time.
It's also a libertarian fantasy - the efficient unregulated, private-sector capitalism of self-driving Ubers displacing the wasteful lefty socialism of public transport, that kind of thing.
Even if you're not a leftist you can see there would be a much higher efficiency of people only having a car when needed. You only have to look at driveways and parking lots to see how inefficient car use is currently.
You only have to look inside those cars to see how that will not happen for those who can afford self-driving cars (most people, if the utopian predictions hold true). Most cars are extensions of one's home and are used to store all kinds of stuff (kid's seats, sunglasses, umbrellas, charging cables, tents in the back trunk, etc.)
On top of that, for many, cars are an extension of their ego (vanity plates, custom wheels, extra lights, etc). I doubt people will want to give that up, if they can afford it.
And unless we are talking car sharing, I don't see the efficiency of car use go up. If you drive an hour to work, and somebody else wants to make a similar trip, chances are there will be two hours between those trips, as most people live and few people work in the suburbs. Also, a car making two trips into town each day will make at least 3 round trips, whereas now, two cars each make one.
Yes, there may be gains in building fewer 'second cars', and the number of accidents should go down, but total mileage won't go down, so wear and tear will not go down, so we still will have to build about the same number of cars.
Conclusion: much higher efficiency? I don't see that happen.
Something missed in the geography of driveways and parking lots is roads.
If magic cars are more expensive they'll fail and people will buy regular cars. But if magic cars are cheaper then people will have more money to do stuff equals somewhat more traveling, AND traveling will be cheaper so they'll be more likely to do it. Why eat bologna sandwich at home with a car you own, if its cheaper to take the family out to eat steak at a county park a couple miles away in someone elses magic car? Hey I sold my personal car and use magic car now, so I've got money to pay for a dentist AND instead of staying home I will have magic car drive me to the dentist...
We might need less driveways but the road are going to get a lot more congested... Also we're going to burn a lot more gas and need more gas stations, more service stations, more car culture in general. Just not privately owned car culture.
Majority of the time a car is not driving. At any point in time, only 10℅ of cars are on the road. For an average car that is 20k$, that is a big waste of investment for everybody in terms of resources and time.
Car sharing is a temporary fix. The real fix is when cars can be brought to your doorstep without a driver. And you can just ride off.
But the more cool and more disruptive thought is when the car take you anywhere you want to go. Lots of transportation modes might become obsolete then.
It's a very rational thing to do if you live in an urban area. Individual owned cars spend most of the time parking taking precious space inside cities. Car sharing combined with non-shitty public transport to also reduce moving traffic could make cities a place for humans again, not a place for cars like it's now.
I also prefer not to own car as an individual (if not necessary because of lacking infrastructure). It's stupidly wasteful from a monetary point of view to not use the thing most of the time. You have to take care of maintenance and driving in an urban area is also not fun (ok self driving cars would fix this). This "everyone should own a car" as a status symbol thing is/was fabulous marketing.
> It's a very rational thing to do if you live in an urban area. ... I also prefer not to own car as an individual
I'm at this point in life too, so I didn't really say "everyone should own a car".
A free market includes the freedom to choose the Uber option (given that someone is offering that choice), and private provision of a good means supply is likely to match demand. I'm not against car-sharing - but in the utopian, /r/futurology sort of version of it I sense there are undertones of thinking we'll all be "free" when it's all communal and we don't have property and ownership, plus there's that whole zero-sum view of wealth and prosperity thing.
This "communism will be great when it's Star Trek-type communism" thing is fabulous propaganda. It might not be deliberate or conspiratorial, so propaganda might not be the best word, but that's nearly worse in a way.
No one is actually answering why its a big fantasy among certain groups as opposed to other arbitrary and random groups, which is a huge shame.
1) Left is culturally dominant (the establishment) at this time, therefore all social signalling (social media) is left wing and has a single progressive unified outlook on life. Even if "emperor has no clothes" style no one actually believes it. That has two effects. One is that someone started it so everyone has to parrot it as common sense and the only socially acceptable outlook because there must be only one correct answer to social questions. The other effect is due to only one outlook being acceptable, any random people MUST be compatible with any other random person. In the real world of course you can't just randomly shove ethnic, cultural, or religious groups that are unfriendly with each other into the same very close shared personal space. It would be badthink apostasy to think everyone in shared cabs will do anything other than hold hands and sing girl scout friendship songs. In the real world of course it would be hell.
2) There is a cultural superiority complex or rationalization or something that drives them as a group against scheduled activities. The famous "look at all those residential driveways full of cars" is a tired trope. Its a little short sighted in that 99.99% of my life I have not required the services of an ambulance therefore I don't want or need ambulance service in my community. The majority of the car buying public has an elementary school daughter who gets out of school at 3:40pm not "when she can get an uber" or "school children should be able to participate in contracts" or whatever. It doesn't matter if on a 24 hour average all the cars at school pickup are empty 95% of the time therefore we only need 5% the number of cars... doesn't work that way, we need 100% of the cars that are lined up at pickup time. Ditto 9-5 office salaryman work or sports teams or anything with a fixed schedule. Sharing only works if everyone in your culture never looks at a clock and just hops bars when they feel the need, not 9-5 at the ole salt mine. Living according to a clock is extremely right wing. Most phones spend most time in pockets therefore we should share phones. Most underwear spends most of its time in dresser drawers therefore we need an uber for underpants.
3) I believe there's some residual "workers of the world unite" and we shouldn't own property and maybe the state could own all the cars just like the state owns all the bus vehicles and passenger trains. How dare the proles have agency and have the capability to move without government cooperation and tracking, etc. Much like owning a gun is fundamentally immoral because we should trust Big Brother to protect us at all times and any implication Big Brother is not our friend is badthink of the highest order therefore gun ownership is badthink. I'm sure Big Brother's cars will only have our happiness as their sole priority, it would be wrongthink to consider otherwise.
4) There is a study I don't have a link to WRT disgust reflex along political spectra, to the extent that sitting next to a smelly creepy homeless guy is likely to make a right winger retch and get disgusted at the smell but a leftie is physically more likely to ignore it while celebrating the vibrant diversity of the situation. Its like how urban people literally don't mind crime as much as suburban or rural people, although there's self selection going on there.
5) There are known demographic issues WRT ownership of a childs car seat correlating with various political outlooks etc. Inherently there will be less interest by left wing people in car ownership.
But electric grids in western countries (Germany, UK) are absolutely not ready for such thing. German power grid would collapse if Czechia and Poland started enforcing their safety regulations.
This regulation would also make it impossible to build off-grid house powered by solar.
You must be talking about specifically your area. I live in Europe and most central and western Europe (maybe north not so much) is filled with cars and cities are big enough to provide enough parking spaces.
Only UK and Ireland are the countries in the west that are not like this. Cant think of any other.
At least in Germany every single house or apartment has an electric connection with a power output of at least 120A/380V (you're always connected to all 3 phases). Hooking up an 25A/380V plug shouldn't be a big deal.
But that's the point -- we know they have the capacity going into the houses, they just don't currently have the actual connection.
> Hooking up an 25A/380V plug shouldn't be a big deal.
For a forum that's obsessed with A/B testing the colour of eg the signup button it's odd to see people saying this. Of course it's not hard, but it is friction, and people avoid friction. If we want people to take up electric vehicles (and in the UK, particularly London, we really do to undo some of the catastrophic decisions around promoting diesel) we want to make electric vehicles easy to own.
What makes you think the German grid would not be up to charging electrical cars? In most places it is in an excellent state and as electrical consumption overall is sinking (getting rid of incandescent bulbs and wasteful electric devices helped there).
On average, an electrical car would need about 10kWh/day to recharge, based on the average mileage. This does not put high loads on the electrical networks, especially as most cars would recharge over night, where the networks are mostly idle.
My informations from Germany are 6 years, but it probably still applies:
- electricity is produced by wind farms in north, and transfered to industrial south. German grid does not have enough capacity and has to transfer through Czech grid. That is often pushing it to edge of safety limit. Safety breakers are not possible for political reasons (Poland installed something like that).
- Building new high-voltage power line is almost impossible
- Atomic plants are being decommissioned. There might be a problem to satisfy existing demand.
- Germany is planning to use Russian gas to make power in future (baltic pipe...). But Russia stated they might not have enough gas in 30 years to supply their own internal demand, and will stop exporting.
- More recently there is a huge political instability associated with Russian gas.
- Poland (or Estonia?) buys liquid gas from Katar and transports it on tankers. But that is very expensive
- Building new power plants in Germany is very problematic.
I am from Germany. Yes, to move forward with renewables we need more north-south connections, which are being built. But that concerns the further switch of the grid to renewables (currently 30%). This does not affect the charging of electrical cars - which would rather help to stabilize the grid.
Not ready? Most electric clothes dryers, heaters, and air conditioners already use 4500 watts each. I'm sure the grid may notice an increase, the utilities will charge for the extra consumption, and upgrade accordingly. The common 200 ampere service in homes should handle another 30 amps...
A 4500W clothes dryer or heater seems like a stretch, and besides, most people don't run those with a 100% duty cycle for hours. Saying that "utilities will upgrade accordingly" hides a lot of complexity under a simple statement.
Thoughts:
1. Where will the energy come from?
2. While electric cars will make the air in cities better, they won't reduce the needed space (for driving AND parking), and they won't make life more secure for pedestrians and cyclists.
3. In our courtyard, I usually don't find a place to lock my bicycle because they removed some of the bicycle stands in favor of creating some private terraces - this should be forbidden
4. Please concentrate on electric cars for car sharing
Hmmm. It's not like installing the charging points later is terribly difficult or expensive compared to the cost of the cars themselves, so long as there's a suitable garage or parking space. Are they outlawing new homes and home refurbishments without garages or similar suitable for electric cars? That'd be quite some subsidy for the car industry.
Any jurisdiction that requires off street parking to be associated with buildings (which is nearly universal in the US) could be said to be similarly subsidizing the auto industry.
To me, the reason to consider requiring a car charging station is not really related to cars but to the history of after the fact electrical installations which to be safe must be done right and doing it right takes time (to hire qualified installers) and money (to hire said installers and purchase electrical gear) and that human nature is to avoid those things and install systems that trade those costs for safety (fire and shock).
I look at it as parallel to requiring circuit breakers rather than fuses in new residential construction and renovation. Fuses are really safe, safer than circuit breakers in theory. In practice people substitute non-fusable objects for fuses for convenience and cost savings. The work until they don't.
>To me, the reason to consider requiring a car charging station is not really related to cars but to the history of after the fact electrical installations which to be safe must be done right and doing it right takes time (to hire qualified installers) and money (to hire said installers and purchase electrical gear) and that human nature is to avoid those things and install systems that trade those costs for safety (fire and shock).
>I look at it as parallel to requiring circuit breakers rather than fuses in new residential construction and renovation. Fuses are really safe, safer than circuit breakers in theory. In practice people substitute non-fusable objects for fuses for convenience and cost savings. The work until they don't.
I agree here. That said, in the US most homeowner electrical installations are done 90% to code and the stuff people skip is stuff like supporting wires individually and circuit planning often sucks.
In applications where you really care about not starting electrical fires there's usually a combination breaker and fuse where the breaker setting is conservative and the fuse is sized to burn up just before the wire does.
90% to code is not to code. The parts that comply with code don't make noncompliant parts safe. The parts that comply with code make other compliant parts safe.
> I look at it as parallel to requiring circuit breakers rather than fuses in new residential construction and renovation.
Since it's a charging point, wouldn't it be more similar to "each bedroom should have at least N power sockets per square meter"? I believe a rule like that already exists, requiring something like "at least N electric vehicle charging sockets per square meter of garage" sounds like a natural extension of it.
That said, I'd like to read that draft directive, and see what it actually says.
To me, there's really no philosophical difference between receptacles in the bedroom and the prohibition on fuseboxes. Receptacles in bedrooms are to reduce life safety hazards from the use of extension cords when receptacles are lacking as the requirement for circuit breakers reduces the life safety hazard from using coins when replacement fuses are lacking.
Incidentally, the US centric NEC also requires bedroom circuits to be protected from arc faults in new/upgraded installations. This is typically achieved with breakers in the breaker box.
This seems shortsighted. We're on the verge of changing the car ownership model with driverless cars & legislators are stuck creating laws that will create an unnecessary burden in 5-8 years (yet they'll likely stay on the books for decades). Ultimately it is central planning at its worst. A great example of why decisions should be driven by the market, not "I know what's best for everyone" politicians.
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[ 2.8 ms ] story [ 99.1 ms ] threadAfter they are, I think people will just call for a car and it would drive to you and pick you up. Obviously this won't work for rural and off road areas, though.
Why is this such a big fantasy among leftists?
Us leftists are generally public transit advocates.
On top of that, for many, cars are an extension of their ego (vanity plates, custom wheels, extra lights, etc). I doubt people will want to give that up, if they can afford it.
And unless we are talking car sharing, I don't see the efficiency of car use go up. If you drive an hour to work, and somebody else wants to make a similar trip, chances are there will be two hours between those trips, as most people live and few people work in the suburbs. Also, a car making two trips into town each day will make at least 3 round trips, whereas now, two cars each make one.
Yes, there may be gains in building fewer 'second cars', and the number of accidents should go down, but total mileage won't go down, so wear and tear will not go down, so we still will have to build about the same number of cars.
Conclusion: much higher efficiency? I don't see that happen.
If magic cars are more expensive they'll fail and people will buy regular cars. But if magic cars are cheaper then people will have more money to do stuff equals somewhat more traveling, AND traveling will be cheaper so they'll be more likely to do it. Why eat bologna sandwich at home with a car you own, if its cheaper to take the family out to eat steak at a county park a couple miles away in someone elses magic car? Hey I sold my personal car and use magic car now, so I've got money to pay for a dentist AND instead of staying home I will have magic car drive me to the dentist...
We might need less driveways but the road are going to get a lot more congested... Also we're going to burn a lot more gas and need more gas stations, more service stations, more car culture in general. Just not privately owned car culture.
Car sharing is a temporary fix. The real fix is when cars can be brought to your doorstep without a driver. And you can just ride off.
But the more cool and more disruptive thought is when the car take you anywhere you want to go. Lots of transportation modes might become obsolete then.
I also prefer not to own car as an individual (if not necessary because of lacking infrastructure). It's stupidly wasteful from a monetary point of view to not use the thing most of the time. You have to take care of maintenance and driving in an urban area is also not fun (ok self driving cars would fix this). This "everyone should own a car" as a status symbol thing is/was fabulous marketing.
I'm at this point in life too, so I didn't really say "everyone should own a car".
A free market includes the freedom to choose the Uber option (given that someone is offering that choice), and private provision of a good means supply is likely to match demand. I'm not against car-sharing - but in the utopian, /r/futurology sort of version of it I sense there are undertones of thinking we'll all be "free" when it's all communal and we don't have property and ownership, plus there's that whole zero-sum view of wealth and prosperity thing.
This "communism will be great when it's Star Trek-type communism" thing is fabulous propaganda. It might not be deliberate or conspiratorial, so propaganda might not be the best word, but that's nearly worse in a way.
1) Left is culturally dominant (the establishment) at this time, therefore all social signalling (social media) is left wing and has a single progressive unified outlook on life. Even if "emperor has no clothes" style no one actually believes it. That has two effects. One is that someone started it so everyone has to parrot it as common sense and the only socially acceptable outlook because there must be only one correct answer to social questions. The other effect is due to only one outlook being acceptable, any random people MUST be compatible with any other random person. In the real world of course you can't just randomly shove ethnic, cultural, or religious groups that are unfriendly with each other into the same very close shared personal space. It would be badthink apostasy to think everyone in shared cabs will do anything other than hold hands and sing girl scout friendship songs. In the real world of course it would be hell.
2) There is a cultural superiority complex or rationalization or something that drives them as a group against scheduled activities. The famous "look at all those residential driveways full of cars" is a tired trope. Its a little short sighted in that 99.99% of my life I have not required the services of an ambulance therefore I don't want or need ambulance service in my community. The majority of the car buying public has an elementary school daughter who gets out of school at 3:40pm not "when she can get an uber" or "school children should be able to participate in contracts" or whatever. It doesn't matter if on a 24 hour average all the cars at school pickup are empty 95% of the time therefore we only need 5% the number of cars... doesn't work that way, we need 100% of the cars that are lined up at pickup time. Ditto 9-5 office salaryman work or sports teams or anything with a fixed schedule. Sharing only works if everyone in your culture never looks at a clock and just hops bars when they feel the need, not 9-5 at the ole salt mine. Living according to a clock is extremely right wing. Most phones spend most time in pockets therefore we should share phones. Most underwear spends most of its time in dresser drawers therefore we need an uber for underpants.
3) I believe there's some residual "workers of the world unite" and we shouldn't own property and maybe the state could own all the cars just like the state owns all the bus vehicles and passenger trains. How dare the proles have agency and have the capability to move without government cooperation and tracking, etc. Much like owning a gun is fundamentally immoral because we should trust Big Brother to protect us at all times and any implication Big Brother is not our friend is badthink of the highest order therefore gun ownership is badthink. I'm sure Big Brother's cars will only have our happiness as their sole priority, it would be wrongthink to consider otherwise.
4) There is a study I don't have a link to WRT disgust reflex along political spectra, to the extent that sitting next to a smelly creepy homeless guy is likely to make a right winger retch and get disgusted at the smell but a leftie is physically more likely to ignore it while celebrating the vibrant diversity of the situation. Its like how urban people literally don't mind crime as much as suburban or rural people, although there's self selection going on there.
5) There are known demographic issues WRT ownership of a childs car seat correlating with various political outlooks etc. Inherently there will be less interest by left wing people in car ownership.
Most houses in EU already have "charging point", it is called electric plug. 25A/380V plugs are pretty common: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Industrial_and_multiphase_powe...
But electric grids in western countries (Germany, UK) are absolutely not ready for such thing. German power grid would collapse if Czechia and Poland started enforcing their safety regulations.
This regulation would also make it impossible to build off-grid house powered by solar.
Not in homes.
> Hooking up an 25A/380V plug shouldn't be a big deal.
For a forum that's obsessed with A/B testing the colour of eg the signup button it's odd to see people saying this. Of course it's not hard, but it is friction, and people avoid friction. If we want people to take up electric vehicles (and in the UK, particularly London, we really do to undo some of the catastrophic decisions around promoting diesel) we want to make electric vehicles easy to own.
- electricity is produced by wind farms in north, and transfered to industrial south. German grid does not have enough capacity and has to transfer through Czech grid. That is often pushing it to edge of safety limit. Safety breakers are not possible for political reasons (Poland installed something like that).
- Building new high-voltage power line is almost impossible
- Atomic plants are being decommissioned. There might be a problem to satisfy existing demand.
- Germany is planning to use Russian gas to make power in future (baltic pipe...). But Russia stated they might not have enough gas in 30 years to supply their own internal demand, and will stop exporting.
- More recently there is a huge political instability associated with Russian gas.
- Poland (or Estonia?) buys liquid gas from Katar and transports it on tankers. But that is very expensive
- Building new power plants in Germany is very problematic.
See also http://www.copenhagenize.com/2016/10/electric-cars-where-wil...
To me, the reason to consider requiring a car charging station is not really related to cars but to the history of after the fact electrical installations which to be safe must be done right and doing it right takes time (to hire qualified installers) and money (to hire said installers and purchase electrical gear) and that human nature is to avoid those things and install systems that trade those costs for safety (fire and shock).
I look at it as parallel to requiring circuit breakers rather than fuses in new residential construction and renovation. Fuses are really safe, safer than circuit breakers in theory. In practice people substitute non-fusable objects for fuses for convenience and cost savings. The work until they don't.
>I look at it as parallel to requiring circuit breakers rather than fuses in new residential construction and renovation. Fuses are really safe, safer than circuit breakers in theory. In practice people substitute non-fusable objects for fuses for convenience and cost savings. The work until they don't.
I agree here. That said, in the US most homeowner electrical installations are done 90% to code and the stuff people skip is stuff like supporting wires individually and circuit planning often sucks.
In applications where you really care about not starting electrical fires there's usually a combination breaker and fuse where the breaker setting is conservative and the fuse is sized to burn up just before the wire does.
Since it's a charging point, wouldn't it be more similar to "each bedroom should have at least N power sockets per square meter"? I believe a rule like that already exists, requiring something like "at least N electric vehicle charging sockets per square meter of garage" sounds like a natural extension of it.
That said, I'd like to read that draft directive, and see what it actually says.
Incidentally, the US centric NEC also requires bedroom circuits to be protected from arc faults in new/upgraded installations. This is typically achieved with breakers in the breaker box.