Bolted the snow tires to the car last weekend. Gonna be some epic storm driving in the mountains this weekend. Forecasting 60" at 8k feet along the crest today through thursday. Then another 70-80" over the upcoming weekend. Probably will come in short of that, but still. epic.
Personally I find the frequent comments complaining that the title should be a dry summary of facts a little dreary. There's a middle ground between clickbait and a mini-summary and this title seems to be perfectly reasonable.
Politicians and spokespeople linking the California drought with climate change has damaged the credibility of these reports. I'm inclined to believe MIT researchers' climate models but I think this should have been addressed in this press release.
This story is about extreme storms. The example storm mentioned from 2014 occurred in the worst of the drought, caused all kinds of issues, but it didn't fix anything. Both future droughts and more extreme and frequent pineapple expresses can co-exist because of climate change. MIT et al. shouldn't have to explain that in every press release made involving the climate.
How so? There is some scientific evidence to suggest that the cause of the drought is more likely to occur in warmer climates. It isn't universally accepted, but it is convincing enough to look at closely.
Nasa data suggests we are heading back into a Grand Solar Minimum from around 2020/2022. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_minimum We already have a solar minimum every 11 years due to the solar cycle. Reading this book, https://www.amazon.co.uk/Little-Ice-Age-Climate-1300-1850/dp... not only will make you have a complete rethink of European history, but you will probably come away with the conclusion that "No sunspots = extreme weather". This weather can be unseasonable, ie too hot or too cold.
If a grand solar minimum is on the cards, food security and famine are biggest risks because back during the medieval ice age, its thought 25% of the global population died due to famine and cold. Crop yields were such that lets say 1 field would support a family back then, today same field (or area)would support say 15 families due to higher crop yields, better agrichemicals and so on. So when weather destroys the crop in a field, more people are affected today. Now whilst technology can offset some risks, ie mass flooding, heatwave, snow, or freezing events take place more often, things can get interesting from a "preppers" perspective, if food security risks affect a population. Then you need to ask yourself where do you want to live? A society where its every man for themselves or one where collaboration and social inclusion is the norm?
Interesting. IIRC, not to deny climate change, but for context: there was a storm c. 1990 with sustained winds over 70 mph in Blossom Valley which nearly blew in windows through their frames and knocked over many fences.
3 inches of rain in an hour isn't all the unprecedented, which is what makes me wonder about the veracity of the sources. In the 80's it would rain so hard (and so much) at times that it would knock people down and break windows and flood streets...mudslide warning still exist along roads in orange county, CA from that time.
Although not my current career, I come from an engineering background. This does not sound all bad.
What I am hearing is that we simply need to build better dams, which can reduce the impact of the deluge while simultaneously improving the availability of water in the region. Depending on the amount of water, we may even be able to use it to irrigate large portions of land, and allow rivers and creeks to flow year round.
Not all irrigation has to be for farming... perhaps we can water our national parks as well. Large lakes evaporate tremendous amounts of water too, further repairing the water cycle as well as being a force of localized cooling.
From an insurance perspective, storms are very expensive. Especially if they come with more frequent and stronger damaging winds, hail, tornadoes, landslides, and flooding.
It would be interesting to see some analysis of the financial cost compared to the ecological impact/financial benefits in a drought stricken climate.
Many scientists said the same thing about hurricanes after Katrina and they were completely wrong.[1] And calling the storms from 2014 the "Storm of the Century" was a joke, another case of media hyperbole.
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[ 3.4 ms ] story [ 59.9 ms ] threadhttp://www.powder.com/stories/hydrological-hammer-of-the-god...
On a related topic, I changing my current policy of having 3 days of food to 5 since this year has been rather stormy.
A better title would be "California predicted to have 3 extreme precipitation events per year by 2100" but that won't get as many clicks.
I feel you made the case for explaining it to the audience even stronger.
Comparing December 27, 2016 to December 29, 2015.
Drought is significantly improved over that time period, but still quite severe in Southern California.
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/MapsAndData/WeeklyComparison.a...
What I am hearing is that we simply need to build better dams, which can reduce the impact of the deluge while simultaneously improving the availability of water in the region. Depending on the amount of water, we may even be able to use it to irrigate large portions of land, and allow rivers and creeks to flow year round.
Not all irrigation has to be for farming... perhaps we can water our national parks as well. Large lakes evaporate tremendous amounts of water too, further repairing the water cycle as well as being a force of localized cooling.
It would be interesting to see some analysis of the financial cost compared to the ecological impact/financial benefits in a drought stricken climate.
[1] http://science.time.com/2013/09/09/a-silent-hurricane-season...