This is why persistence works so well in the long run. If you are persistent in your business/profession/art, it might take a very very long time but in the end you are bound to hit some luck, learn which levers work and try a lot of things.
> If you consistently work the odds in your favor, you’ll almost always come out on top in the long run.
Only if 'consistently' means 'forever' and you have infinite funds.
If you have lottery with value 2*10^9 with probability 10^{-9} and -1 with probability 1-10^{-9}, then the odds are in your favor, but you are still very likely to lose a million dollars if you if you play a million times.
Being consistent/persistent can help you, but it shouldn't be thought of as a eliminating all influence of luck.
This brand of insight porn backed by an opening anecdote really rubs me the wrong way. It reminds me of The Secret.
Hmm, maybe there's money to be made in writing my own insight porn. I should design my life with a blog such that I become the next Tony Robbins. So much luck to be had.
I haven't followed his work lately, I've just read a few of his much older books. He might be full of shit now, but I can see how most people here wouldn't be into what he shares, as it's more Feely Science than 'real' science. I enjoy both and have found his perspective on spiritual life helpful, among many other sources of course.
There are no things called “Feely Science” or “'real' science”. What you call “'real' science” is called “science”. What you call “Feely science” isn’t science, and is called, variously, “superstition”, “woo”, and “bullshit”.
I haven't followed his work lately, I've just read a few of his much older books. He might be full of shit now, but I can see how most people here wouldn't be into what he shares, as it's more Feely Science than 'real' science. I enjoy both and have found his perspective on spiritual life helpful, among many other sources of course.
This starts off sounding like it's going to be a fascinating story about how lotteries are designed, and how a smart person with a lot of persistence and an understanding of statistics can exploit tiny deviations from randomness to their benefit.
It becomes clear after a dozen or so paragraphs that it's some meaningless pseudo-profound bullshit about "the power of taking control of your life". Don't waste your time reading it.
Clearly, some people seem to like it, while others not so much.
Yes, I just discovered this community, but I genuinely thought that maybe some people could gain value out of it, and clearly some people have.
And yes, there are affiliate links on SEPARATE pages (like pretty much every other website on the internet) that will help sustain the cost of hosting and the email list, but beyond that there's nothing trickery about it and I don't intend for it to be. I'm not going to sell some useless ebook or a course or throw pop-ups your ways.
I was testing the waters here and seeing if this is a community worth sharing ideas with, but based on this response, I'm not sure.
I don't mind critical feedback about the content, but shooting something down just because you think you're smarter than that or because you're actively looking to shit on someone isn't all that cool.
Either way, I'm sorry if I mislead anyone. I mean that.
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[ 1.5 ms ] story [ 50.8 ms ] threadOnly if 'consistently' means 'forever' and you have infinite funds. If you have lottery with value 2*10^9 with probability 10^{-9} and -1 with probability 1-10^{-9}, then the odds are in your favor, but you are still very likely to lose a million dollars if you if you play a million times.
Being consistent/persistent can help you, but it shouldn't be thought of as a eliminating all influence of luck.
Thanks for the feedback.
Hmm, maybe there's money to be made in writing my own insight porn. I should design my life with a blog such that I become the next Tony Robbins. So much luck to be had.
OP's account is less than a day old. OP's two posts are to the same website.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KiU5ht5W_lk#t=1h14m42s
I haven't followed his work lately, I've just read a few of his much older books. He might be full of shit now, but I can see how most people here wouldn't be into what he shares, as it's more Feely Science than 'real' science. I enjoy both and have found his perspective on spiritual life helpful, among many other sources of course.
One thing is to go Secret, woo-woo and another is to understand to explore and followup on opportunities when they are presented to you.
It becomes clear after a dozen or so paragraphs that it's some meaningless pseudo-profound bullshit about "the power of taking control of your life". Don't waste your time reading it.
It's a bit of a polarized response.
Clearly, some people seem to like it, while others not so much.
Yes, I just discovered this community, but I genuinely thought that maybe some people could gain value out of it, and clearly some people have.
And yes, there are affiliate links on SEPARATE pages (like pretty much every other website on the internet) that will help sustain the cost of hosting and the email list, but beyond that there's nothing trickery about it and I don't intend for it to be. I'm not going to sell some useless ebook or a course or throw pop-ups your ways.
I was testing the waters here and seeing if this is a community worth sharing ideas with, but based on this response, I'm not sure.
I don't mind critical feedback about the content, but shooting something down just because you think you're smarter than that or because you're actively looking to shit on someone isn't all that cool.
Either way, I'm sorry if I mislead anyone. I mean that.