Seems that the liability for men to get married is much higher now in the event of a divorce. Also women are less dependant on men and more able to control when and if they have children.
Many men are understanding that marriage is a no win situation. You find yourself working your entire life to support your wife and family only to have a high percentage of ending in divorce. Your assets will be taken from you and you will be lucky if you get 50% custody.
If you do not wand children there is no point in getting married.
If anyone else doesn't want to investigate, this article puts it at 25%. [1] Some may consider that a high percentage. If this is a major concern though, my advice is to marry someone who you trust to not be horrible in the case of a divorce. It won't always work out that way, but at least you can have some confidence that they won't try to ruin your life just for fun.
That's about 50%, which is the commonly quoted figure. However, IIRC that figure is skewed significantly by second (and further) marriages (i.e. by people who "like" getting divorced). The figures for first marriage are somewhat lower.
The interesting thing is that you can't actually divide one number by the other, because you don't know when the marriages began. What you actually need is the data "how many marriages in 1980/1981 &c end in divorce"? The information that a bunch of retired baby boomers are divorcing has little to no relevance to 30-somethings getting married right now.
In particular, since fewer people are getting married than used to (the whole point of the article), this is overstating the divorce rate.
Its 40-50% marriages. However people who get remarried or married a second time are significantly more likely to get a divorce. Pretty damn high. Flip a coin. Whats really interesting is the number of sexual partners and how that relates to divorce rates.
Yes, but for educated people who have a reasonable income, it drops to 15-25% depending on your source.
There's also a growing body of research on practices and habits of healthy satisfying marriages. Raw average divorce rates don't really capture what's possible with forethought and discipline.
The rates are high, and it's worth considering how many marriages should be divorced but instead forcibly stay unhappy for things like traditional or religious reasons.
>find yourself working your entire life to support your wife
You do know that lots of women have careers now right? You can arguably do quite well as a team pooling financial resources and saving for retirement. It also makes you more resilient to changes in employment.
>If you do not wand children there is no point in getting married.
What if you just want to engage in a mutually meaningful tradition?
A study conducted in 2004 found that although the tender years doctrine had been abolished some time ago, a majority of Indiana family court judges still supported it and decided cases coming before them consistently with it.2 A survey of judges in Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi and Tennessee found a clear preference among judges for maternal custody in general.
Even in jurisdictions which have 50/50 custody as the default, judges still overwhelmingly favor one side over the other. i.e. judicial prejudice is well known, wide-spread, in defiance of the law, and ongoing.
See Florida again. Action groups have successfully fought against equal custody by default, because saying "we're for equality" means "fight against equality", apparently.
Why would someone work if they can divorce, keep the kids, and get paid forever?
Because unless your ex is very wealthy AND your alimony increases over time to keep up with inflation, alimony tends to not adequately support a middle class lifestyle by itself.
Because women tend to outlive men and tend to marry men who are older than them (average: about four years). When the ex dies, you will be penniless if you didn't also work.
Because as the kids grow up, if you don't have goals, interests and earned income of your own, your life can wind up very empty.
I'm a divorced single mom (with adult special needs kids who still live with me) who gets alimony. These are some of my reasons for working to build an income of my own.
> the ex dies, you will be penniless if you didn't also work
Why not work? After some time in divorce (immediately perhaps) you are supposed, as an adult, to support for yourself.
Especially considering you're going to send children into their own lives by 50, and retirement is only coming at 65. You definitely look forward for 15 years of work even if you are absolutely devoted to raising kids.
> if you don't have goals, interests and earned income of your own
But we can only put the very latter in alimony. Can't put goals there.
> if you don't have goals, interests and earned income of your own
But we can only put the very latter in alimony. Can't put goals there.
If you got married and started a family because raising a family was a goal, alimony is related to that. Women have historically been provided for by husbands. For women, marriage has historically been a viable alternative to getting a job.
It isn't like buying a lottery ticket. Being a wife and mom involves a great deal of work. Raising kids well is a goal. Once they are raised, women need to find other things to do.
This seems to be lost on a great many men. Even women seem to often not see it. But it is a reality.
> Women have historically been provided for by husbands
I hope you know that women were also historically accompanied by dowry? Just the woman herself, with her raising a family, was not considered sufficient offering to match the groom.
If you hope to find a husband that would provide you towards the end of your life, you should (a) choose very carefully, and (b) have solid understanding of your own contribution. Otherwise, once your husband decides he doesn't want to spend the rest of life with you, it falls apart.
There's no doubt why alimony should be paid to support underage children. There's no reason why alimony should be paid to support an adult, a healthy woman of working age.
A) What gets paid to support children is called child support, not alimony.
B) I spent two decades supporting my husband's career. When we divorced, he still had a well paid job and twenty years work experience. I was starting over from scratch and was "lucky" to get a better-than-minimum-wage job to start.
It aggravates me that the world as a whole acts like having kids and raising them is only a financial cost to men. The fact that women give birth and then take more time off for family responsibilities helps suppress the incomes of most women. Then people don't act like this is a real cost to them.
Furthermore, if you just don't want children at all, there are several viable solutions:
1) Remain celibate
2) Get a vasectomy
3) Have only homosexual sex
A lot of men seem to desire sex with women, who can then have their entire life derailed due to an unexpected pregnancy, even if they use birth control, which is not 100% reliable. And then they act like women are just overentitled and lazy for wanting compensation for the very real cost to themselves.
I'm a woman. I like sex with men. I have been celibate for more than 12 years for medical reasons. The difficulty involved in finding a man who is not just cavalierly willing to ruin my life for his convenience and then walk away makes me wonder if I will ever get laid again. That whole "sleeping with me will destroy your entire future" vibe is a distinct turn off for me.
> What gets paid to support children is called child support, not alimony.
In most jurisdictions, child support is more than the cost of raising a child. In Canada, equalizing incomes was the goal of the latest round of child support guidelines, not "support for the child".
> I spent two decades supporting my husband's career. When we divorced, he still had a well paid job and twenty years work experience. I was starting over from scratch and was "lucky" to get a better-than-minimum-wage job to start.
And you should get compensated for that. The question is really how much, and how long.
> It aggravates me that the world as a whole acts like having kids and raising them is only a financial cost to men.
In some sense, it is. See research on the wage gap going back to the 1960's. Never-married childless women earn about the same as never-married childless men.
Once people get married and have kids, men take on additional work to pay for their kids. Women take on less work to take care of their kids.
This means men have higher "out of pocket" costs than women do. But women pay the "opportunity cost" of raising kids. Hence alimony.
> if you just don't want children at all, there are several viable solutions:
None of those are truly viable. They're necessary conditions to not having kids. But not sufficient.
In practice, a women can name any man as the father if she wants. No paternity test is necessary in most jurisdictions, and such tests are illegal in parts of Europe! In some states, if the father is notified of such a child and doesn't contest it within 30 days, he's determined to be the father, and has no right to fight it after that.
See any number of cases where men are paying for kids they didn't even know existed, who DNA proves aren't theirs.
The guy doesn't even have to have sex with her. If your girlfriend's room-mate sneaks into the room at night, grabs the used condom, and impregnates herself, well, as the man, you pay for 18 years. No choice, or you go to jail.
> That whole "sleeping with me will destroy your entire future" vibe is a distinct turn off for me.
As it is for men. The reality is that women hold essentially all control over reproduction. Women can choose to get pregnant, and can force any man to pay for their choices, for the next 18 years. At the threat of jail, losing jobs, passport, drivers license, etc.
It is entirely rational to be wary of such side-effects.
The point here is that while your choices have cost you, men don't have some magical happy land of money, cigars, whisky, and bro-hugs. There are costs and benefits to the choices made by both sexes.
Once people get married and have kids, men take on additional work to pay for their kids. Women take on less work to take care of their kids.
Women take on more work too, it is just not paid work. Mothers, whether they have a paid job or not, tend to be chronically short of sleep. Full time moms spend about 60 hours per week on household chores. Working moms spend about 40 hours per week.
I am aware that there are two sides to this story and men have their own concerns. But, the open hostility towards women you are displaying is something I felt a need to give a little pushback to. This is an overwhelmingly male forum. Such comments are often wildly upvoted and cheered on. It does not help bridge the gap. It just deepens the "war of the sexes."
But, I should probably disengage. Your pattern of comments here looks pretty toxic to me. Probably no good will come of engaging you further.
In most western countries, men and women do roughly the same amount of total work. For men, more paid than unpaid. For women, the other way around.
So again, just focussing on "women have it bad" misses a big part of the picture.
> I am aware that there are two sides to this story and men have their own concerns
Apparently not.
> But, the open hostility towards women you are displaying ...
is a self-serving lie.
> Your pattern of comments here looks pretty toxic to me
I acknowledge your position, agree that you deserve alimony, express caution that showing one side of the picture isn't a good approach, and show how the choices men and women make each have their pros and cons.
You show one side of the story, and express shock and outrage that someone dare bring up the other side.
> Women take on more work too, it is just not paid work
Well, yes. I did say "take care of their kids".
This is what you originally said:
Once people get married and have kids, men take on additional work to pay for their kids. Women take on less work to take care of their kids.
You did not say that women do less paid work. You said they take on less work. This framing implicitly suggests that women's work isn't really work. This seems to be a common societal default assumption and that deeply held belief helps drive the feminization of poverty because the mental model is that women's work isn't real work and doesn't really deserve compensation.
The rest of your comment is simply gratuitously ugly, so I am done here.
Somehow, you didn't make that insinuation. You only made one towards women, and it was negative.
In poker, this is known as a "tell".
Any rational person would make the assumption that I was talking about
paid work in both cases. Yet your conclusion was that I was saying
something nefarious about women, while ignoring that the same logic
would also apply to men.
The problem is that your position is female-centric. You see any
discussion of mens issues as hostile and toxic. You demand that any discussion of womens issues cannot question basic assumptions. You take calm, even-handed comments as hating women.
It must be scary to live in such a hate-filled world.
This is a weasel right here. You claim you did something, but never specify what.
Indeed, successful women are not lining for men who will "support their careers" for a chunk of income.
I want children and I have, with a responsible woman who is a self-sufficient person herself. That's what makes marriage work. Not the good intentions, but objective and subjective value of spouses to each other.
My ex husband was career military. Military spouses face significant challenges in getting a job at all and it is nigh impossible for them to establish a real career, in part because you move every few years, employers know this and would rather hire a local who will stick around.
Your comment comes awfully close to a personal attack. Given that you have a successful two career couple arrangement, I fail to comprehend the hostility. Your ability to make it work in no way negates the very real challenges involved in establishing a two career couple and also having children. Most people find that having one spouse with a serious career and one spouse who may work, but whose career takes a back seat to family needs, is simply much more viable.
I also have special needs kids and other personal burdens that complicated the situation. Not everyone has a situation that makes a two career couple a viable option. I wanted a career. It didn't happen. I have done a lot of reading to try to figure out where my life went wrong and how to fix it. I expected to have a career. Other people expected me to have a career and make good money. Life does not always go as we expect.
> I hope you know that women were also historically accompanied by dowry?
In some cultures. In some cultures, the groom (or his family) paid her family a bride price, and in some cultures the groom paid her (personally, not her family) a dower. In some cultures, in fact, a combination of these existed simultaneously.
Of course, pretending that dowry alone was the dominant tradition is necessary to your argument that what the wife brought was viewed as insufficient value on its own, but it's not actually accurate.
> Why not work? After some time in divorce (immediately perhaps) you are supposed, as an adult, to support for yourself.
Let's say as a family you decided that the wife would be a stay at home wife to have and support children. Then fifteen years down the line you get divorced.
The wife gave up fifteen years of career and career advancement for the family. Alimony is a damn appropriate compensation for that sacrifice, since it's likely that as you start working you're going to be getting minimum wage (and your ex husband, presumably, had those fifteen years of career advancement).
Was career a sacrifice or something that she was happy to get rid of in exchange to support?
I think I can find men who would be happy to do chores if a woman would be supporting them with high-paying job, and essentially zero women who will agree to such arrangement.
Staying at home without working is a bad decision and you certainly can't chain man over it when it doesn't work. Promising of life-time alimony, in some extreme cases for a wife who never had any children even, is just pushing women into making this bad decision.
> Was career a sacrifice or something that she was happy to get rid of in exchange to support?
Does not really matter what sort of words you want to call it. She still gave up her earning potential for the family. These decisions are made by two people, not one. And now, as a result of that, in divorce, they are woefully uneven going forward. Alimony is there to balance those scales. Don't like it? Don't have a stay at home family.
> I think I can find men who would be happy to do chores if a woman would be supporting them with high-paying job, and essentially zero women who will agree to such arrangement.
My friend group alone includes one planned stay at home husband, so you are quite incorrect on this point.
> Staying at home without working is a bad decision
Then don't do it.
> and you certainly can't chain man over it when it doesn't work.
Why all the concern for the man here and none for the woman? She's "chained" to lower earnings for the rest of her life as a result of this.
> alimony tends to not adequately support a middle class lifestyle by itself.
Should it?
I mean, let's say we have a happy "leave it beaver" family with 2.2 kids, a white picket fence, a dad who works, and a mom who doesn't. Due to no fault in particular, they get divorced. They now have two households to maintain instead of one.
Why would both people deserve a "middle class lifestyle"? Their expenses have each gone up, and the total income hasn't changed. How can you split one "middle class lifestyle" into two, and obtain two of the same thing?
Look, someone asked "Why would you work" and then made an assertion that paints alimony as some kind of cushy free ride for life. I am saying this is not true: Even if a woman gets alimony, she probably also needs to work.
Comments like yours are essentially twisting my intent to an extreme degree. I did not expect to have people pile on and act like I am some overentitled lazy bum for explaining some of my reasons why I also work, in addition to getting alimony. Geez.
Edit: It appears you are that someone. So, which is it? Alimony is a cushy free ride? Or not?
> Even if a woman gets alimony, she probably also needs to work.
... if she wants to maintain the same lifestyle. If she's willing to take on a lower standard of living, perhaps not.
> Comments like yours are essentially twisting my intent to an extreme degree.
That's just untrue.
> I did not expect to have people pile on and act like I am some overentitled lazy bum
I did no such thing.
> Edit: It appears you are that someone.
Nope. You're not reading my comments. I clearly said that alimony is deserved compensation.
I understand your frustration that people are taking a somewhat counter position. But the point here is to not blame you or to say you "deserve" to be poor.
The point is to have a discussion on responsibility. Why are people being compensated? How much should they be compensated? For how long should that be paid?
For me, if you're married for 2 years, and pay alimony for 50, that's abusive and wrong. Saying so shouldn't be interpreted as an attack on you personally.
Please learn to distinguish a discussion on the topic of alimony from a personal attack on you. There are absolutely not the same thing.
We sure, but you could make that argument about anything in life. Everything involves some risk, and yet you still have to makes choices. A less cynical person might choose to engage in an exercise in trust which is risky, but highly rewarding. Why pass judgement on a choice which has very narrow externalities?
> Your assets will be taken from you and you will be lucky if you get 50% custody
This is an interesting situation from the point of how economy, politics and people work:
If you protect X, you will get less X.
If you protect women in marriage by giving them more assets and custody on divorce, you make it harder for women to find a spouse. Those who already had one, benefit.
If you protect home renters by putting conditions on potential landlords, you will get better conditions for existing renters but worse conditions for new renters.
You thought you can make world better by placing conditions on other people, but it bites the actual demographics you were thought to protect.
If you protect mothers by giving them welfare, you get more single mothers.
If you give courts / child protection services a cut of the child support money, you get more divorces where the fathers are cut out of the children's lives.
If you punish men in divorces, financially ruin them ("imputed income"), and don't let them see their kids, you get a massive increase in male suicide after a divorce.
> But is it really worse for society to have single mothers on welfare than to have mothers trapped in toxic marriages for financial reasons?
Surely this is an empirical question and not a theoretical one. Unfortunately it's hard to measure fairly. Let me offer a clearly flawed first pass.
If you take, just as a reference point, pre 1960 US society and post 1980 US society as exemplars of "lots of toxic marriage" and "lots of welfare mothers", then I think one would be hard pressed to show empirical evidence that the latter is doing any better than the former. Certainly by conventional measures of success, one could argue that the latter is worse (though there are so many confounding variables that I personally don't feel comfortable having an opinion).
My point here is that I don't think we can presume the welfare-single-mother outcome to be, a priori, obviously better than the old toxic-marriage status quo, when measured by society-level outcomes. There is ample evidence that both cases are clearly inferior to stable, non-toxic, two-parent households. So the question is an empirical one of the lesser of two evils, and I don't think we have a clean way to answer it so far.
Strongly disagree on "do not want children there is no point in getting married."
There's an emotional reason to get married, formalizing a life long commitment. That's a big one for a lot of folks (citation: my marriage).
But lets say you're not a feelings type of person, and those arguments fall on deaf ears. If you live in a community property state marriage makes inheriting assets ridiculously easy and avoids all sorts of taxes. (otherwise you're down the road of setting up trusts which will incur lawyer and trust management fees).
Taxes are another one - if there's an income disparity. Filing jointly with a single income does wonders for what you don't have to pay.
Your spouse can also not be compelled to testify against you, which depending on how paranoid you want to be might make you sleep better at night.
To say there's no point is missing the point though - as much as marriage is enshrined in legal rights which are unavailable to those who do not marry, the institution of marriage is centuries old and exists in many religions. There's an emotional reason to do so, and that's point enough.
> Filing jointly with a single income does wonders for what you don't have to pay.
Filing singly with a single income does even more assuming you have no dependents. Marrying someone with no income definitely doesn't result in a net increase in free cash flow. Taxes don't offset the cost of supporting an adult.
To be clear, I'm not opposed to marriage nor to the concept of a stay-at-home spouse (of either gender), but it's not a net gain financially if the spouse doesn't work. It's not a guaranteed net gain even in the case where both work.
This is a good misconception and undervaluing of what work means. Just because someone lacks a paycheck does not mean they do not work. Since my spouse retired we eat out half as much, we are both in better shape, we grow a non-negligible amount of our own food, have organic eggs from our own chickens, etc etc. our weekends are no longer packed with house work, small and medium sized home improvement projects happen at cost without paying someone else.
We have a fanancial planner and have gone through multi excersizes tracking our spending. The end result is the work my spouse does saves around $50k a year in expenditure alone, not to mention the physical and mental health improvements.
Replace "work" with "work for a paycheck". Obviously there is a lot of work to be done at the house (though not every stay-at-home spouse does this), and I don't think I really implied otherwise. The context of "work" was pretty clear.
I'll be honest, though, I think your financial planner is telling you what you want to hear. $50k reduction in expenses is huge, especially given that you didn't even mention childcare. You essentially listed food, cleaning, and labor for small home projects. And you only reduced your eating out by 50%. I'd be interested in seeing the numbers because I can't imagine how you're saving the equivalent of a ~$70k salary every year by cleaning your own house, doing your own small home projects (Is your wife really hanging drywall during the day while you're at work? If you're doing these home projects on nights/weekends, you're double counting.), and cutting your eating out budget by 50%. Do you eat at Michelin star restaurants multiple times per week?
A high percent end in divorce, sure, but it's not like you're playing a slot machine. If you and your partner are committed you can more than likely beat the odds.
This is incredibly cynical. I'm pretty happy to work to support people that I love. It might be easier in some ways to be single, but it's not a "no win situation."
Correct, there's relatively easy ways to de-risk things. My wife and I dated for 3.5 years and lived together for 2 before we got married. We are in a high income bracket, and both of us thought quite a bit about the person we wanted to married, and made sure we had good conflict resolution skills, respect for each other. We agreed on kids, religion , money and sex (make sure you agree on these or you are going to have a bad time).
Chances of our marriage ending are very low according to the statistics. People always view marriage as this binary thing where you are either being completely and utterly scientific about things, or you are just being naive and jumping in. I love/d my wife deeply when we got married, but I was also aware of her flaws and my own. If you don't have any empathy or like living your life for yourself, don't get married (and probably don't date), it won't end well for you.
Its a bad contract, but it gets infinitely better and a lot less consequential if you are rich before marriage and spent five minutes on financial planning.
Your assets will only be taken from you if they were earned during the marriage. So for anybody that wanted to work on something, like a house, any time between now and the next 30 years, then yeah marriage with the non-negligible probability of divorce will destroy the equity you dumped into it, no matter what proportion you and your spouse contributed.
If you already had properties, even income producing ones, they can go in a trust before hand, and you don't even have to worry about the stigma of a "pre-nup", and nothing of consequence will be split from you in a divorce.
Then you have the flexibility to actually enjoy the marriage, make any number of conditions to actually use the money or support a family or make grand children set, and if it falls apart, the financial things you worked for are still in place and hopefully A LOT more valuable.
A trust can also help keep alimony and child support payments restricted to amounts that even the bread winner would find reasonable.
This article talks about how marriage is declining amongst the poor, and staying steady amongst the privileged. It makes a few assumptions about why such as "women don't want men that can't provide", while my analysis has been devoid of gender. All around, it looks like education around how bad the default contract is has taken hold, even amongst the poor and uneducated, who previously had been greatly skewing the marriage and divorce rates.
It depends on how you approach marriage, I suppose. I see people getting married after dating someone for only a year or maybe two. That's completely insane to me. My wife and I lived together for about seven years before deciding to finally get married. Our strategy was simple: don't marry someone you're going to divorce. We felt that by living together for so long and knowing each other so well, we were more sure we were making the right decision.
Not necessarily true. I think that's an outdated, albeit mainstream, approach to marriage.
It should be more like forming an LLC wherein you make a partnership agreement. Called a prenuptial agreement in the US, I assume it's more popular amongst the wealthy.
I'd want a solid contract wherein there would be no alimony, separate finances, and rational child support meaning no, you don't get X percentage of my income, you get 50% of the actual cost of raising the children.
Should be much easier this way. Say the wife contributes 35% of the mortgage payment on a monthly basis, 35% of the home is hers in a divorce.
If she stays home to watch the kids, you "pay" her a portion of your salary to account for this.
Maybe we can crowd source some niche accounting software to make this trivial.
I'm pretty sure not getting married is pretty popular with professional women too. Turns out they also have a career they care about. Who would've thought of women as humans, right?
Not sure what you mean. Considering there's slightly more males than females in the US, staying single must necessarily be an even smaller "minority position" for males.
> The number of women who don't want to get married and have children is tiny. How could it be popular?
You do realize the vast majority of marriages happen between men and women, and if only a "tiny minority" of women didn't want to get married, then by necessity only a "tiny minority" of men wouldn't be married?
So either the article is overstating the phenomenon (by saying it's incredibly popular) or a similar amount of men and women must be choosing not to get married.
> Is that really necessary?
The OP was making the argument that "men choose not to get married because reasons." Seems like they never bothered to consider there's a significant amount of professional women that are not interested in getting married until later in life. There's been a lot of thinly veiled (and sometimes pretty blatant) misogyny around HN of late, that's why I made the joke about them probably having something do with it.
> The OP was making the argument that "men choose not to get married because reasons." Seems like they never bothered to consider there's a significant amount of professional women that are not interested in getting married until later in life. There's been a lot of thinly veiled (and sometimes pretty blatant) misogyny around HN of late, that's why I made the joke about them probably having something do with it.
Are they required to mention a woman's perspective in every instance where they mentions a man's perspective to not be a woman hater?
All the Hacker News comments seem to think the Marriage is going down because its not a good deal for high net worth me. This might be true, but was not the point of the story at all.
Marriage is declining among the middle/lower classes. Its women who don't want to marry a man who doesn't have a job that are causing the rate to change.
This does reinforce the cynical point, that in marriage men are only there to supply funds, but the rich men who are opting out are not doing it at a high enough rate to matter.
From 1960 to 2011, the percentage of married women who earn more than their husbands went up from 6% to 24%. Among the demographic of people choosing whether or not to get married it's much higher--women in their 20s out earn men their age.
It would be paradoxical if marriage rates were declining because men don't want to commit to supporting a wife and family even as the amount of money women bring into the family unit is increasing. The correlation might even suggest the opposite: women do not see the need to get married because they no longer need men to support them.
(Also, even including the older generations, very little alimony is paid. Americans pay about $10 billion in alimony, almost all by men. But there are about 25 million divorced men in the country, resulting about $33 per month in alimony on average.)
If you do not wan[t] children there is no point in getting married.
I'd argue that a marriage and children shouldn't be lumped together be default. You can raise children perfectly well without being (legally or common law) married.
That depends on your definition of win. From an evolutionary point of view, winning is maximizing your number of offspring who also go on to reproduce.
This point of view has interesting implications for gender specific mating strategies, since women can only conceive every 1-4 years and men can impregnate every 3 days.
"As marriage has declined, though, childbearing has not, which means that more children are living in families without two parents and the resources they bring."
Er, no, it doesn't mean that at all. I mean, I 100% support anyone doing the ridiculously hard job of raising a kid all by themselves, but just because Justin Wolfers and Betsey Stevenson aren't married it doesn't mean they aren't committed to each other and their children.
Anyway, maybe the truth is: people don't have to get married, and it's expensive to do so. I don't think there's any great mystery here.
> ...just because Justin Wolfers and Betsey Stevenson aren't married it doesn't mean they aren't committed to each other and their children.
Sure, but marriage is literally a commitment to each other, current offspring, and future offspring. Theoretically a couple could enter an "anuptual agreement", but that's a rare occurrence if it happens at all.
A vaguely defined agreement can work fine, sure. But specifically defined and specifically enforced agreements have their merits.
To quote Alec Baldwin's character, Ellerby, from The Departed:
"Marriage is an important part of getting ahead; lets people know you're not a homo. Married guy seems more stable. People see the ring, they think 'at least somebody can stand the son of a bitch'. Ladies see the ring, they know immediately you must have some cash or your cock must work."
A touch on the homophobic and misogynistic side, but it seems relevant.
Or just making assumptions about how well single women get on in life, which is, in turn, an assumption about how well women do in the workforce.
If a woman's best life strategy is to get married so she doesn't have to take in laundry or become a shopgirl or take some similar low-pay/low-status job, marriage becomes seen as something the man is roped into, because men can (presumably) do just fine for themselves on their own, and, perhaps, are better off financially without "The Little Woman" to support.
Dual-income households destroy that pretty well, but notice how universal such thinking was in the pop culture of the 1940s and 1950s.
It's one more example of how all social effects are interrelated: It's hard to be sex-positive if the common STDs are effectively incurable, or require chemotherapy (vide mercury treatment for syphilis) to even attempt to cure. It's impossible to have same-sex marriage if your legal system has coverture, which means a marriage is a union of the husband and wife into the legal personality of the husband. It's impossible to take a modern view of marriage as something which can be put off if fully one half of the population depends on it to have a good life.
As the article implies and also is said in comments, a lot of additional burden were placed on men in marriage. That could easily lead for many marriage to become "toxic assets" - i.e. you would be better without one.
The recent trend has been the opposite: https://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/06/marriage-is-fo.... Since 1970, marriage rates for men at the top of the income distribution have dropped less than 10%. For men in the bottom quartile, it has dropped 35%.
Just seeming more stable is enough to increase trust from others (like many others signals, like a salesperson/bank employee is usually clean and well-dressed)
I wonder if this is also due to the high cost of the actual marriage ceremony. A (cheap) engagement ring can cost over $1000, and can easily jump to $5-10K. Then a traditional ceremony can easily be over $10K, with no upper bound on how expensive it is. This was the cause of me no longer being with an ex, they were already in debt $80k from school, but still wanted a ceremony that could have easily cost $40K. I had no debt, and was unwilling go into that sort of debt for a ceremony.
I think a lot of people see that as well, and realize they simply cannot go into that sort of debt for a wedding ceremony.
EDIT: My point was more if that is expected of someone from their family/significant other, that would certainly be major factor in not wanting to get married. Wedding ceremonies can certainly be done affordably, and I think it is smart to do that.
Lots of people do it at City Hall and it usually costs about $50. Throw a nice dinner in for a few of your closest friends / family and you're talking about a decent wedding for a few hundred bucks. No need to go crazy.
I completely agree. My point was more if that is expected of someone from their family/significant other, that would certainly be major factor in not wanting to get married.
Perhaps those are the weddings we focus on and we forget all the cheap ones? I've known quite a few people (myself included) who did it for a few hundred quid (turned out Tuesdays were cheaper so we did it then at town hall).
Of course, it's cheaper if no family come. Remember, all those gifts they give you are a social debt for which they will want to collect.
> Remember, all those gifts they give you are a social debt for which they will want to collect.
I feel that is a bit of a sweeping statement. I certainly don't expect anything back for the gifts I've bought for friends and family for weddings, I would be shocked if I were a unique case.
I know people who say they felt guilty about getting wedding gifts and whatnot. They said it felt like they were forcing their friends to buy them things... which I guess is what it is.
If someone gets you a gift, and then invites you to their own wedding a year later, some non-insignificant percentage of the population will be offended if you don't get _them_ a gift.
Of course, gifts are terrible if you just don't really want more stuff in your life (I'm happy to take a pint...), and a massive exercise in value destruction, but that's beside the whole social indebtedness bit of it.
This is an arbitrary and invented baseline. The actually baseline for a wedding is much closer to $0. My wife and I spent $60 for the license and paperwork, and we splurged about $500 for two plain, gold bands. I wonder what the correlation is for money spent on a wedding and divorce? I know I have my hunch of what it is.
EDIT: Saw your clarification. I totally agree. It is sort of a toxic expectation that can impact the marriage or someone's desire to get married, in my opinion.
You're highly biased because those are the weddings you see. The average wedding cost is a very small fraction of these numbers. I know a number of people who could afford to throw large weddings but just had a ceremony in their backyards instead.
Sorry, I wasn't clear in my comment. My point was more if that is expected of someone from their family/significant other, that would certainly be major factor in not wanting to get married. Wedding ceremonies can certainly be done affordably, and I think it is smart to do that.
The social pressure there is off the chart. People don't have a wedding ceremony for themselves it feels like, they have it for everyone else.
When we got married, people tried to pressure us. "You have to have a big ceremony so you can invite X, Y, Z and their kid and their parent and their cousin and blah blah blah".
We put our foot down. We did it for ourselves. We had <10 people over, it happened at a high end resort where we had plans for US (and told people they could do whatever the f* they wanted). Including hotel, plane tickets, the rings (while we did have the diamond ring, most of the cost went into the metal. Yanno, the thing that cannot easily be produced in a lab without a particle accelerator), and the clothes, ran us $11-12k (and maybe its because I wasn't always this privileged, but even that much felt absurdly expensive to me). That's even though we're quite privileged and could have easily spent 10-20x time if we wanted.
We just choose not to. People around us were pissed. Whatever.
> they were already in debt $80k from school, but still wanted a ceremony that could have easily cost $40K
In fairness, "working class" people are usually not asking for $40k wedding ceremonies (or carrying $80k in student loan debt). This sounds like a valid reason for you to not want to marry your Ex, but I don't think this is a significant contributing factor for most working-class people, who don't generally plan absurdly lavish ceremonies.
As a countepoint, my fiancée’s sister and her husband have been married over 10 years and spent less than $1000 on the whole thing. A marriage certificate in my town costs $100. You can still get married on the cheap.
Why on earth would should I dedicate my life to some loser that wants to marry me? I probably make more than him anyway so unless he's 6'2'' athletic and makes enough for me to stop working there's no point.
> “Women don’t want to take a risk on somebody who’s not going to be able to provide anything,”
That's such a fucked up sexist thought. It says woman are in control of marriage, what men want is irrelevant. And that the role of men is provider. Men belong at work and women belong in the kitchen, is that it?
If both parties' consent is necessary to get married (which, you know, I hope it is), then either can veto it.
If both parties need to provide in order to maintain a decent standard of living (which is the reality of America today), then either party can look at the other and say, "This person is not providing anything" and exercise their right to veto.
If women are more stably employed than men, on average, which is again the reality of lower-income areas, then it is women who will be dominantly in the part of the person judging and vetoing, without any sexism (except, I suppose, possibly on the part of the employers who make lower-income men less stably employed, though I don't think that sexism is the causal factor there).
Yup. There are definite physical[1] and psychological[2] differences between the sexes that lead to different mating strategies[3]. We can bemoan the inequalities that exist with that structure, but it doesn't change the fact that men and women are different in many ways.
Article's full of that. Mostly it's about how all these now-unemployed and uneducated men aren't worth marrying. Which makes all the posts in this thread about how it's caused by men not wanting to marry women because it's too risky kinda funny. Article's all about too few men being marriage material.
They end on a hilariously useless and misguided piece of advice that wouldn't be out of place in The Onion's version of this article:
> Mr. Wilcox suggests a bigger emphasis in high schools and pop culture on what’s known as the success sequence: degree, job, marriage, baby. “The idea is that if people follow that sequence, their odds of landing in poverty are much lower,” he said.
I like that the advice is nearly indistinguishable from "be born into a family where you'll be socialized to follow this pattern and provided resources to help follow it and to help get you back on track if things go awry, and golly, you probably won't be poor!"
He's not actually wrong. I just think leaving the word "sex" out of the description misstates the actual problem. One could start following that pattern, get pregnant in college, drop out, and be slightly better off than having a baby in high school (since you check the "some college" option on the application instead of "some high school").
If the problem is education and socialization, shouldn't the philanthropic classes be educating teens more about the statistics involved in getting pregnant and poverty rates? It seems like we're too busy not judging (which is an admirable instinct) to be explicit in our culture about the relationship between sexual activity, poverty, family structure, and pregnancy. We spend tons of energy on all sorts of techniques to level playing fields and give kids a leg up, but fail to broach this subject. If we think kids are mature enough to decide to be sexually active, we should make sure they're educated enough as well.
I don't know what sex education classes you had, but the ones I had (public high school, late 1970s in the deep South) definitely mentioned the impact that early childbearing had on education and lifetime income.
The ones I experienced were heavy on science and light on statistics and social science. Also, I was speaking more broadly than just what was covered in health class. We have smoking ads and drunk driving ads, but don't care to publicize hard facts about other lifestyle decisions.
Most people I talk to assume that marriage is a boon for taxes. It is not. Our current tax policy can penalize both low-income and high-income earners.
I don't buy the authors assertions at all. Who thinks being married is a privilege in the United States? We went through the last 10-15years liberating ourselves from marriage and now somehow it's being viewed as a privilege? It's like saying male/female parenting is privilege. It's not.
Can HN stay politically neutral, please? Otherwise in two weeks every post will be about Trump, or how only whites can be racist, etc. Kill the cancer before it spreads.
I find a lot of the conclusions drawn in the article unscientific, and they don't really jive with my experience. From what I've seen, totally anecdotally, being more successful and being married are symptoms of being a more stable individual. I don't know many people in good jobs or with careers that aren't in some sort of relationship, and many of those I know who can't maintain a relationship also can't maintain a job.
The only exception to that rule that I've found is black women. I don't know many black women in stable, long term relationships, regardless of their career success. The reasons for that are more social than economic.
Wow, this hasn't been up very long and I think the discussion here could already use some more empathy. Looking at marriage as an institution is maybe not the best way to approach the issues that people are going to try and bring up in this sort of discussion. How about this recent piece from The Atlantic, "Love in the Time of Individualism"?
It seems two-pronged, to me. And people are gonna feel aggrieved, probably rightly to some degree, no matter which side they wind up on. For women, men are frustratingly even LESS likely to commit and stick around for any length of time these days:
“It’s not that love is dead, but the sexual incentives for men to sacrifice and commit have largely dissolved, spelling a more confusing and circuitous path to commitment and marriage than earlier eras.”
And for men, the numbers are simply massively against you and you're facing a huge time investment simply to meet one single person who probably won't even like you that much - why would you bother?:
"Popular dating apps put women in the position of gatekeeping, whether deliberately or not. It is a truth universally acknowledged that a single man in possession of a smartphone will swipe right on basically everyone. This forces women to be choosier about who they say yes to. Even if they also swipe with abandon, they end up with more matches to sort through—yet more gatekeeping."
So tl;dr, we're all (not) screwed. Of course, these sorts of pieces tend to focus on traditional heterosexual relationships, so this all might dissolve (maybe into similar or totally different issues) with LGBTQ relationships; I don't pretend to know.
Well, for one thing, getting married was something for everyone, including the poor. In Meg Keane's A Practical Wedding, there's a discussion about what weddings were like in the beginning of the 20th century. It turns out that what we consider a "normal" wedding was once the wedding only rich people could afford.
Back then, a wedding happened at church or city hall, and there was a simple stand-up reception at home. The Tappet Brothers warned to beware, "The Wedding Industrial Complex." A lot of the "traditions" around weddings are manufactured with the express purpose of getting more money out of you.
This reminds me of a discussion I had with a VP at my company about what happened to going out to the ball game. It used to be something democratizing, something even the poor could afford. Now, everything is jacked up in price, starting with the ticket, and the amount one would spend to take a family out could count as a major purchase. The same thing happened to the movies. I think capitalism is the best system we've come up with so far, but someone needs to realize that everyone needs an outlet, or else people will reject the system.
How incredibly frustrating: The correlation between marriage and the general wellbeing of a middle class income is well-known. It leads folks like Ben Shapiro and Larry Elder to say, "if you want to be middle class, 1. don't have kids outside of marriage, and 2. keep some kind of full time job." Makes perfect sense to me. However, the leftist NYT, reading the same correlation, instead comes to the conclusion of, "Oh look, now those rotten rich people have even taken MARRIAGE away from the poor people!"
If that ain't fake news, what is?
131 comments
[ 3.0 ms ] story [ 227 ms ] threadEverything else is irrelevant imo.
If you do not wand children there is no point in getting married.
1. https://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/heart-the-matter/201704...
If people could accurately judge character they wouldn't be getting divorced.
Nobody enters a relationship thinking their partner will cheat yet it happens all the time.
https://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/meet-catch-and-keep/201...
1: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/marriage-divorce.htm
In particular, since fewer people are getting married than used to (the whole point of the article), this is overstating the divorce rate.
College graduates have a divorce rate closer to 25%
https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2013/article/marriage-and-divor...
http://www.apa.org/topics/divorce/
There's also a growing body of research on practices and habits of healthy satisfying marriages. Raw average divorce rates don't really capture what's possible with forethought and discipline.
The rates are high, and it's worth considering how many marriages should be divorced but instead forcibly stay unhappy for things like traditional or religious reasons.
>find yourself working your entire life to support your wife
You do know that lots of women have careers now right? You can arguably do quite well as a team pooling financial resources and saving for retirement. It also makes you more resilient to changes in employment.
>If you do not wand children there is no point in getting married.
What if you just want to engage in a mutually meaningful tradition?
Why would someone work if they can divorce, keep the kids, and get paid forever?
Other states aren't quite as bad, but they're still bad:
http://tomjameslaw.com/blog/what-judges-really-think-about-f...
A study conducted in 2004 found that although the tender years doctrine had been abolished some time ago, a majority of Indiana family court judges still supported it and decided cases coming before them consistently with it.2 A survey of judges in Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi and Tennessee found a clear preference among judges for maternal custody in general.
Even in jurisdictions which have 50/50 custody as the default, judges still overwhelmingly favor one side over the other. i.e. judicial prejudice is well known, wide-spread, in defiance of the law, and ongoing.
See Florida again. Action groups have successfully fought against equal custody by default, because saying "we're for equality" means "fight against equality", apparently.
Because unless your ex is very wealthy AND your alimony increases over time to keep up with inflation, alimony tends to not adequately support a middle class lifestyle by itself.
Because women tend to outlive men and tend to marry men who are older than them (average: about four years). When the ex dies, you will be penniless if you didn't also work.
Because as the kids grow up, if you don't have goals, interests and earned income of your own, your life can wind up very empty.
I'm a divorced single mom (with adult special needs kids who still live with me) who gets alimony. These are some of my reasons for working to build an income of my own.
Why not work? After some time in divorce (immediately perhaps) you are supposed, as an adult, to support for yourself.
Especially considering you're going to send children into their own lives by 50, and retirement is only coming at 65. You definitely look forward for 15 years of work even if you are absolutely devoted to raising kids.
> if you don't have goals, interests and earned income of your own
But we can only put the very latter in alimony. Can't put goals there.
But we can only put the very latter in alimony. Can't put goals there.
If you got married and started a family because raising a family was a goal, alimony is related to that. Women have historically been provided for by husbands. For women, marriage has historically been a viable alternative to getting a job.
It isn't like buying a lottery ticket. Being a wife and mom involves a great deal of work. Raising kids well is a goal. Once they are raised, women need to find other things to do.
This seems to be lost on a great many men. Even women seem to often not see it. But it is a reality.
I hope you know that women were also historically accompanied by dowry? Just the woman herself, with her raising a family, was not considered sufficient offering to match the groom.
If you hope to find a husband that would provide you towards the end of your life, you should (a) choose very carefully, and (b) have solid understanding of your own contribution. Otherwise, once your husband decides he doesn't want to spend the rest of life with you, it falls apart.
There's no doubt why alimony should be paid to support underage children. There's no reason why alimony should be paid to support an adult, a healthy woman of working age.
B) I spent two decades supporting my husband's career. When we divorced, he still had a well paid job and twenty years work experience. I was starting over from scratch and was "lucky" to get a better-than-minimum-wage job to start.
It aggravates me that the world as a whole acts like having kids and raising them is only a financial cost to men. The fact that women give birth and then take more time off for family responsibilities helps suppress the incomes of most women. Then people don't act like this is a real cost to them.
Furthermore, if you just don't want children at all, there are several viable solutions:
1) Remain celibate
2) Get a vasectomy
3) Have only homosexual sex
A lot of men seem to desire sex with women, who can then have their entire life derailed due to an unexpected pregnancy, even if they use birth control, which is not 100% reliable. And then they act like women are just overentitled and lazy for wanting compensation for the very real cost to themselves.
I'm a woman. I like sex with men. I have been celibate for more than 12 years for medical reasons. The difficulty involved in finding a man who is not just cavalierly willing to ruin my life for his convenience and then walk away makes me wonder if I will ever get laid again. That whole "sleeping with me will destroy your entire future" vibe is a distinct turn off for me.
In most jurisdictions, child support is more than the cost of raising a child. In Canada, equalizing incomes was the goal of the latest round of child support guidelines, not "support for the child".
For a US reference, see http://www.divorcecorp.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/The-Ec...
> I spent two decades supporting my husband's career. When we divorced, he still had a well paid job and twenty years work experience. I was starting over from scratch and was "lucky" to get a better-than-minimum-wage job to start.
And you should get compensated for that. The question is really how much, and how long.
> It aggravates me that the world as a whole acts like having kids and raising them is only a financial cost to men.
In some sense, it is. See research on the wage gap going back to the 1960's. Never-married childless women earn about the same as never-married childless men.
Once people get married and have kids, men take on additional work to pay for their kids. Women take on less work to take care of their kids.
This means men have higher "out of pocket" costs than women do. But women pay the "opportunity cost" of raising kids. Hence alimony.
> if you just don't want children at all, there are several viable solutions:
None of those are truly viable. They're necessary conditions to not having kids. But not sufficient.
In practice, a women can name any man as the father if she wants. No paternity test is necessary in most jurisdictions, and such tests are illegal in parts of Europe! In some states, if the father is notified of such a child and doesn't contest it within 30 days, he's determined to be the father, and has no right to fight it after that.
See any number of cases where men are paying for kids they didn't even know existed, who DNA proves aren't theirs.
The guy doesn't even have to have sex with her. If your girlfriend's room-mate sneaks into the room at night, grabs the used condom, and impregnates herself, well, as the man, you pay for 18 years. No choice, or you go to jail.
> That whole "sleeping with me will destroy your entire future" vibe is a distinct turn off for me.
As it is for men. The reality is that women hold essentially all control over reproduction. Women can choose to get pregnant, and can force any man to pay for their choices, for the next 18 years. At the threat of jail, losing jobs, passport, drivers license, etc.
It is entirely rational to be wary of such side-effects.
The point here is that while your choices have cost you, men don't have some magical happy land of money, cigars, whisky, and bro-hugs. There are costs and benefits to the choices made by both sexes.
Women take on more work too, it is just not paid work. Mothers, whether they have a paid job or not, tend to be chronically short of sleep. Full time moms spend about 60 hours per week on household chores. Working moms spend about 40 hours per week.
I am aware that there are two sides to this story and men have their own concerns. But, the open hostility towards women you are displaying is something I felt a need to give a little pushback to. This is an overwhelmingly male forum. Such comments are often wildly upvoted and cheered on. It does not help bridge the gap. It just deepens the "war of the sexes."
But, I should probably disengage. Your pattern of comments here looks pretty toxic to me. Probably no good will come of engaging you further.
Well, yes. I did say "take care of their kids".
As for paid vs unpaid work, see:: http://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?queryid=54757
In most western countries, men and women do roughly the same amount of total work. For men, more paid than unpaid. For women, the other way around.
So again, just focussing on "women have it bad" misses a big part of the picture.
> I am aware that there are two sides to this story and men have their own concerns
Apparently not.
> But, the open hostility towards women you are displaying ...
is a self-serving lie.
> Your pattern of comments here looks pretty toxic to me
I acknowledge your position, agree that you deserve alimony, express caution that showing one side of the picture isn't a good approach, and show how the choices men and women make each have their pros and cons.
You show one side of the story, and express shock and outrage that someone dare bring up the other side.
And then you call me hostile and toxic?
Please, that's just pathetic.
Well, yes. I did say "take care of their kids".
This is what you originally said:
Once people get married and have kids, men take on additional work to pay for their kids. Women take on less work to take care of their kids.
You did not say that women do less paid work. You said they take on less work. This framing implicitly suggests that women's work isn't really work. This seems to be a common societal default assumption and that deeply held belief helps drive the feminization of poverty because the mental model is that women's work isn't real work and doesn't really deserve compensation.
The rest of your comment is simply gratuitously ugly, so I am done here.
I also did not say that MEN do more paid work.
Somehow, you didn't make that insinuation. You only made one towards women, and it was negative.
In poker, this is known as a "tell".
Any rational person would make the assumption that I was talking about paid work in both cases. Yet your conclusion was that I was saying something nefarious about women, while ignoring that the same logic would also apply to men.
The problem is that your position is female-centric. You see any discussion of mens issues as hostile and toxic. You demand that any discussion of womens issues cannot question basic assumptions. You take calm, even-handed comments as hating women.
It must be scary to live in such a hate-filled world.
> Once people get married and have kids, men take on additional work to pay for their kids.
You now claim:
> I also did not say that MEN do more paid work.
???
Pointing out that such interpretations are twisted is redundant.
Yes, I know they're twisted. That was the point FFS.
I'll also note you don't seem to have a problem with her twisted interpretation of things. Which is the hypocrisy I was trying to point out.
I mean honestly... read this quote:
Once people get married and have kids, men take on additional work to pay for their kids. Women take on less work to take care of their kids.
and try to explain how any rational person would conclude I was somehow nefariously assuming that women were not doing paid work.
This is a weasel right here. You claim you did something, but never specify what.
Indeed, successful women are not lining for men who will "support their careers" for a chunk of income.
I want children and I have, with a responsible woman who is a self-sufficient person herself. That's what makes marriage work. Not the good intentions, but objective and subjective value of spouses to each other.
Your comment comes awfully close to a personal attack. Given that you have a successful two career couple arrangement, I fail to comprehend the hostility. Your ability to make it work in no way negates the very real challenges involved in establishing a two career couple and also having children. Most people find that having one spouse with a serious career and one spouse who may work, but whose career takes a back seat to family needs, is simply much more viable.
I also have special needs kids and other personal burdens that complicated the situation. Not everyone has a situation that makes a two career couple a viable option. I wanted a career. It didn't happen. I have done a lot of reading to try to figure out where my life went wrong and how to fix it. I expected to have a career. Other people expected me to have a career and make good money. Life does not always go as we expect.
In some cultures. In some cultures, the groom (or his family) paid her family a bride price, and in some cultures the groom paid her (personally, not her family) a dower. In some cultures, in fact, a combination of these existed simultaneously.
Of course, pretending that dowry alone was the dominant tradition is necessary to your argument that what the wife brought was viewed as insufficient value on its own, but it's not actually accurate.
Let's say as a family you decided that the wife would be a stay at home wife to have and support children. Then fifteen years down the line you get divorced.
The wife gave up fifteen years of career and career advancement for the family. Alimony is a damn appropriate compensation for that sacrifice, since it's likely that as you start working you're going to be getting minimum wage (and your ex husband, presumably, had those fifteen years of career advancement).
Was career a sacrifice or something that she was happy to get rid of in exchange to support?
I think I can find men who would be happy to do chores if a woman would be supporting them with high-paying job, and essentially zero women who will agree to such arrangement.
Staying at home without working is a bad decision and you certainly can't chain man over it when it doesn't work. Promising of life-time alimony, in some extreme cases for a wife who never had any children even, is just pushing women into making this bad decision.
Does not really matter what sort of words you want to call it. She still gave up her earning potential for the family. These decisions are made by two people, not one. And now, as a result of that, in divorce, they are woefully uneven going forward. Alimony is there to balance those scales. Don't like it? Don't have a stay at home family.
> I think I can find men who would be happy to do chores if a woman would be supporting them with high-paying job, and essentially zero women who will agree to such arrangement.
My friend group alone includes one planned stay at home husband, so you are quite incorrect on this point.
> Staying at home without working is a bad decision
Then don't do it.
> and you certainly can't chain man over it when it doesn't work.
Why all the concern for the man here and none for the woman? She's "chained" to lower earnings for the rest of her life as a result of this.
But they are affecting one of those people more than the other. So they should factor it in.
There should be implicit thinking "if we get separated later in life, then what?"
> Don't like it? Don't have a stay at home family.
I have no trust that alimony will only be applied to stay at home mothers, and not extended to any women with any earning capability.
And that is a trust issue right there that is damaging marriage as an institution.
Should it?
I mean, let's say we have a happy "leave it beaver" family with 2.2 kids, a white picket fence, a dad who works, and a mom who doesn't. Due to no fault in particular, they get divorced. They now have two households to maintain instead of one.
Why would both people deserve a "middle class lifestyle"? Their expenses have each gone up, and the total income hasn't changed. How can you split one "middle class lifestyle" into two, and obtain two of the same thing?
Comments like yours are essentially twisting my intent to an extreme degree. I did not expect to have people pile on and act like I am some overentitled lazy bum for explaining some of my reasons why I also work, in addition to getting alimony. Geez.
Edit: It appears you are that someone. So, which is it? Alimony is a cushy free ride? Or not?
... if she wants to maintain the same lifestyle. If she's willing to take on a lower standard of living, perhaps not.
> Comments like yours are essentially twisting my intent to an extreme degree.
That's just untrue.
> I did not expect to have people pile on and act like I am some overentitled lazy bum
I did no such thing.
> Edit: It appears you are that someone.
Nope. You're not reading my comments. I clearly said that alimony is deserved compensation.
I understand your frustration that people are taking a somewhat counter position. But the point here is to not blame you or to say you "deserve" to be poor.
The point is to have a discussion on responsibility. Why are people being compensated? How much should they be compensated? For how long should that be paid?
For me, if you're married for 2 years, and pay alimony for 50, that's abusive and wrong. Saying so shouldn't be interpreted as an attack on you personally.
Please learn to distinguish a discussion on the topic of alimony from a personal attack on you. There are absolutely not the same thing.
This is an interesting situation from the point of how economy, politics and people work:
If you protect X, you will get less X.
If you protect women in marriage by giving them more assets and custody on divorce, you make it harder for women to find a spouse. Those who already had one, benefit.
If you protect home renters by putting conditions on potential landlords, you will get better conditions for existing renters but worse conditions for new renters.
You thought you can make world better by placing conditions on other people, but it bites the actual demographics you were thought to protect.
If you give courts / child protection services a cut of the child support money, you get more divorces where the fathers are cut out of the children's lives.
If you punish men in divorces, financially ruin them ("imputed income"), and don't let them see their kids, you get a massive increase in male suicide after a divorce.
This one I don't understand how anybody could ever think a good idea.
> If you punish men in divorces,...a massive increase in male suicide
That's external locus ("avoid"). What should be a real concern for ladies that it would greatly dry up their pool of potential mates.
Sure. But is it really worse for society to have single mothers on welfare than to have mothers trapped in toxic marriages for financial reasons?
Surely this is an empirical question and not a theoretical one. Unfortunately it's hard to measure fairly. Let me offer a clearly flawed first pass.
If you take, just as a reference point, pre 1960 US society and post 1980 US society as exemplars of "lots of toxic marriage" and "lots of welfare mothers", then I think one would be hard pressed to show empirical evidence that the latter is doing any better than the former. Certainly by conventional measures of success, one could argue that the latter is worse (though there are so many confounding variables that I personally don't feel comfortable having an opinion).
My point here is that I don't think we can presume the welfare-single-mother outcome to be, a priori, obviously better than the old toxic-marriage status quo, when measured by society-level outcomes. There is ample evidence that both cases are clearly inferior to stable, non-toxic, two-parent households. So the question is an empirical one of the lesser of two evils, and I don't think we have a clean way to answer it so far.
There's an emotional reason to get married, formalizing a life long commitment. That's a big one for a lot of folks (citation: my marriage).
But lets say you're not a feelings type of person, and those arguments fall on deaf ears. If you live in a community property state marriage makes inheriting assets ridiculously easy and avoids all sorts of taxes. (otherwise you're down the road of setting up trusts which will incur lawyer and trust management fees).
Taxes are another one - if there's an income disparity. Filing jointly with a single income does wonders for what you don't have to pay.
Your spouse can also not be compelled to testify against you, which depending on how paranoid you want to be might make you sleep better at night.
To say there's no point is missing the point though - as much as marriage is enshrined in legal rights which are unavailable to those who do not marry, the institution of marriage is centuries old and exists in many religions. There's an emotional reason to do so, and that's point enough.
Filing singly with a single income does even more assuming you have no dependents. Marrying someone with no income definitely doesn't result in a net increase in free cash flow. Taxes don't offset the cost of supporting an adult.
To be clear, I'm not opposed to marriage nor to the concept of a stay-at-home spouse (of either gender), but it's not a net gain financially if the spouse doesn't work. It's not a guaranteed net gain even in the case where both work.
We have a fanancial planner and have gone through multi excersizes tracking our spending. The end result is the work my spouse does saves around $50k a year in expenditure alone, not to mention the physical and mental health improvements.
I think we often forget what work means.
I'll be honest, though, I think your financial planner is telling you what you want to hear. $50k reduction in expenses is huge, especially given that you didn't even mention childcare. You essentially listed food, cleaning, and labor for small home projects. And you only reduced your eating out by 50%. I'd be interested in seeing the numbers because I can't imagine how you're saving the equivalent of a ~$70k salary every year by cleaning your own house, doing your own small home projects (Is your wife really hanging drywall during the day while you're at work? If you're doing these home projects on nights/weekends, you're double counting.), and cutting your eating out budget by 50%. Do you eat at Michelin star restaurants multiple times per week?
This is incredibly cynical. I'm pretty happy to work to support people that I love. It might be easier in some ways to be single, but it's not a "no win situation."
Chances of our marriage ending are very low according to the statistics. People always view marriage as this binary thing where you are either being completely and utterly scientific about things, or you are just being naive and jumping in. I love/d my wife deeply when we got married, but I was also aware of her flaws and my own. If you don't have any empathy or like living your life for yourself, don't get married (and probably don't date), it won't end well for you.
Your assets will only be taken from you if they were earned during the marriage. So for anybody that wanted to work on something, like a house, any time between now and the next 30 years, then yeah marriage with the non-negligible probability of divorce will destroy the equity you dumped into it, no matter what proportion you and your spouse contributed.
If you already had properties, even income producing ones, they can go in a trust before hand, and you don't even have to worry about the stigma of a "pre-nup", and nothing of consequence will be split from you in a divorce.
Then you have the flexibility to actually enjoy the marriage, make any number of conditions to actually use the money or support a family or make grand children set, and if it falls apart, the financial things you worked for are still in place and hopefully A LOT more valuable.
A trust can also help keep alimony and child support payments restricted to amounts that even the bread winner would find reasonable.
This article talks about how marriage is declining amongst the poor, and staying steady amongst the privileged. It makes a few assumptions about why such as "women don't want men that can't provide", while my analysis has been devoid of gender. All around, it looks like education around how bad the default contract is has taken hold, even amongst the poor and uneducated, who previously had been greatly skewing the marriage and divorce rates.
If you are both between 30 & 34, and it's the first marriage for both, the divorce rate is 10%. Between 25 & 29 it's 14%.
If you both have college degrees, it drops even further.
https://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/meet-catch-and-keep/201...
It should be more like forming an LLC wherein you make a partnership agreement. Called a prenuptial agreement in the US, I assume it's more popular amongst the wealthy.
I'd want a solid contract wherein there would be no alimony, separate finances, and rational child support meaning no, you don't get X percentage of my income, you get 50% of the actual cost of raising the children.
Should be much easier this way. Say the wife contributes 35% of the mortgage payment on a monthly basis, 35% of the home is hers in a divorce.
If she stays home to watch the kids, you "pay" her a portion of your salary to account for this.
Maybe we can crowd source some niche accounting software to make this trivial.
> Who would've thought of women as humans, right?
Is that really necessary?
You do realize the vast majority of marriages happen between men and women, and if only a "tiny minority" of women didn't want to get married, then by necessity only a "tiny minority" of men wouldn't be married?
So either the article is overstating the phenomenon (by saying it's incredibly popular) or a similar amount of men and women must be choosing not to get married.
> Is that really necessary?
The OP was making the argument that "men choose not to get married because reasons." Seems like they never bothered to consider there's a significant amount of professional women that are not interested in getting married until later in life. There's been a lot of thinly veiled (and sometimes pretty blatant) misogyny around HN of late, that's why I made the joke about them probably having something do with it.
Are they required to mention a woman's perspective in every instance where they mentions a man's perspective to not be a woman hater?
All the Hacker News comments seem to think the Marriage is going down because its not a good deal for high net worth me. This might be true, but was not the point of the story at all.
Marriage is declining among the middle/lower classes. Its women who don't want to marry a man who doesn't have a job that are causing the rate to change.
This does reinforce the cynical point, that in marriage men are only there to supply funds, but the rich men who are opting out are not doing it at a high enough rate to matter.
It would be paradoxical if marriage rates were declining because men don't want to commit to supporting a wife and family even as the amount of money women bring into the family unit is increasing. The correlation might even suggest the opposite: women do not see the need to get married because they no longer need men to support them.
(Also, even including the older generations, very little alimony is paid. Americans pay about $10 billion in alimony, almost all by men. But there are about 25 million divorced men in the country, resulting about $33 per month in alimony on average.)
I'd argue that a marriage and children shouldn't be lumped together be default. You can raise children perfectly well without being (legally or common law) married.
This point of view has interesting implications for gender specific mating strategies, since women can only conceive every 1-4 years and men can impregnate every 3 days.
Er, no, it doesn't mean that at all. I mean, I 100% support anyone doing the ridiculously hard job of raising a kid all by themselves, but just because Justin Wolfers and Betsey Stevenson aren't married it doesn't mean they aren't committed to each other and their children.
Anyway, maybe the truth is: people don't have to get married, and it's expensive to do so. I don't think there's any great mystery here.
From the article:
"The decline in marriage was not offset by more couples living together."
Sure, but marriage is literally a commitment to each other, current offspring, and future offspring. Theoretically a couple could enter an "anuptual agreement", but that's a rare occurrence if it happens at all.
A vaguely defined agreement can work fine, sure. But specifically defined and specifically enforced agreements have their merits.
"Marriage is an important part of getting ahead; lets people know you're not a homo. Married guy seems more stable. People see the ring, they think 'at least somebody can stand the son of a bitch'. Ladies see the ring, they know immediately you must have some cash or your cock must work."
A touch on the homophobic and misogynistic side, but it seems relevant.
Why? It sounds like you're making some weird assumptions about sex-positivity, child-rearing, or finances.
If a woman's best life strategy is to get married so she doesn't have to take in laundry or become a shopgirl or take some similar low-pay/low-status job, marriage becomes seen as something the man is roped into, because men can (presumably) do just fine for themselves on their own, and, perhaps, are better off financially without "The Little Woman" to support.
Dual-income households destroy that pretty well, but notice how universal such thinking was in the pop culture of the 1940s and 1950s.
It's one more example of how all social effects are interrelated: It's hard to be sex-positive if the common STDs are effectively incurable, or require chemotherapy (vide mercury treatment for syphilis) to even attempt to cure. It's impossible to have same-sex marriage if your legal system has coverture, which means a marriage is a union of the husband and wife into the legal personality of the husband. It's impossible to take a modern view of marriage as something which can be put off if fully one half of the population depends on it to have a good life.
Huh? Syphilis has been curable with antibiotics since penicillin. I don't think mercury is a common treatment for syphilis at this point.
Disclaimer: I am happily married.
I think a lot of people see that as well, and realize they simply cannot go into that sort of debt for a wedding ceremony.
EDIT: My point was more if that is expected of someone from their family/significant other, that would certainly be major factor in not wanting to get married. Wedding ceremonies can certainly be done affordably, and I think it is smart to do that.
Of course, it's cheaper if no family come. Remember, all those gifts they give you are a social debt for which they will want to collect.
I feel that is a bit of a sweeping statement. I certainly don't expect anything back for the gifts I've bought for friends and family for weddings, I would be shocked if I were a unique case.
Of course, gifts are terrible if you just don't really want more stuff in your life (I'm happy to take a pint...), and a massive exercise in value destruction, but that's beside the whole social indebtedness bit of it.
I'm really fun at Christmas.
EDIT: Saw your clarification. I totally agree. It is sort of a toxic expectation that can impact the marriage or someone's desire to get married, in my opinion.
When we got married, people tried to pressure us. "You have to have a big ceremony so you can invite X, Y, Z and their kid and their parent and their cousin and blah blah blah".
We put our foot down. We did it for ourselves. We had <10 people over, it happened at a high end resort where we had plans for US (and told people they could do whatever the f* they wanted). Including hotel, plane tickets, the rings (while we did have the diamond ring, most of the cost went into the metal. Yanno, the thing that cannot easily be produced in a lab without a particle accelerator), and the clothes, ran us $11-12k (and maybe its because I wasn't always this privileged, but even that much felt absurdly expensive to me). That's even though we're quite privileged and could have easily spent 10-20x time if we wanted.
We just choose not to. People around us were pissed. Whatever.
We -- that is to say, our parents -- did splash out a bit more on the reception(s), but nothing excessive.
In fairness, "working class" people are usually not asking for $40k wedding ceremonies (or carrying $80k in student loan debt). This sounds like a valid reason for you to not want to marry your Ex, but I don't think this is a significant contributing factor for most working-class people, who don't generally plan absurdly lavish ceremonies.
This probably means that she valued having a ceremony more than she valued having you.
(We are spending less than $10k on ours all in)
That's such a fucked up sexist thought. It says woman are in control of marriage, what men want is irrelevant. And that the role of men is provider. Men belong at work and women belong in the kitchen, is that it?
If both parties need to provide in order to maintain a decent standard of living (which is the reality of America today), then either party can look at the other and say, "This person is not providing anything" and exercise their right to veto.
If women are more stably employed than men, on average, which is again the reality of lower-income areas, then it is women who will be dominantly in the part of the person judging and vetoing, without any sexism (except, I suppose, possibly on the part of the employers who make lower-income men less stably employed, though I don't think that sexism is the causal factor there).
No, it's just describing the reality that it matters to women how much a man earns. See the last graph in the second section of this article:
https://theblog.okcupid.com/the-big-lies-people-tell-in-onli...
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sex_differences_in_humans
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sex_differences_in_psychology
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_mating_strategies
They end on a hilariously useless and misguided piece of advice that wouldn't be out of place in The Onion's version of this article:
> Mr. Wilcox suggests a bigger emphasis in high schools and pop culture on what’s known as the success sequence: degree, job, marriage, baby. “The idea is that if people follow that sequence, their odds of landing in poverty are much lower,” he said.
Half of all babies are accidental, regardless of marital status. If sex is in the equation before "degree" (it is), then the whole sequence is flawed.
If the problem is education and socialization, shouldn't the philanthropic classes be educating teens more about the statistics involved in getting pregnant and poverty rates? It seems like we're too busy not judging (which is an admirable instinct) to be explicit in our culture about the relationship between sexual activity, poverty, family structure, and pregnancy. We spend tons of energy on all sorts of techniques to level playing fields and give kids a leg up, but fail to broach this subject. If we think kids are mature enough to decide to be sexually active, we should make sure they're educated enough as well.
They aren't saying that. You wouldn't suggest that a man be able to force an uninterested woman to marry him, would you?
Surely we want both women and men (or whatever the genders) to have complete veto power in this, right?
(Not that you can't argue that it's a sexist reason not to want to marry someone. I don't think it is but I can see how it's debatable.)
https://taxfoundation.org/understanding-marriage-penalty-and...
The only exception to that rule that I've found is black women. I don't know many black women in stable, long term relationships, regardless of their career success. The reasons for that are more social than economic.
https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2017/09/love-in-t...
It seems two-pronged, to me. And people are gonna feel aggrieved, probably rightly to some degree, no matter which side they wind up on. For women, men are frustratingly even LESS likely to commit and stick around for any length of time these days:
“It’s not that love is dead, but the sexual incentives for men to sacrifice and commit have largely dissolved, spelling a more confusing and circuitous path to commitment and marriage than earlier eras.”
And for men, the numbers are simply massively against you and you're facing a huge time investment simply to meet one single person who probably won't even like you that much - why would you bother?:
"Popular dating apps put women in the position of gatekeeping, whether deliberately or not. It is a truth universally acknowledged that a single man in possession of a smartphone will swipe right on basically everyone. This forces women to be choosier about who they say yes to. Even if they also swipe with abandon, they end up with more matches to sort through—yet more gatekeeping."
So tl;dr, we're all (not) screwed. Of course, these sorts of pieces tend to focus on traditional heterosexual relationships, so this all might dissolve (maybe into similar or totally different issues) with LGBTQ relationships; I don't pretend to know.
http://a.co/iC1AZMU
Back then, a wedding happened at church or city hall, and there was a simple stand-up reception at home. The Tappet Brothers warned to beware, "The Wedding Industrial Complex." A lot of the "traditions" around weddings are manufactured with the express purpose of getting more money out of you.
This reminds me of a discussion I had with a VP at my company about what happened to going out to the ball game. It used to be something democratizing, something even the poor could afford. Now, everything is jacked up in price, starting with the ticket, and the amount one would spend to take a family out could count as a major purchase. The same thing happened to the movies. I think capitalism is the best system we've come up with so far, but someone needs to realize that everyone needs an outlet, or else people will reject the system.
Dramatic results.