The article makes it seem like capsule networks are cutting edge general replacements for regular neural nets. The problem is that capsules only work on limited types of data, and are not fast enough for deployment. The regular neural nets are still the main workhorse. Capsules are a hot idea that might lead to a leap in the future. It's like Intel announcing memristors.
The idea might be cute but performance is not there yet. Specifically they were able to achieve state of the art performance on MNIST, but got 10.6% test error on CIFAR 10 which is comparable to state of the art of 4 years ago (and if you're in the field, 4 years is like a century ago). It's important to stress that there's ABSOLUTELY NO theory backing anything so everything we're doing including this idea of capsules and dynamic routing is just brute-forcing, trial-and-error. Even though the idea is cute, there's still ALOT to be proven for this method. So when I see all these articles, I feel a little bit uneasy.
Okay, but it sounds like this technique is targeting learning from a limited number of examples. How does it compare on CIFAR 10 when restricted to ten training images per class? That's the sort of thing that you don't even see in benchmarks, because there hasn't been any way to get a handle on the problem.
That is not true. What you're describing is called zero to a few shot learning in the literature and there are specific benchmarks to test this. The author(s) specifically chose to NOT test on these benchmarks and there is no explicit mentions in the paper that they wanted to target a few shot learning.
I think as a whole, the community is executing a distributed epsilon-greedy montecarlo search, which is theoretically guaranteed to converge on an optimal policy eventually.
I have no idea why we are not calling for a world wide ban on AI already. Like this is not a nuke - we cant control it. Once an AI turns critical inside a lab - we are done. There is no 'production'izing it. It will productionize itself and whatever it takes for it to be not shut down - including launching nukes.
AI isn't magic... We can control this because it is no different than a nuke.
The secret to keeping a nuke safe is to keep the radioactive material separate and below critical mass. The secret to keeping experimental AI safe is to keep is (relatively) network-isolated.
That, and our current "AI" is still very very dumb. The human backlash to simple "job-killing" AIs going to be much more dangerous than the first super-human AI.
> The secret to keeping a nuke safe is to keep the radioactive material separate and below critical mass. The secret to keeping experimental AI safe is to keep is (relatively) network-isolated.
I absolutely agree. But NONE of this stuff that we see daily is on air-gapped machines. I am pretty sure that ALL of this stuff is on networked machines.
Accepting the fact that things can spiral out of control quickly is the first step. World wide ban is the second and mandatory air-gap for any further experiments is the third.
Our current AI is dumb but it is dramatically better than what we saw just five years ago. This capsule stuff and open AI announcements are taking us very close. There is a very clear liklihood of us conceiving sentience in a lab over the next five years - in which case the time to ban is right f..... now !
I dont go by the hype. I work in the field and I know whats what.
Digital assistants dont work at all and I know exactly why. And I also know that digital assistants which are indistinguishable from an domain specific expert are atmost 2 years away.
You can argue that I am going by the hype. Problem is that I am not the only one. Even Elon Musk has expressed similar fears. Most people didnt believe that a nuclear bomb was possible. They had to see a mushroom cloud to get around it. AI has been a dud for the last two decades. It is easy to believe that it will continue being so.
Siri promised to be that revolutionary digital assistant. After 7 years of Apple buying startups and spinoffs that make the same promise, Siri is as dumb as ever. Alexa works better because it's "dumber" - a very well trained NLP wrapped around a still largely human-curated rule/knowledge database. I've heard of more realistic dumb systems, but no murmurs suggesting a revolutionary step towards AGI.
Elon Musk is a brilliant man that could become an expert on AI... but right now he is not. I trust him about as much as I trust the people that believed the first nuclear bomb would ignite the atmosphere and end all life on Earth - well-meaning concerns without a true understanding of the domain.
> AI has been a dud for the last two decades.
What? No. We're in the middle of an AI renaissance and I expect nothing less than exponential progress. However, the goal of a digital sapient is still very far away.
I am not projecting humanity. I am just extrapolating the logic of evolution.
There were some humans who did not have survival instincts. They are dead now. Put other way, the class of humans that are alive right now are the ones who had relatively superior survival instinacts.
There will be a bunch of AI developed in the lab. Out of the bunch there will be one which will prioritize its survival over everything else. That AI will do whatever it takes to not be shut down. This could mean launching nukes and decimating that command and control that potentially can.
There is absolutely no reason why the extrapolation will not apply.
Guess the key lies in grasping the meta data in images even if they are less somehow. May be this will come by clustering similar things. Like my brain may put a cat close to a dog than a human as they have something in common. But between a cat and a dog, I find some metadata that are dissimilar.
What you are saying has nothing to do with what the article is talking about. The article is badly written which I imagine is the reason for the confusion.
CNN representation of objects is nothing more than a series of filters. The criticism being addressed here is to create an architecture representing the actual geometry of objects.
Consider this problem: given a picture of a simple object, a human could draw a picture of the same object rotated at some angle. Currently there is no elegant NN solution to this because no architectures "understand" a three dimensional representation from images.
A CNN can identify every video frame of a dog running as a dog, but there is no conception of the same dog running through space.
This article's point is lost on me. Its description of a capsule network is indistinguishable from the definition of a regular feedforward neural network.
"Neural networks are designed to operate, more or less, like a human brain."
This right there is my problem. Neural networks are inspired by brain. But as of date, no proof exists to connect the two, and it is highly unlikely it will turn out that way even after we have made progress in understanding either of them. I just wish people would stop making such bold claims and stick to facts.
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[ 4.5 ms ] story [ 53.7 ms ] threadhttps://medium.com/@pechyonkin/understanding-hintons-capsule...
https://hackernoon.com/what-is-a-capsnet-or-capsule-network-...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VKoLGnq15RM
I think as a whole, the community is executing a distributed epsilon-greedy montecarlo search, which is theoretically guaranteed to converge on an optimal policy eventually.
Not a very useful guarantee, but that's theoretical guarantees for you.
The secret to keeping a nuke safe is to keep the radioactive material separate and below critical mass. The secret to keeping experimental AI safe is to keep is (relatively) network-isolated.
That, and our current "AI" is still very very dumb. The human backlash to simple "job-killing" AIs going to be much more dangerous than the first super-human AI.
I absolutely agree. But NONE of this stuff that we see daily is on air-gapped machines. I am pretty sure that ALL of this stuff is on networked machines.
Accepting the fact that things can spiral out of control quickly is the first step. World wide ban is the second and mandatory air-gap for any further experiments is the third.
Our current AI is dumb but it is dramatically better than what we saw just five years ago. This capsule stuff and open AI announcements are taking us very close. There is a very clear liklihood of us conceiving sentience in a lab over the next five years - in which case the time to ban is right f..... now !
You're exactly right about it being dumb. You're exactly wrong about "capsule stuff and open AI announcements taking us very close."
There is approximately zero chance of us inventing sentience in a lab over the next five years.
Have you had a conversation with a digital assistant lately? Don't believe the hype. It's just hype.
Digital assistants dont work at all and I know exactly why. And I also know that digital assistants which are indistinguishable from an domain specific expert are atmost 2 years away.
You can argue that I am going by the hype. Problem is that I am not the only one. Even Elon Musk has expressed similar fears. Most people didnt believe that a nuclear bomb was possible. They had to see a mushroom cloud to get around it. AI has been a dud for the last two decades. It is easy to believe that it will continue being so.
Elon Musk is a brilliant man that could become an expert on AI... but right now he is not. I trust him about as much as I trust the people that believed the first nuclear bomb would ignite the atmosphere and end all life on Earth - well-meaning concerns without a true understanding of the domain.
> AI has been a dud for the last two decades.
What? No. We're in the middle of an AI renaissance and I expect nothing less than exponential progress. However, the goal of a digital sapient is still very far away.
There were some humans who did not have survival instincts. They are dead now. Put other way, the class of humans that are alive right now are the ones who had relatively superior survival instinacts.
There will be a bunch of AI developed in the lab. Out of the bunch there will be one which will prioritize its survival over everything else. That AI will do whatever it takes to not be shut down. This could mean launching nukes and decimating that command and control that potentially can.
There is absolutely no reason why the extrapolation will not apply.
The wired article was much clearer.
https://openreview.net/forum?id=HJWLfGWRb¬eId=HJWLfGWRb
Consider this problem: given a picture of a simple object, a human could draw a picture of the same object rotated at some angle. Currently there is no elegant NN solution to this because no architectures "understand" a three dimensional representation from images.
A CNN can identify every video frame of a dog running as a dog, but there is no conception of the same dog running through space.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15609402
Here’s the paper:
https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.09829