Launch HN: Promise (YC W18) – Cost-effective, more humane alternative to jail
We are Phaedra and Diana of Promise (http://joinpromise.com/). We provide a cost-effective, more humane alternative to incarceration.
We work for government agencies to monitor and support individuals who would otherwise be in jail or who are under some form of community supervision.
There are almost 2.3 million people behind bars in the US and another 4.5+ million people on probation or parole. Almost 450,000 people are in jails pretrial, meaning they have not been convicted of the crime for which they were arrested. The majority of these individuals remain in custody because they cannot afford to pay for their release. This is costly for governments and devastating for the individuals who remain in jail who can lose their job, housing, children and more while incarcerated. Believe it or not, many of these people never even end up being charged with or convicted of a crime.
Phaedra had a background in politics (she ran the South Bay Labor Council) and Diana had a background in law (as a criminal defense attorney and co-founder of the Ella Baker Center). We then worked together at a non-profit (Green For All), in the music industry (for the musician Prince) and in technology (at Honor). We decided to start Promise because we saw a huge need for innovation in the criminal justice system and wanted to use what we had learned in tech to build something that actually helps change lives for the better and can scale.
Here's how Promise works: We work in partnership with governments who release people from jail on condition that they work with Promise as an alternative to being in custody. We also provide support to people under community supervision. We use an intake assessment to create an individualized plan that is based on the risks and needs of each participant. We provide each participant with an app and a wearable tracking device (only when required). Our goal is to always use the least restrictive means necessary and to use a step-up, step-down approach: that is, we reduce restrictions when possible and increase only when needed. While there are still restrictions on freedom, participants will no longer be in custody so that they can return to their jobs, families, and communities until their case is resolved or they no longer have any required supervision.
We then monitor and support participants to help them succeed with their plans. We provide an intelligent calendar of their obligations (court appearances, drug testing, substance abuse treatment, etc.) and adaptive reminders to help them meet these obligations. Research and experience have shown that simple intervention like this does work: for example, it makes people more likely to get to court. We also provide referrals and support so participants can receive services that may help (job training/placement, housing, counseling, etc.). We provide reports to courts or other involved parties as needed. We also allow the participants to easily view their upcoming obligations, overall plan and progress on their plan.
We believe this approach can support participants' needs, keep communities safer, and provide a cost-effective and more humane alternative to incarceration in the US. Our business model is simple: we charge governments a fee. Incarceration is so expensive that we can make a profit and still save governments—and ultimately tax payers—money.
We would love to get feedback on Promise and in particular to hear about your ideas and experiences in this area, whether working in government agencies, selling to such agencies or as individuals who have been impacted by this system. There is a huge amount of work to be done here!
Thank you!!
421 comments
[ 2.8 ms ] story [ 226 ms ] threadDo you have a plan for how to help addicts and people with mental illness? Or is that outside your scope?
https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/inmates-heroin_us_56966...
Naloxone/Narcan is for immediate treatment of an overdose
Could you speak more to this? There are serious concerns with software being used to evaluate the risk of criminal behavior. Are these being considered?
https://www.propublica.org/article/machine-bias-risk-assessm...
What do you think are the top one or two obstacles that you face in on the way to achieving your goal?
Has Promise been used in a real-world setting yet? I'd love to see the results.
What does it mean for the person to "work with Promise?" Are they performing a service or labor, or simply a subject of the administration protocols mentioned later? In other words, Promise offloads the management of the individual while they await trial from local gov't to a third party?
The shoplifters, often the poorest of the poor, had to pay hundreds of dollars for this “leniency”, often without knowing that the police wouldn’t even have come for the low-value crime.
Don’t do that.
https://mentalhealth.openpathcollective.org/shoplifting/
http://offendersolutions.com/theft_class.htm
https://qz.com/1076348/a-shoplifting-solution-billed-as-enli...
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/crime/2015/0...
"pay $320, or we call the cops"
Promise should "do that" if they can improve the process relative to the status quo.
Anyhow... I wish you the very best and I hope you can prove me wrong!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Private_probation
Find this "Promise extends the scale and effectiveness of community supervision by balancing human touch and technology to improve long-term outcomes." http://joinpromise.com/#how I can't find anything like that on Wikipedia. Can you help?
Are participants required to have a smartphone to install the app to be a part of the release program?
I have a hard time seeing how you can align the incentives of a business like this with greater societal interests.
(municipalities simply won't write contracts with big rewards tied to incarceration or recidivism rates)
Their association with Y Combinator doesn't help with that impression. How many other venture funded start ups exist to provide a societal benefit while making only a modest return? Isn't the goal a big exit?
They might not be venture funded yet, but they aren't at Y Combinator for the coffee, right? I know this sounds super cynical, so please tell me why I'm wrong. Why is this a good thing?
YC has a non-profits program. https://www.ycombinator.com/nonprofits/
I don't see any indication that Promise is going non-profit, though.
This is amazingly uninformed. Let’s stop pretending private businesses were born yesterday and just consult history. Privatization of human rights is despicable and this is not a lesson that needs to be learned again. Do you know why we never had private prisons before? They incentivize corruption of the most vulnerable fabric of our society. No excuse.
No, but we should learn from those mistakes, right?
When a company makes money from prisoners and more prisoners mean more money, then the incentives are a problem.
You mean, before 1852?
The private prison industry routinely lobbies for higher fines & longer sentences because it is to their benefit to have more people go to prison. Promise appears to have a similar incentive.
Eg, Promise is only paid if the prisoner doesn't go back to prison?
I wouldn't be real surprised if their initial targets are places that have large, established probation systems, offering the tech as an aid to government employed probation officers. Easier than taking on legal responsibility for the probationers.
It's easy to keep getting confused around if we're dealing with accused criminals or convicted felons, as both are in jail. Sounds like Promise is focusing on the accused.
This would perhaps ascribe a number for level of difficulty, and an initial estimate for how hard the case is.
Keep in mind that a convicted offender on the streets may suffer from a potential for revenge and retaliation, and thus is possibly safer in jail, however horrible jail may be. This would augment a recidivism predictor further, if you cannot isolate them from their victims, should victims be bitter about the perception of your service lacking punitive action.
The smartphone question is important. I wonder if an inexpensive device custom built can replace it.
I think that's splitting a lot of hairs. If working with Promise is a condition of release, it's possible (and likely) that Promise now has the power to send you to prison if they deem you non-compliant with your release terms.
We have pretty clear examples of how for-profit criminal justice can go wrong: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kids_for_cash_scandal
You could just have created a non-profit and reinvest all money - way easier to scale. Values mean shit to the shareholders who invested in you :) They care about returns. I can only image what kind of monsters are born when blindly hunting for profit. Actually, I don't have to imagine, I just need to look at the current for-profit rehabilitation industry. Not saying you're the same, you're probably not but you will at some point yield decision power to the for-profit interest of the company. And let's assume this picks up and becomes immensely successful. What's stopping the company from hiring lobbyists to support legislation which keeps people 'in the system'?
Ref: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public-benefit_corporation
For background:
A Public Benefit Corporation makes it explicit legally for corporations to act morally, ethically and responsibly in regard to society, the environment, the natural world and the world at large.
The Certificate of Incorporation must list the company's altruistic goals and overall mission statement. However, in every other manner, the structure of a Public Benefit Corporation can mirror the structure of any type of Corporation.
Why couldn't the same thing be done to solve this problem, especially given your concern for eliminating perverse incentives in the justice system?
If it works it looks like it could have a positive impact. How ever I have a few concerns/questions
1. How will the incentives be aligned? More people standing trial = larger potential market.
2. This is a false dichotomy. “Not having to deal with foundations”
There are other models that do not require you to take donor funding. Take a look at the model by Muhammad Yunus[0] or writing by Porter on shared value [1]. For e.g one could generate cash flow for expenses without having investors looking for a return.
3. While a profit motive can be useful to encourage innovation and competitiveness, this can have negative consequences. For e.g in this case what is good for business is not necessarily good for society.(more suspects)
4. Would you consider this a fundamental solution?
5. What outcome are you after?
6. Is there a way to prevent people even Being suspected of a crime? Preventing them committing a crime?
7. Using leverage points from Donella Meadows [2] Where does this fall?
8. Have you looked at systems theory? Very useful for really complex social challenges like the one you are trying to tackle acumen has a free course. [3].
8. Is this solution a short term one with a more long term(fundamental) plan for the future?
[0] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grameen_Bank
[1] https://hbr.org/2011/01/the-big-idea-creating-shared-value
[2] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twelve_leverage_points
[3] https://www.plusacumen.org/courses/systems-practice
If you were recruiting new staff positions for this startup I don't see how the job functions for the persons interacting with the "clients" are much different from a parole officer. Just with more "web 2.0" technology, IoT tech for ankle tracking bracelets, etc.
(I completely agree, and sare the same concerns - Especially given the precedent of US incarceration and private entity involvement, which many would consider slavery. However...)
On a long term scale, I believe that Capitalism will become more trustworthy and aligned with demand than government.
Or at the very least, Capitalism will 'pave the road', and hand off to a socialist system upon maturity and consensus.
While the free market is (in its pure form) money driven (ignoring externalities), we appear to be in a new age of enlightenment. I believe that this is bringing about a new form of capitalism which provides a platform for ethics.
In essence, this boils down to "Government is too slow to legislate and bring about change, and doesn't accurately reflect views. The people are tired of waiting and not being listened to, and will turn to the free market for the supply they want".
If Promise and other companies are able to hold themselves accountable to their customers, governing bodies (eventually), but most importantly the population at large (contributing in a meritocratic way), I can see this a) working very well, b) far more quickly than any other system, and c) innovating and maturing components ready for adoption by government.
The alternative could be waiting 50 years or an entire lifetime to get the change people want. Plan B to me would be governments launching online platforms for democratic (and later, technocratic/meritocratic) referendum systems on a local/small level, then with trust delegating decisions more and more to citizens.
Hard to justify all the above succinctly, so I presume this will not be convincing to all. Would love to hear Promise's opinions on this.
Isn't that inherently what bounty hunters do?
For example!
It’s understandable that you have no good answer to this, because the answer is clear. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16631983
Cavalier indeed https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16632252
Ugh https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16631560
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16631723
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16632770
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16632329
It just goes on.
It’s a bit too clear that you’ve identified a place where yet another middleman can profit without solving a problem directly, or rendering services, as a for-profit company in a space which should not be producing profits.
Will you only be working with suspects pre-conviction, or will you also work with the convicted as part of a sentence that would otherwise involve time in prison or county jail?
My experience is that smaller jurisdictions try to wrangle monetary fees and levies using the threat of jail-time and the disruption it causes to a person's life so you may be facing some perverse incentives from some of the audience of 'customers' you're trying to reach in smaller jurisdictions.
But what you're doing is great and I applaud yCombinator taking a chance on such a vital and excellent venture!
You need to identify the least riskiest of cases, identify numbers, what the current scenario and the projected outcome would look like. It does not need to be a dramatic change. At this point, what you need to be seeking is a mindset change from just jailing folks.
What is your business incentive to reduce crime rate? How reduction of the crime rate is making your business more profitable?
I think it's a bit of a stretch to compare online dating to an industry which, quite literally, destroys peoples lives and often unfairly targets disadvantaged groups.
If you have ideological views that people > profit (which I suspect you do, and I completely agree with), then that can be an incentive. But I think it is important to recognize that people and the systems they build can be corrupted over time. What happens when people that don't have the same ideology take control? The profit incentive won't change, but the ideological one may.
I wasn't the one that asked the question initially, but it's possible that's what he/she was getting at.
Could it also be applied to halfway house use cases? I assume you will require the user to carry a smartphone and it will have geofencing, in and out. I also assume you will be using face recognition to semi-randomly authenticate the user.
This is the first YC HN post I have ever opened, I think this is great idea, esp because most of these businesses are started by unethical leaders motivated purely by profit.
All it takes is one repeat offender hurting someone while on your program. Cue the pitchforks...
How is this different from parole or a halfway house?
Bail is to be set based on the seriousness of the charges and the likelihood that the accused will skip out on further proceedings.
If your clients don't have enough assets to 'make bail', either the charges are very serious or they have made very poor financial decisions (maybe both). Either makes them a flight risk and there is a reason they'll stay in custody.
Your program will essentially take in the worst of the accused and try to get them to the court on-time. I don't see anything in your well-meaning plans that gives proper motivation or incentive for them to follow through and not just skip the county/state/country.
To work, your candidate selection will have to be very vigorous and my guess is there isn't a large enough user base to make all the red tape of working with local and state governments worth it.