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> It’s not the business capital of western Canada—that’s Calgary

Can someone explain what this means? It seems like Vancouver is most definitely the de facto business capital of Western Canada but I base this solely on my observations as a tourist from Seattle and friendship with Chinese real estate broker.

The article is a bit weird in general, I would say both Calgary and Vancouver have "businesses" from financial to tech companies. But Calgary usually has a lot more energy and mining companies headquartered there so I guess in general it would have more corporations? Basically none of these cities are near the scale of Toronto.

Never thought of Calgary as the de facto business capital of Western Canada (it could also be Edmonton) but could be because I'm mainly in Vancouver.

Western Canada is most known for it's energy sector and most energy companies are based out of Calgary, AB.
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Vancouver has many branch offices but few headquarters of large businesses.
A few of my business school classmates fell in love with Vancouver and wanted to move their after graduation.

They found out pretty quickly there aren’t as many jobs in Vancouver as one would expect. As others have mentioned, lots of regional office, but not many headquarters.

You’d have a much easier time finding a job in Calgary or Toronto than Vancouver.

It’s a big, well known city, but has fewer professional jobs than you’d expect.

Almost every big software company in Seattle has a largish office in Vancouver because of the challenge of getting visas to the us.
"lots of regional office, but not many headquarters."

You could say this about Canada in it's entirety.

True! I was speaking more around Canadian companies.

I believe Calgary has the highest number of corporate HQs in Canada.

Toronto has the highest number of HQs.

Calgary may have a higher number per capita - or - they may 'technically' have more HQs because of the vast number of shell companies that exist for complex resource extraction events. Kind of like Delaware in the US.

People generally don't build weallth in Vancouver. Cost of living is too high and salaries too low. Outside of real estate and film production, there dosen't seem to be sufficient scale / diveristy of business activity in Vancouver to make it a place Canadians relocate to work/start companies. Hence it's not a business center even though it's a big city.

My feeling is Vancouver is more like Monaco then New York City. Already rich people move to Vancouver.

Alberta has an Oil based economy, they are wealthy.

BC doesn't have much of a real industrial basis in anything.

tl;dr Vancouver is undergoing wrenching changes due to unfathomable amounts of Chinese money. This is inflamed by British Columbia's surprisingly lax approach to financial transparency in foreign investment and liberal immigration laws. It has priced locals right out of the market, though recent changes in tax structure are cooling down real estate investment.

Article doesn't do a good job of covering "little thirds", mistresses who are settled there with an apartment and allowance, or of unaccompanied "college students" who spend way more time vlogging than studying. Anecdotally a shitload of people following those descriptions have been shipped in, an influx that has slowed drastically with real estate taxes meant to punish this behavior.

The city of Richmond just south of Vancouver is mentioned but its import is arguably understated by the article. It's a fascinating place, and Richomond's "night market" (sort of a combination fair midway/flea market) is an electric experience soon to be imported to Silicon Valley, where it will be a huge hit.

Westerners generally speaking have absolutely no clue about the importance of a stable currency, which implies a stable political system, a nation that respects rule of law, and a notion of property rights. This leaves only a few countries, namely the US, the UK, and a couple of Western European nations. Wealthy Chinese absolutely do, and they are scared out of their minds that the tyrannical regime there will separate them from their assets. These people remember the Cultural Revolution. So the West is the first resort for relatively safe storage of their often questionably-gotten cash. (More adventurous/volatile places to invest, like Africa, are riskier but often have a higher upside.)

Because I apparently hate good karma I will observe that we used to love going to Vancouver, especially the weeklong jazz festival, but we don't any longer. Like Seattle, the fun places to walk have largely been overrun by street people who use hard drugs and leave needles around. None appear to be Asian.

> the UK

Probably not for much longer, given the rather interesting https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unexplained_wealth_order

Wow, so much for "innocent until proven guilty".
I imagine it's like most money laundering laws where the circumstantial evidence that prompted the investigation is enough to convict if you don't provide a verifiable explanation.
How exactly does that destabilize the currency or eliminate the right to private property? All countries that tax wealth or income reserve the right to investigate how much wealth and/or income you have and ask questions about where it came from, and reserve the right to punish you for not cooperating.

They also reserve the right to investigate crimes and compel cooperation with investigation.

From the primary source linked by that Wikipedia article:

A UWO requires a person who is reasonably suspected of involvement in, or of being connected to a person involved in, serious crime to explain the nature and extent of their interest in particular property, and to explain how the property was obtained, where there are reasonable grounds to suspect that the respondent’s known lawfully obtained income would be insufficient to allow the respondent to obtain the property.

So if you're a known associate of, say, a mobster, and your income tax documents say you made £100k last year, but you suddenly had £2m cash to spend on a choice piece of real estate with no record of you taking out a mortgage or other loans, yeah, they're going to want you to explain where that money came from, and the law gives them the option to compel you to do so. This is how the rule of law is actually supposed to work!

Has this happened before? How can we learn more about this phenomenon by looking at history? To me this is an entirely new phenomenon.
Well you've got cities like Miami and Providence which were built with cocaine money, cities like Havana and pretty much all of the Netherlands that were built with money from the slave trade, etc. Not really new. And then you've got places like New York where a large percentage of the money coming in has always been from illicit or semi-licit activities, but never so much that it was the overwhelming majority of the economy at any given point.
I just assumed that the tales of “Chinese money” in Vancouver was part exaggeration and part fear of change and foreigners.

Real estate everywhere is booming in nice cities.

However, I may have been hasty in that assessment because this single number — the first estimate I have seen — is mind numbingly large:

“of their country’s capital controls. Since mid-2014, capital flight from China may have totaled as much as $800 billion, according to estimates from the Institute of International Finance.”

Those tales are not exaggerated. The $800 billion feels very right, and possibly even conservative, to me. Source of anecdata: many investments in China, Asian family, frequent visitor to Vancouver. Few high net worth Chinese nationals expect to be able to keep their money from the government in the long haul.

Racism/fear of change aren't factors. Locals would fear "these people" moving in and jacking up real estate prices if they were German, Swedish, or Danish. The problems are quite practical: as with older property owners in Silicon Valley, locals love seeing their own house values skyrocket, but no one thinks about the fact that once they sell they won't be able to remain.

> but no one thinks about the fact that once they sell they won't be able to remain

Wouldn't it be hard to stay anyway once real estate price go up for the sheer fact that rich people are coming and so prices for everything will go up anyway ? Is my simplistic reasoning flawed ?

I've asked this question to a person I know who is an academic in economics (not a world-renowned economist, just someone who does economics at university), for what it's worth, and what she told me is--in my paraphrased understanding--that if a market goes up "naturally," or by the usual forces people regularly expect (usually around jobs), then wages tend to also go up so housing and other goods remain mostly affordable relative to local wages being paid.

The issue in cities and areas like Vancouver and Seattle and San Francisco--ones that aren't just hubs for high-paying technology jobs but also ones where overseas capital has made inrushes--is that wages haven't been able to keep up with the outside capital. So property of all types (it's just that most people only directly care about residential property, but commercial property also goes up and that increases the cost of other things in the local economy) rises in price while wages don't, so a major disconnect starts to happen.

This is a two-paragraph summary of a nearly three-hour conversation we had, so there's a lot of nuance I've left out. Zoning, development, density, and all of the rest around property use also affect prices and, according to her, probably more than inbound foreign money, but the added money has an influence.

To add on to that when there's a big inrush of capital into real estate usually there's people coming into the area along with that money which brings money into other areas of the economy. If the properties are just being bought as offshore cash dumps and investments there isn't the same influx of money into other areas of the economy.
Non-local residential property should be taxed at a significantly higher rate than owner occupied or locally owned properties. That would both solve the problem and provide much needed revenue.
How would you enforce that when people have "trusted" relatives all the world?
1. All real estate held by non-human persons ( i.e. corporations, LLC) gets taxed at a higher rate.

2. All real estate used for income production - i.e. AirBnB for significant percentage of the year

3. An owner can declare a single piece of property their primary residence, all others are taxed as commercial property.

4. etc....

Vancouver needs to define "residents" and tax property that is not being held by non-residents.

There a number floated at 57 million for 2018? value of Vancouver property purchased by local students with zero income - so this only tallied the ones not clever enough to use shell companies or lawyers as described as the other money laundering techniques to purchase homes, though the casino cash to chips to cash might be most brazen. I think just like the UK hsd recently done - stricter anti money laundering rules, income transparency are needed.
So at Vancouver prices, something like 20 houses? That seems like a number that could easily hit just with students from super wealthy families who legitimately live there. I don't see any reason to believe that involves money laundering.
Anecdotally it has become increasingly hard for me to function in my Brooklyn neighborhood, despite having paper wealth (equity) from being here early and a decent job.

Absolutely every little thing is so expensive. I can’t even really afford to go to the bar for a few pints.

So, yes, I agree with you completely. Even if real estate prices aren’t an issue, the influx of price insensitive residents can make an area infeasible to live in.

The opposite happened to me. I rented in a central location with high food prices, bought a house move west and prices are much lower but take-out choices are now limited.
The prices for other staples won't rise that much with an increase in rich people. After housing, the next major expenses for many people will be transportation and food. Rich people aren't going to raise the cost of a bus ticket or gas. There will be fancy restaurants and high end grocery stores that cater to wealthier customers but a typical store can't just double the price of a loaf of bread without losing many of their customers.
No, there is definitely a racist element here. Just read the comments on a lot of the local articles or letters published in papers. Lots of racism. People are too eager to point their fingers at asian foreigners but the situation is more complicated than that. The majority of real estate is not owned by foreigners. It’s not like Canadians have decided not to buy real estate, they are still fully involved in this market.
Please, have you ever been to Vancouver or Seattle? Anyone who has ever been to any of these cities would never hold those opinions. Huge vacant houses with no one living in them, an entire sub section of the real estate industry that speaks mandarin but won't bother talking to any of the locals, schools that cater entirely to wealthy Chinese. The speculation tax is going to raise hundreds of millions of dollars, precisely because of mass foreign home ownership.

You'd have to be living under a rock to miss the signs of the times. Willfully ignorant, perhaps.

I have lived in Vancouver most of my life and did live in Seattle for three years. I watch and read a lot of the local news. What you are describing sounds like a 30000 ft view of Vancouver as portrayed by many news articles.
Newspaper articles and people that live in the immediate neighborhoods report the same thing - entire neighborhoods empty with the yards growing weeds. Condo towers with dark windows all night every night, year round.
"entire neighborhoods empty with the yards growing weeds."

Maybe they can actually get some cash by growing weed there, now that it's legal and all. ;)

Where in Vancouver? My wife's parents live in Richmond and three houses in their block are vacant most of the year. I have a relative that lives near Oak and King Ed. and it's similar there too.
> Lots of racism.

What definition are you using for the word "racism"?

> The majority of real estate is not owned by foreigners.

There have been no published statistics on the amount of foreign owned real estate. Feel free to post evidence otherwise, and I will respond by pointing out it is not statistics on foreign ownership (or, you could just read the report yourself and discover the same thing).

Marginal demand matters greatly in real estate pricing. Reducing all analysis to "spot the racist" is a fun game to play to score points with your buddies, but not so useful for solving problems in the real world.
Racism and fear of change are always factors. They may not be the main factors here.
$800 billion isn’t that large for a country like China. China’s cumulative GDP over the past 4 years was something like 40 trillion. This amounts to 2 percent of that.

The US inflow of capital is much higher in both absolute and relative terms.

Now that BC is cracking down on the money laundering in Vancouver, the exact same story is playing out in Toronto and to a smaller extent, Montreal. Canadian cities have been hard hit generally speaking, because it's a lot harder to do this kind of shady stuff in American cities. Also Canadian dollar is cheap.
It does happen in American cities too. Many of the very expensive apartments on Billionaires Row were bought by rich foreigners trying to park or launder money.
Not true (sadly). NYC, Miami, SF, etc. have a big problem with shell corporations using real estate to do money laundering.
The interesting thing to me is - do the Chinese politicians and business leaders see the money laundering as a problem that needs fixing. Or is it those same people that are doing it? IE are all powerful Chinese people doing this or a minority.
I think it's probably both. Many of them are doing it, and they have to make filial piety towards the government rules. Since China has been trying to kidnap ex-pats who complain about the government, it's becoming harder and harder for people to have the guts to come forward.
Chinese have invested money abroad for centuries. Its actually something that serves China well. You can find Chinese enclaves from Singapore to Lagos.
Once again, I think it absolutely is racism and bigotry when they talk about Chinese money.

Canada knows the solution to this "problem": higher property taxes for everyone. No, not just got absent owners. Use this money to fund infrastructure spending. Help increase supply of housing. The Chinese don't have unlimited monies. They can't print the US dollar...

Of course, home owners don't want to pay higher taxes. They don't want property process to fall. A bunch of hypocrites if you ask me.

There's a big difference between a housing market that's exploding because of a lot of people moving to the area and one that's being largely propped up by outside purchases that don't get occupied. In a normal housing boom when a property is bought someone comes along with the money and spends money in other areas which boost the rest of the economy too. In the case of properties bought for investment/capital control dodging it all flows into a single area with less of the add on benefits.
It has nothing to do with racism. If this were a flood of German or British money distorting the market it would be the same.
But if they're buying houses and paying property taxes but not using any of the services their taxes pay for, aren't they doing us a service?

It sounds like property taxes are unsustainably low the more I hear arguments against the Chinese money.

Disclaimer: I'm not of Chinese descent and I'm definitely poor so none of this benefits me. I'm just trying to understand what people are saying because it all sounds like a bunch of dog whistling where people say something but mean something else. I just want us to be open and honest with our bigotry if it is bigotry or greed if it is greed.

The expense of housing comes from the people outside buying up all the open supply at high prices, so it's hard to afford a house. Also the supply of houses is lower, making apartments even more dear. Next many of the houses aren't lived in, so local area businesses don't have enough customers and close (grocery, clothing, restaurants).
> Also the supply of houses is lower, making apartments even more dear.

Please don't buy into this nonsense. Your sibling comment brought in some actual numbers: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18269257

BC has relatively low property taxes for the area. But you can't raise them now or all the current homeowners would revolt as their taxes goes to unsustainable levels. Nearby seattle's king county has a tax rate of %1, texas has rates around %2, while saanich is %0.4. The UK doesn't even really have property taxes, just council taxes which charge flat rates for things like garbage collection AFAIK. http://www.saanich.ca/assets/Community/Documents/Property~Ta...

The property taxes are too low to be sustainable. Progress always causes some problem for some people but we must go forward with it. Raise property taxes for everyone.

> Also the supply of houses is lower, making apartments even more dear. Next many of the houses aren't lived in, so local area businesses don't have enough customers and close (grocery, clothing, restaurants).

What kind of hot garbage is this? Isn't the whole point of a market economy that we don't have to centrally manage grocery stores (and indeed that it asserts we cannot do this efficiently in the long run)?

Of course, planning has its place. Higher taxes in itself does not solve any problem. We still need to plan city expansion and not just build new suburbs because "ZOMG the Chinese will pay for it". That's not what I am saying but I am saying that existing home owners have been benefiting in a manner that I consider unsustainable and we should thank the Chinese elite for exposing our double standards.

We live in a democracy and as such we have an obligation to think beyond our immediate short term benefit when we vote. Vote for sustainable tax structures. I am not saying property taxes should be 50% of appraisal value. In fact, I think we should aggressively cut salaries and wages in the public sector (especially at the top). But lets not delude ourselves by pretending we can think "smart". The extra money raised from increased property taxes (which should damper home prices somewhat already) must be spent in a very disciplined and planned way to increase capacity (which will further decrease home prices). I think we can do it but we can only do it if we want to do it. There will be a little pain but there's simply no way around it I can think of that leaves our moral fiber not too frayed.

I think it's basic economics that when there is increasing demand and an increasing shortage, that the cost of the decreasing housing will go up in price, and I think that is what happened in Vancouver. This article suggests that it's very likely decreasing house prices has been pushing apartment prices down, because housing is more available b/c it's cheaper [1] "he's willing to suggest that declining property sales could be leading many real estate speculators to rent their properties out rather than put them up for sale." which is connected to more houses available and thus less demand on apartment. That seems pretty clear.

I'm not pushing an agenda for the government to intervene, I'm just reporting on the basic economics - demand went up, supply went down (more people moving there, and also houses bought but not on the market) led to higher prices.

Also, on my second point about neighborhoods losing their commercial infrastructure because of empty houses, isn't that obvious too? I honestly feel like you were replying to another post and accidentally used mine.

[1] https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/are-vancouve...

Any outside money that buys property and does not live in the area prevents people who live and work there from having homes.

This means the locals eventually leave, businesses close and the community suffers.

A huge issue in Vancouver is the lack of rental units. When a significant amount of property is owned - but not lived in this creates significant community debt.

Same thing happened to my community - we became a vacation community for a neighboring province, which in turn has left homes empty on my street for 9 months of the year.

Local business cannot survive when a large bulk of the residents only live and buy 3 months out of the year.

I saw my home price triple - sounds great, but so did all the homes that I would want to purchase (after selling mine for a huge profit) - so to me, zero benefit.

My friends who did have them means to buy 10 years ago...now they will never be able to purchase.

Nor can they find a home to rent as there is a huge rental void.

BC has relatively low property taxes for the area. But you can't raise them now or all the current homeowners would revolt as their taxes goes to unsustainable levels. Nearby seattle's king county has a tax rate of %1, texas has rates around %2, while saanich is %0.4. The UK doesn't even really have property taxes, just council taxes which charge flat rates for things like garbage collection AFAIK.

http://www.saanich.ca/assets/Community/Documents/Property~Ta...

You also cannot just say 'recently foreign buyers pay a higher tax continuously' due to various obvious discrimination and unfairness issues as these people convert into citizens. So you get stuff like the unoccupied residence tax (which should triple IMO to make it exceed texas's property tax rates) and the foreign purchase tax.

I think fears of racism is what partly delayed a lot action that has happened recently. This has been an issue 10-15 years in the making at the least.

My goal would be to eventually raise property taxes to make them negative investments unless rented out on an active basis, and divert those new taxes into something like the singaporean HBD flats.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_housing_in_Singapore

Because having unused capacity requires you to build out more (more skyscrapers, suburbs further away) which makes everything further apart.
Its not an issue normal Canadians should care about. The Chinese are buying up the higher end of the property market after all not social housing. Rich Canadians or rich Chinese, who cares which really?

Instead looking at the long term the 21st century is Asian not American. Canada is handed an opportunity.

On the east coast and in Europe a lot of it is Russian and Middle Eastern oil money. Vancouver just happens to be convenient for Chines buyers.
Can’t discount racism here. Asians stick out more than Germans or British people.
The article kept saying that the reason Vancouver is such a target for Chinese wealth is because of how welcoming the city is. Even the conclusion was that still with the tax increase, there is no nicer place for rich Chinese foreigners to come too.

So it didn't seem to imply major issues of racism.

It seems to me its more of a logical stance. People can buy real estate and move to Vancouver, but it should be done in a way where the foreigner's arrival creates opportunities and a better life for the locals. All relationship has to be win/win.

Laundering money, leaving homes empty, not investing in the economy appart from real estate, these don't sound very beneficial. It seems its not even a big tax benefit due to loopholes.

Also, the measures put in place target all foreigner equally, Germans and British included.

You'll have to do more than argue the racist stance here, at least to convince me. Are there still racists in Vancouver? Yes (thoug in my own experience, a lot less then in most other western cities). Are they relevant to the topic at hand, I believe not at all.

> Laundering money, leaving homes empty, not investing in the economy appart from real estate, these don't sound very beneficial. It seems its not even a big tax benefit due to loopholes.

I already proposed a very simple solution: raise real estate taxes to sustainable levels. Use the money to cover infrastructure costs. I don't see why it is so difficult.

Remember that we're dealing with property that for most long-term residents was bought fairly inexpensively a couple decades ago, on fairly low incomes, and it's ballooned in value recently.

Real estate taxes are low as a percentage but high in terms of dollars, for those residents who live and work in the city. Incomes have not risen accordingly. For the independently wealthy, sure another few percent on a recent purchase is no problem. But for families that are already struggling to pay the huge tax (in dollar terms, not percentage, due to the rising value of their home) it would force them to sell and leave the city.

It also would get passed on to renters.

This is different than the bay area issue, where property taxes are locked down and the city is generating massive wealth due to the tech industry, floating real estate prices. Vancouver is not generating the wealth to support that kind of tax base that it needs.

> It also would get passed on to renters.

Higher taxes would force owners to either sell or rent which increases housing supply, right? Also I want to use the tax money to further increase housing supply.

If an absentee owner is forced to sell or rent, great!

If a resident is forced to sell or rent, well, they'd be either selling to a wealthier, possibly absentee owner who can afford the massive price and higher taxes, or they'd be renting a basement suite (since they're residents). Most basement suites legal to rent are already on the market, I think.

There's a good chance that this would make the problem worse, by creating vacancies that nobody can afford to occupy. If it manages to crash the market, perhaps those people would be able to move back eventually or see their taxes drop in dollar terms, but it's not clearly a good thing.

I was mostly replying to your claims of racism and bigotry.

Effectively your solution is what they're doing. Foreign home purchases is now taxed at a higher rate, and empty homes also get taxed.

Personally, I don't think that's the greatest solution, unless the taxes are turned back into income for locals, or major tax cuts for them, to a point where it balances out the artificial cost of living increase due to the foreign real estate market.

> Effectively your solution is what they're doing. Foreign home purchases is now taxed at a higher rate, and empty homes also get taxed.

That's not that I want. I want higher taxes on everyone, not just an absentee owners.

The tax money should be used to increase supply of housing and help suppress home prices.

I think most Vancouverites would prefer the home buyers would actually immigrate here and move into their purchased homes, and start being taxed Canadian income on their foreign businesses and assets, while becoming a Canadian citizen. And eventually have them integrate into our culture and values, while maintaining their cultural heritage.

Now I don't have data, but I feel this would be true. It is for me. And if so, that also would clearly demonstrate to me this isn't a racial issue.

Personally, this seems much more like a financial issue. The Vancouver locals are seeing their cost of living go up, and their income go down. That's the problem, as simple as that.

As a local, I would love this. They're mostly great people, and could contribute so much to the city as new Canadians. But by just buying property without actually living here, it causes lots of damage.

I know several children of astronaut families, with their fathers making fortunes abroad at companies like Foxconn and others. If they moved here and brought their knowledge and skills, they could create fantastic jobs and industries. Maybe someday they'll retire here.

Their kids falling in love with Vancouver and convincing them to make it a home rather than just an investment are my greatest hope for the city's future.

> Much of the money coming in has been legitimately earned, if sometimes extricated by gray-market means. But officials say that a substantial proportion is the proceeds of corruption or crime, including the illegal sale of opiates such as fentanyl.

This is how you gently and quietly wage war against a society. Sell drugs to the youth and then buy up all their property with the proceeds.

This is an awfully untrue and xenophobic narrative that the press is promoting. A lot of people not in the drug trade are buying real estate. And the illicit drug trade has been with us forever.
> the illicit drug trade has been with us forever.

Indeed. Century of Humiliation: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Century_of_humiliation

And even before westerners like my ancestors intervened in China, people were taking drugs. It was just that they punished only the lower classes. http://www.victorianweb.org/victorian/science/addiction/addi..., https://www.bl.uk/romantics-and-victorians/articles/represen....

Also don't forget Edgar Allen Poe in the US. Anyway, after the good white people of the world (/s, ie probably my ancestors in the us) decided that black people were still a real threat, we got the 1920s anti-pot laws (http://origins.osu.edu/article/illegalization-marijuana-brie...) and it continued even until Nixon tried his successful early "make harsh drug laws to hurt minorities" strategy https://www.cnn.com/2016/03/23/politics/john-ehrlichman-rich....

Since in most states felons lose the right to vote, this seems like a winning long term political strategy.
Do youth typically own property now days? Maybe things have changed since I was young but I was a renter and had few possessions in my youth.
They do eventually
No. That's why spiking asset prices hurts them. (It's great news for people who already own homes).
Canada generally exports natural resources, and not much else besides assembled cars that we don't design. (We don't have a lot of high valued exports - highlighted by the odd trading relationship Canada has with China: they buy natural resources, and we buy finished goods from them, which is the opposite of most 'wealthy v. upcoming' trading relationships. Of course China overall is wealthy but per capita it's not)

But what Canada does maybe the best in the world is 'boring, stable governance' - which is what so many people want.

If the environmentalists would have it ... and I was King ... I would carve out an area on Vancouver Island and make it basically like Singapore - an open city state, that Canada manages, but basically for expats from anywhere.

Anybody can come, keep their homeland citizenships, and live in a super above bar and stable regime. There'd be a few extra rules here and there, and they wouldn't be citizens - but they'd get what they want.

This way you avoid the massively disruptive socioeconomic issues, and you can actually possibly create industry and a new kind of financial sector, and maybe a few added taxes to boot. Win Win Win all around. All complexities aside, BC residents would protest it to death merely on environmental grounds.

So these people in Victoria #2 wouldn't be able to participate in the economy of the rest of Canada? They couldn't start corporations that could buy real estate, sell products and so on? What if they wanted to drive to Victoria #1 and go shopping?
Canada still has a lot of immigrants, if they wanted to be Canadian, they could go that route. But citizenship should be more than 'access to real estate and shopping malls'.

I'd simply make it so that residences (and real estate ownership), and maybe some other things like their financial positions (even like regular current accounts) are within the 'New Singapore' but otherwise they can go where they want and do as they please in Canada without any kind of border or whatever. And try to make a deal with US so that residents also have 'Canadian-like' access to the US, meaning visa free travel etc..

People who wanted to live in Van or Vic could apply for citizenship.

> But what Canada does maybe the best in the world is 'boring, stable governance' - which is what so many people want.

Seems like an odd basis for a highly experimental idea.

The reasons they want to go to Canada is, as you say, because it is stable. China, and other parts of the world, is the experiment you are talking about.

I forgot to never discuss things that require experiences on HN. A "special economic zone" or "special administrative area" is what is being suggested. Which is ridiculous because that is exactly what people moving to Canada are not choosing. What most people want is the inertia provided by Canadian society. That inertia is also what stops Canada from creating such projects. The Vancouver housing market isn't going to crash without hurting the Canadian economy and as long as you are a citizen you can ride it out. If you are in "district 2" not so much.
" What most people want is the inertia provided by Canadian society"

No - most wealthy people moving to Vancouver could care less about Canada really. They want a stable place to live and park their money - and a nice backup passport if things go crazy back home.

They are not economic migrants, i.e. doctors and engineers looking for jobs - they are business owners parking their families and children and money in Vancouver.

Economic migrants go to Toronto for jobs and opportunity.

"boring, stable governance" as an export industry is a good observation. I think this is true of other places too, for example in London both the top-end property market, and arguably the City, are doing exactly this.

It would be nice if they could figure out how to export this with fewer side effects. I don't quite know whether a city-state Vancouver is the right measure though. What does this solve compared to the status quo? Living in Vancouver is already unaffordable, but other places are not. Would such a setup lower the barriers for Chinese businessmen to buy a flat there very much?

" Would such a setup lower the barriers for Chinese businessmen to buy a flat there very much?"

That's not a concern :)

The issue is to provide 'stable governance' for those who need it, while protecting regular folks from massive inflation due to external factors.

Vancouver's 'regular' (ie non construction) economy is being hurt by this - why? Because nobody can afford to live there on regular salaries. Very few entities would consider opening up an office where the 'prevailing wage' cannot attract people.

Consider the 'cost' for buying property and who gains from it? The arbitrary owner. What if that 'cost' could be transferred by way of taxes, instead of property speculation?

So a 'New Singapore' with land owned by the state and leased out for long periods, and a series of taxes to make sure the surpluses are mostly derived by the state and not property speculation. Surely it'd be expensive to live there, some kind of market function. But a small area could accomodate quite a few people. 90% of these major expenses are real-estate, and I don't mean development, I mean speculation.

So this way - Canada can 'export' stable governance and protect local economies. If ex-pats want to move to Van they can get citizenship etc.. but that would slow down as it should be easier - and probably more convenient - to just move to the a new, well managed city state.

A huge financial services sector would immediately pop up and there'd be tons of jobs there for those who wanted to work in that sector. Major private wealth management funds, with assets under Canadian domain, not PRC. Safe investments, safe place for domicile etc.. Great export :)

The former Liberal government looked seriously at changing the tax code to attract financial services types from overseas. The idea was to establish BC as a “Singapore of the North”. I wish I had a citation for this - sorry.
I guess I'm dubious that you can engineer "surpluses are mostly derived by the state" while maintaining the credibility that makes an apartment in Vancouver so attractive in the first place.

Those apartments have secure title, under stable property rights, because they are under the same system as every ordinary Canadian voter's house. That's what protects them: there would be a revolt if you messed with all the ordinary voters.

Would you be as keen to buy an apartment that instead fell under some special laws which are designed to squeeze you, the foreign investor, to the benefit of the voters? I think you'd be pretty worried that next time there's a pension crisis, or an oil crisis, they'll be very tempted to squeeze you a bit harder, and then a bit harder...

I wish there were ways to exploit this export market with less side-effects. There are smaller ones, like Nestle's roaring trade in trustworthy powdered milk. But in general it seems hard.

> About 500,000 people in greater Vancouver have Chinese heritage, representing roughly 20 percent of the population, according to Canada’s latest census. The proportion is highest in Richmond, just south of Vancouver proper, which is more than 50 percent Chinese. The suburb’s main commercial drag is No. 3 Road, a boulevard lined with big-box stores and shopping centers fronted by Chinese signage. The most elaborate is the Aberdeen Centre, a curvy mall sheathed in a colorful grid of translucent glass. It was built in 1989.

> Over a lunch of steaming soup at Chef Hung Taiwanese Beef Noodle, a bustling second-floor restaurant, the mall’s developer, Thomas Fung, explains how he arrived at the idea. Fung, 67, is slim, with spiky black hair and delicate features. The son of a prominent Hong Kong financier, he arrived in Vancouver in the 1980s and did everything from running bakeries to film production. He soon grasped that the city was about to change dramatically. “I believed that in the coming 10 years, because of the 1997 issue in Hong Kong, there would be a lot of new immigrants coming over here,” Fung says. He knew they’d want the comforts of home, which led him to conceive of a shopping center that would stock the same goods as the megamalls of Hong Kong’s Causeway Bay.

This capital influx problem has been decades in the making. I'm curious: what social problems are brewing today that we won't see the effects of until 10, 20 years down the line? How do you identify these trends? In Fung's case, it seems he identified the trend correctly by living directly in the midst of it. Is it possible for an observer to find these trends as well?

The same is true for most of the West coast to a certain extent. But with liberal Canadian immigration policies and lax financial restrictions, Vancouver is an easy target.

Westerns have forgotten or do not understand how stable and safe the West is compared to most of the world. Chinese have never forgotten that they live under an authoritarian regime.

Sitting here in my (Chip Wilson owned) $2000/month one bedroom East Vancouver apartment, I'd say this article really hit close to home.

Literally.

While I support the conclusions drawn in the article, there is one important factor that wasn't emphasized - weather. People from all over Canada come here for the (relatively) mild temperatures and snow-free winters.Thus you have a market where demand already exceeds supply before even factoring in foreign ownership.

It seems many don’t realize that Vancouver is the only major Canadian city on the west coast whereas in the US you have several. In Canada there are three major cities: Vancouver, Toronto and Montreal. If you want to live on the west coast with great weather where are you going to go? Lots of migration in Canada alone.
All of BC is relatively expensive compared to the USA, with Vancouver as the epicenter.
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Is $2000/mo a lot or a little? Sorry being in SF I seriously can't tell.
It is a lot. Especially considering the tech industry salary is under $90k for a sr engineer, and a normal professional person probably makes $40k-$60k/yr
Ok got it. For a 1-bedroom in any western US metro (Seattle, SF, LA) that would be well below market.
I live in Seattle, and no it wouldn't.
Damn. I live in Poland and pay around 500USD for a comfy apartment in one of the best neighbourhoods in the city, close to nice parks and to every store you need. I definitely recommend making the move if you are willing to learn Polish (not needed at all for a job in IT, but useful if you want to live here long term). Worst case scenario you can always move back. That's what I was thinking when I moved, but in the end I decided to stay.
You can find that too in the US, just not in major coastal metros.
Can you? I would have thought that most US cities are either too small or too expensive for that. Or are you talking about the amount of rent specifically?
Currently living in a lively midwest town, 10 minutes walk from downtown and three separate centers of attraction. 500/month. It's possible.
The USA is a huge place where cities are sometimes spread among vast distances, that has lead to creation of extensive urban centers like you described that are somewhat distant and thus cheap. You can find dozens of cities like that, but of course, the wage is also considerably lower. There is a phenomenon of US digital nomads - people who work remotely but move only across the USA, instead of going to e.g. Asia.
The best hack is to move to SF, get a Bay Area comp package at a remote friendly tech co, then make the case to go remote when you’ve developed enough trust within the org.
sf is known for being in the top 5 most expensive cities in occident. sorry to ask, are you really they ignorant of the world outside of the bubble 1 meter around you.
> there is one important factor that wasn't emphasized - weather.

Vancouver has always had nicer weather. If weather is the causative factor, why is there no correlation between Vancouver weather and housing prices over the last 30 years?

According to your very own quote, I said it's "_one_ important factor" so I'm not sure how you parlayed that into "_the_ causative factor".

Those aren't the same things.

The weather has always been nice in Vancouver and Vancouver has always had net positive migration. If there was a change in the weather we could test the theory but alas there hasn't really been one.

Pedentically, I don't think the article is talking about a mild (and likely fairly constant) premium on real estate due to the superior weather, more likely it was about the parabolic price increases in the last decade or so. If mainland were Chinese particularly fond of Vancouver style weather it may be important over and above the natural one time premium it provides.

But mainly, I mostly just get irked when people dismiss RE price action in Vancouver because the weather is nice, it is a pretty common technique for those looking for racism.

One thing that gets overlooked by many when discussing Vancouver real estate- it is a very tiny municipality.

Unlike most other North American urban centres, Vancouver resisted amalgamation with all of it's connecting cities.

The result is a geographically constrained area (Vancouver proper) surrounded by cities that are effectively it's suburbs (greater Vancouver).

Homes and rents are somewhat more affordable when you look at these suburbs, although they have increasingly gotten worse.

The residential data from tiny Vancouver has increasingly become absurd, as people focus on this small handful of luxury neighborhoods in the centre of a large metropolitan area.

A follow on problem: If there is a problem at a property Vancouver needs to track the beneficial owner to handle liability and maintenance issues.

Vancouver has a problem of determining responsibility for poorly maintained buildings, fire code violations, etc.

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Born in Vancouver, have lived here for nearly sixty years. The only thing that would make me want to leave? It's not immigration or housing costs... it's the rain. Try being cooped up in a 700 sq ft 1 bdrm apartment downtown ($700,000) for 6 months of the year.

Did I mention the rain?

Ah Canada. The Civilized State of America.

Its not the Chinese you should fear, its the fifth columnists from your Southern neighbour. The Chinese immigrants don't vote and they don't really hate Canada.

Sydney and Melbourne, Australia have seen this exact same problem