If I'm going for short term wealth extraction, it's either gonna be couch surfing, sleeping in cars or malls, or maybe renting a room in an apartment with like 7 other pre-existing people.
Sinking 50k into SF for a prison cell ( that for most house guests is socially unacceptable ) is a bit of a tough sell for me!
I've been in the home improvement biz for a long time now- the price of a house is mostly a function of proximity to high paying in person jobs, restrictive zoning from local politicians, cost of labor, and then lastly, materials.
This is why a poorly-built trailer in North Dakota's oil fields can still be 100k (instead of 20k in Maine), whereas a beautiful mansion in rural Texas can be 200k (instead of 900k in New Jersey)
These sorts of units exist in Hong Kong and Tokyo. In the case of Hong Kong, even highly paid junior banker / consultant types will live here because they're spending almost all their time at the office or various eating/entertainment establishments anyways.
It's entirely possible to never have a life with 3200 sqft. Hobbies needn't be in the home (especially with a social scene like SF), and many have hobbies that never require them to leave their chair. You can cook well with little space (for the past 3 weeks, I've prepared 90+% of my meals in an InstantPot - and they were spectacular).
That's the size of the master bedroom in my townhome. It's basically enough room for a small bed, dresser or wardrobe/chest for clothes, and maybe a (barely) partitioned toilet and shower. "Not great" is too positive to describe using such a space as a dwelling.
Depends on your needs. Like OP said, if you have no dependents and spend a lot of your time out, why not? Obviously not for everyone, but it is nice to have options in housing stock for people who want to make that space/cost trade-off
> It's basically enough room for a small bed, dresser or wardrobe/chest for clothes, and maybe a (barely) partitioned toilet and shower.
Yep, that's what you get exactly. I mean, the space is only the size of 4 queen size beds edge to edge.
Typically people in those quarters sleep on futons and fold them up during the day to make more room. The real killer is that cooking in these is tough, because your "kitchen" is 2x2 or smaller with a tiny sink next to a 1 or 2 hob (small ones) electric stove over a dorm-style mini fridge. If you like making real meals and not getting everything from Picard, you have to get very creative.
Maybe if somebody forced you to live in a situation you don’t want to be in, you’d find it oppressive. But when you build your own home, you get to learn what you really need in a home. (And tons of square footage probably isn’t one of those things)
Yeah a lot of junk fills that space. The only thing would be kids. Wife and kids take up a lot of space. You can do smaller spaces but you risk your sanity.
If a place can be zoned for 120 square feet, it can also have affordable eating establishments and all sorts of fun things to do, which you will be doing because you will mostly get out of your place.
I’ve a van where I spent months living in it, it felt like heaven! Living room, shower, kitchen, bed and even tiny gym, everything in 6sqm (about 60sqft). I’ve spent quite a lot of time engineering it though.
consider the alternative around here; a shared room. I think a 12x12 retreat where I could lock the door and not be bothered would be dramatically better for introvert time than a shared room or even a private room in a shared house (thought a private room in a shared house is going to cost 2-4x as much)
I mean, consider that there's a lot of single introverts around here. If there are smaller places they can move to, there will be less competition for the giant places that introverts with children need.
This article presumes acres for $420,000 in San Francisco. Not sure where the author is finding land values like that in the Bay - certainly not in San Francisco, where land is closer to $100/sqft at the low end ($4.5M).
The very first plan, and the one clearly worst-suited for a city with pricy land, needs a $420k/acre.
The next proposal, "low rise" apartment block:
> Let's assume a 6000sf building footprint. This would contain twenty 250sf units per floor, with some shared space. Four stories means eighty units. With 80 units, we have 80 x $10,000=$800,000 budget for land. Our 6000sf building footprint sits on a quarter-acre (10,500sf) of land, so the land costs could be as much as $800,000 X 4=$3.2 million per acre.
And next, the "medium-rise" plan:
> Next, we have a six-story structure, which is about the upper end of the Traditional City or "low-rise" format. We will step up here to a better standard of construction, such as brick or steel-frame, with a cost of $200/sf. This reduces our unit size to a fairly tiny 120 square feet, plus some common areas. Our footprint is still 6000sf, but since the unit size is smaller, we can get 40 units per floor, or 240 units for a six-story building. At $10,000/unit for land, that gives us a budget of $2.4 million for land. We will use more of an "attached" format here, with a little space in the back, or a 7000sf (sixth of an acre) plot. This translates into $2.4m x 6=$14.4 million per acre land and other costs.
The author is saying something about the density required to support affordable housing in San Francisco.
Sure, but then he's building for $100/sqft in SF, which is laughable. Going rates right now are closer to $400/sqft at the low-end, without permitting. I get aiming for smaller units to improve affordability, but the assumptions aren't grounded in reality.
I imagine the low-end is substantially less than the average, or could be if SF zoning and permitting wasn't so screwed up and we were actually building more low-end housing. The point of the article is to show what's financially viable if the system weren't so screwed up; that low-end housing is viable even in the face of absurd land-value prices.
I mean, I love the idea. This is the sort of thing I wish we could do. But this does not sound realistic to me. The numbers look like they were pulled out of thin air.
Because property taxes support the needs of residents, and because the density of residents would increase, the property tax obtained per acre would need to increase.
Thus you can't just shrink lot sizes by 90% and expect to shrink per-lot tax bills by 90%. The average tax, in dollars per acre, must increase in order to compensate for the extra people.
The limit of 1% of the property value looks to be a deal killer here. Cities have an incentive to zone for very low density.
The limit of 2% increase per year is also a huge problem, but not specific to small lots. If inflation ever goes above 2%, disaster strikes all California cities.
Well, there is one other way. Forget about property taxes. Set them all to 0%. Get the required 2/3 majority vote to raise income taxes, then grant a big chunk of that to the cities based on the number of people living there. Perhaps a UK-style council tax would also work.
The real incentive for cities is to encourage turnover, or at least not long term holding -- sales reset property tax to current market value. Even in 2010, in the depths of the housing bubble burst, most California counties were seeing growing tax rolls as turnover would reset to higher values more often than not.
I'm not an expert, but I would think that holding period for smaller, less expensive, 'starter' homes is shorter than larger homes. If that's the case, you want to zone for that. But, zoning is more about not upsetting voters than grand fiscal planning, in my understanding.
> the property tax obtained per acre would need to increase.
And it would, because property tax is assessed not just on the land but also on the structures. For condominiums each unit is assessed separately.
In addition, the greater the density the lower the cost of infrastructure. I don't think people, especially suburbanites, appreciate how ridiculously expensive roads and sewers are to build and maintain. Mostly because suburbanites tend to move on long before needing to rebuild, leaving behind broken, decaying landscapes. But that game can only last so many decades before society will be forced to deal with the consequences. The consequences are slowly coming into focus across the U.S. but are often couched in terms of affordability in more urban areas (because fewer places to move on to) and the broken finances of municipalities in more rural areas (because they're stuck with what turned out to be inherently unsustainable infrastructure costs).
Maybe people could live in the apartments in shifts. Be at work 16 hours per day and sleep in the apartment for 8 hours. 3x the people. $50,000 apartment is now only $16,666.66.
When my father moved to his current apartment he noticed a peculiar thing: His neighbors, who worked at a nearby 24/7 take away bar would move in threes in and out of the apartment at certain hours.
This meant that there were at least six of them in a 25m^2 (277-ish sq ft) studio. While it was physically possible to fit three bunk beds there - albeit barely, they would have no space left for a wardrobe.
They spent two years like that and I imagine it was hell.
I've checked the dimensions of a typical bunk bed and it's around 120-140cm x 200cm. But you'd also need two 30cm lanes for access to those three, so eventually it's at least:
Interesting - 120sqft is just over 11sqm which, in NZ, is smaller than the minimum recommended size for a double bedroom. But perhaps a better comparison is with a small to medium sized caravan which can be be pretty comfortable at around the same size. I was just reading about the new Airstream Nest caravan which is roughly the same size and looks pretty comfortable. A single person (or a close couple) could probably easily share that for a couple years without going too crazy. Interestingly the Nest is about the same price - roughly $50k.
I have no desire to live in a 250 s.f. unit. What does my future look like? How would I raise kids, if I wanted to have them? I don't know how anyone outside of the top 3-5% pulls it off in San Francisco.
Okay, but other people clearly do and this article is strictly about solving the housing issues in SF creatively. Also, you're presenting a false dichotomy - many people don't have kids, or don't yet have kids(Not to mention don't want them). Many people live somewhere for a short amount of time, or a few years, and then leave. I really honestly don't even see the point of your comment other than to cast shade against someone's lifestyle choice that you disagree with, or maybe to comment on the absurdity of the housing market in SF, with regards to the former I choose to mind my own business.
And to your main question - if you are somehow blessed with the opportunity to make a buttload of money and live on the (relative)cheap for a little while in SF, then your future is probably looking pretty good. We are fortunate to live in a country where you can go wherever the heck you want at any point that you want, especially if you're financially able to do so.
SF is a city for the rich. I used to think such an idea was ridiculous - a city that only accommodated a single class of people. But having a single city without affordable housing doesn’t sound so crazy to me anymore. Whether or not a city wants affordable housing is a choice.
Honestly I’m not sure what changed in my opinion. I’m generally very pro-building, but I realize different people want different things.
I respect and support your decision to have a child. Someone needs to do it, and I'm glad that some people want to. (and I'm certainly willing to contribute to things like education to make that easier.)
But you need to understand that many of us (myself included) really don't want to have children ourselves.
We are people, too... and saying that all housing needs to be built large enough to accommodate a family with children is unfair and a waste.
I mean, sure, I pay more taxes than someone of my own income with children... and I think that's fine. If the additional taxes were spent on things like education, I'd even be okay increasing that difference and paying even more, but it does nobody any good to say I can't buy a smaller place because you want to have a kid.
I live comfortably 6 months of the year in a cab-over camper (about 90 square feet). True, I lounge outside a lot reading and working on the computer, but that's still practical in a balcony overlooking a pedestrian street. The other 6 months I live in a 3000 square foot house, and I'm constantly dealing with maintenance and other hassles. A small studio apartment within walking distance to shopping and public transportation would work for me, but not for everyone. Actually, I'd pay $100,000 for such a studio if it were within walking distance of a university.
You don't have to please everyone for this to be viable.
No, what he would pay sets a maximum price for him. This has nothing to do with supply and demand which is the combination of all potential tenants and all potential landlords.
Just for comparison, back then a one-room apartment in a 1960's Khrushchev plattenbau offered 30 m^2 of living space. This is what progress in the US look like?!
That image of the street in Norway was absolutely gorgeous. I'm not the biggest fan of cities, but I would love an area like that, designed for humans.
If such a thing came to be in San Francisco I'd absolutely move.
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[ 4.2 ms ] story [ 131 ms ] thread120 square feet is a prison cell, not a home.
Sinking 50k into SF for a prison cell ( that for most house guests is socially unacceptable ) is a bit of a tough sell for me!
I reckon the problem here, isn't the problem of packing in homes, its land-use approvals.
This is why a poorly-built trailer in North Dakota's oil fields can still be 100k (instead of 20k in Maine), whereas a beautiful mansion in rural Texas can be 200k (instead of 900k in New Jersey)
Yep, that's what you get exactly. I mean, the space is only the size of 4 queen size beds edge to edge. Typically people in those quarters sleep on futons and fold them up during the day to make more room. The real killer is that cooking in these is tough, because your "kitchen" is 2x2 or smaller with a tiny sink next to a 1 or 2 hob (small ones) electric stove over a dorm-style mini fridge. If you like making real meals and not getting everything from Picard, you have to get very creative.
Not really. I lived for years in an apartment like that and cooked just about anything you'd care to mention without too much effort.
https://www.thekitchn.com/how-to-entertain-in-a-teeny-tiny-f...
Maybe if somebody forced you to live in a situation you don’t want to be in, you’d find it oppressive. But when you build your own home, you get to learn what you really need in a home. (And tons of square footage probably isn’t one of those things)
I mean, consider that there's a lot of single introverts around here. If there are smaller places they can move to, there will be less competition for the giant places that introverts with children need.
It might cause me to be more minimalist and to spend more of my time outside, but I consider that a good thing.
The next proposal, "low rise" apartment block:
> Let's assume a 6000sf building footprint. This would contain twenty 250sf units per floor, with some shared space. Four stories means eighty units. With 80 units, we have 80 x $10,000=$800,000 budget for land. Our 6000sf building footprint sits on a quarter-acre (10,500sf) of land, so the land costs could be as much as $800,000 X 4=$3.2 million per acre.
And next, the "medium-rise" plan:
> Next, we have a six-story structure, which is about the upper end of the Traditional City or "low-rise" format. We will step up here to a better standard of construction, such as brick or steel-frame, with a cost of $200/sf. This reduces our unit size to a fairly tiny 120 square feet, plus some common areas. Our footprint is still 6000sf, but since the unit size is smaller, we can get 40 units per floor, or 240 units for a six-story building. At $10,000/unit for land, that gives us a budget of $2.4 million for land. We will use more of an "attached" format here, with a little space in the back, or a 7000sf (sixth of an acre) plot. This translates into $2.4m x 6=$14.4 million per acre land and other costs.
The author is saying something about the density required to support affordable housing in San Francisco.
I imagine the low-end is substantially less than the average, or could be if SF zoning and permitting wasn't so screwed up and we were actually building more low-end housing. The point of the article is to show what's financially viable if the system weren't so screwed up; that low-end housing is viable even in the face of absurd land-value prices.
$30,000 construction costs
$10,000 land & other non-construction costs
$10,000 profit margin
The cheapest lot I can find in San Francisco is $200k, not counting the lots that are being foreclosed on because land is so expensive there.
https://www.zillow.com/san-francisco-ca/land/
I mean, I love the idea. This is the sort of thing I wish we could do. But this does not sound realistic to me. The numbers look like they were pulled out of thin air.
Thus you can't just shrink lot sizes by 90% and expect to shrink per-lot tax bills by 90%. The average tax, in dollars per acre, must increase in order to compensate for the extra people.
The limit of 1% of the property value looks to be a deal killer here. Cities have an incentive to zone for very low density.
The limit of 2% increase per year is also a huge problem, but not specific to small lots. If inflation ever goes above 2%, disaster strikes all California cities.
Well, there is one other way. Forget about property taxes. Set them all to 0%. Get the required 2/3 majority vote to raise income taxes, then grant a big chunk of that to the cities based on the number of people living there. Perhaps a UK-style council tax would also work.
I'm not an expert, but I would think that holding period for smaller, less expensive, 'starter' homes is shorter than larger homes. If that's the case, you want to zone for that. But, zoning is more about not upsetting voters than grand fiscal planning, in my understanding.
And it would, because property tax is assessed not just on the land but also on the structures. For condominiums each unit is assessed separately.
In addition, the greater the density the lower the cost of infrastructure. I don't think people, especially suburbanites, appreciate how ridiculously expensive roads and sewers are to build and maintain. Mostly because suburbanites tend to move on long before needing to rebuild, leaving behind broken, decaying landscapes. But that game can only last so many decades before society will be forced to deal with the consequences. The consequences are slowly coming into focus across the U.S. but are often couched in terms of affordability in more urban areas (because fewer places to move on to) and the broken finances of municipalities in more rural areas (because they're stuck with what turned out to be inherently unsustainable infrastructure costs).
This meant that there were at least six of them in a 25m^2 (277-ish sq ft) studio. While it was physically possible to fit three bunk beds there - albeit barely, they would have no space left for a wardrobe.
They spent two years like that and I imagine it was hell.
(120cm3 + 60cm) 200cm = 8.4m^2.
There is absolutely no reason for stacked beds to be queen size.
https://m.ikea.com/us/en/catalog/products/art/50269029/
And to your main question - if you are somehow blessed with the opportunity to make a buttload of money and live on the (relative)cheap for a little while in SF, then your future is probably looking pretty good. We are fortunate to live in a country where you can go wherever the heck you want at any point that you want, especially if you're financially able to do so.
Honestly I’m not sure what changed in my opinion. I’m generally very pro-building, but I realize different people want different things.
But you need to understand that many of us (myself included) really don't want to have children ourselves.
We are people, too... and saying that all housing needs to be built large enough to accommodate a family with children is unfair and a waste.
I mean, sure, I pay more taxes than someone of my own income with children... and I think that's fine. If the additional taxes were spent on things like education, I'd even be okay increasing that difference and paying even more, but it does nobody any good to say I can't buy a smaller place because you want to have a kid.
You don't have to please everyone for this to be viable.
Illustrating why they aren't available for $50,000.
If such a thing came to be in San Francisco I'd absolutely move.