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these are pointless to guess. anyone can put up a domain name for large amounts of money and never get a buyer. it should be based on actual sold prices.
(comment deleted)
Many of the people sitting on good domains have no desire/incentive to sell these days. Everyone wants to use it as leverage to “build a brand” and get equity in your company while maintaining ownership of the domain.

Rent seeking, but we fetishize .coms and will continue to into the future, so unlikely for anything to change.