Ask HN: How do we fight the existential threat of climate change?
With the recent news on carbon dioxide and methane levels, various feedback loops, and record setting temperatures, it seems clear that climate change is accelerating and represents an existential risk to humanity. The HN community is well resourced, well educated, and well connected. What can we do to fight the existential risk of climate change?
35 comments
[ 10.3 ms ] story [ 1966 ms ] threadUnltimately, even the best idea is useless without buy-in by the masses and policy makers. Right now most people simply don't understand or accept the situation either due to lack of factual and audience-appropriate information or due to lack of information sources they trust that present the facts to them. Like it or not,tech is how information spreads and technologists have a lot of say in the outcome of this.
Tech aside,like many other factual information, climate change is presented as a fact people have to accept along with other scientific beliefs. What I mean is, people who are not confident in their own ability to objectively assess the facts rely on the trustworthiness of the people presenting the facts. Climate change should not be presented as an "Us vs Them" issue (obviously) and it needs to be presented in a way that does not challenge any other commonly held beliefs people might have. You can't challenge someone's sacred beliefs (whatever that might be) and also present factual information they're not able to independently verify and expect them to accept the latter and reject the former,it just doesn't work that way. This is mostly why I suggested neutral platforms that instill a strong level of confidence for every audience are needed.
Unfortunately, all I see is climate change being presented like any other scientific fact and on platforms that don't have the confidence of the majority of audiences. You need everyone from the cowboy rancher in texas to the lumberjack in brazil working on cutting down trees in the amazon to buy in.
Solutions like mass reforestation by essentially bombing the planet with seed planting pods seem promising and countries are increasingly switching to renewable energy sources. It all just needs mass buy-in so the solutions can take effect before it's too late.
And if you have the most unbiased source out there, someone else with an agenda can push it as an us vs. them narrative and cause the potential audience to simply avoid your site (or view it in their lens).
What you need is someone who can present real news as entertainment instead of presenting entertainment as real news, which is what he did in a way that none of his acolytes have faithfully replicated (not even when they were on the same show in the same episode). Because you have to be willing to make fun of anyone for being wrong instead of just making fun of The Other Team for being The Other Team.
But in general it feels like there is an answer in that format. Because people want to be entertained. If they're not being entertained then you've lost them. But you can entertain them and inform them at the same time, if you actually take that as a goal and consciously work toward it. A good professor doesn't bore the students yet they still learn the material.
But there is a difference between that and just making partisan propaganda humorous enough to get people to watch it.
Separate advertising revenue from news and you’ll get a more honest take on a subject. This system encourages not just fake news but manufactured controversy.
The USA pulling out of climate accords also does not help, it gives 100's of millions of people entirely the wrong signals.
On a collective level : - policies against gas emissions - Laws: Same as speed limitation for cars, limit energy consumption per habitant - true information/news/education - Bans of polluting products ( plastics, heavy metals, ...etc ) - Change obsolete, unnecessary, inefficient and polluting tech
Establish a growth curve for air capture like Moore's Law.
Do mashups. AI + climate, Biotech + climate, VR + climate.
Be curious.
I know it's more complicated than that, but that's a good place to start. Perhaps even pay people to grow trees on disused land.
So what if online retailers like Amazon had some sort of opt in where you could donate $1 extra with your order to get a tree planted (or it would go to that). It probably would not be enough to get you to a trillion trees but if a lot of online retailers offered that at least it would give people something they could do easily.
Reminds me of additive manufacturing (3D printing)
There’s a sincere opportunity cost if you don’t put your attention towards other causes that may be of equal importance in terms of preventable suffering, yet may have much more straightforward solutions due to lessened need for sociopolitical coordination or expensive consumer behavioral changes (such as focusing on simple ways to prevent diseases w/ Against Malaria or Deworm the World or others, or animal welfare charities like The Humane League).
However, taking it for granted that one should still focus on climate change, the main things I have come to conclude are:
- advocating use of reusable materials for cups, bottles, bags, etc., is a total waste of time & will amount to virtually no positive impact, while risking alienating people away from the cause.
- personally conserving in any extreme way is likewise useless and you’ll just be living a worse life for nothing, while also risking alienating people.
- most municipal recycling is a total scam, and frankly we’re not in any danger of running out of landfill space. It’s just a feel-good distraction akin to “Showing that you care” by Hanson regarding medical spending.
- Finally, it seems that one of the simplest things humans can do to sequester carbon at a global scale is reforestation. While probably it will require governments to do this at the necessary scale, possibly the only useful action an individual can take is to find the most cost-efficient way to donate money to a charity or organization that plants and protects trees at a very large scale.
Bill Majer said it better: https://youtu.be/CWarpTWk_jg
this cartoon says it too: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B5-lDJWCUAAwfya.jpg
https://www.apnews.com/2fef5c6a978b4fd5a79596020f0bac8a
https://www.theguardian.com/news/2018/sep/07/weatherwatch-nu...
https://energynews.us/2016/09/09/midwest/nuclear-plants-feel...
https://www.nytimes.com/2007/05/20/health/20iht-nuke.1.57884...
It has happened in the US too. This aside, the Fukushima nuclear disaster is a reminder that nuclear fission is not desirable.
With solar and batteries already falling below fossil prices plus a tax on fossil fuel I'm optimistic a big change could be made without that much lifestyle cost.
The germans first time talked about manmade contrail-cirruscloud formation in the year 2017! The americans many many years earlier. And they hide these special cloudformations behind codes and phantastic storys about their formation. 20 Years of lies/secrets. For what and why? Germany kicked himself back about 20 years of existing knowledge. They kicked the knowledge americans had earlier, behind a code in their german cloudatlas. WHY? Cirrus-clouds formed from contrails. That was nearly the time, where these conspiracy and misinformation-campaign abaut chemtrails started. Since then, all people who realized anomalies like unusual trails in the sky, were called conspiracy-guys. Some years later they told us that these trails are a normal reactions from condensationtrails/watervapour from exhaust. No word about Fuels,or weatherexperiments. WHY? They had some Differnt Experimentalfuels wich were made by different companys at the same time and tested over decades. No wonder our today weather data is coruppted. Last week on one day nearly +40 Celsius. 2 days later -2 Celsius, only partly in some regions in germany. They, our industry and our governances dont act as they should and have to, NOW! Unableto to get it in their mind, that its no more time left for hiding things the have already botched years before. That their fuels and their decades long experiments changed the watervapour-circle in our atmosphere. Mostly they ignored it for years, to keep the oil, car and flight industrys growing, and cashflow alive. Make more money for the rich... Maybe they did not looked for this, maybe the electronic devices are getting better over time. BUT.I am a only a hobbyscientist who loved it to discuss themes with real climatescientists. Other people would call me a pothead, but not these people. Who else can give me a better answear? I had rly some nice expiriences, cause no one laught at me or called my theory a conspiracy. Sure there was some hard way to find the right communication. But they could understand what i have meant, and how it works in my head. No one with a brain, directly said i am wrong. No, they thought about it and brought it into calculations, only a scientist can make. Was fun to see my thought as a mathematical rule in a calculation for climate ractions. Also how watervapour reacts under several conditions. Will it get to drops formation and rain or not! This has changed and caused more UV-radiation, drought while the ocean is getting higher. So, we have more water everywhere but not where it should be! And there is another thing that makes it much more worse. Till american military sees climatechange as a force and threat-multiplier, they will do nothing to reduce carbon-outblast. Specially not in americas flying units, which cause a pollution of nearly 140 little countrys. And i tell you something, new fuels wont make anything better. Problem will be the same. Wartactics and strategys from the airuniversity show exactly how they acted over the years to force carbon output and expand production of nano particles, for different uses. Also the...
This is not a troll or snark.
This is a sincere query to understand the requirement ahead of supporting the effort.
The only thing for this kind of issue that has proved efficient historically is massive non violent protesting ( that is what Extinction Rebellion, aka XR, does ), with people landing in prison...
As for trying to provide policies, we should, like any problem, have a look at the stats to prioritize, and aim at better rather than worse, we're already at risk of hitting up to +26°C in 2026 if unlucky and not doing something, hard.
Fossil fuel out phasing is not simple to address, so we should limit it as much as possible while scaling alternatives. It also means that anything producing fossil fuels or ( CO2 ) should not be able to give any kind of money or service to any kind of politicians, to avoid conflicts of interests. Scaling alternatives (e.g. solar, wind, energy storage) means a lot of new buildings, and building something using portland concrete does create a lot of CO2.
Portland concrete is already the second more polluting stuff yearly on the planet after fossil fuels. Scalable and carbon negative ( actuaally removing CO2 from air) alternatives do exist to Portland concrete:
- MgO based concrete is carbon dioxide producing at first, but even more carbon dioxide absorbing during the 6 first months. It can be even be made from sea water, and was used by Romans and Egyptians in stuff still standing today. It can be 700 times stronger than usual concrete, dry even in wet climate, and doesn't need metal structure to be mechanically good, you can just use wood or plant fibers instead.
- wood is of course one of the best alternative should it come from actually sustainable and renewable source, and if well integrated with nature, which is a challenge and where there is already a ton of abuse.
So as a politician, the first and best measure that is needed is to phase out Portland concrete as quick as possible ( e.g. in about 2 years ). Carbon Tax ( with NO exception to it) and subvention should help, probably a lot of control is also needed to avoid harming ( too much? ) nature because every massive and quick change we do is likely to harm and destroy nature.
Regarding energy, nothing is simple, yet we have to find solutions to phase out oil/ gas/coal based as quickly as possible
- oil/gas/coal should be forbidden to search for more, as using already what we have access to is more than enough to kill us all.
- ( small ? ) nuclear is one of the best short term option despite all the cons everyone knows about it ( including needing a lot of water to cool down, which is unlikely sustainable. But we need to build a bunch of them, and it is dangerous.
- solar means a lot of concrete, land use and planet albedo change ( except offshore ), plus the solar panels themselves are essentially China based, and using rare earth elements, which is not good for scaling. It also needs to deploy very fast, we should probably deploy 1 every day for dozen of years, or maybe more to be faster and avoid risks. It also means we have to efficiently store the energy to be able to use it during the night.
- offshore wind is not bad, though like solar, it means energy storage. Onshore actually kills birds, which is not good ( plus it uses quite some land )
- Energy storage is also quite a problem:
* Li-ion batteries are not really sustainable, are not really recycled yet, and rely on rare earth element, plus they aren't really safe either.
* Blue solution's (aka Bollore) ones are a lot better, as they provide more cycles and don't use ( much?) rare earth elements, though they are only good to store energy for at most a day
* Nawa ones would also be quite good, as they can be charged and discharged a lot faster than li-ion or BS ones, plus have a lifetime of millions of cycles, plus they are carbon based, which is really great (and they designed that to be great regarding CO2), though can hardly store energy for more than a day. As cells, they sh...