In public stocks there are always underappreciated future growth rockets. You can try to find them by analysis, at random, or by buying the entire index.
Altcoins don’t have growth fundamentals because nobody uses them, so at best you’re betting on holding a coin and selling it to a bigger sucker.
Considering that Bitcoin has very high and unreliable fees it's not good to buy things with. Instead Bitcoin Cash has gained a lot of adoption recently, for example all stores using BitPay also accept Bitcoin Cash. Also Monero is far superior in terms of privacy (and fungibility).
These are two examples with much better growth potential than Bitcoin, while being underappreciated by the masses.
Isn't the audience for this individuals unqualified to be investors?
The UBC press release isn't as advertorial bad as the studyfinds.org piece, but they both seem to implicitly endorse lottery-playing by unqualified individual investors, IMHO.
The UBC release could've segued from "diversify", to pushing unqualified to people to low-ER total-market index investing, or to balanced target funds based on same. Instead, they're just helping pump unqualified people to gamble and be fleeced.
I read the article and tried to read the linked study (paywall). But I see no mention of the 'random' part of this outside the introductory paragraph. In order for the headline to be true, wouldn't the study have had do asses some performance of 'random' picks?
Rather it seems that people were encouraged to take more 'risky' stock picks, and that led to some improved success, not anything to do with random.
I think the title and introduction are wrong, having extrapolated incorrectly from the study itself. I don't really know since I can't read the study.
But I think I strongly disagree with the premise. I think picking stocks at random is likely to lead to uninterested investors who may lose interest in frequent contributions to their stock accounts as they have no personal connection or awareness or interest in the location or use of their funds.
Yes, diversification is important, but so is awareness. Is it really better for the individual who may unknowingly invest in weapons manufacturing or a declining coal business despite their own morals and indicators of poor picks? I don't even think this was tested for in the first place.
If a random strategy is better than whatever the non-random strategy was then intuitively in most cases the inverse of the non-random strategy is better than the random strategy.
I am currently reading and would recommend "Bull!" by Maggie Mahar for a longer term view on the stock market than many people today seem to consider it on.
I'm not sure there implementation of inverse in stock strategies, but assuming the basis is returns proportional to market rate x, that logic doesn't really follow for all cases I think. If the random strategy has gains of 1x and the non-random strategy has a loss of -0.5x, then wouldn't the inverse just be a gain of 0.5x?
If the non-random strategy was “buy stocks A, B, and C”, the inverse might be “the broad market minus the stocks A, B, and C” rather than “short stocks A, B, and C”.
This still doesn't make sense to me. If the return of inverse strategy S' were greater the loss of strategy S, couldn't you then guarantee a positive return by using both strategies simultaneously?
Hmm, let's call "buy nothing" a neutral strategy. Then a combination of “buy stocks A, B, and C” and “short stocks A, B, and C” has the same effect as the neutral strategy. But the combination of “buy stocks A, B, and C” and “the broad market minus the stocks A, B, and C” is equal to "buy everything" and has not the same effect as the neutral strategy.
You seem to assume "buy everything" to be the neutral strategy. Then everything plays out as you say.
That's true but still doesn't map here. Or at least, to my interpretation of it.
Stock-picking is specifically referring to where you should allocate a given amount if you are investing. There's obviously more to stocks than simply picking them, but as for picking specifically, there's no analog in poker because you don't divide your bet that way. (Aside from raising on a bluff, but that's stretching it).
Whether, when, and how much you should invest is a separate strategy that's related to your confidence and expected return of the picking strategy—but not the same thing.
Just like whether and when you agree to a game of chess vs tic-tac-toe might depend on your confidence in your skills; but that decision is _not_ relevant to chess strategy, which assumes you're already playing the game.
Couldn't you phrase a strategy as a time series of binary decisions, e.g., of the type "buy/sell stock X at current time: yes or no"?
Then the inverse would be obvious. However, it's not immediately clear to me whether the claim holds that an inverse thus defined would perform better than the original strategy.
Does that work for the "no"s? I didn't buy or sell any stock yesterday; with that definition of "inverse", wouldn't I have to perform all possible actions? For any time, stock and amount, the inverse of inaction would be "yes, buy/sell X shares of stock Y."
Yeah there's just way too many possible ways to consider an inverse strategy. Even with your example, if my strategy is to buy GOOG at noon on Monday... Is my inverse strategy to buy 1 of every stock that isn't GOOG at Noon on Monday? Is the inverse to short GOOG? Is it to have already owned GOOG and instead sell it at Noon on Monday?
That sounds intuitive but does not follow. The strength of the random strategy is that it approximates the theoretical ideal - a maximally diversified market-cap weighted portfolio. The non-random strategy is too concentrated, and inverting that can leave you with another strategy that is also too concentrated compared to the ideal.
The problem isn't that the non-random strategy did poorly, it's that it has too much exposure to needless sources of uncertainty. The inverse strategy doesn't get rid of uncertainty, it just flips the sign of their exposure to that uncertainty.
The short answer is that hedge funds etc hire teams of math PhDs, rent out supercomputers, acquire non-public information like satellite imagery, and do various other hard activities in order to accurately price securities. Unless you think you can beat these players at this game, there's no way to pick better-than-average stocks.
The longer explanation is that you can break down the price effect of various real-world events into two axes. There are things that transfer market value between companies, and things that change the value of the market as a whole. For example, people buying more Macs instead of PCs will transfer market value from Microsoft (among others) to Apple. On the other hand, a novel form of efficient energy production will do more to increase overall economic activity.
The maximally market-cap weighted portfolio has diversified away the first axis of risk. Suppose company A, worth $500M, loses $50M of market cap to company B, worth $100M. If you own $500 of company A and $100 of company B, the $50 loss from owning company A stock is completely offset by owning $10 of company B stock. You're purely exposed to changes in the value of the economy as a whole, and have eliminated diversifiable risk from your portfolio.
If you can't benefit from taking on diversifiable risk, you're better off getting the same return at a lower level of risk by simply removing it.
Your intuition is wrong. The opposite of a consistently wrong strategy is also likely another consistently losing strategy. Your intuition is not taking friction into account, i.e. trading fees.
You have a set of stocks either correlated with the U.S. economy or China's economy.
Amateurs tend to pick uptrending correlated stocks (all stocks trending up in the U.S.). When U.S. economy crashes, all their eggs are in the same basket.
If you'd tell the amateurs to pick the inverse, they'd go for downtrending Chinese stocks. When China's economy crashes, all their eggs are still in the same basket.
I think what you are looking for instead, is contrarian trading strategies. Here you follow counterstrategies to what the large herd is doing. A good contrarian strategy for buying bitcoin, may be to gauge crypto sentiment on HackerNews. If the majority is gleeful or pessimistic, the price is too low for future value, if articles get posted on how to build your own blockchain in Python, then you should be ready to start converting to money, because one month later, every smart nephew's uncle fomo-bought and panic-sold the hype and caused a crash or depression. Similarly, if the U.S. president is glowing about the heated economy, and dismissive of China, this opens up new profitable options for contrarian traders (which are less risky/more informed than completely random or following the herd).
Take a really simple portfolio... I buy (or go long on) 1 share of GOOG and 1 share of MSFT. Over a decade I make an average of a 7% return per annum, while the random strategy makes, 8%.
What exactly would the inverse of my strategy be? To go short on GOOG and MSFT? That would do even worse and in that case I'd actually lose money.
I am not at all confident that anyone can predict when it will come well enough to avoid it.
Remember that the last 3 months of 2018 saw the market drop ~20%, only for it to recover over the next 3. Were you able to sell in September and buy at the bottom in December? Almost certainly not...
Yes, our prop group made quite a bit with out-of-the-money AAPL 135 puts (AAPL will hit this strike price again).
Alarms bells are ringing in this market... If your good at risk management and can initiate low cost perma-bearish positions, you will be rewarded heavily over the next year or so.
Alpha chasers that don't have risk management skills should just buy Bitcoin (dont sleep on this, the halvening is May 2020-ish). Dollar-Cost-Averaging will get you a decent entry price.
Warning: Bought more 120,130,140 AAPL puts in prep for next collapse, if your in my way, I will literally eat your lunch.
If you know a set, U, has an average A; and a subset, S, has an average B < A; then the complement, U - S must have an average C > A. Otherwise, there’s no way for the partition to average out to A.
The sibling poster is correct: if you know a group underperforms, then the complement overperforms as an ensemble. In your example, you should buy everything but MSFT + GOOG.
> What exactly would the inverse of my strategy be? To go short on GOOG and MSFT?
No, it would be to take 1 share of every stock except GOOG and MSFT and it would work (well, under the given assumptions and with random = 1 stock of every pick).
The reason why this doesn't work for the average person is because they don't have the infrastructure for it or they don't trade enough to get the commissions down to make it profitable. Shorting comes with additional fees.
> the inverse of the non-random strategy is better than the random strategy
There is not one single non-random strategy. There are millions active at any moment. Which specific non-random strategy should we pick to assure success?
Lets say you always have two companies, A and B. Each year one of them triples in value, the other loses all its value, but the loser gets recreated so you can invest in it again. Each year you get to distribute your funds.
Your original strategy is to invest everything in A every year. But after doing some simulations, you see that your current strategy makes you lose all your money within a few years since A will sooner or later make you lose all your money. Should you invert your current portfolio and only buy B? Of course not, both stocks are equivalent in isolation!
The best strategy is to allocate your funds 50/50, that way you double every year. Allocating each part of your money randomly would get close to this, so is still way better than just picking one or the other. What is important is to find stocks whose risks doesn't correlate with each other, since correlated risks will cost you a huge amount in times of down-turns.
If your non-random strategy is buy GOOG and your 'random' strategy is buy shares of 5 companies chosen at random then inverse of your non-random strategy, buy everything except GOOG is better than 'random' because it's even more random.
One important caveat is that the non-random strategy would need to be invertible. For e.g. a ml model doing binary classification this is easy (switch the classification), for most other things it's not clear what invert means.
In addition to diversification that reduces risk of overexposure to down sectors or typically over-performing assets, index funds have survivorship bias: underperforming assets are replaced by assets that meet the fund's criteria.
May be? We have known for years (decades?) that beating the market isn’t exactly easy even for professionals. So why would amateurs? The only way to beat the market is to know more than the market.
Knowing more than the market could work - that seems like winning through skill. Perhaps a second (perhaps even a more likely) mechanism would be winning through luck?
2 years after the ~2008 crash, I bought stocks in 4 companies that didn't yet recover yet from the crash... 2 of them doubled in value in just a few months and 2 of them went to basically zero... so I just about broke even.
i think the utility of further diversification becomes pretty low after you have around 30 stocks in a portfolio. assuming those 30 stocks are actually diversified and are not e.g. 30 tech companies, or 30 companies in the UK.
There's a lot to be said in favour of investing into a low cost ETF that attempts to passively approximate the distribution of stocks as they appear in the market.
I think there are potential advantages to selecting stocks or weighting stocks according to criteria other than market capitalisation (unlike passive investment approach) but most people who try to do that do worse than a passive approach.
A passive investment approach like putting money into VT ETF depends upon some fraction of market participants doing the work to actively set market prices. If enough of the market goes nuts and bids up the price of some security far above its actual value (e.g. IPOs for businesses that run at a loss with no obvious path to making a profit) then the downside of a passive approach using market capitalisation as weights is that you will invest some tiny fraction in these companies with irrationally inflated market caps.
Part of it is also a question of how much time and mental energy you want to put into learning about how to value companies and investigating options for investment. Investing in 30 individual stocks vs 1 ETF also creates about 30x as much work at tax time...
might want to hold off on that stock picking until after this news hits:
Obama rapes & kills 2 boys 15Jan in Buffalo. DeBlasio 5, Buttgieg 5, Cuomo 4, Murray 3, Dorsey 3, Thiel 3. Trump $4 billion to cover. Pel!osi $3 billion, Harris $1 billion, Schumer $2 billion, to help bring the boys over the border. Trump: $138 million to bypass 5th amendment
\}iListen! to previously unprocessed footage now available [Soros, obama child rapes 15Jan 4-6am], ,See pages 18-23, 8, 11, 12, 35, 45, 61, 62, and update list at end of doc;, Having trouble getting traction. Getting censored/banned. Billions in bribes paid to Trump, Pelosi, Schumer, Harris to enable a Soros funded child raping ring to operate in the USA. Please listen to the links below. Turn up the volume and put headphones on. You will hear these people, and many other high profile peo`ple, incriminate themselves in unbelievable fashion. Full 74 page document [update 10Aug] filled with red handed evidence like this at the bottom.
\@Go to pages 18-=23 of this document and you will hear Dorsey and Thiel raping children. You will hear their screams. They both rape and kill three. Also at the "rape party" of note: Bill DeBlasio, Andrew Cuomo, Bill Murray, Peter Buttgieg, George Soros, Barack Obama.
Please copy and paste this post and repost it. I keep getting censored by these people.
Peter Thiel a1nd Jack Dorsey raping and killing three boys each. Turn the volume all the way up and put head phones on.
Trump demands $4 billion to "take a blind eye" at 1015++ (link missing from report, unsure how). Here's pieces of dialogue:
1015 The President requests four billion and henry Porter agrees to it. Some dialogue below.
1017 Donald Trump: Why don't you think about it.
1017 Henry Porter: I don't need to think about it. I'm ready for you to find out what we're really about.
1017 Gigi Hadid: I don't think it's a good idea Henry.
1017 Henry Porter: ...no shit. Jelena just stop talking about it.
1018 Gigi Hadid: About what?
1018 Henry Porter: The child raping.
1018 Donald Trump: What the fuck are you talking about?
1018 Gigi Hadid: Mr. President we are child rapists.
1018 Donald Trump: You cannot be serious.
1018 Donald Trump: You're gonna need $4 billion for me to take a blind eye.
1019 ?: People are laughing because they think four billion is too much. I think it's not a problem when you have $35 billion.
1022 Donald Trump: You better have that $4 billion or you can kiss this shit goodbye.
Trump wants $138 million to ensure smooth outcome for false judgment for a court case:
https://s3.wasabisys.com/conv1/10JanCh3/10JanCh3_951-1033.avi
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1iSeGHDToFRoRdIht50Wii0i30mlw9INp/view?usp=sharing
Obama explains the Illuminati with Jack Dorsey:
https://s3.wasabisys.com/conv1/Overnight_14-17Jan/15JanCh3_200-347.avi
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Ok1-9IvANULzKBOwADFgaiYCFi6yszfj/view?usp=sharing
At 230 a conversation is occurring on the embedded Porter camera system with Jack Dorsey, Peter Thiel, Barack Obama, Bill Murray, and th...
This is a non result. Of course picking singular stocks yourself with little understanding of the financial market or the companies in question is a terrible idea. The real question is: Does this approach perform better than a maximally diversified index fund?
I read the article as a "just buy a low cost whole market index" - which seems to be the most common advice out there.
Assuming your randomness generator was fair and you bought enough stocks, your 'buy stocks at random' strategy, if you bought enough stocks, would eventually get you that maximally diversified index fund, I think?
I mean, I think the difference at scale is all in the weighting; if you bought one share of a random ticker on every throw of your random generator, you'd be overweight stocks with high per-share values vs. just buying, say, a basket of VTX, VXUS and VWO, which are weighted in more reasonable ways.
This is absolute malarky made to make people feel better about sub-optimal returns. There are definitely strategies which provide greater than 8-10% YoY returns, or random walk, or indexes. People that know them, rarely will share the full - but will occasionally share glimpses. It can be hard to do for very large portfolios, say $10B+, but not for smaller portfolios.
I'm not sure Warren Buffett would agree with you. In a 1975 letter to Katherine Graham, he wrote "If above-average performance is to be their yard stick, the vast majority of investment managers must fail. Will a few succeed — due to either to chance or skill? Of course. For some intermediate period of years a few are bound to look better than average due to chance — just as would be the case if 1,000 ‘coin managers’ engaged in a coin-flipping contest. There would be some ‘winners’ over a five or 10-flip measurement cycle. (After five flips, you would expect to have 31 with uniformly ‘successful’ records — who, with their oracular abilities confirmed in the crucible of the marketplace, would author pedantic essays on subjects such as pensions.)”
Most recent one I heard was to day trade mean reversion for instruments within thirty minutes. No data or proof to back it up. Everyone's got an idea. What kind of glimpse are you referring to?
Notice how whenever someone claims there are ways to consistently beat the market by some incredible amount, they never seem to be able to point to anything specific. It’s always “Ohhh, there are these hidden wizards who do it, and they (conveniently) don’t tell anyone the ways of their sorcery, but trust me, they exist in dark smoky rooms somewhere!! You’re just not invited.”
It’s like “I assure you, extraterrestrials exist, there’s just no visible evidence of them and they never show themselves. But they’re out there I swear!”
You’d need international exposure on your national exchange. Also by this logic multinationals should be solid investments but maybe they lack growth potential.
88 comments
[ 2.9 ms ] story [ 143 ms ] threadAltcoins don’t have growth fundamentals because nobody uses them, so at best you’re betting on holding a coin and selling it to a bigger sucker.
These are two examples with much better growth potential than Bitcoin, while being underappreciated by the masses.
The UBC press release isn't as advertorial bad as the studyfinds.org piece, but they both seem to implicitly endorse lottery-playing by unqualified individual investors, IMHO.
The UBC release could've segued from "diversify", to pushing unqualified to people to low-ER total-market index investing, or to balanced target funds based on same. Instead, they're just helping pump unqualified people to gamble and be fleeced.
Random is random. In a way picking more varieties may offer protection in a downcycle.
Most stocks go up but bigger stocks push indexes. Betting on bigger players is different than betting on any player to go up.
Rather it seems that people were encouraged to take more 'risky' stock picks, and that led to some improved success, not anything to do with random.
I think the title and introduction are wrong, having extrapolated incorrectly from the study itself. I don't really know since I can't read the study.
But I think I strongly disagree with the premise. I think picking stocks at random is likely to lead to uninterested investors who may lose interest in frequent contributions to their stock accounts as they have no personal connection or awareness or interest in the location or use of their funds.
Yes, diversification is important, but so is awareness. Is it really better for the individual who may unknowingly invest in weapons manufacturing or a declining coal business despite their own morals and indicators of poor picks? I don't even think this was tested for in the first place.
(If a signup form appears, just scroll down)
I am currently reading and would recommend "Bull!" by Maggie Mahar for a longer term view on the stock market than many people today seem to consider it on.
You seem to assume "buy everything" to be the neutral strategy. Then everything plays out as you say.
Choosing not to allocate it is kind of irrelevant, just like "play tic-tac-toe instead" is not a chess strategy.
Stock-picking is specifically referring to where you should allocate a given amount if you are investing. There's obviously more to stocks than simply picking them, but as for picking specifically, there's no analog in poker because you don't divide your bet that way. (Aside from raising on a bluff, but that's stretching it).
Whether, when, and how much you should invest is a separate strategy that's related to your confidence and expected return of the picking strategy—but not the same thing.
Just like whether and when you agree to a game of chess vs tic-tac-toe might depend on your confidence in your skills; but that decision is _not_ relevant to chess strategy, which assumes you're already playing the game.
Buy nothing is not even a strategy. It's like calling empty set a neutral real number
Then the inverse would be obvious. However, it's not immediately clear to me whether the claim holds that an inverse thus defined would perform better than the original strategy.
In addition, buying/selling is not a binary action per se for stocks because you need to specify an amount.
The problem isn't that the non-random strategy did poorly, it's that it has too much exposure to needless sources of uncertainty. The inverse strategy doesn't get rid of uncertainty, it just flips the sign of their exposure to that uncertainty.
That was a very elegant way to make it click for me, thank you.
How is that the theoretical ideal when a few good stocks far outperform a maximally diversified portfolio?
The longer explanation is that you can break down the price effect of various real-world events into two axes. There are things that transfer market value between companies, and things that change the value of the market as a whole. For example, people buying more Macs instead of PCs will transfer market value from Microsoft (among others) to Apple. On the other hand, a novel form of efficient energy production will do more to increase overall economic activity.
The maximally market-cap weighted portfolio has diversified away the first axis of risk. Suppose company A, worth $500M, loses $50M of market cap to company B, worth $100M. If you own $500 of company A and $100 of company B, the $50 loss from owning company A stock is completely offset by owning $10 of company B stock. You're purely exposed to changes in the value of the economy as a whole, and have eliminated diversifiable risk from your portfolio.
If you can't benefit from taking on diversifiable risk, you're better off getting the same return at a lower level of risk by simply removing it.
Market cap lost to non-public companies will disappear from your portfolio.
Amateurs tend to pick uptrending correlated stocks (all stocks trending up in the U.S.). When U.S. economy crashes, all their eggs are in the same basket.
If you'd tell the amateurs to pick the inverse, they'd go for downtrending Chinese stocks. When China's economy crashes, all their eggs are still in the same basket.
I think what you are looking for instead, is contrarian trading strategies. Here you follow counterstrategies to what the large herd is doing. A good contrarian strategy for buying bitcoin, may be to gauge crypto sentiment on HackerNews. If the majority is gleeful or pessimistic, the price is too low for future value, if articles get posted on how to build your own blockchain in Python, then you should be ready to start converting to money, because one month later, every smart nephew's uncle fomo-bought and panic-sold the hype and caused a crash or depression. Similarly, if the U.S. president is glowing about the heated economy, and dismissive of China, this opens up new profitable options for contrarian traders (which are less risky/more informed than completely random or following the herd).
Take a really simple portfolio... I buy (or go long on) 1 share of GOOG and 1 share of MSFT. Over a decade I make an average of a 7% return per annum, while the random strategy makes, 8%.
What exactly would the inverse of my strategy be? To go short on GOOG and MSFT? That would do even worse and in that case I'd actually lose money.
Stay vigilant out there traders, don't eat the 30% haircut that will be visiting global financial markets shortly.
I am not at all confident that anyone can predict when it will come well enough to avoid it.
Remember that the last 3 months of 2018 saw the market drop ~20%, only for it to recover over the next 3. Were you able to sell in September and buy at the bottom in December? Almost certainly not...
Alarms bells are ringing in this market... If your good at risk management and can initiate low cost perma-bearish positions, you will be rewarded heavily over the next year or so.
Alpha chasers that don't have risk management skills should just buy Bitcoin (dont sleep on this, the halvening is May 2020-ish). Dollar-Cost-Averaging will get you a decent entry price.
Warning: Bought more 120,130,140 AAPL puts in prep for next collapse, if your in my way, I will literally eat your lunch.
Good luck guys!
If you know a set, U, has an average A; and a subset, S, has an average B < A; then the complement, U - S must have an average C > A. Otherwise, there’s no way for the partition to average out to A.
The sibling poster is correct: if you know a group underperforms, then the complement overperforms as an ensemble. In your example, you should buy everything but MSFT + GOOG.
No, it would be to take 1 share of every stock except GOOG and MSFT and it would work (well, under the given assumptions and with random = 1 stock of every pick).
The reason why this doesn't work for the average person is because they don't have the infrastructure for it or they don't trade enough to get the commissions down to make it profitable. Shorting comes with additional fees.
There is not one single non-random strategy. There are millions active at any moment. Which specific non-random strategy should we pick to assure success?
Lets say you always have two companies, A and B. Each year one of them triples in value, the other loses all its value, but the loser gets recreated so you can invest in it again. Each year you get to distribute your funds.
Your original strategy is to invest everything in A every year. But after doing some simulations, you see that your current strategy makes you lose all your money within a few years since A will sooner or later make you lose all your money. Should you invert your current portfolio and only buy B? Of course not, both stocks are equivalent in isolation!
The best strategy is to allocate your funds 50/50, that way you double every year. Allocating each part of your money randomly would get close to this, so is still way better than just picking one or the other. What is important is to find stocks whose risks doesn't correlate with each other, since correlated risks will cost you a huge amount in times of down-turns.
I think there are potential advantages to selecting stocks or weighting stocks according to criteria other than market capitalisation (unlike passive investment approach) but most people who try to do that do worse than a passive approach.
A passive investment approach like putting money into VT ETF depends upon some fraction of market participants doing the work to actively set market prices. If enough of the market goes nuts and bids up the price of some security far above its actual value (e.g. IPOs for businesses that run at a loss with no obvious path to making a profit) then the downside of a passive approach using market capitalisation as weights is that you will invest some tiny fraction in these companies with irrationally inflated market caps.
Part of it is also a question of how much time and mental energy you want to put into learning about how to value companies and investigating options for investment. Investing in 30 individual stocks vs 1 ETF also creates about 30x as much work at tax time...
Obama rapes & kills 2 boys 15Jan in Buffalo. DeBlasio 5, Buttgieg 5, Cuomo 4, Murray 3, Dorsey 3, Thiel 3. Trump $4 billion to cover. Pel!osi $3 billion, Harris $1 billion, Schumer $2 billion, to help bring the boys over the border. Trump: $138 million to bypass 5th amendment
\}iListen! to previously unprocessed footage now available [Soros, obama child rapes 15Jan 4-6am], ,See pages 18-23, 8, 11, 12, 35, 45, 61, 62, and update list at end of doc;, Having trouble getting traction. Getting censored/banned. Billions in bribes paid to Trump, Pelosi, Schumer, Harris to enable a Soros funded child raping ring to operate in the USA. Please listen to the links below. Turn up the volume and put headphones on. You will hear these people, and many other high profile peo`ple, incriminate themselves in unbelievable fashion. Full 74 page document [update 10Aug] filled with red handed evidence like this at the bottom.
\@Go to pages 18-=23 of this document and you will hear Dorsey and Thiel raping children. You will hear their screams. They both rape and kill three. Also at the "rape party" of note: Bill DeBlasio, Andrew Cuomo, Bill Murray, Peter Buttgieg, George Soros, Barack Obama.
Please copy and paste this post and repost it. I keep getting censored by these people. Peter Thiel a1nd Jack Dorsey raping and killing three boys each. Turn the volume all the way up and put head phones on.
O1bama admits to raping and killing boys here, with commentary from Peter Thiel, George Soros, Matt Porter: Trump demands $4 billion to "take a blind eye" at 1015++ (link missing from report, unsure how). Here's pieces of dialogue:1015 The President requests four billion and henry Porter agrees to it. Some dialogue below. 1017 Donald Trump: Why don't you think about it. 1017 Henry Porter: I don't need to think about it. I'm ready for you to find out what we're really about. 1017 Gigi Hadid: I don't think it's a good idea Henry. 1017 Henry Porter: ...no shit. Jelena just stop talking about it. 1018 Gigi Hadid: About what? 1018 Henry Porter: The child raping. 1018 Donald Trump: What the fuck are you talking about? 1018 Gigi Hadid: Mr. President we are child rapists. 1018 Donald Trump: You cannot be serious. 1018 Donald Trump: You're gonna need $4 billion for me to take a blind eye. 1019 ?: People are laughing because they think four billion is too much. I think it's not a problem when you have $35 billion. 1022 Donald Trump: You better have that $4 billion or you can kiss this shit goodbye.
Trump wants $138 million to ensure smooth outcome for false judgment for a court case: At 230 a conversation is occurring on the embedded Porter camera system with Jack Dorsey, Peter Thiel, Barack Obama, Bill Murray, and th...https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Random_Walk_Down_Wall_Street
It is a good read. And still relevant.
> The concept can be traced to French broker Jules Regnault who published a book in 1863 [0]
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Random_walk_hypothesis
Assuming your randomness generator was fair and you bought enough stocks, your 'buy stocks at random' strategy, if you bought enough stocks, would eventually get you that maximally diversified index fund, I think?
I mean, I think the difference at scale is all in the weighting; if you bought one share of a random ticker on every throw of your random generator, you'd be overweight stocks with high per-share values vs. just buying, say, a basket of VTX, VXUS and VWO, which are weighted in more reasonable ways.
- Jack Bogle
The secret to wealth building can be found at bogleheads.org
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Efficient-market_hypothesis
However, renaissance also has a collection of people that could probably produce a Nobel in physics if that's what they worked on.
The whole letter is here:
https://d2wsh2n0xua73e.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/201...
It’s like “I assure you, extraterrestrials exist, there’s just no visible evidence of them and they never show themselves. But they’re out there I swear!”