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It seems to me that there's something wrong with medicine, but I haven't quite figured it out yet.

My recent submission [0] was about how the system defaults to expensive treatments that are marginally effective, and that doctors frequently have no ability to provide what patients actually need.

My one grandfather died soon after his pacemaker was replaced - the wounds from his IVs became infected. I like to say that when he heard the doctor ask him if wanted his pacemaker replaced, he said to himself "this is my chance": If not for the surgery he certainly would have lived many more months while the battery gave out...

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21728864

A thread to pull on: How does medicine work outside of developed countries?
Yeah, there are many alternative medical systems in the world today, but Americans usually know nothing of them.
Yep I'm always astonished at how these things are taken for granted.
I hate to be short with someone, but did you bother to read this?

I mention it because of, Moreover, living longer is not older people’s only concern, or even their primary one, Dr. Rosenthal pointed out. “We don’t ask patients often enough, ‘What’s important to you?’”

The primary though should be understanding what the patient wants. The patient might accept risk of death for quality of remaining life. That is a classical dilemma for a pacemaker in the eldery. And it is simply a calculated, rational risk. The problem is when patients are not given the all their options and realistic risk for each (including the risk of no action).

edit: and I take this for granted, but a pacemaker can improve quality of life substantially. When it corrects a heartbeat it can prevent vertigo, falls, broken bones, and any other number of incidental effects of irregular rhythm. It is not a defibrillator.

What if this is medicine working as intended?

"Frail older patients" wasn't even a word in anyone's vernacular 50 years ago, you just died if you were in that state. This is a result of us pushing the boundaries of what current modern medicine is capable of doing. Now there are more people living longer that, quite frankly, wouldn't have in earlier environments. In a way we are bypassing selection for "strong older people"

PSA: In Firefox, enabling reader view, as soon as the page has loaded, avoids the paywall. And not just for NY Times.

Add-ons like DOM delete can also help.

I bet that they don't accept Bitcoin, Monero, etc.

Or even cash by mail.

Yeah, that is stopping 99.99% of people from subscribing /supporting great journalism.
I subscribed once, in meatspace.

It took over a year to get rid of them, after they kept jacking up the price.

I will never again give them a card number.

I once overheard a doctor say something which has always stayed with me, along the lines that after a certain age then once you're off your feet for any length of time, then that in itself puts you in big trouble.
This is why hip fractures are often "the beginning of the end". When someone over the age of 65 breaks their hip, there is a ~50% chance they'll be dead within a year.
Do you have a source for that number by chance (assuming it wasn't just off the cuff)? I understand and don't argue the idea, but 65 isn't passing my smell test, that seems absurdly young.
This study claims 28% mortality, 46% moderate-severe disability, 26% able to live independently after one year.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31810636

METHODS: Older adults aged ≥65 years were included if they had an isolated hip fracture, were admitted to hospital between July 2009 and June 2016, inclusive, and were registered to the Victorian Orthopaedic Trauma Outcomes Registry. Mortality up to 12 months (365 days) post-injury, and functional outcomes (Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended; GOS-E) at 12 months post-injury were examined. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs), and multivariable logistic regression was used to identify predictors of living independently compared with severe disability or death on the GOS-E.

RESULTS: 4,912 patients were included, of whom 28% died, 46% had moderate-severe disability, and 26% were living independently 12 months post-injury. Mortality rates were lower in women (aHR=0.56, 95%CI: 0.50, 0.63), and in people injured in a high fall vs low fall (aHR=0.47, 95%CI: 0.31, 0.72). Mortality rates were higher in people in the older age groups (75-84 years: aHR=1.53, 95%CI: 1.21, 1.93; 95+ years: aHR=3.58, 95%CI: 2.68, 4.77), living in areas with the highest level of socioeconomic disadvantage (aHR=1.25, 95%CI: 1.01, 1.55), with a Charlson Comorbidity Index weighting of one (aHR=1.60, 95%CI: 1.36, 1.88) or more than one (aHR=2.21, 95%CI: 1.94, 2.53), whose injury occurred in a residential institution versus at home (aHR=2.63, 95%CI: 1.97, 3.52), that resulted in intensive care unit admission (aHR=1.68, 95%CI: 1.21, 2.32), and in people who did not have surgery versus people who had internal fixation (aHR=1.65, 95%CI: 1.33, 2.04). Independent living was inversely associated with most of the same characteristics; however, people also had lower odds of living independently if they were from metropolitan residential areas versus rural areas (aOR=0.77, 95%CI: 0.62, 0.96), or had mild to moderate (aOR=0.33, 95%CI: 0.27, 0.39) or marked to severe (aOR=0.13, 95%CI: 0.09, 0.20) preinjury disability vs no preinjury disability.

Relatedly, this study from the same institution claims 5% mortality rate after a year for people under 65: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27527378

This suggests that sicker people get more disabled by surgery. Which we already knew. (Similarly institutionalised or not independent = sicker, having comorbidities, low fall injury suggests balance problems or advanced osteoporosis = sicker, just older = likely sicker)

But it does point slightly towards surgery bring beneficial (fixation reduced risk)

Just to tune your smell test, my suspicion is that the vast majority of people over 65 that break their hip are somewhere on the frailty scale from this article. Healthy people are very unlikely to trip and break their hip.
“Once someone who’d likely die from a broken hip breaks their hip, they are likely to die”

This passes the smell test without problem.

Post-menopausal women tend to suffer from osteoporosis, their bones are weak and all it takes is a fall.

My grandfather who rode a bicycle everywhere into his 80s, never owned an automobile (Europe) broke his hip in a minor fall. He was moved to the USA to get the operation and lived with us permanently afterwards, it was definitely the beginning of the end.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k6GHHzIByOk

Pretty simple way to reverse the osteoporosis.

Give me the RCTs proving that anything actually reverses osteoporosis. Best we have is minor prevention with effect sizes of below 20%. This including special exercises combined with collagen rich diet, D3, K2 and bisphosphonates. Teriparatide shows promise in reversal but effect sizes are low too.

The main result is prolonging age until occurrence anyway, not prevention. And definitely not cure.

Are you trolling or do you actually believe that's "reversing osteoporosis"?

It's just pushing it back a bit, of course she saw some improvement relative to a completely sedentary condition and that's great. It's not going to stay on that trajectory indefinitely, which is what's implied by "reverse".

But healthy people do trip. The reason why they don't break anything is because their bones are still fully dense, something that older people usually have issues with unless they took very good care to avoid it. That's not on most people's radar until it is too late.
Another major reason why healthy people don't break anything is because our reflexes work. It's fairly easy to break something if you land wrong, but we use our arms and legs as shock absorbers to avoid breaking anything. With age this becomes harder, and of course more fragile bones make it even worse
Sure, healthy people do trip, but the last time I tripped and fell over was more than ten years ago. It's not that common.

(I was running down a steep hill and pitched forward onto the pavement face first. I ended up scraping one knuckle, leaving a very tiny scar. Yes, that would probably have looked a lot uglier had I somehow been 65 at the time.)

This is true, but I'm guessing what happened is they evaluated > 65 as a group and gave that a mortality rate, when in all likelihood those who broke their hip at 65 probably had a very low mortality rate, despite being lumped in that group. If you could say ~50% of those over 65 that break their hip will die within a year, you could honestly probably say ~50% of those over 30 that break their hip will die within a year, since the group of 30- to 65-year-olds breaking their hips would be a blip in the data.
After posting I was curious so I looked around for data on who fractures a hip. All I found was data from one UK Hospital saying around 10% of broken hips are from people younger than 65.

If that extrapolates out, then you may be right. Because of the demographic that breaks a hip, a shockingly large group of people who break a hip die within a year.

Thinking of my own experience with family, my guess is that a bone breaking is a symptom and not a cause here for this statistic. People lose their balance and get confused with Alzheimer’s and the like and my uninformed guess is that the breaking bone highlights that someone is on the way out anyway, and isn’t the reason for it.
People break their bones faster when they are older due to calcium deficiency. So that's a symptom but not of what you are thinking.
Same. I heard something from an RN like "If you break a bone after this age, you have 6 months to live"

Every. Single. Time. since then this has been true in my anecdotal experience. Sometimes I've really regretted mentioning it because I've mentioned it to coworkers sort of casually and then, sure enough, their parent was dead within 6 months of the break.

After the first few came true I said it more seriously like, "Listen, you need to prepare for their death..."

At some point your frankness at work is going to come back to bite you. Honestly smarter to just stay quiet. “Your mom’s gonna croak by Christmas” tends to not go over well with everyone.
Seriously.

The only appropriate thing to see say to a co-worker in that situation is a polite "I'm so sorry to hear about that, I hope your mom feels better soon." Keep the prepare for death conversations for close friends and family. Even if in was a close friend you happened to work with, the workplace is not an appropriate place for such a conversation.

Why is it not an appropriate place? What is an appropriate place? Do you get to spend over 2/3 of waking time there?

If you do not wish to discuss it with coworkers, some of whom may or may not be friends, it's your choice to raise them or not. Focusing the attention on important matters could be done tactfully, which is very different from not talking about things.

If it's by fiat, there is an ulterior motive of "think happy thoughts, preferably shallow". There are such workspaces. There are also those that keep grave silence by fiat or unspoken convention.

I had a grandfather who (to my eyes, as I got intermittent updates) started rapidly suffering a series of not-obviously-related health problems. I mentioned to my mother (his daughter, and a doctor in an unrelated specialty) that it seemed like he was basically just experiencing failure of everything. She was surprised and expressed that though there had been several problems, none of them were especially serious.

But he died shortly afterward.

Took a healthcare economics class in college and heard the same thing. Basically if an older person breaks their pelvis or enters assisted living...they ain’t coming out.
This isn't necessarily age-related - people at all ages need to be back upright, and ideally back walking on their own feet, as soon as possible again.

I've got a planned surgery coming up in february (I'm 23), and despite it being a major surgery, part of the recovery process is that I'll have to be able to stand upright - even if just for a few minutes per day - already on the first day after surgery. This is also why, if you absolutely have to stay in bed, you should use the remote for your hospital bed to at least sit in bed for as much time as possible (and why you should buy beds which have such a mode at home, too)

This is one of the key benefits of the all the new generation of health care sensors, particularly as they mature and hit clinical/FDA approved levels. Obviously, you heal worse as you get older. But as noted in another comment, just being bedbound can be deadly. But further, hospital acquired infections are a huge problem. Getting people back into their homes and routines will benefit patients in a number of ways beyond those described in this article.
2 years ago, I had major abdominal surgery. I’d had a similar one in the 80s

They really wanted me out of bed to walk a bit within 12 hours. That first walk, I made it half way to the door of the room.

They focused on getting me out of bed and walking regularly (with a frame for support), no matter how short, and breathing into a device to measure lung capacity (which is almost zero with big hole in your side)

It sucked! A lot! But this was a key part of the recovery process. Being vertical is important for many bodily functions, and the less you can be vertical, the longer the recovery will be

I can’t imagine having to do this in another 30 years

Hopefully in another 30 years, a machine/robot will gently raise you to a standing position in a way that’s optimal for recovery.
The way we care for the elderly in hospitals is not working and cannot continue as the population ages. Issues like the one raised are just the surface. We are spending an ever increasing fortune to keep elderly patients alive for just weeks or months, often with poor quality of life.

What this and the article is pointing towards, is that we need to get better at assessing when it's time to move from curative medicine to palliative care. This is not just about advancing medicine, but about our culture and attitude towards the (current) inevitability of death.

I did a rotation at a wealthy Bay Area hospital where they routinely put stents in patients in their 80s. Thought of reporting them to medicaid for overbilling but most of the pts were private pay. Hospital has over $4 million dollars worth of art on the walls and a $500k koi pond in the lobby.
I live in the UK, so my experience is in NHS hospitals, which are rather more frugal in their decor.... however over-treating patients in their 80s is little different on this side of the Atlantic.

It's not done for a profit motive in general here, but more that nobody loses their medical license, and no NHS trusts get smeared in the gutter press, for trying to "save" a life against all hope (see the controversy surrounding the Liverpool Care Pathway).

The lack of any legal route to assisted dying is also a problem. Even if that was introduced here, it would probably only cover people with a specific terminal diagnosis, not the more common scenario in the elderly of repeat curable problems.

> The lack of any legal route to assisted dying is also a problem.

Euthenasia is a contentious topic, rightly so in my opinion, and is a seperate issue to regaining a balanced view of how and if we should treat the seriously ill when the treatment may harm them as much as the illness.

I think there needs to be an acceptable palliative care option rather than attempting to extend the life of someone in their 80s. That's not really euthanasia. Accepting death is inevitable and making the last days of life comfortable seems like a better use of money than an operation that will give the patient a few more years of frailty at best.
I would want to live another few years even being frail in fact most people would.
most people would

You're wrong. There are many factors in play (family, friends, isolation, stress, money, pain, etc) around the individual's choice, but studies often find that the majority of older people would prefer a palliative approach to end of life. For example https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4821585/ Sadly there aren't many studies around this topic. It's important, especially when so many people assume that older people just want to 'not die' rather than listen to what they actually want.

I personally knew a guy who was diagnosed with cancer and instead of treatment chose to spend his last few months with his family and then just die. This was in Germany, so all healthcare would have been payed for. A major reason was minimizing suffering for his family, having a good conclusion instead of prolonged suffering with unclear end date.
My uncle got diagnosed with cancer at 93 and his initial choice was similiar (I have to die of something in the end). But the family convinced him to try the therapy and it worked. He is still after two years alive and relatively well.
Different types of cancers are entirely different diseases with different outcomes. Your uncle was part of the lucky ones.
Your living uncle just cost you HN karma points, for some reason.
I would rather the resources to keep me alive in a frail state go to benefit the younger and future generations. At least the option for me to do that comfortably should exist.
Have you experienced frailty before? I have had a chronic illness that intermittently puts me out of commission as a relatively young person. Imagining living that way as an already aged senior sounds like torture.
I have had grandparents live into their late 90s with a decent quality of life. I think they appreciated life extension pas their early 80s.
That's where it gets tricky. I don't think anyone here has said patients in their 80s shouldn't get any life prolonging treatment.
I think patients should be able to choose this if they'd like... or choose euthanasia. Or choose life-saving options that are available.

I'd personally rather live so long as I know better. Death might be inevitable now, but that isn't necessarily a set thing. Folks are working on having different sorts of existence and working on extending life and things like that. Sure, some of it seems like a pipe dream now, but who knows when some weird breakthrough will happen. I'll take my few years, and resent anyone trying to take them away - but your few years aren't mine to decide what to do with.

Besides, not everyone in their 80's is necessarily frail. Some are frail sooner, some later.

1. Most people like to live.

2. Most people at the bitter end are past the ability to make decisions.

> but your few years aren't mine to decide what to do with

Depends who is paying for them. Voters certainly can take Medicare away, or implement a triaging criteria.

I do not think that matters. Of course, I'm probably not of the same political views as you and fully support taxpayer-funded health care. All of it, including end-of life. Voters shouldn't be the ones deciding that care: Doctors should.

I'm generally against doing procedures that won't really add life to folks - especially weeks. Years, though? That's years. Folks can be frail yet able-minded and so on. It doesn't really matter to me if someone needs to have some assistance to live, regardless of age.

Triaging criteria already exist. It is really a shame that insurance companies and businessmen have their hands in it instead of doctors. But I don't mind these criteria: They are, in general, for emergency situations instead of, say, routine gall bladder surgery.

I also support taxpayer funded healthcare, but I realize that taking care of each and every old person in nursing homes and keeping them alive as long as possible would consume a disproportionate fraction of the nation's resources, especially in a population with fewer and fewer children.

And the people triaging at insurance companies are doctors and pharmacists themselves. A doctor not employed by insurance companies is also a "businessman", considering they get paid more the more they treat. No one is exempt from conflicts of interest, but since US voters didn't want "death panels", they get to deal with prior authorizations.

It's the same function done by the NHS or government in any other country.

If someone wants to die, let them fucking die. The fact that people consider this "contentious" is utterly ridiculous. How can you possibly justify telling other people to go on living if they don't desire to do so? Seriously, mind your own fucking business.
This is why I consider it “contentious”:

«On February 13, 2014, Belgium legalized euthanasia by lethal injection for children,» from [1].

«Even the controversial head of Belgium’s euthanasia commission is concerned that a well-known Belgian psychiatrist is allowing too many of her psychiatric patients to be euthananised,» from [2].

1: http://www.patientsrightscouncil.org/site/belgium/

2: https://www.bioedge.org/mobile/view/belgium-euthanasia-docto...

'The law states a child would have to be terminally ill, face "unbearable physical suffering" and make repeated requests to die - before euthanasia is considered. '

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26181615

Perhaps the law is not being applied this way, but I think the idea here is "this poor child is in agony with no hope of improvement and keeping them alive is torture in a sense" - not "let's take terminally ill children lightly"

> If someone wants to die, let them fucking die.

That is not what the assisted suicide debate is about. The debate is about the right to kill someone who cannot do so themselves.

Not to mention, it’s not exactly clear as to who is able to make that decision.
I’ve never thought of that as the debate. Not providing care is not killing someone. We already do plenty of that in the US. The debate is about giving someone a quick, painless death via the application of certain medications as opposed to letting someone waste away painfully.
Counterpoint: Bernie Sanders is just 2 years short of 80. He seems to be a vigorous man who had a temporary medical setback, then was restored to full health by stent insertion.
Jimmy Carter was treated for brain cancer in his early 90’s.

https://www.cancerresearch.org/join-the-cause/cancer-immunot...

He’s still alive 4 years later.

So we are using extremely carefully selected individual examples now to come up with policies for everyone? Right then.

And no, just because something works to "save (or extend) one life" does not mean it should be tried for everybody, because "hope". If you read the article - which says nothing surprising anyway - you balance your very few successes with lots and lots of bad cases. For some few to live longer a lot of people have to suffer more.

Completely orthogonal, but since the path this thread took shows people care a lot (too much) about individual examples, I saw this more than once in my own family. My 94 year old grandmother broke here hip, surgery was ruled too dangerous, so she was driven back to her retirement home - where she only spent her last year, when care became too difficult at home - and spent the rest of her days just lying in her bad waiting to die. There was no good option left. That's just how it is near the end. I'm just saying this to show that I'm not talking about something that I only know from discussions such as this one.

Also, both my grandmothers (who both made it into their nineties) had surgery in their 80s and both suffered significantly. Their brains were not the same afterwards. Anesthesia is not easy on the brain, even on top of any stress of the surgery itself on the body. There was a significant difference in mental abilities in both my grandmothers when comparing how they were before and after their surgeries (both had them for broken bones that occurred due to age related osteoporosis). And they both had pretty good starting points, others are much more frail at those ages.

Two years ago my dad (now 81) had a stroke. The hospital was trying to "let him die", so after a few days he rather left the hospital for an exam at a university he is studying (he passed it, but he had to pause the study for a year until he recovered from the stroke).
There's a difference between inserting a stent during a cardiac event as a treatment, which is what Bernie had done and routine stent insertion of stable patients, which is what I assume the gp was talking about.
You mention the art on the walls and the koi pond as if they are spurious examples of unnecessary spending, when many studies point to the great value in such environmental factors in healing.
If you’re spending millions on art, you’re a museum, you’re being swindled, or you’re trying to find a clever way to shift your cash around.

And I doubt hospitals are debuting rediscovered Van Gogh works. Buying affordable works from local artists can fill a massive hospital for well under a million.

Or Van Gogh prints, for that matter.
I guess there are cheaper ways to achieve that. I think they are more to impress people.
The responses here decrying the cost of the artwork and suggesting replacement with prints denies any and all value to artworks as profound objects, and could easily be as mis-applied to museums themselves.

For those lacking understanding of the value of art in this context here is a good recent piece of research with many useful references: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5328392/

I think the real issue is that these folks are profiting so much as to afford the art while folks have trouble paying for hospital stays. There are so many ways to get original artwork on the walls for a much cheaper price tag, after all - and things get even cheaper if one looks into prints.
"Hospital has over $4 million dollars worth of art on the walls and a $500k koi pond in the lobby."

That's one thing I ave noticed in a lot of US hospitals and doctor offices. Everything is very shiny and new and costs a lot of money.

It's the invisible hand of the market at work. Obviously, patients are preferring to pay premium for treatment hospitals with expensive art and swanky facilities.
I wonder if they preferred it less if they had a way to find out how much the hospital costs before treatment.
That would make sense, at least for the people paying the costs themselves.

The economics change with insurance coverage. Once I hit my deductible, why do I care how expensive it is? At that point, might as well get my money’s worth out of my insurance company.

The last time I need non-routine care, the only thing I cared about was:

1. Is this doctor good?

2. Is this doctor/hospital in-network?

"The economics change with insurance coverage. Once I hit my deductible, why do I care how expensive it is? At that point, might as well get my money’s worth out of my insurance company"

The money doesn't come from nowhere. If everybody thinks like this, your insurance costs more money.

If you don't pay for your insurance personally, how about just straight up being paid more by your company?

Many people do think like that, and it is likely a significant contributing factor to the cost of health insurance.

I do pay for my insurance personally. Health insurance law is somewhat different than most other forms of insurance in that the premium cannot be increased no matter my frequency or magnitude of previous claims. [0]

My marginal use is a merely a rounding error in the context of my health insurer's outlays. Nothing I could do would personally affect my rate. The aggregate of many thousands of people's use determines my rate, and for that, the tragedy of the commons is fully in charge.

[0]: https://www.healthcare.gov/how-plans-set-your-premiums/

When you can't make a profit on paper you have to piss that money away. Executive salaries and fancy pants facilities that the well to do like looking at are the typical ways of doing this.
The basic concept of a commercial insurance based health system is that people basically pay for their own treatment. Thus wealthy people pay top dollar and get first class treatment at world beating institutions, while over 20 million Americans have no health cover whatsoever, and many of those on cheaper plans that can't afford lawyers get cheated out of crucial treatment.
Totally agree.

Most surgeons are mindless robots. So immersed in their craft, full of themselves and disconnected from the rest of the population that they don't pause to think too much about what they are doing.

Not unlike any other profession with hyper specialization. It takes other members of the team or group to reign them in.

The job involves a whole lot of decision making surrounding ambiguity and uncertainty, and there are certain personality types who are totally unfit to handle such decisions. They get pushed into the room because of other skills and mindlessly do what they are programmed too.

Few months back I saw one jackass more interested in showing a family video clips taken of the surgery on their 80 year old mother, than actually talking about what they had achieved through the 8 hour reconstruction of all her internals. She passed away a few weeks back after all that pointlessness.

After many bad experiences with family and friends, I always ask the specialist how many such ops the team has done in a year. And then, how many have long term positive outcomes. And then, if they can put me in touch with someone who has been through it a few years prior. These days its easy to dig up this information.

> Most surgeons are mindless robots. So immersed in their craft, full of themselves and disconnected from the rest of the population that they don't pause to think too much about what they are doing.

This is an extraordinary assertion. Having watched my two elderly parents getting excellent -almost loving - care from surgeons on the NHS, I find it quite an offensive one. In both cases they sat down and spent quite a lot of time going through the pros and cons of surgery at at their advanced age. Dad decided to go ahead with a particularly ticklish piece of back surgery which gave him another 7 years of mobility and independence, even though it wasn’t fully successful.

I’m sorry that you had such an appalling experience. It’s not universal.

The stats you ask for are freely available in the NHS. The surgeon carried out the procedure on dad, knowing full well that it could quite possibly worsen his mortality figures.

I completely agree. In Denmark I've experienced more than once that our healthcare system lay the pros and cons so the patients and families can make a reasonably informed choice. They straight up refuse to perform surgery on some as they are deemed unfit for the procedure.
Well you guys better protect that system cause where I live it's like a factory assembly line with well programmed robots herding people through without too much thought to long term outcomes.

I have had good experiences only after putting in a lot of research (that too after some painful lessons). And thats an option if it's not an emergency.

I have had to deal with a couple emergencies over the last couple years, where decisions had to be taken quickly. And I have seen both good and bad outcomes. The bad outcomes almost always are some guy at the ER acting as if palliative care is some unimaginable option.

They frame it simplistically "We have to move patient to the OR or they will be dead in X hours/by tomorrow etc". Just because it's possible to operate doesn't mean a surgery has to happen. Especially on elderly people.

It creates all kinds of cascading problems if it's a bad call. Good outcomes are possible but it needs a certain personality type and experience.

Well you're basically asking the surgeon how many surgeries she's done, how good she is at it and saying he's too obsessed with surgery. Of course there are jackass surgeons, but most surgeons don't want bad outcomes; because they believe in what's best for the patient if you are an optimist, or they are worried about bad outcomes (which is monitored in most western countries) if you're a pessimist.
What a depressing and misguided opinion. You must have not yet dealt with those in your life at an advanced age with perfect cognitive function and a life-threatening illness.

The goal is healthy life extension, not replacing accepted treatment with morphine.

>What this and the article is pointing towards, is that we need to get better at assessing when it's time to move from curative medicine to palliative care.

From personal experience, the healthcare system is also bad at determining when it's time to move from curative medicine to palliative care.

We need to get better at elderly healthcare in general.

Now that I'm over 70, I won't be having prostate surgery. Or surgery for anything else that won't likely kill me within a few years.

Edit: If you would, in my circumstances, please share why.

Fortunately, people are working on less invasive solutions for prostate cancer:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21762242

Good stuff there. Thanks.

I do get ~annual PSA tests. And if I tested positive, I'd have a biopsy. And if it was low-grade, I'd just get tested more often.

And then there's this study, which I have taken to heart: "Ejaculation Frequency and Risk of Prostate Cancer: Updated Results with an Additional Decade of Follow-up".[0]

> Patient summary: We evaluated whether ejaculation frequency throughout adulthood is related to prostate cancer risk in a large US-based study. We found that men reporting higher compared to lower ejaculatory frequency in adulthood were less likely to be subsequently diagnosed with prostate cancer.

0) https://sci-hub.se/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eururo.2016.03....

I seem to remember there is also a strong association between the more deadly forms of prostate cancer and STD's.
Yes, trichomoniasis.[0] From Medscape:[1]

> Trichomoniasis is one of the most common STIs in the United States, with a prevalence estimated at 8 million cases annually; however, exact numbers are difficult to obtain because the infection is not nationally reportable and many infections are asymptomatic. ... Prevalence is also thought to be underestimated owing to the low sensitivity of the commonly used wet mount technique.

Yet another reason for safe sex. Or no sex, which is safer.

0) https://www.webmd.com/sexual-conditions/guide/trichomoniasis

1) https://emedicine.medscape.com/article/230617-overview

PS - Ejaculation != sex. Just sayin'.
Hm, I just looked into this after my friend's father-in-law was found to have advanced prostate cancer. It is, in general, very slow acting.

Current standards for treatment are based on how advanced the cancer is and what the patient's life expectancy would be in the absence of cancer.

For a small cancer, because of the slow pace of the cancer, it's common to do nothing ("watchful waiting") or take androgen suppressants. For a cancer large enough to be viewed as threatening in the more short-to-middle term, you'd usually go for radiation therapy if you expect the patient to die within 10 years, and surgery if you expect the patient to last longer than that.

The reason for the radiation-surgery divide is that the very unpleasant side effects of the radiation generally show up about 10 years after treatment. (Whereas the side effects of surgery show up immediately and, hopefully, get better over time.)

The father-in-law in question is in his late 60s, but would be expected to live into his 80s if he were otherwise healthy. His father reached the age of 95. So I can understand why everyone recommended surgery in his case.

No real bottom line here, but I hope this was helpful to someone.

Thanks, that's pretty much my perspective.

Although I'd likely opt out of androgen suppressants. In my experience, life without testosterone was unpleasant. My arthritis was worse, and I was prone to tendonitis. I lost muscle mass, and got fatter. I became borderline diabetic. My acne got much worse. And I lost all interest in sex.

Testosterone supplementation reversed all of that.

Yes, I am uncomfortable with androgen suppressants for the same reasons -- they have quite far-reaching effects, including some dramatic personality effects. However, doctors tend to view them as minimally invasive (which I agree with) and harmless (which I don't).
Besides being over 70, what other circumstances discourage you from having surgery?

My grandmother had two EGDs and hip surgery after 90 with no long term deficits from them that we can see. She was even classified as frail at the time, although in retrospect I'm pretty sure that was incorrect.

From what I've read it's a good idea to stay away from GA, but there's a lot that can be done with mild sedation and a spine block.

I don't trust surgeons, generally. As Maslow said: "I suppose it is tempting, if the only tool you have is a hammer, to treat everything as if it were a nail."

I've never had surgery. I opted out of gall bladder removal, and changed my diet instead. And I haven't had further problems.

So sure, if I get multiple opinions that I need surgery for something that'll kill me in a few years, I'l likely agree. But if I'm otherwise not happy with my situation and health, I might opt out.

Anything effective besides surgery is generally a better bet. Based on my limited experience with surgeons, they go out of their way to confirm there really is a problem and that you really want to go through with the surgery. If they don't do that I would be wary about taking their opinion at face value, and like you said it's always a good idea to get multiple opinions.

To be fair, I think everyone should have the same critical approach to any treatment and/or diagnosis, but it's especially important with higher risk treatments like surgery.

To surgeons, surgery is the solution regardless of patient outcomes. That is why you should always get a second opinion to hear about non-surgical options.
Ironically, some of the newer value based initiatives, such as BPCI, along with changes to the post acute skilled nursing reimbursement, is actually decreasing the amount of time and care some of these elderly could benefit from post operatively to enhance their recovery. If we allowed our elderly Medicare patients to go into a rehab unit for the amount of days they need, without requiring a 3 night hospital stay first, I wonder the impact this would have on morbidity and mortality, especially after minor operations.
I guess it's easier said than done, but at some point we gotta understand that we don't have "x disease or ailment," we just have old age. And accept that. Things start to break down
There really is no such thing as a minor operation. And anything requiring general anesthesia is a serious whack to the system. When you're older this is a much larger factor than when you are younger. Just breaking a hip, arm or leg, a fall or a minor infection can easily be fatal to an older person because of the reduced efficiency of the immune system, and their general lack of resilience.
I remember when I was in my 20s and rather fit I had some surgery planned that was made up of 4 separate procedures and originally the surgeon suggested doing the work in 2 operations - for some reason I talked him round to doing everything at the same time even though he did warn me that I would feel like I had been "hit by a bus" (his exact words).

I did indeed feel pretty awful after - was off work for six weeks. Now I am a good bit older I'd be pretty reluctant to undergo surgery requiring general anaesthesia unless it was really required.

I've had many surgeries. I've been asking my anesthesiologists how many IQ points I'm losing every time I get general. Shrugs. Then I ask 1 point? 2 points? More? Ya, maybe.

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Also, there's another subthread about falling, hip surgeries, etc.

My current understanding is that maintaining lean muscle mass and balance are crucial to preventing future falls.

To keep this short: I now believe everyone 40+ should get regular physical therapy assessments and tuneups. Then do all those core strengthening and balance exercises. (I was actively running, jogging, lifting, and pretty trim. I was shocked to learn how much function I had lost. Like balancing on one foot to put on a sock.)

Dr. Peter Attia (The Drive podcast) is giving similar (complimentary) advice for people who want to pace themselves to live to 100.

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PS- I will now suggest to my care providers to begin tracking both IQ and balance. I'm surveyed and tested yearly for so many other things. I don't know why this has never occurred to me before. Duh.

> "If you want to change communications, you probably have to work on the surgeons" more than the patients, Dr. Schwarze concluded.

I find it harder and harder to believe that Insurance is the Bad Guy in US healthcare, as insurance companies make fairly normal level insurance industry margins (like, less than car insurance). The magnitude of total spend is the real problem, and that's a provider-side problem, not a payer side problem, but its hard to talk about doctors and pharmacy benefit managers being the potentially evil ones. People can't stomach the thought that its not a faceless insurance company, and that it might be doctors, in aggregate, over-prescribing and over-practicing well beyond actual need. (And proponents of EU style healthcare costs never mention EU style doctor salaries, and the difference w.r.t. those and the USA).

It sure would be terrible if tons and tons of these interventions done on frail people had no real medical use, and hundreds of them were found to be ineffective (not budging mortality, etc), and surgeons just wanted to get paid. Totally terrible if journals had meta-analyses of that.

https://elifesciences.org/for-the-press/94d42de3/almost-400-...