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Apple should balk and just pull out of Russia over the whole thing. At $3 billion market size for iPhones (according to the article they were not clear if $3B was TAM or rather the iPhone segment of a broader mobile market), that means somewhere between 3 and 6 million Russians are going to be forced to abandon their iPhones. Nothing is more pitiful than watching a long time iPhone user try to operate an Android device. Thats how you end up with a Russian Spring kind of situation right there.
iphones will not cause a russian spring of any kind whatsoever. russia is not even directly connected to the internet.