People reading this on Hackers News will of course agree with his main point - Our computers can't 'Think' as such and when we talk about them as if they can, we're setting up for misunderstandings. But he seems to also be saying that we'll never get there because computers just run algorithms. Arguments like that always remind me of this bit from Iain Bank's 'A Few Notes On The Culture'
Certainly there are arguments against the possibility of [strong] Artificial Intelligence, but they tend to boil down to one of three assertions: one, that there is some vital field or other presently intangible influence exclusive to biological life - perhaps even carbon-based biological life - which may eventually fall within the remit of scientific understanding but which cannot be emulated in any other form (all of which is neither impossible nor likely); two, that self-awareness resides in a supernatural soul - presumably linked to a broad-based occult system involving gods or a god, reincarnation or whatever - and which one assumes can never be understood scientifically (equally improbable, though I do write as an atheist); and, three, that matter cannot become self-aware (or more precisely that it cannot support any informational formulation which might be said to be self-aware or taken together with its material substrate exhibit the signs of self-awareness). ...I leave all the more than nominally self-aware readers to spot the logical problem with that argument.
>"that there is some vital field or other presently intangible influence exclusive to biological life"
There is. The ability to instantiate one specific abstract into a physical item. An abstract can for example be the idea of triangularity and the physical substrate will be the brain.
No AI running on a typical Turing machine can do that. For any idea you believe you have instantiated into the machine you can come up with an alternative interpretation of what you actually have instantiated.
This means that any physical system alone underdetermines the abstract thing it is supposed to be an instantiation of. You can for example likely find a pattern within the atoms of the wall behind you that could be said to be an instantiation of the quicksort algorithm. Or it's just a wall. The physical item itself is silent on the matter.
You're talking about an ability, Iain Banks was talking about some unknown bit of physics, a field or somesuch.
From what do you posit this ability to "instantiate one specific abstract into a physical item" comes from, and why do you think only wetware can do it?
Reading it again, I think you might be talking about Qualia.
The introspective ability to hold abstract concepts in the mind is the source of the statement that humans can do so.
It is what Aristotle called the intellectual soul, not qualia. Qualia is an experience and has no relation to holding abstract concepts. As I already wrote, Turing machines cannot do it for they suffer from multiple realizability, any abstract concept can be implemented in multiple physical constructs and any physical construct can be interpreted to be any number of different abstract items. I have not written that only "wetware" can do it, I have written that turing machines cannot do it and that no purely physical construct can do it (including purely newtonian/quantum wetware).
Uh... but the neural networks (and Bayesian networks) do hold abstract concepts, and are implementable by Turing machines. So it appears that your assertion is wrong.
They do not hold concepts, they are simply physical items behaving in accord with physical principles. You as a human interpret them (wrongly) to hold concepts. You can as well interpret them to be something else. None of your interpretations change the physics and the physics have no mention of abstract concepts and can be interpreted to be any number of things. None of the interpretations make that particular interpretation a concrete implementation of it.
The phrase you've quoted is talking about whether there is something supernatural in the construction of a brain that gives rise to the consciousness, e.g. a soul.
The point being that if the brain is "just" bioelectrical hardware, there is very little reason to think we can not eventually reverse engineer it. But if there's a "secret black box" element to consciousness that exists outside the real of the possibility for us to examine and recreate it, then that is a separate issue.
"Intelligence" is the "easy" part - there's no reason to think we can not eventually simulate reasoning to a sufficient fidelity; dealing with symbolic manipulation of abstractions is certainly not impossible.
Consciousness is the big question, because we don't know what it is.
If the brain is just bioelectrical hardware then there is nothing worth reverse engineering, nor is there any worth to anything at all.
You can simulate digestion with a turing machine all you want, but that simulation wont digest any food. Likewise you can simulate the neurons in a brain but that simulation can not be an instantiation of the concept of triangularity.
Of course there's something worth reverse engineering, because in that case doing so would allow us to create consciousness as well as transfer and copy it. It would hold the key to at least a form of practical immortality.
If the brain is not just bioelectrical hardware, then we have the problem of whatever it might "interface with" can be influenced and copied, and we don't even know if there is anything to interface with and copy.
> You can simulate digestion with a turing machine all you want, but that simulation wont digest any food. Likewise you can simulate the neurons in a brain but that simulation can not be an instantiation of the concept of triangularity.
This is an utterly meaningless paragraph. If we build a robot we most certainly could build one that actually digests food. To my knowledge we can't yet do so without actually losing energy rather than gaining it, but that is an issue with the efficiency of the engineering, no fundamental blocker. If in software, it wouldn't digest any food, sure, but it also would have no need to, and that has no parallel to the second part of your paragraph.
The "concept of triangularity" can certainly be simulated in an abstract manner. It doesn't even take a complex system. AI doing symbolic manipulation of abstract concepts is one of the earliest things we tried. It's not the hard part. The hard part is actually reasoning about those concepts, inferring them, being able to act on them and talk about them. But that too is orthogonal to solving the issue of what consciousness actually is.
Afaik we can throw bacteria at it and then use something similar to fuel cells to digest their products. There are already robots that you can feed by placing apple slices at the right location on them. Methane fuel cells driven by methane from anaerobic bacteria is not hard. The digestion is used for a long time in waste water treatment, and the fuel cells are good enough to be useful for a few years now. It's just that those fuel cells are _expensive_, and the system power density is quite meager, all considered. It also lacks an immune system that keeps the bacteria in check, so it's not that hard to poison (still quite resilient though).
No, it would not allow you to create consciousness, it would simply mean that there is no such thing as consciousness. eliminative materialism would be true. there would be no 'you' to live forever.
Us not knowing exactly how something works has never stopped us before from looking into it.
With "a simulation of digestion" I specifically mean a software simulation, not a hardware simulation. I assure you I had a meaning with the text I wrote, it is not meaningless. The meaning is for me to say, your interpretation of it (and this is the point) underdetermines the meaning of it. You fully determine what i meant simply from the characters on the screen. Physical instantiations of abstract items work the same way. An item needing to do something is irrelevant of it being able to, a software simulation of food does not actually digest food. A software simulation of abstract concepts do not actually instantiate them.
I am repeating myself again but any AI system you believe to have instantiated the abstract concept of triangularity is just an interpretation on your part to having done so, you might as well interpret it to simply being a room heating device or the implementation of some other algorithm that also matches the behaviour.
> No, it would not allow you to create consciousness, it would simply mean that there is no such thing as consciousness. eliminative materialism would be true. there would be no 'you' to live forever.
Do you believe you are conscious? I believe I am conscious. If the brain is purely bioelectrical, then a purely bioelectrical system at least is able to reproduce an entity that believes itself to be conscious.
Whether there is a meaningful distinction between that and "actual" consciousness is something we simply don't know, because we don't have a way of measuring whether or not another entity actually is conscious, whatever we take that to mean.
Maybe that belief that I am conscious is flawed and merely an illusion, but if copying my mind could allow that illusion to persist forever, then my illusion of consciousness would still be quite pleased with that outcome. That is quite enough for me.
> I am repeating myself again but any AI system you believe to have instantiated the abstract concept of triangularity is just an interpretation on your part to having done so, you might as well interpret it to simply being a room heating device or the implementation of some other algorithm that also matches the behaviour.
Here is an implementation of the abstract concept of triangularity that does not involve an interpretation of what it means or an instantiation of the concept, merely a symbol that describes the abstract concept as it is:
thought = :triangularity
I define the symbol :triangularity to refer to the abstract concept, so it does. I can manipulate that concept with or without making any interpretation as to what the concept actually means.
Symbolic manipulation of abstract ideas is trivially easy. The idea that we can't is ludicrous. The challenge comes when we try to interpret and reason about specific concrete interpretations, not in holding an abstract concept - we've known how to communicate abstract concepts as data without instantiating an interpretation since at least the moment we could write.
You're attacking AI on the basis of one of the problems that are easiest to solve. Symbolic manipulation of abstract concepts with computers in a meaningful form dates back to at least the 50's. The ease with which we can do that was part of much of the early misguided hope of a rapid revolution in general artificial intelligence.
The point I was making is that we do not know what consciousness actually is. Until we do, we have no way of telling whether my impression of my own consciousness has any reasonable relation to the reality of it. It is meaningless to try to determine whether or not it is an illusion without first having an understanding of what consciousness is.
More directly to the argument I was addressing, the point is that whether or not the commenter I replied to is right and there'd be no "me" that could live on forever, that is really rather irrelevant to the "me" that believes I am conscious.
In other words: While I need clarity in what consciousness is to be able to even begin to address whether or not what I have is truly consciousness, it really doesn't matter to the question of whether or not whatever I am sees value in a process that'd let me live on.
You don't have an impression of your own consciousness (your conscious awareness) to begin with. You just perceive stuff. How exactly could you not have conscious awareness?
We can't even meaningfully answer that question without an understanding of what consciousness is first.
Consciousness appears to us as if we are distinct entities, with a spatial and temporal existence, operating on sensory input and memory. We don't know if any of that is true - we don't know if there is any persistent entity, whether spatially or temporally.
I'm not saying there's "nothing" that we could label consciousness. I'm saying we have no way of suggesting whether or not our idea of ourselves as an entity that experiences events and acts on them (even just mentally) is meaningfully connected to reality.
My point in making that argument is that it doesn't matter - absent any better information, the only thing that makes sense for us is to act on the basis that our consciousness is real, and interact with people on the basis that they're real and conscious, because it doesn't matter whether or not it is an illusion if we can not "see past the veil".
This is incidentally also the classical response to philosophical idealism: Sure, maybe all our senses lie to us, but since everything acts as if we're in a materialist world, it doesn't matter.
It remains possible that at some point we find something that lets us lift the veil, and peer out into something "outside" our present reality. But that possibility does not change anything until and unless it becomes reality.
It does not follow that " a purely bioelectrical system at least is able to reproduce an entity that believes itself to be conscious" simply because you believe yourself to be conscious. A human simply being purely bioelectrical is the very thing in question. Further, a belief, as somethign abstract, is not something that a bioelectrical system could in principle capture, and that we do know, in such a scenario there is no 'you' to be 'pleased' any more than a rock could be.
"thought = :triangularity"
That is simply some LCD pixels on my screen. What you define it to be has absolutely no bearing on the physical implementation of the pixels. You could likewise define it to be a partial sentence on 3d polygonal mesh generation from a math phd thesis or any number of other interpretations. Any interpretation you make is IN YOUR HEAD. Not in the physical instantiation (the LCD pixels or memory the transistors of the RAM).
The problem here is that you don't understand the point.
> It does not follow that " a purely bioelectrical system at least is able to reproduce an entity that believes itself to be conscious" simply because you believe yourself to be conscious
You are right, that does not follow. It does however follow that if we are purely bioelectric systems, and that is sufficient for us to believe ourselves to be conscious, then it is reasonable to presume that a clone of such a system will presume itself to be conscious. That is the claim I was making.
> A human simply being purely bioelectrical is the very thing in question.
You cut of "If the brain is purely bioelectrical" from the part you quoted above, and so what you attacked above was a strawman of your own making, and not the argument I made.
> That is simply some LCD pixels on my screen. What you define it to be has absolutely no bearing on the physical implementation of the pixels.
That is entirely irrelevant. It is a representation of an implementation of an symbolic representation of an abstract thought in a programming language that runs on a Turing machine (it is valid Ruby). As such it is proof that a turing machine can represent abstract thought.
> The problem here is that you don't understand the point.
We clearly do not understand each other, but so far I have seen nothing to suggest that you have a meaningful argument. You're trying to create a distinction between the abstract and an instantiation of the idea to create a separation that makes representing the abstract notion in a computational device impossible. But representing abstract thought in symbolic form is something humanity has been capable of four hundreds if not thousands of years at a minimum. The point is that abstraction and symbolic representation does not get any less real because you invent additional intermediate steps.
Sure, what you read appeared to you as some LCD pixels on your screen, but that does not make it any less a symbolic representation of the abstract idea, rather than an interpretation of the idea. If you fail to understand it and instead interpret it as a sentence on 3d polygonal mesh generation is irrelevant - it does not change the abstract notion, any more than misinterpreting a thought changes the original thought.
You argued we could not represent anything but an interpretation of an abstract idea. The above is proof this is not true, because any abstract idea can be exchanged for a symbol representing that idea, and the symbol can be accurately reproduced.
This is a foundational aspect of communications, of symbolic logic, of linguistics, and a whole range of other scientific disciplines, because it is such a central aspect of the ability for human discourse about abstract ideas.
If you want to attack AI there are many angles to take - we do not know whether or not consciousness requires some form of dualism for example, hence my constant qualifications ("if the brain is purely bio-electrical") about it. That's a weak spot.
But our ability to represent abstract ideas in computation is not one of the weak spots. It's one of the easiest parts of AI, or indeed of any computation.
The understanding of how to represent abstract notion by symbolic substitution is old enough that you see that transition happening in language going back thousands of years, when concrete concepts starts being used as symbols of abstract ideas.
That does not follow either for if we are purely bio-electrical then we can not have beliefs.
Strawman? What?
Programming languages running on turing machines are abstract entities, they only exist in your mind, not in reality. The physical machine just shuffles electrons around.
Abstract Thought -> Symbolic Representation -> Physical Implementation.
The right hand side is not the left hand side. Any right hand side implements an infinite left hand sides and there is no way for you to pick out the correct one simply from the physics. I have never written the word representation before in this exchange, yet you claim i have. Stop doing that.
You wont get it. This is a standard part of philosophy of mind. Look it up.
It is not a non-sequitor, it follows from the concepts, something being worth doing is not a part of physics/math. If math/physics is all you have then you have no "worth doing".
if we are simulated entities then there is no "we". 'we' do not have existence. that would indeed make life not worth living, on account of there not being a life there in the first place
If we are simulated entities, then the fact that I at least live a pleasant life would show that it is perfectly possible to have a pleasant, worthwhile simulated life.
> You can simulate digestion with a turing machine all you want, but that simulation wont digest any food.
Because food is a physical item. Ideas and abstract concepts are not and can be communicated in a format that's fully compatible with a simulated consciousness. There is no reason that wouldn't be possible aside from mechanisms that are, or at least appear, supernatural.
Banks is referencing the idea of "vitalism" - that living things have some special quality that nonliving things lack. It's kind of like a soul: it doesn't come from any particular ability of living things (like your example of projecting an abstract).
A thinking vitalist would say that, even if a computer could do the thing you're talking about, it wouldn't be "conscious" because consciousness requires this aura that only living creatures possess.
And vitalism fails because alleged vital property is undefined or tautological.
The most fun offshoot is philosophers moving qualia (perception-associations) out of the realm of neuroscience just enough every time there's an advancement.
People in this debate miss a subtle issue, and it causes no end of confusion. The subtle issue is this. There is a difference between (1) accidentally building a computer which happens to think, and (2) intentionally building a computer which thinks, and knowing that it thinks.
Obviously (1) is possible, because for any particular configuration of atoms, it is theoretically possible for someone to assemble atoms together in that configuration. I could randomly put atoms together and, by sheer luck, assemble a living, breathing Abraham Lincoln. But since it happened by random chance, I wouldn't know for sure that this was really a living, breathing Abraham Lincoln. I might observe it for awhile and notice that, golly, it sure does seem to be a living, breathing Abraham Lincoln. But I could never rule out the possibility that it only looks like that initially and that it'll eventually collapse or fall into some infinite loop or something.
Intentionally building a machine and KNOWING that it has such-and-such properties of a thinking machine, is much more interesting. Such KNOWING is, itself, an act of thinking, and so there arises an interplay between the thinking of the created machine, and the thinking of the creator. Then you can start asking questions about whether the created machine, being a thinker, could also itself intentionally create another thinking machine, and so on.
If you're tired of the endless non-productive debate about whether thinking machines are possible, and you'd like to go to the next level, and take steps toward actually quantifying things, I'd invite you to read some papers I've written on the subject. To lessen the learning curve, here are some very approachable slides, and if you like those slides, you can click through to one of the papers. https://semitrivial.github.io/MeasuringIntelligence2019.pdf
Isn't this the same as the "problem of other minds"? How do I know that YOU mr xamuel are actually sentient?!
If we get to the point where a machine demonstrates "sufficiently" complex behavior, society will quickly accept them as sentient. This is something we are primed to do. Hell, people ascribe all sorts of intentionality to their dog.
After a few years, society at large will accept these machines as sentient, and it'll be the same philosophers arguing about "but are they REALLY sentient" that have been arguing the problem of other minds since ... Gorgias in 4th century BC?
You raise a really interesting point / distinction. I'm just arguing that society will race past this question without hesitation.
Re: wouldn't society race past this question without hesitation [if someone got lucky and produced what appears to be strong AI by just randomly throwing atoms together]?
Yes, and in fact some people would argue that is precisely what has in fact happened, the random atom-throwing-together process being called "evolution". And as you point out, philosophers would continue to debate about "is it REALLY strong AI?", just as nowadays philosophers debate about whether humans are machines or not.
These hypothetical debates will always exist, nothing will ever change that, not even if someone randomly creates a true strong AI by sheer luck.
My point is that there's a whole other half of the field, which ISN'T doomed to perpetual fruitless philosophical debating. The question of whether intelligent machines can exist is one that is doomed to fruitless debates forever. But the question of whether we can build specific machines and know with mathematical certainty how quantitatively intelligent they are---that is a much more fruitful area where progress can be made, theorems can be proved, mathematics can be applied, etc.
Unfortunately there's no agreement that we can actually quantify intelligence in a useful way, and believing that "ability to reason" and intelligence are synonymous, never mind evidence of sentience, is clearly incorrect.
Whatever human intelligence is, it has multiple dimensions, and being "able to reason" - whatever you assume that means - is a tiny element of a bigger picture.
It's practically a universal law of AI that proponents of AI inevitably understand AI in terms of their own niche interests - whether those are chess, go, e-sports, music, or driving. Only a field like CS could conceive of a test where the ability to emulate a conversation by typing lines of text on a terminal might be considered an indicator of operational sentience.
In reality all but the absolutely dumbest humans can operate a body fairly effortlessly, feed themselves and keep themselves clean, express characteristic preferences and act on them with agency, read and respond to human expressions and emotional cues, communicate internal emotional and psychological states verbally and non-verbally, improvise solutions to simple problems, maintain a fairly consistent emotional and psychological outlook that nonetheless develops over time, and make occasional surprising and unexpected - but not inhumanly weird - statements, observations, and actions.
How much of that is considered "being able to reason"?
If there's a way to quantify ability in all of the above, I'm not aware of it.
As a whole, an AGI is so general that we'll probably never be able to quantify its intelligence level. But we can quantify the intelligence of various "cross sections" of an AGI. As an extremely simple example, whatever the heck an AGI is, presumably an AGI can play chess. Therefore, we could instruct an AGI to compete in chess games and we could compute its Elo rating. This wouldn't be a measure of the AGI as a whole, but it would be a measure of the AGI as a chess-player.
More generally, we can consider the AGI to be a reinforcement learning agent: not that the AGI reduces to nothing but a reinforcement learning agent (that would be ridiculous), but rather, whatever the heck an AGI is, an AGI would certainly be capable of performing in reinforcement learning environments. Various methods have been proposed to measure RL agent intelligence, ranging from more practical to more philosophical.
Again, an AGI can be considered as a knowing agent, and identified with the formal set of mathematical theorems it knows in some language. Again, this isn't to say that's ALL the AGI is---that would be absurd. But it is one facet of the AGI. Whatever the heck the AGI is, it presumably knows some set of mathematical theorems in any given language (possibly the empty set, possibly a non-consistent set, etc.) There are various ways of classifying and even quantifying sets of mathematical theorems in a given language. See the slides I linked above for some details on this particular cross section.
> Only a field like CS could conceive of a test where the ability to emulate a conversation by typing lines of text on a terminal might be considered an indicator of operational sentience
Turing first wrote of that test in 1950. I don't think text was the primary way computers were interacted with back than, so if anything, it might be more plausible that cause for coming up with that interface was precisely because it's something that human-like intelligence is well-suited for rather than the reverse.
> Only a field like CS could conceive of a test where the ability to emulate a conversation by typing lines of text on a terminal might be considered an indicator of operational sentience
The point of using the terminal is to double-blind the role of the Judge. They have to decide whether they are communicating with a person or a machine - doing it face to face would rather give the game away.
When people imagine what a Turing Test conversation would look like, they frequently underestimate the conversation. I find Dennet's example of an imaginary Turing Test from Consciousness Explained to be a good counterexample:
Judge: Did you hear about the Irishman who found a magic lamp? When he rubbed it a genie appeared and granted him three wishes. “I’ll have a pint of Guiness!” the Irishman replied and immediately it appeared. The Irishman eagerly set to sipping and then gulping, but the level of Guiness in the glass was always magically restored. After a while the genie became impatient. “Well, what about your second wish?” he asked. Replied the Irishman between gulps, “Oh well, I guess I’ll have another one of these.”
CHINESE ROOM: Very funny. No, I hadn’t heard it– but you know I find ethnic jokes in bad taste. I laughed in spite of myself, but really, I think you should find other topics for us to discuss.
J: Fair enough but I told you the joke because I want you to explain it to me.
CR: Boring! You should never explain jokes.
J: Nevertheless, this is my test question. Can you explain to me how and why the joke “works”?
CR: If you insist. You see, it depends on the assumption that the magically refilling glass will go on refilling forever, so the Irishman has all the stout he can ever drink. So he hardly has a reason for wanting a duplicate but he is so stupid (that’s the part I object to) or so besotted by the alcohol that he doesn’t recognize this, and so, unthinkingly endorsing his delight with his first wish come true, he asks for seconds. These background assumptions aren’t true, of course, but just part of the ambient lore of joke-telling, in which we suspend our disbelief in magic and so forth. By the way we could imagine a somewhat labored continuation in which the Irishman turned out to be “right” in his second wish after all, perhaps he’s planning to throw a big party and one glass won’t refill fast enough to satisfy all his thirsty guests (and it’s no use saving it up in advance– we all know how stale stout loses its taste). We tend not to think of such complications which is part of the explanation of why jokes work. Is that enough?
Dennett: “The fact is that any program that could actually hold up its end in the conversation depicted would have to be an extraordinary supple, sophisticated, and multilayered system, brimming with “world knowledge” and meta-knowledge and meta-meta-knowledge about its own responses, the likely responses of its interlocutor, and much, much more…. Maybe the billions of actions of all those highly structured parts produce genuine understanding in the system after all.”
> I could never rule out the possibility that it only looks like that initially and that it'll eventually collapse or fall into some infinite loop or something
I don't put much stock in that possibility. Physicalism essentially closes the door on p-zombies, no?
Until we solve the hard problem of consciousness, the door on p-zombies is wide open. It's arrogant to assume that just because you are conscious, everyone else must be conscious like you. Maybe consciousness is caused by a particular benevolent parasite living in your gut, and whoever lacks that parasite lacks consciosness.
> It's arrogant to assume that just because you are conscious, everyone else must be conscious like you.
It's far more arrogant to assume you're the odd one out. There's a reason we never use that kind of thinking. The following reasoning is clearly absurd:
I think I'm immune from radiation sickness. I know we have no evidence that anyone in history has been immune, but I've never been exposed, so I'm going to assume I'm immune.
> Maybe consciousness is caused by a particular benevolent parasite living in your gut, and whoever lacks that parasite lacks consciosness.
You could go with that explanation, but it's far more complex than necessary, which is a good indicator that it's not true.
A physicist won't be able to disprove the suggestion that gravity will only exist for as long as the Invisible Pink Unicorn wills it to exist. So what?
We can be pretty confident that consciousness arises from the normal activity of the brain. We can temporarily shut it down with anaesthetics, and see the diminished activity in parts of the brain.
>It's far more arrogant to assume you're the odd one out.
I didn't say you should assume that either. You shouldn't assume either one until you have some reason to do so.
>A physicist won't be able to disprove the suggestion that gravity will only exist for as long as the Invisible Pink Unicorn wills it to exist. So what?
If I had some way of knowing which people are conscious, and I observed that everyone currently living and everyone in the past was always conscious, then it would indeed be silly for me to suggest that tomorrow many non-conscious people will be born --- as silly as your Invisible Pink Unicorn example. But the fact is, I do NOT know that anyone other than myself is conscious. I assume they are for the sake of adjudicating ethical dilemmas, but I only actually have that empirical data for myself.
>We can temporarily shut [consciousness] down with anaesthetics, and see the diminished activity in parts of the brain.
Here you seem to be assuming consciousness is identified with certain brain activities, but that's begging the question. For example, that would rule out computer simulations from being conscious, since you couldn't detect said brain activity in said computer. But it's far from settled whether or not consciousness is impossible in a computer simulation, in fact, many people think it IS possible. So unless you know something a lot of experts don't know, there isn't enough evidence to equate consciousness with certain brain activity.
I'm not sure (1) is 'obviously possible'. Supposing there's a finite number of atomic configurations that produce Abraham Lincoln, there's still an infinite number of atomic configurations so you're probability is strictly zero, no? It's not even an 'age of the universe to achieve' type event. And that assumes that your random throwing together of atoms includes the physical preconditions to create an Abraham Lincoln. For instance, if you were sitting in the middle of a black hole randomly assembling atoms I'm pretty sure it's physically impossible to create an Abraham Lincoln.
Put more simply: if we assume the human mind to be material, and deterministic, then by definition it is possible to replicate it in a computer (at least one with infinite resources).
At the same time, contrary to the popular media narrative, today's "AI" is still lightyears away from that.
Strongly agree. Banks expresses those points well.
The piece fails to account for that we already know that it's possible for physical entities to think, and to make independent decision. We know this because human beings exist.
No good reason is offered to justify the idea that the difference in intelligence between humans and computers is a difference of category, rather than merely a difference of (ever shrinking) degree.
From the article:
> The intellectual incoherence of believing that computers can think or make independent decisions is self-evident
Nonsense. This is a very strong claim about the universe, or rather, one of two equally silly claims:
* That general intelligence relies upon the process of evolution by natural selection, and that it can never even in principle arise from a process of deliberate design
* That general intelligence relies upon a particular substrate, specifically neurons, and that it cannot be achieved with other substrates, such as transistors
Such a claim cannot be justified with a hand-wavey appeal to intuition, or with arguments about moral accountability, which are all the author has to offer.
Also, this next quote strikes me as misleading. Perhaps someone more knowledgeable than me can confirm/disconfirm my take:
> chess prowess depends on players’ ability to recognize general situations that are in some sense “like” ones they’ve seen before, either over the board or in books. Again, the computer largely sidestepped what is most significant for humans, and hence for the game, by analyzing every position from scratch, and relying on speed to make up for its weakness at gestalt pattern recognition.
That may be true of chess, but what about Go? As I understand it, the reason computers can now play Go effectively (i.e. Alpha Go), is that a breakthrough was made in discarding unpromising subtrees of the game's possible progression, allowing effective moves to be selected relatively efficiently. That's not brute-force. That's precisely the kind of clever trick we'd expect from a skilled human player.
The whole piece strikes me as poorly considered. The thoughts of Dan Dennett are far more worthwhile. If you've read this far, you may enjoy a quick read of the Wikipedia article on Dennett's intentional stance. [0]
Dennett also makes the relevant observation that mankind is constantly creating machines with general intelligence and moral accountability: other human beings. This ties back to the article's points about moral accountability.
What’s frustrating about this article is how sparse it is. I could only bother to waste five minutes on it before giving up. Where’s the meat? You aren’t going to convince anyone with 150 year old platitudes. I need proof. I’m sure anyone quoting a mathematician would appreciate the value of that.
The assumptions that humans are intelligent and self-aware, and can understand each other are often left unspoken because actually pretty hard to support with anything but the subjective experience of "Well, I certainly am self-aware, and possess of intellect, and can understand and be understood by other people who obviously are also self-aware, intelligent, and can understand me and can be understood by me". Ha, "people understand each other", what a joyous fiction! Any one who ever attended any meeting with customers or high officials, or parents of your S.O. can attest to the opposite.
Well, speaking as an atheist who would like to think that the brain is purely cause and effect, what this boils down to is whether or not you believe that, or if you believe that somehow there are souls, and "something" interacts with a brain and imbues it with something we can't simulate that causes consciousness.
It's tempting to call that bullshit, but we don't know what consciousness is, and it's proving very elusive to find a physical way to explain it. And, hey, maybe we're all in a simulation and our minds are simulated outside the main simulation and so the only "conscious" entities are those with an external simulation feeding data into our universe. I'd tend to to think that rather than "ancestor simulations" like in the simulation argument, it's more likely we're in some game in that case.
Even a purely physical explanation does not preclude some physical process we're unaware of that involves some interaction with something physical that is in effect a black box from our point of view, and something we may not be able to replicate from "inside" the observable universe. E.g. imagine we're constrained to however many dimensions, but consciousness involves a process partially outside "our" dimensions.
Ultimately I'd like to think we find a purely physical/mechanistic model of consciousness that allows us to replicate it in software; the slightly less optimistic view is that we'll need some specialized hardware. The pessimistic view is that there's something involved that means it takes something very similar to a squishy biological brain to tap into whatever gives rise to consciousness. But we could also hit a wall.
> Well, speaking as an atheist who would like to think that the brain is purely cause and effect,
Even if you believe there are souls created by God, you also believe that you can reliably cause (provoke? induce?) God to create a soul and attach it to a specific bit of matter, by merely engaging in a certain pleasurable activity.
Supposing that we could create an artificial life form with the same brain structures as a human, God could certainly create and attach a soul if he chose. Given his general willingness to create souls in response to our actions, is there a strong reason to believe he wouldn't imbue a machine capable of human-like thought with a soul?
And, how would we know whether this had happened or not? If we can't create a test capable of distinguishing a group of atoms with a soul from a group of atoms without a soul, isn't it safer to treat them both the same?
> Supposing that we could create an artificial life form with the same brain structures as a human, God could certainly create and attach a soul if he chose. Given his general willingness to create souls in response to our actions, is there a strong reason to believe he wouldn't imbue a machine capable of human-like thought with a soul?
I'd say we have no way of telling. "God" or a game engine or whatever is creating those "souls" might be someone looking on with bemusement and enjoying adding souls to anything we want to see what we come up with, or might be someone who takes great offense we're meddling in their business, or might be a dumb rules engine that insists on a specific biological interaction to happen just so before it instantiates another object. Or there might be some weird quantum mechanical interaction we don't understand that gets triggered that happens to interact with another dimension. Or a bored teenager needs to go out and get another USB dongle to upgrade the number of "soul simulators" their game allows. Or an endless number of other possibilities.
> And, how would we know whether this had happened or not? If we can't create a test capable of distinguishing a group of atoms with a soul from a group of atoms without a soul, isn't it safer to treat them both the same?
Currently we don't. I don't even know if you're conscious. We don't understand intelligence well enough to reliably test for intelligence, and we don't understand well enough how intelligence relates to consciousness or whether there is a meaningful distinction.
We have found plenty of ways to affect our core consciousness via physical means - there are chemicals which makes us trust people, surgeries which cause memory loss, tumors which cause people to relieve childhood memories and so on...
I have a hard time believing that, for example, external simulation would have a “feature” that causes people to remember childhood memories when a tumor grows in a certain part of the brain. A much likely explanation IMHO that memories are really stored directly in the brain.
I tend to agree with you that odds are that our brains as purely bio-electric artefacts are enough to explain intelligence and consciousness. I'd like to think so. This could be the case even if we live in a simulation, by the way.
But that we seem to evidence that most of brain function reside in the brain does not mean we can conclusively say that there's no extra element to it that we don't understand.
Note that I am much more comfortable with the idea that it's all basic hardware; the big point here is not that a "soul" or external simulation or whatever is the most likely explanation, but to illustrate just how thoroughly we really have no idea what causes consciousness, or even whether consciousness really is meaningfully a thing. It's a big gaping whole in our understanding of the world that we're just being in the very infancy of trying to attack.
The main issue is that intelligence isn't well-defined. Laymen can't agree on a definition. Specialists from different fields (say, psychology, neuroscience, computer science, developmental biologists and animal behavioral biologists) can't agree either. More egregiously, specialists within a single field can't agree either. For all the 1994 manifestos people like to throw at people in internet arguments, it doesn't mean everyone in the field (which was mostly psychologists and little else) agreed with it and it doesn't mean the people who did sign it could pin down what they said onto a single definition that made sense from both a scientifical and general understanding.
“ This was the very question that consumed Arnold, filled him with guilt, eventually drove him mad. The answer always seemed obvious to me. There is no threshold that makes us greater than the sum of our parts, no inflection point at which we become fully alive. We can't define consciousness because consciousness does not exist. Humans fancy that there's something special about the way we perceive the world, and yet we live in loops as tight and as closed as the hosts do.”
- Robert Ford (Anthony Hopkins)
It's conflating conscious awareness with the existence or non-existence of free will. It's conscious awareness that is the ineffable mystery, unless you believe the chair you're sitting on actually feels you sitting on it. I mean, it has to if you believe the mind is nothing but atoms, because the chair is also nothing but atoms. There isn't such a thing as emergent properties, or neurons, those are just models we use to understand bunches of atoms.
In the same way I accept that I can eat some leaves, but not rocks, that mercury is a liquid at room temperature while steel is a solid, and that the latter can be configured into a car I can drive around in, I accept that some collections of atoms may posess the property of awareness without necessitating that all do.
The brain, like the objects you described, poses no mystery to physics. There isn't anything about the atoms in the brain that suggests there would be consciousness, or indeed, anything in physics that predicts consciousness arising, the way that the properties of any other macro object can be understood in terms of physics.
Common fallacies about computing and agency aside I personally believe intelligence is a spectrum and an emergent phenomenon is the most convincing hypothesis. We have already seen grizzly brain damage or defect cases that result in "missing" aspects. We don't even know all subparts and interactions of our own let alone what hypothetical alternative arrangements could be made - even before its processes engage in repurposing.
That however doesn't tell us much until/unless we find a hypothetical threshold and refine it.
So various physical and chemical elements can form ever more complex pattern-recognizing feedback loops and end up like the conscious beings that we are, but it's not possible for us to further evolve via/with technology?
That doesn't make much sense.
This all depends on the lenses on see this through.
If one takes the perspective that evolution is a way for our genes to "find ever better vessels for the information carried in our DNA" then it seems like the meatvessel we are isn't the most optimal for the future.
An interesting question is perhaps to ask when did our species become "conscious"? Neanderthal? Erectus? Habilis? Our last common ancestor with chimpanzee?
It would seem to me that these were all "conscious" in some way and that there is a continuum of this "consciousness" thing whatever it is.
My current thinking is that higher level "consciousness" is about levels of self-awareness. I can be self-aware, but am I aware that I am self-aware?
This implies to me that there must be some mechanisms that provide the ability to get input from ones own processes to begin to form consciousness. Feedback loops of some sort. I have a sense that given the right quantity and nature of feedback sensing abilities combined with a neural network, appropriately biased to some goal like self preservation, a form of consciousness could emerge. (?)
It's not pure speculation at all - it's a very active field of research that currently points to the fact that consciousness is a spectrum.
There are animals that recognise themselves in the mirror and have a clear concept of self versus other. There is evidence for plants communicating with each other by various means.
So asking "when did our species become conscious?" is akin to asking "when did you become an adult?" and expecting a specific date or event as a reply...
I think the answer to that is the same as when did we become human. I.e. we are still getting more and more conscious and technology is part of that growing consciousness.
> various physical and chemical elements can form ever more complex pattern-recognizing feedback loops
You're not being reductionist enough. The brain is just atoms. 'Feedback loops' is just a model, and not actually real. The problem is that physics never predicted that consciousness would arise, there is literally no physical model for what consciousness is.
I think for me the article hit peak "oh come on" when it said this:
> In fact, the computer does not play chess at all, let alone championship chess. Chess is a game that has evolved over centuries to pose a tough but not utterly discouraging challenge to humans, with regard to specifically human strengths and weaknesses. One human capacity it challenges is the ability to concentrate; another is memory; a third is what chess players call sitzfleisch—the ability to resist the fatigue of sitting still for hours. The computer knows nothing of any of these.
The author is complaining that airplanes don't flap their wings and submarines don't swim. Sure, it's technically correct, but it doesn't change the fact that airplanes are useful and distinguishing "flying [airplane style]" from "flying [bird style]" usually isn't.
This gets particularly egregious when the author talks about military robots:
> “The next ethical minefield is where the intelligent machine, not the man, makes the kill decision,” it reads. But no existing or presently conceivable robot will ever make such a decision. Whether a computer kills a man or dispenses a candy bar, it will do so because its program
Ah, the robot is killing me "because of its program". It's not DECIDING [HUMAN] it's only deciding [computer]. What a relief. Problem solved.
> The “should a man or a robot decide?” debate, then, is wrongly framed. The only correct question is whether the person making the decision will be the designer-programmer of the robot or an operator working with the robot at the moment of its use.
There are endless examples of human decisions to create computer systems not anticipating the computer decisions that those systems make. It's useful to then be able to say things like "the car decided to not do anything, to debounce the am-about-to-hit-something signal, which resulted in the death of the cyclist" without having to constantly qualify with "the decision was implemented by a series of hard-coded if-else statements and while loops". Wasting everyone's time with the triviality "an if-then statement isn't a DECISION [HUMAN] it's only a DECISION [COMPUTER]" is not a useful contribution to this particular debate.
Applying human thinking terms to computer systems is a useful shorthand. It's not going away.
I agree with the main point of the article, but I think that it misses the bigger picture.
> The computer can’t think
I completely agree that our current software cannot think, at least in a complex way like humans do. But, our computers can execute Turing Complete programs. Is human logic beyond that? That will be an incredible discovery if we could assure that 'Human intelligence' > 'Turing Complete'. My bet is that such a thing does not exist.
If you take all computers, phones, etc. and you were able to run on them just one shared program. Is that not enough computing power to be able to think? My bet is that probably it is. Human brains are NOT infinitely complex.
> When they succeed, we will be back in the situation so lamented by Pollack: that of seeing an AI “breakthrough” or “major advance” as just more software, which is what it will be.
Or, we are going to discover that humans can't "think" either. That you can print, in a very big book, all the logic that makes us tick. And this makes sense. We have already discovered quite a lot of tricks that our visual system uses to identify images. And it is full of shortcuts and assumptions. And we cannot change that, if the illusion makes you think that a line is longer than the other, there is no mental power that allows us to see the truth even when we have the knowledge.
Machines are not magical, I agree with the main point of the article. It is just that humans are either. We are matter that can think, and that is a great thing but not magical.
I think therefore matter can think. I always liked this truism, as it removes quite a lot of magic from the idea of "thinking".
A raspberry pi, in being turing complete, has the ability to simulate the fastest supercomputer ever built (just give it a big enough harddrive to capture the RAM). More speed does not give you any extra ability in causing a computer to be able to thing. If that was possible (it isnt) then it would be the software doing all the job, not the speed of the hardware.
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[ 3.1 ms ] story [ 147 ms ] threadCertainly there are arguments against the possibility of [strong] Artificial Intelligence, but they tend to boil down to one of three assertions: one, that there is some vital field or other presently intangible influence exclusive to biological life - perhaps even carbon-based biological life - which may eventually fall within the remit of scientific understanding but which cannot be emulated in any other form (all of which is neither impossible nor likely); two, that self-awareness resides in a supernatural soul - presumably linked to a broad-based occult system involving gods or a god, reincarnation or whatever - and which one assumes can never be understood scientifically (equally improbable, though I do write as an atheist); and, three, that matter cannot become self-aware (or more precisely that it cannot support any informational formulation which might be said to be self-aware or taken together with its material substrate exhibit the signs of self-awareness). ...I leave all the more than nominally self-aware readers to spot the logical problem with that argument.
There is. The ability to instantiate one specific abstract into a physical item. An abstract can for example be the idea of triangularity and the physical substrate will be the brain.
No AI running on a typical Turing machine can do that. For any idea you believe you have instantiated into the machine you can come up with an alternative interpretation of what you actually have instantiated.
This means that any physical system alone underdetermines the abstract thing it is supposed to be an instantiation of. You can for example likely find a pattern within the atoms of the wall behind you that could be said to be an instantiation of the quicksort algorithm. Or it's just a wall. The physical item itself is silent on the matter.
From what do you posit this ability to "instantiate one specific abstract into a physical item" comes from, and why do you think only wetware can do it?
Reading it again, I think you might be talking about Qualia.
It is what Aristotle called the intellectual soul, not qualia. Qualia is an experience and has no relation to holding abstract concepts. As I already wrote, Turing machines cannot do it for they suffer from multiple realizability, any abstract concept can be implemented in multiple physical constructs and any physical construct can be interpreted to be any number of different abstract items. I have not written that only "wetware" can do it, I have written that turing machines cannot do it and that no purely physical construct can do it (including purely newtonian/quantum wetware).
The phrase you've quoted is talking about whether there is something supernatural in the construction of a brain that gives rise to the consciousness, e.g. a soul.
The point being that if the brain is "just" bioelectrical hardware, there is very little reason to think we can not eventually reverse engineer it. But if there's a "secret black box" element to consciousness that exists outside the real of the possibility for us to examine and recreate it, then that is a separate issue.
"Intelligence" is the "easy" part - there's no reason to think we can not eventually simulate reasoning to a sufficient fidelity; dealing with symbolic manipulation of abstractions is certainly not impossible.
Consciousness is the big question, because we don't know what it is.
You can simulate digestion with a turing machine all you want, but that simulation wont digest any food. Likewise you can simulate the neurons in a brain but that simulation can not be an instantiation of the concept of triangularity.
may I introduce you to our local nihilist club
If the brain is not just bioelectrical hardware, then we have the problem of whatever it might "interface with" can be influenced and copied, and we don't even know if there is anything to interface with and copy.
> You can simulate digestion with a turing machine all you want, but that simulation wont digest any food. Likewise you can simulate the neurons in a brain but that simulation can not be an instantiation of the concept of triangularity.
This is an utterly meaningless paragraph. If we build a robot we most certainly could build one that actually digests food. To my knowledge we can't yet do so without actually losing energy rather than gaining it, but that is an issue with the efficiency of the engineering, no fundamental blocker. If in software, it wouldn't digest any food, sure, but it also would have no need to, and that has no parallel to the second part of your paragraph.
The "concept of triangularity" can certainly be simulated in an abstract manner. It doesn't even take a complex system. AI doing symbolic manipulation of abstract concepts is one of the earliest things we tried. It's not the hard part. The hard part is actually reasoning about those concepts, inferring them, being able to act on them and talk about them. But that too is orthogonal to solving the issue of what consciousness actually is.
Us not knowing exactly how something works has never stopped us before from looking into it.
With "a simulation of digestion" I specifically mean a software simulation, not a hardware simulation. I assure you I had a meaning with the text I wrote, it is not meaningless. The meaning is for me to say, your interpretation of it (and this is the point) underdetermines the meaning of it. You fully determine what i meant simply from the characters on the screen. Physical instantiations of abstract items work the same way. An item needing to do something is irrelevant of it being able to, a software simulation of food does not actually digest food. A software simulation of abstract concepts do not actually instantiate them.
I am repeating myself again but any AI system you believe to have instantiated the abstract concept of triangularity is just an interpretation on your part to having done so, you might as well interpret it to simply being a room heating device or the implementation of some other algorithm that also matches the behaviour.
Do you believe you are conscious? I believe I am conscious. If the brain is purely bioelectrical, then a purely bioelectrical system at least is able to reproduce an entity that believes itself to be conscious.
Whether there is a meaningful distinction between that and "actual" consciousness is something we simply don't know, because we don't have a way of measuring whether or not another entity actually is conscious, whatever we take that to mean.
Maybe that belief that I am conscious is flawed and merely an illusion, but if copying my mind could allow that illusion to persist forever, then my illusion of consciousness would still be quite pleased with that outcome. That is quite enough for me.
> I am repeating myself again but any AI system you believe to have instantiated the abstract concept of triangularity is just an interpretation on your part to having done so, you might as well interpret it to simply being a room heating device or the implementation of some other algorithm that also matches the behaviour.
Here is an implementation of the abstract concept of triangularity that does not involve an interpretation of what it means or an instantiation of the concept, merely a symbol that describes the abstract concept as it is:
I define the symbol :triangularity to refer to the abstract concept, so it does. I can manipulate that concept with or without making any interpretation as to what the concept actually means.Symbolic manipulation of abstract ideas is trivially easy. The idea that we can't is ludicrous. The challenge comes when we try to interpret and reason about specific concrete interpretations, not in holding an abstract concept - we've known how to communicate abstract concepts as data without instantiating an interpretation since at least the moment we could write.
You're attacking AI on the basis of one of the problems that are easiest to solve. Symbolic manipulation of abstract concepts with computers in a meaningful form dates back to at least the 50's. The ease with which we can do that was part of much of the early misguided hope of a rapid revolution in general artificial intelligence.
That's the Dennett nonsense. Of course our sense inputs are an illusion, it's that there is anything being perceived at all that is the mystery! :
DENNETT: So you see, Socrates, consciousness is an illusion.
SOCRATES: I see, but I need to clarify something. What do you mean by illusion?
DENNETT: An illusion is an appearance contrary to reality.
SOCRATES: And what is an appearance?
DENNETT: An appearance is something that is apprehended by an observer.
SOCRATES: So consciousness is something that is apprehended by an observer which is contrary to reality.
DENNETT: But that cannot be, because then the observer would have to be conscious.
SOCRATES: Therefore, consciousness cannot be an illusion!
The point I was making is that we do not know what consciousness actually is. Until we do, we have no way of telling whether my impression of my own consciousness has any reasonable relation to the reality of it. It is meaningless to try to determine whether or not it is an illusion without first having an understanding of what consciousness is.
More directly to the argument I was addressing, the point is that whether or not the commenter I replied to is right and there'd be no "me" that could live on forever, that is really rather irrelevant to the "me" that believes I am conscious.
In other words: While I need clarity in what consciousness is to be able to even begin to address whether or not what I have is truly consciousness, it really doesn't matter to the question of whether or not whatever I am sees value in a process that'd let me live on.
Consciousness appears to us as if we are distinct entities, with a spatial and temporal existence, operating on sensory input and memory. We don't know if any of that is true - we don't know if there is any persistent entity, whether spatially or temporally.
I'm not saying there's "nothing" that we could label consciousness. I'm saying we have no way of suggesting whether or not our idea of ourselves as an entity that experiences events and acts on them (even just mentally) is meaningfully connected to reality.
My point in making that argument is that it doesn't matter - absent any better information, the only thing that makes sense for us is to act on the basis that our consciousness is real, and interact with people on the basis that they're real and conscious, because it doesn't matter whether or not it is an illusion if we can not "see past the veil".
This is incidentally also the classical response to philosophical idealism: Sure, maybe all our senses lie to us, but since everything acts as if we're in a materialist world, it doesn't matter.
It remains possible that at some point we find something that lets us lift the veil, and peer out into something "outside" our present reality. But that possibility does not change anything until and unless it becomes reality.
"thought = :triangularity"
That is simply some LCD pixels on my screen. What you define it to be has absolutely no bearing on the physical implementation of the pixels. You could likewise define it to be a partial sentence on 3d polygonal mesh generation from a math phd thesis or any number of other interpretations. Any interpretation you make is IN YOUR HEAD. Not in the physical instantiation (the LCD pixels or memory the transistors of the RAM).
The problem here is that you don't understand the point.
You are right, that does not follow. It does however follow that if we are purely bioelectric systems, and that is sufficient for us to believe ourselves to be conscious, then it is reasonable to presume that a clone of such a system will presume itself to be conscious. That is the claim I was making.
> A human simply being purely bioelectrical is the very thing in question.
You cut of "If the brain is purely bioelectrical" from the part you quoted above, and so what you attacked above was a strawman of your own making, and not the argument I made.
> That is simply some LCD pixels on my screen. What you define it to be has absolutely no bearing on the physical implementation of the pixels.
That is entirely irrelevant. It is a representation of an implementation of an symbolic representation of an abstract thought in a programming language that runs on a Turing machine (it is valid Ruby). As such it is proof that a turing machine can represent abstract thought.
> The problem here is that you don't understand the point.
We clearly do not understand each other, but so far I have seen nothing to suggest that you have a meaningful argument. You're trying to create a distinction between the abstract and an instantiation of the idea to create a separation that makes representing the abstract notion in a computational device impossible. But representing abstract thought in symbolic form is something humanity has been capable of four hundreds if not thousands of years at a minimum. The point is that abstraction and symbolic representation does not get any less real because you invent additional intermediate steps.
Sure, what you read appeared to you as some LCD pixels on your screen, but that does not make it any less a symbolic representation of the abstract idea, rather than an interpretation of the idea. If you fail to understand it and instead interpret it as a sentence on 3d polygonal mesh generation is irrelevant - it does not change the abstract notion, any more than misinterpreting a thought changes the original thought.
You argued we could not represent anything but an interpretation of an abstract idea. The above is proof this is not true, because any abstract idea can be exchanged for a symbol representing that idea, and the symbol can be accurately reproduced.
This is a foundational aspect of communications, of symbolic logic, of linguistics, and a whole range of other scientific disciplines, because it is such a central aspect of the ability for human discourse about abstract ideas.
If you want to attack AI there are many angles to take - we do not know whether or not consciousness requires some form of dualism for example, hence my constant qualifications ("if the brain is purely bio-electrical") about it. That's a weak spot.
But our ability to represent abstract ideas in computation is not one of the weak spots. It's one of the easiest parts of AI, or indeed of any computation.
The understanding of how to represent abstract notion by symbolic substitution is old enough that you see that transition happening in language going back thousands of years, when concrete concepts starts being used as symbols of abstract ideas.
Strawman? What?
Programming languages running on turing machines are abstract entities, they only exist in your mind, not in reality. The physical machine just shuffles electrons around.
Abstract Thought -> Symbolic Representation -> Physical Implementation.
The right hand side is not the left hand side. Any right hand side implements an infinite left hand sides and there is no way for you to pick out the correct one simply from the physics. I have never written the word representation before in this exchange, yet you claim i have. Stop doing that.
You wont get it. This is a standard part of philosophy of mind. Look it up.
You could digest simulated food.
You could also build a machine stomach to digest real food.
If you found out you were a simulation you’d be looking pretty dumb right now
Non-sequitor. You are certain to die, so there's no point in continued breathing?
Why would it change anything?
Because food is a physical item. Ideas and abstract concepts are not and can be communicated in a format that's fully compatible with a simulated consciousness. There is no reason that wouldn't be possible aside from mechanisms that are, or at least appear, supernatural.
A thinking vitalist would say that, even if a computer could do the thing you're talking about, it wouldn't be "conscious" because consciousness requires this aura that only living creatures possess.
The most fun offshoot is philosophers moving qualia (perception-associations) out of the realm of neuroscience just enough every time there's an advancement.
Obviously (1) is possible, because for any particular configuration of atoms, it is theoretically possible for someone to assemble atoms together in that configuration. I could randomly put atoms together and, by sheer luck, assemble a living, breathing Abraham Lincoln. But since it happened by random chance, I wouldn't know for sure that this was really a living, breathing Abraham Lincoln. I might observe it for awhile and notice that, golly, it sure does seem to be a living, breathing Abraham Lincoln. But I could never rule out the possibility that it only looks like that initially and that it'll eventually collapse or fall into some infinite loop or something.
Intentionally building a machine and KNOWING that it has such-and-such properties of a thinking machine, is much more interesting. Such KNOWING is, itself, an act of thinking, and so there arises an interplay between the thinking of the created machine, and the thinking of the creator. Then you can start asking questions about whether the created machine, being a thinker, could also itself intentionally create another thinking machine, and so on.
If you're tired of the endless non-productive debate about whether thinking machines are possible, and you'd like to go to the next level, and take steps toward actually quantifying things, I'd invite you to read some papers I've written on the subject. To lessen the learning curve, here are some very approachable slides, and if you like those slides, you can click through to one of the papers. https://semitrivial.github.io/MeasuringIntelligence2019.pdf
If we get to the point where a machine demonstrates "sufficiently" complex behavior, society will quickly accept them as sentient. This is something we are primed to do. Hell, people ascribe all sorts of intentionality to their dog.
After a few years, society at large will accept these machines as sentient, and it'll be the same philosophers arguing about "but are they REALLY sentient" that have been arguing the problem of other minds since ... Gorgias in 4th century BC?
You raise a really interesting point / distinction. I'm just arguing that society will race past this question without hesitation.
Re: wouldn't society race past this question without hesitation [if someone got lucky and produced what appears to be strong AI by just randomly throwing atoms together]?
Yes, and in fact some people would argue that is precisely what has in fact happened, the random atom-throwing-together process being called "evolution". And as you point out, philosophers would continue to debate about "is it REALLY strong AI?", just as nowadays philosophers debate about whether humans are machines or not.
These hypothetical debates will always exist, nothing will ever change that, not even if someone randomly creates a true strong AI by sheer luck.
My point is that there's a whole other half of the field, which ISN'T doomed to perpetual fruitless philosophical debating. The question of whether intelligent machines can exist is one that is doomed to fruitless debates forever. But the question of whether we can build specific machines and know with mathematical certainty how quantitatively intelligent they are---that is a much more fruitful area where progress can be made, theorems can be proved, mathematics can be applied, etc.
Whatever human intelligence is, it has multiple dimensions, and being "able to reason" - whatever you assume that means - is a tiny element of a bigger picture.
It's practically a universal law of AI that proponents of AI inevitably understand AI in terms of their own niche interests - whether those are chess, go, e-sports, music, or driving. Only a field like CS could conceive of a test where the ability to emulate a conversation by typing lines of text on a terminal might be considered an indicator of operational sentience.
In reality all but the absolutely dumbest humans can operate a body fairly effortlessly, feed themselves and keep themselves clean, express characteristic preferences and act on them with agency, read and respond to human expressions and emotional cues, communicate internal emotional and psychological states verbally and non-verbally, improvise solutions to simple problems, maintain a fairly consistent emotional and psychological outlook that nonetheless develops over time, and make occasional surprising and unexpected - but not inhumanly weird - statements, observations, and actions.
How much of that is considered "being able to reason"?
If there's a way to quantify ability in all of the above, I'm not aware of it.
More generally, we can consider the AGI to be a reinforcement learning agent: not that the AGI reduces to nothing but a reinforcement learning agent (that would be ridiculous), but rather, whatever the heck an AGI is, an AGI would certainly be capable of performing in reinforcement learning environments. Various methods have been proposed to measure RL agent intelligence, ranging from more practical to more philosophical.
Again, an AGI can be considered as a knowing agent, and identified with the formal set of mathematical theorems it knows in some language. Again, this isn't to say that's ALL the AGI is---that would be absurd. But it is one facet of the AGI. Whatever the heck the AGI is, it presumably knows some set of mathematical theorems in any given language (possibly the empty set, possibly a non-consistent set, etc.) There are various ways of classifying and even quantifying sets of mathematical theorems in a given language. See the slides I linked above for some details on this particular cross section.
Turing first wrote of that test in 1950. I don't think text was the primary way computers were interacted with back than, so if anything, it might be more plausible that cause for coming up with that interface was precisely because it's something that human-like intelligence is well-suited for rather than the reverse.
The point of using the terminal is to double-blind the role of the Judge. They have to decide whether they are communicating with a person or a machine - doing it face to face would rather give the game away.
When people imagine what a Turing Test conversation would look like, they frequently underestimate the conversation. I find Dennet's example of an imaginary Turing Test from Consciousness Explained to be a good counterexample:
Judge: Did you hear about the Irishman who found a magic lamp? When he rubbed it a genie appeared and granted him three wishes. “I’ll have a pint of Guiness!” the Irishman replied and immediately it appeared. The Irishman eagerly set to sipping and then gulping, but the level of Guiness in the glass was always magically restored. After a while the genie became impatient. “Well, what about your second wish?” he asked. Replied the Irishman between gulps, “Oh well, I guess I’ll have another one of these.”
CHINESE ROOM: Very funny. No, I hadn’t heard it– but you know I find ethnic jokes in bad taste. I laughed in spite of myself, but really, I think you should find other topics for us to discuss.
J: Fair enough but I told you the joke because I want you to explain it to me.
CR: Boring! You should never explain jokes.
J: Nevertheless, this is my test question. Can you explain to me how and why the joke “works”?
CR: If you insist. You see, it depends on the assumption that the magically refilling glass will go on refilling forever, so the Irishman has all the stout he can ever drink. So he hardly has a reason for wanting a duplicate but he is so stupid (that’s the part I object to) or so besotted by the alcohol that he doesn’t recognize this, and so, unthinkingly endorsing his delight with his first wish come true, he asks for seconds. These background assumptions aren’t true, of course, but just part of the ambient lore of joke-telling, in which we suspend our disbelief in magic and so forth. By the way we could imagine a somewhat labored continuation in which the Irishman turned out to be “right” in his second wish after all, perhaps he’s planning to throw a big party and one glass won’t refill fast enough to satisfy all his thirsty guests (and it’s no use saving it up in advance– we all know how stale stout loses its taste). We tend not to think of such complications which is part of the explanation of why jokes work. Is that enough?
Dennett: “The fact is that any program that could actually hold up its end in the conversation depicted would have to be an extraordinary supple, sophisticated, and multilayered system, brimming with “world knowledge” and meta-knowledge and meta-meta-knowledge about its own responses, the likely responses of its interlocutor, and much, much more…. Maybe the billions of actions of all those highly structured parts produce genuine understanding in the system after all.”
I don't put much stock in that possibility. Physicalism essentially closes the door on p-zombies, no?
It's far more arrogant to assume you're the odd one out. There's a reason we never use that kind of thinking. The following reasoning is clearly absurd:
I think I'm immune from radiation sickness. I know we have no evidence that anyone in history has been immune, but I've never been exposed, so I'm going to assume I'm immune.
> Maybe consciousness is caused by a particular benevolent parasite living in your gut, and whoever lacks that parasite lacks consciosness.
You could go with that explanation, but it's far more complex than necessary, which is a good indicator that it's not true.
A physicist won't be able to disprove the suggestion that gravity will only exist for as long as the Invisible Pink Unicorn wills it to exist. So what?
We can be pretty confident that consciousness arises from the normal activity of the brain. We can temporarily shut it down with anaesthetics, and see the diminished activity in parts of the brain.
I didn't say you should assume that either. You shouldn't assume either one until you have some reason to do so.
>A physicist won't be able to disprove the suggestion that gravity will only exist for as long as the Invisible Pink Unicorn wills it to exist. So what?
If I had some way of knowing which people are conscious, and I observed that everyone currently living and everyone in the past was always conscious, then it would indeed be silly for me to suggest that tomorrow many non-conscious people will be born --- as silly as your Invisible Pink Unicorn example. But the fact is, I do NOT know that anyone other than myself is conscious. I assume they are for the sake of adjudicating ethical dilemmas, but I only actually have that empirical data for myself.
>We can temporarily shut [consciousness] down with anaesthetics, and see the diminished activity in parts of the brain.
Here you seem to be assuming consciousness is identified with certain brain activities, but that's begging the question. For example, that would rule out computer simulations from being conscious, since you couldn't detect said brain activity in said computer. But it's far from settled whether or not consciousness is impossible in a computer simulation, in fact, many people think it IS possible. So unless you know something a lot of experts don't know, there isn't enough evidence to equate consciousness with certain brain activity.
At the same time, contrary to the popular media narrative, today's "AI" is still lightyears away from that.
The piece fails to account for that we already know that it's possible for physical entities to think, and to make independent decision. We know this because human beings exist.
No good reason is offered to justify the idea that the difference in intelligence between humans and computers is a difference of category, rather than merely a difference of (ever shrinking) degree.
From the article:
> The intellectual incoherence of believing that computers can think or make independent decisions is self-evident
Nonsense. This is a very strong claim about the universe, or rather, one of two equally silly claims:
* That general intelligence relies upon the process of evolution by natural selection, and that it can never even in principle arise from a process of deliberate design
* That general intelligence relies upon a particular substrate, specifically neurons, and that it cannot be achieved with other substrates, such as transistors
Such a claim cannot be justified with a hand-wavey appeal to intuition, or with arguments about moral accountability, which are all the author has to offer.
Also, this next quote strikes me as misleading. Perhaps someone more knowledgeable than me can confirm/disconfirm my take:
> chess prowess depends on players’ ability to recognize general situations that are in some sense “like” ones they’ve seen before, either over the board or in books. Again, the computer largely sidestepped what is most significant for humans, and hence for the game, by analyzing every position from scratch, and relying on speed to make up for its weakness at gestalt pattern recognition.
That may be true of chess, but what about Go? As I understand it, the reason computers can now play Go effectively (i.e. Alpha Go), is that a breakthrough was made in discarding unpromising subtrees of the game's possible progression, allowing effective moves to be selected relatively efficiently. That's not brute-force. That's precisely the kind of clever trick we'd expect from a skilled human player.
The whole piece strikes me as poorly considered. The thoughts of Dan Dennett are far more worthwhile. If you've read this far, you may enjoy a quick read of the Wikipedia article on Dennett's intentional stance. [0]
Dennett also makes the relevant observation that mankind is constantly creating machines with general intelligence and moral accountability: other human beings. This ties back to the article's points about moral accountability.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intentional_stance
Which is about as true as non-hurricane particles cannot give rise to a hurricane.
We already know that the human mind is full of non-intelligent atoms, and perhaps non-intelligent neurons, and yet here we are.
Any argument that makes the case that computers cannot be intelligent is also making the case that humans can’t, either.
It's tempting to call that bullshit, but we don't know what consciousness is, and it's proving very elusive to find a physical way to explain it. And, hey, maybe we're all in a simulation and our minds are simulated outside the main simulation and so the only "conscious" entities are those with an external simulation feeding data into our universe. I'd tend to to think that rather than "ancestor simulations" like in the simulation argument, it's more likely we're in some game in that case.
Even a purely physical explanation does not preclude some physical process we're unaware of that involves some interaction with something physical that is in effect a black box from our point of view, and something we may not be able to replicate from "inside" the observable universe. E.g. imagine we're constrained to however many dimensions, but consciousness involves a process partially outside "our" dimensions.
Ultimately I'd like to think we find a purely physical/mechanistic model of consciousness that allows us to replicate it in software; the slightly less optimistic view is that we'll need some specialized hardware. The pessimistic view is that there's something involved that means it takes something very similar to a squishy biological brain to tap into whatever gives rise to consciousness. But we could also hit a wall.
Even if you believe there are souls created by God, you also believe that you can reliably cause (provoke? induce?) God to create a soul and attach it to a specific bit of matter, by merely engaging in a certain pleasurable activity.
Supposing that we could create an artificial life form with the same brain structures as a human, God could certainly create and attach a soul if he chose. Given his general willingness to create souls in response to our actions, is there a strong reason to believe he wouldn't imbue a machine capable of human-like thought with a soul?
And, how would we know whether this had happened or not? If we can't create a test capable of distinguishing a group of atoms with a soul from a group of atoms without a soul, isn't it safer to treat them both the same?
I'd say we have no way of telling. "God" or a game engine or whatever is creating those "souls" might be someone looking on with bemusement and enjoying adding souls to anything we want to see what we come up with, or might be someone who takes great offense we're meddling in their business, or might be a dumb rules engine that insists on a specific biological interaction to happen just so before it instantiates another object. Or there might be some weird quantum mechanical interaction we don't understand that gets triggered that happens to interact with another dimension. Or a bored teenager needs to go out and get another USB dongle to upgrade the number of "soul simulators" their game allows. Or an endless number of other possibilities.
> And, how would we know whether this had happened or not? If we can't create a test capable of distinguishing a group of atoms with a soul from a group of atoms without a soul, isn't it safer to treat them both the same?
Currently we don't. I don't even know if you're conscious. We don't understand intelligence well enough to reliably test for intelligence, and we don't understand well enough how intelligence relates to consciousness or whether there is a meaningful distinction.
I have a hard time believing that, for example, external simulation would have a “feature” that causes people to remember childhood memories when a tumor grows in a certain part of the brain. A much likely explanation IMHO that memories are really stored directly in the brain.
But that we seem to evidence that most of brain function reside in the brain does not mean we can conclusively say that there's no extra element to it that we don't understand.
Note that I am much more comfortable with the idea that it's all basic hardware; the big point here is not that a "soul" or external simulation or whatever is the most likely explanation, but to illustrate just how thoroughly we really have no idea what causes consciousness, or even whether consciousness really is meaningfully a thing. It's a big gaping whole in our understanding of the world that we're just being in the very infancy of trying to attack.
That however doesn't tell us much until/unless we find a hypothetical threshold and refine it.
That doesn't make much sense.
This all depends on the lenses on see this through.
If one takes the perspective that evolution is a way for our genes to "find ever better vessels for the information carried in our DNA" then it seems like the meatvessel we are isn't the most optimal for the future.
It would seem to me that these were all "conscious" in some way and that there is a continuum of this "consciousness" thing whatever it is.
My current thinking is that higher level "consciousness" is about levels of self-awareness. I can be self-aware, but am I aware that I am self-aware?
This implies to me that there must be some mechanisms that provide the ability to get input from ones own processes to begin to form consciousness. Feedback loops of some sort. I have a sense that given the right quantity and nature of feedback sensing abilities combined with a neural network, appropriately biased to some goal like self preservation, a form of consciousness could emerge. (?)
Pure speculation...
You're not being reductionist enough. The brain is just atoms. 'Feedback loops' is just a model, and not actually real. The problem is that physics never predicted that consciousness would arise, there is literally no physical model for what consciousness is.
> In fact, the computer does not play chess at all, let alone championship chess. Chess is a game that has evolved over centuries to pose a tough but not utterly discouraging challenge to humans, with regard to specifically human strengths and weaknesses. One human capacity it challenges is the ability to concentrate; another is memory; a third is what chess players call sitzfleisch—the ability to resist the fatigue of sitting still for hours. The computer knows nothing of any of these.
The author is complaining that airplanes don't flap their wings and submarines don't swim. Sure, it's technically correct, but it doesn't change the fact that airplanes are useful and distinguishing "flying [airplane style]" from "flying [bird style]" usually isn't.
This gets particularly egregious when the author talks about military robots:
> “The next ethical minefield is where the intelligent machine, not the man, makes the kill decision,” it reads. But no existing or presently conceivable robot will ever make such a decision. Whether a computer kills a man or dispenses a candy bar, it will do so because its program
Ah, the robot is killing me "because of its program". It's not DECIDING [HUMAN] it's only deciding [computer]. What a relief. Problem solved.
> The “should a man or a robot decide?” debate, then, is wrongly framed. The only correct question is whether the person making the decision will be the designer-programmer of the robot or an operator working with the robot at the moment of its use.
There are endless examples of human decisions to create computer systems not anticipating the computer decisions that those systems make. It's useful to then be able to say things like "the car decided to not do anything, to debounce the am-about-to-hit-something signal, which resulted in the death of the cyclist" without having to constantly qualify with "the decision was implemented by a series of hard-coded if-else statements and while loops". Wasting everyone's time with the triviality "an if-then statement isn't a DECISION [HUMAN] it's only a DECISION [COMPUTER]" is not a useful contribution to this particular debate.
Applying human thinking terms to computer systems is a useful shorthand. It's not going away.
> The computer can’t think
I completely agree that our current software cannot think, at least in a complex way like humans do. But, our computers can execute Turing Complete programs. Is human logic beyond that? That will be an incredible discovery if we could assure that 'Human intelligence' > 'Turing Complete'. My bet is that such a thing does not exist.
If you take all computers, phones, etc. and you were able to run on them just one shared program. Is that not enough computing power to be able to think? My bet is that probably it is. Human brains are NOT infinitely complex.
> When they succeed, we will be back in the situation so lamented by Pollack: that of seeing an AI “breakthrough” or “major advance” as just more software, which is what it will be.
Or, we are going to discover that humans can't "think" either. That you can print, in a very big book, all the logic that makes us tick. And this makes sense. We have already discovered quite a lot of tricks that our visual system uses to identify images. And it is full of shortcuts and assumptions. And we cannot change that, if the illusion makes you think that a line is longer than the other, there is no mental power that allows us to see the truth even when we have the knowledge.
Machines are not magical, I agree with the main point of the article. It is just that humans are either. We are matter that can think, and that is a great thing but not magical.
I think therefore matter can think. I always liked this truism, as it removes quite a lot of magic from the idea of "thinking".