Microsoft/Ballmer's behaviour has been entirely consistent with their reputation as take-no-prisoners bullies. Bullying is all about destroying and humiliating people. It is all about intimidating a crowd of people by making an example of someone.
I seriously doubt anyone, even Microsoft shareholders, are cheering Ballmer on. Actually, I revise this: I especially doubt Microsoft shareholders are cheering Ballmer on.
The key here is to understand what "Destroying Yahoo" means. Does it mean pillaging Yahoo and taking its assets? No. Instead, destroying Yahoo means putting its people and customers on the open market.
Who stands most to gain from Yahoo's people and customers being on the open market? Google, the market leader. ABove and beyond the deal Google has already done with Yahoo, Google has the most to gain from Yahoo' slide into irrelevance.
When at the end of this process Microsoft acquires Yahoo for a pittance, Ballmer will congratulate himself for paying so much less than B$44. But this is like setting fire to a house you wish to buy and then allowing its neighbours to build on what's left of the property.
Ballmer may take a victory lap, but I believe that Google will be the ones drinking champagne.
The bullying by Ballmer and co, is
1.Throw the current board out bcos it didnt agree with MS. The current board can be thrown by MS by telling that there is a chance that they come back, so shareholders will vote for Carl.
2.Grab Yahoo for even cheaper as with Carl on board there is no other option for growth other than by selling.
No, the board should be thrown out because it acted against the wishes of the shareholders. And in a public company the shareholders are king. Ballmer has nothing to do with this. Carl is in it for the money - so he probably wants to chop the company up.
While I agree with your 1-2-3 analysis, my thesis here is that given the choice between (a) negotiate with Yahoo now and (b) tamper with Yahoo's board and negotiate with them later, option (a) gives Microsoft the most. Yes, they will pay much less later when they have gotten rid of everyone who considers independence an options, but they will also have watched the talent and customers walk out the door.
The price may be falling over time, but I conjecture the value is falling even faster.
Yahoo! has a brand and name recognition, and many Yahoo! users are non-techie people who are barely even keeping up with what's going on. I doubt the exodus of Yahoo! VPs or whatever Icahn does will affect their choice of search engine. Microsoft is buying Yahoo! for it's users and brand, not for its employees or technology. So in a sense, "destroying Yahoo!" is just fine with Microsoft if it doesn't drive users and advertisers away.
I agree with much of that assessment provided Arrington's version of what really happened is true. That seems to be a big if though.
I doubt anyone knows what really happened on both ends. Pretty much the only thing we know for sure is that Yahoo's board did not act in the best interest of its shareholders.
Also, say what you want about it from a moral standpoint, but ensuring that people either take you seriously or suffer tremendously for not doing so is good business. They're ensuring that in the future, any potential acquirees will be very fearful of pissing off Microsoft, which is very good for them. It's more than just an ego-driven Ballmer being a douche bag, it's sound strategy.
"Ensuring that people either take you seriously or suffer tremendously for not doing so is good business. They're ensuring that in the future, any potential acquirees will be very fearful of pissing off Microsoft, which is very good for them."
Very true for future hostile take-overs, but I have a feeling that when Microsoft goes courting friendly take-overs--such as when they want to do an HR acquisition and actually want to get the company with management and R&D intact--they will get a lot of people trying to act like they were out flying their plane when Ballmer knocked on the door.
Excellent analysis ragan. But I would be even more succinct. Microsoft plus yahoo is still just dumb ol' microsoft and the combination is going to have no more success against Google than microsoft alone or yahoo and microsoft separately.
Microsoft was once king but something called Google came out of nowhere to steal it's thorny crown. When Google loses it's crown it will be from something that comes out of nowhere again.
I still can't believe how ballmer is the head of microsoft, all he brings to the company is embarrassment and failure, not a single victory in a decade.
Any resemblance to our president is just a mere coincidence.
Ballmer and gates are both extremes. Gates always wasted heaps of money, starting up projects and killing them again... have different groups build the same software (then kill the least successful project)... buy companies on a whim, and so on. Being wasteful is not the end of the world if your revenue grows with 500% each year, but it doesn't make the shareholders happy.
So with this tactic Microsoft started to dominate every field in software. At that point the waste started to add up so Gates got Ballmer to clean it up. And when Ballmer became CEO he did cut the waste and made MS tremendously profitable. A great accomplishment. However, now it's time (and has been for a few years) for somebody technical to take charge again.
Alternatively, perhaps it is time to treat MSFT like the dividend stock that it is, acknowledge that it has probably peaked as an industry force, and channel the slowly ebbing value accumulated into shares of MSFT into grand philanthropic ventures.
That epitomizes the problem. There's been so much noise from Techcrunch about MSFT and YHOO, it's very hard to decipher what's actually news/important.
"Since then, Yahoo has quite literally prostrated themselves before Microsoft to get a merger done, even perhaps at a price much lower than Microsoft’s original bid."
You know, I thought this was an error. But look!
"Pronunciation
IPA: /ˈlɪtəɹəli/, SAMPA: /"lIt@r@li/
1. In the direct, word for word sense. With neither idiom nor metaphor.
"When my sewing kit fell off of the barn loft, I literally had to look for a needle in a haystack."
2. In a non-direct, figurative sense. Not literally.
"When I saw that Michael Arrington, someone who writes for a living, use the word "literally" to mean "figuratively", my eyes literally exploded with figurative rage."
Unlike most antagonyms, "literally" only took on its opposite meaning when it was used hyperbolically--that is, when it was meant to be interpreted ironically/sarcastically. I guess now we've given up on the distinction, though.
TechCrunch is in dire need of a copy editor. I'm pretty sure everyone who writes there simply types their article into Wordpress and clicks publish. Even typing into MS Word first would help, since the built in grammar checker would catch a nice chunk of them.
If you get a combination of technical people and business people who both want Yahoo to thrive as an underdog all will be good. Yahoo will stay independent and will probably do some great things in the next few years. Without Yang the new board will have to prove itself, so you can expect the new board to spend a lot of money in research/acquisitions. When a company is fighting for its survival you can expect great things to happen. So with a new board Yahoo will have to innovate and surprise us all.
If you appoint people for one purpose (selling the company), then that's exactly what will happen. Because the purpose of a merger between Microsoft and Yahoo is (partially) an "increase in operational efficiency" Ballmer will definitely get rid of thousands of jobs (= save money). Therefore, before the merger happens a lot of good people will leave (for google) and a lot of mediocre people don't want to wait for the axe to fall. The stock would normally crash as a result, but the promise of MS buying Yahoo will keep it reasonably healthy. (If MS walks away after the board is changed Yahoo is fucked.) So MS buys Yahoo, the shareholders and board of directors get their money and wall street is happy. Ballmer will start handing out pink slips and save billions. MS shareholders will be very happy.
So in the short term the MS-Yahoo deal works out for everybody. MS and Yahoo shareholders get more money and a lot of waste is cut out of Yahoo. Okay, it doesn't work out for the employees who become redundant, but that's to be expected. On the long term it doesn't look so great. The merger will make it even harder for MS to adapt to changes as it becomes even bigger, and squabbles within MS will make it harder to get anything done for everybody.
The entire deal is basically a short-term versus long-term issue. Either you want to cash out now (and sell Yahoo) or you want to wait it out and hope things get better. Yang, as one of the founders, thinks long term and stays positive. Investors and shareholders, by their very nature, think short term. Hence the conflict.
"Okay, it doesn't work out for the employees who become redundant, but that's to be expected." This is actually, you know, a really bad thing for them. They have families and no trust funds.
I'm not trivializing the matter. Nobody likes to fire and nobody likes to get fired. But a lot of people are let go after every merger - that's just how it works. So if a merger makes sense financially then you have no choice.
There's a very specific fiduciary responsibility with public companies. There are widows with some of their retirement savings invested in tech stocks like YHOO, and the board must act in their interests.
I suggest that with YC-scale businesses there's a very different dynamic. Imagine starting such a thing, building it to 100+ employees, and then selling out in such a way that 75+ of your folks are let go by the buying company that just wanted the technology and/or customers.
When you go to start your next venture, the VCs will ask how the last one went, and when they hear about the payday for shareholders, they will shower you with money. Everyone likes a winner.
But when you go to recruit talent, and they ask you how the last one went, what do you plan to tell them?
Well, ideally your employees who were let go would make a nice chunk off of stock options. Not FU money for the latter half most likely, but a business with 100 employees will generally sell for a pretty good chunk of money.
You're not making much sense. There's no secret. Nobody's hiding anything. So I would tell them the truth. What could I possibly achieve by lying in the scenario you describe?
You're suggesting that people would rather work for somebody with no experience and no money than for somebody who has already built and sold a successful venture?
I'm saying that people would rather work for someone who has experience building and selling a successful venture where the employees felt they also gained, vs. working for someone with experience building and selling a venture where the employees were laid off and received little for their trouble.
Case in point: Some time ago up here in Toronto there was a venture founded by someone who had built a company with much talk of going public but one thing led to another and he sold it to a large US conglomerate. Due to the way the terms worked, most of the people with stock options ended up with a few hundred dollars.
As you might expect, the operations were slowly wound down and everything moved to the buyer's head offices state side. People found other work.
One tech manager put it this way: "I got big screen TV money out of the deal, but I wanted house money or at least car money."
He told me this while explaining why he was avoiding calls from head hunters staffing up the founder's new company.
The net-net of what I'm trying to say is that if you are running a smaller start-up, and you might want to do it again, consider making sure that the employees perceive they benefit from the deal and not just the major shareholders.
I didn't pollute my mind by reading this - I only saw it because of some bug in my TechCrunch-links-screening script - but what on earth could make somebody think that Microsoft crossing the line could be news? That's all they ever do.
35 comments
[ 5.7 ms ] story [ 1026 ms ] threadI seriously doubt anyone, even Microsoft shareholders, are cheering Ballmer on. Actually, I revise this: I especially doubt Microsoft shareholders are cheering Ballmer on.
The key here is to understand what "Destroying Yahoo" means. Does it mean pillaging Yahoo and taking its assets? No. Instead, destroying Yahoo means putting its people and customers on the open market.
Who stands most to gain from Yahoo's people and customers being on the open market? Google, the market leader. ABove and beyond the deal Google has already done with Yahoo, Google has the most to gain from Yahoo' slide into irrelevance.
When at the end of this process Microsoft acquires Yahoo for a pittance, Ballmer will congratulate himself for paying so much less than B$44. But this is like setting fire to a house you wish to buy and then allowing its neighbours to build on what's left of the property.
Ballmer may take a victory lap, but I believe that Google will be the ones drinking champagne.
The price may be falling over time, but I conjecture the value is falling even faster.
Tactics effective in a monopoly are seldom as effective in an oligopoly.
I doubt anyone knows what really happened on both ends. Pretty much the only thing we know for sure is that Yahoo's board did not act in the best interest of its shareholders.
Also, say what you want about it from a moral standpoint, but ensuring that people either take you seriously or suffer tremendously for not doing so is good business. They're ensuring that in the future, any potential acquirees will be very fearful of pissing off Microsoft, which is very good for them. It's more than just an ego-driven Ballmer being a douche bag, it's sound strategy.
Very true for future hostile take-overs, but I have a feeling that when Microsoft goes courting friendly take-overs--such as when they want to do an HR acquisition and actually want to get the company with management and R&D intact--they will get a lot of people trying to act like they were out flying their plane when Ballmer knocked on the door.
JM2C
Microsoft was once king but something called Google came out of nowhere to steal it's thorny crown. When Google loses it's crown it will be from something that comes out of nowhere again.
Get working guys. It could be one of you.
Any resemblance to our president is just a mere coincidence.
So with this tactic Microsoft started to dominate every field in software. At that point the waste started to add up so Gates got Ballmer to clean it up. And when Ballmer became CEO he did cut the waste and made MS tremendously profitable. A great accomplishment. However, now it's time (and has been for a few years) for somebody technical to take charge again.
I think Bill chose this route.
You know, I thought this was an error. But look!
"Pronunciation
IPA: /ˈlɪtəɹəli/, SAMPA: /"lIt@r@li/
"When my sewing kit fell off of the barn loft, I literally had to look for a needle in a haystack." "When I saw that Michael Arrington, someone who writes for a living, use the word "literally" to mean "figuratively", my eyes literally exploded with figurative rage."Also, in case anyone needs a memorable explanation of when not to say "literally", consider: http://www.craigslist.org/about/best/van/144733448.html
Edit: Here's a collection! http://www-personal.umich.edu/~cellis/antagonym.html
http://www.fun-with-words.com/nym_autoantonyms.html
and
http://www-personal.umich.edu/~cellis/antagonym.html
If you get a combination of technical people and business people who both want Yahoo to thrive as an underdog all will be good. Yahoo will stay independent and will probably do some great things in the next few years. Without Yang the new board will have to prove itself, so you can expect the new board to spend a lot of money in research/acquisitions. When a company is fighting for its survival you can expect great things to happen. So with a new board Yahoo will have to innovate and surprise us all.
If you appoint people for one purpose (selling the company), then that's exactly what will happen. Because the purpose of a merger between Microsoft and Yahoo is (partially) an "increase in operational efficiency" Ballmer will definitely get rid of thousands of jobs (= save money). Therefore, before the merger happens a lot of good people will leave (for google) and a lot of mediocre people don't want to wait for the axe to fall. The stock would normally crash as a result, but the promise of MS buying Yahoo will keep it reasonably healthy. (If MS walks away after the board is changed Yahoo is fucked.) So MS buys Yahoo, the shareholders and board of directors get their money and wall street is happy. Ballmer will start handing out pink slips and save billions. MS shareholders will be very happy.
So in the short term the MS-Yahoo deal works out for everybody. MS and Yahoo shareholders get more money and a lot of waste is cut out of Yahoo. Okay, it doesn't work out for the employees who become redundant, but that's to be expected. On the long term it doesn't look so great. The merger will make it even harder for MS to adapt to changes as it becomes even bigger, and squabbles within MS will make it harder to get anything done for everybody.
The entire deal is basically a short-term versus long-term issue. Either you want to cash out now (and sell Yahoo) or you want to wait it out and hope things get better. Yang, as one of the founders, thinks long term and stays positive. Investors and shareholders, by their very nature, think short term. Hence the conflict.
I suggest that with YC-scale businesses there's a very different dynamic. Imagine starting such a thing, building it to 100+ employees, and then selling out in such a way that 75+ of your folks are let go by the buying company that just wanted the technology and/or customers.
When you go to start your next venture, the VCs will ask how the last one went, and when they hear about the payday for shareholders, they will shower you with money. Everyone likes a winner.
But when you go to recruit talent, and they ask you how the last one went, what do you plan to tell them?
You're suggesting that people would rather work for somebody with no experience and no money than for somebody who has already built and sold a successful venture?
I don't get it.
Case in point: Some time ago up here in Toronto there was a venture founded by someone who had built a company with much talk of going public but one thing led to another and he sold it to a large US conglomerate. Due to the way the terms worked, most of the people with stock options ended up with a few hundred dollars.
As you might expect, the operations were slowly wound down and everything moved to the buyer's head offices state side. People found other work.
One tech manager put it this way: "I got big screen TV money out of the deal, but I wanted house money or at least car money."
He told me this while explaining why he was avoiding calls from head hunters staffing up the founder's new company.
The net-net of what I'm trying to say is that if you are running a smaller start-up, and you might want to do it again, consider making sure that the employees perceive they benefit from the deal and not just the major shareholders.
You make the call.
And no, that was not a sexual reference, think middle school lunch room.