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This is a really disingenuous and dangerous title by Wired and they should change it immediately. It does not reflect the content of the article and what Gates actually said in their own interview. Gates does not say the tests do not work. He says they take too long.

Gates is saying tests are garbage because they take too long to get results back so they aren't actionable. This has nothing to do with the scientific/diagnostic/technical capability of the tests (which is a separate issue with antibody testing but not with PCR testing, which is what Gates is discussing). I get that it gets more clicks, but the obvious interpretation for the person who looks at the title and doesn't scroll over halfway down the page is that "Gates says COVID diagnostic tests don't work, so I guess if he's right, then there's no point trying to scale up testing or anything since the tests are garbage anyway." The takeaway is the opposite - the results aren't getting back fast enough, we need better prioritization and capacity.

Especially with how much misinformation is spreading regarding this pandemic, and how many lives are on the line, Wired should reconsider its title policy and change the headline to reflect the content in their own article rather than imply dangerous misinformation to grab attention.

Edit: On the offchance that the title on HN or on Wired gets changed, the original title that I am referring to is "Bill Gates on Covid: Most US Tests Are ‘Completely Garbage’"

That title is not reflective of the content of the article or the context of Bill Gates' statement in the interview.

Yeah that’s too bad. Glancing at the headline you’d think the tests themselves were unreliable, rather than the results backlog making them inactionable. Sigh.
I agree regarding the title after reading the article. I had assumed that the tests weren't accurate. Also, it actually hurts the viewpoint in the article, as Gates has found his actionable advice is ignored in the wake of social media conspiracy theories and the administration's unwillingness to listen to anything.
I agree. In fact, the line about was one of the least interesting things discussed. Ironically, misinformation via social media is a huge part of this interview.
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Yes, they chopped off the next word he said, "wasted". The title should have used that word instead.
Agree. When I saw the headline I thought it meant almost the opposite. The FDA needs to aggressively allow more tests so long as they are not misleading about their efficacy. I know fast cheap tests are stuck pending approval right now because the FDA doesn't like that they are less accurate. (I think better messaging from the test would no say positive or negative, rather: You have 1 in 3 chance of having covid vs you have 1 in 200 chance of having covid, instead of positive vs negative, something like that).
There are a few things that stand out to me in this interview. One is the CDC saying something to the effect of "they said that leadership has to be a model of face mask usage" and yet, both our president and vice president are parading around without masks. This is really scary stuff that reflects the, I don't even know what the word is, idiocy or stubbornness or narcissism maybe, of our government's so-called leaders.

The more scary thing is this:

> And that makes me feel like, for the rich world, we should largely be able to end this thing by the end of 2021, and for the world at large by the end of 2022. ... Now whenever we get this done, we will have lost many years in malaria and polio and HIV and the indebtedness of countries of all sizes and instability. It’ll take you years beyond that before you’d even get back to where you were at the start of 2020. It’s not World War I or World War II, but it is in that order of magnitude as a negative shock to the system.

The long term effects of the U.S. government's handling of this is very, very scary. What's scary about all this is that everyone is assuming that if and when we get a vaccine that everything will just restart back where it left off or even ahead. This is not the case. We are doing two things: delaying nearly everything into the future and reverting progress on the other things.

Other long terms effects are happening. I have friends in China. I have Chinese friends, well educated and talented friends, moving back to China because either they want to (makes sense at this point), are being kicked out due to H1B issues or can't get back in, or can't find jobs here. China, outside of viral hotspots, is essentially back to normal. We're losing talent, people who were obviously keen on the U.S. but unlikely to be now, and diversity in the process and feeding back those people elsewhere. This is repeating across many immigrants and non-immigrant workers. The U.S. is slowed down across all vectors. Not only are millions getting the virus and hundreds of thousands dying, we have unemployment, slowed economy, slowed travel, stunted government doing literally nothing of any use on the virus or anything else, etc. It is quite scary to understand the long term effects of this and that we have a very real chance of being leapfrogged in the process, letting this thing drag on for decades in terms of the reverberations throughout society.

One of the examples of the attitude in the U.S. is that many just shrug it off with this is just another flu. Even if that was the case, which it emphatically is not, who the hell would be okay with another flu? The flu costs approximately $10.4 billion in direct costs alone every year. We're losing much, much more than that due to the effects of and the response to COVID-19.

The last thing is Gate's comments on encryption and the explosion of viral conspiracy theories and false knowledge on social media. We are in real trouble in the U.S. with social media running rampant. I think this ideal of sticking to the guns of no censorship and supposed safety of data is naïve in this age. I think we are in real trouble if we allow YouTube, Facebook, Twitter, etc. continue to allow users to run rampant on their platforms. What is extra scary is that it's not like our government and leadership is immune to these conspiracy theories and false knowledge. In fact, our government leaders are sources and amplifiers of these things! This is very concerning and dangerous. Adam Curtis' documentary All Watched Over by Machines of Ever Loving Grace covers the Silicon valley dream of the Internet and technology liberating us, when it is in fact caging us with chaotic misinformation and control.

I think the world will find that we do need a model that's a cross between the U.S. and Chinese model of Internet censorship or other innovation to control the spread of viral false knowledge. I am personally perfectly willing to give up so-called privacy (which I h...

Neil Stephenson's book "Reamde" talks about almost our current reality, where ever more effective disinformation campaigns lead to many people not understanding actual reality, leading to the internet being the "miasma". When I go on social media I have the feeling of being exposed to endless crackpot and misleading comments, basically the miasma.
The miasma existed long before the internet. We haven't hanged any monkeys as spies in the internet era for one.
The Internet and other technologies amplifies it though and gives it a new medium through which to take effect.
Thanks for the book recommendation. I'll check it out.

The disinformation campaigns run by both politicians and companies is covered by Adam Curtis in his documentaries. I might as well mention his other works such as The Power of Nightmares, Bitter Lake, and HyperNormalization in addition to All Watched Over by Machines of Ever Loving Grace. The theme of control via intentional disinformation is a major one in his works.

we do need a model that's a cross between the U.S. and Chinese model of Internet censorship or other innovation to control the spread of viral false knowledge.

Did you just make an attack on free speech? Who will decide whether my tweet is "false knowledge" or an inconvenient truth? No way in hell.

No one made an attack, so please frame the language differently. I am saying we need to consider what we allow to run rampant. I am asking and thinking about the need to understand these problems and address them appropriately. In fact, I provided no solution other than a vague suggestion. We need to think about it though. That's why "other innovations" was put in there. I didn't advocate for anything specific, so the fact that you call this an attack is just a representative example of the exact problems I am talking about.

I am not saying these problems are easy. But should you really be allowed to both intentionally and unintentionally spread blatant misinformation, potentially causing both direct and indirect harm to many hundreds, thousands, if not millions of people all under the guise of free speech? I am not sure that trade off is a good one or even one protected by free speech.

Maybe platforms introduce spread control, greatly reducing the viral effect. Such a feature, by itself, would not be limiting any speech, but it is a form of modern censorship in a way by preventing its spread across the platform or network. Our rights say nothing about guaranteeing that everything you say is required to propagate unchecked throughout networks and platforms. Furthermore, these companies are not government entities.

The framing itself is an attack. That you keep on insisting that imposing censorship is a solution or that rights need to be "worked around" is pretty goddamn authoritarian.
I am suggesting we think about these problems. It isn't "working around rights" to question the anything goes situation we have right now with social media and even our official government media and traditional media companies. Furthermore, our rights guarantee us against government censorship, and I am not suggesting that. It isn't a workaround or an attack to say those rights don't apply everywhere. And I am not insisting on anything. We need to think about it. Humans are easily emotionally manipulated, and our technology is a powerful medium in which to perform that manipulation. It is a very real threat to many systems.

It is a fact that the 2016 election was manipulated via social media propaganda through the direct and indirect influence of the wealthy and various companies (Robert Mercer, Cambridge Analytica, Facebook, etc.). It is a suspicion that foreign actors also played a part in this. Are you suggesting we just throw up our hands and allow these things to take place? These are explicitly attacks on the very system that you say I am supposedly attacking. We need to address these things as we are clearly vulnerable to them.

These are explicitly attacks on the very system that you say I am supposedly attacking

No. Spreading lies is very different from censoring lies. I should be allowed to say that Earth is flat, or our president is an idiot. You or the president should not be allowed to prohibit me from saying those things.

They were and are attacks on the democratic voting process.

Freedom of speech does not guarantee that you can say whatever you want without repercussions and it does not grant or guarantee you unrestricted propagation of what you write or say or record through non-governmental networks and platforms.

We simply need to understand that the Internet, social media, networks, data, etc. have changed things and will continue to do so. We need to understand them and adapt our society to be able to face the new threats they provide and enable. And we need to stop having knee jerk reactions to everything.

I share your concerns, and I agree that spread of misinformation in the modern society is a problem. However, I don't see how we could censor it without damaging the right to free speech.
If you see misinformation being spread, spread the correction.
It's naïve to think that works.
It's very dangerous to think the way you do, and I'm glad I live in a country where freedom of speech is a fundamental right.
Come now. "Very dangerous to think the way you do?" That's tantamount to wrongthink, and not very pro free-speech of you.
Yes, I believe it is dangerous to think the way he does. If you believe it's dangerous to think the way I do, fine. Feel free to label it any way you want, wrongthink or whatever. As long as we all are allowed to express our opinions publicly, we will be fine.
>As long as we all are allowed to express our opinions publicly, we will be fine.

But then, what's the danger in their way of thinking? Surely you don't believe that a particular idea or form of speech can be inherently harmful? You would be running up against the paradox of tolerance then, which seems to be sympathetic to bmitc's argument.

I believe the way of thinking that Hitler or Lenin pursued was dangerous. However, I don't believe their views should had been censored at the time, or should be censored now. There are things within their views that should not be tolerated though, such as a direct call to kill someone. Or something like saying "bomb" on the airplane. Certain things in certain circumstances override our right to free speech. Spreading lies is not one them, in my opinion.
It seems like an arbitrary line in the sand to me. You mention Hitler as an example of dangerous thinking, but of course the culture that led to the Holocaust fed on the spread of lies and conspiracy theory. Lies can do a lot more harm than mere threats, because unlike direct threats, lies can be memetic and self-sustaining, they alter a person's view of reality.
So to prevent a next Hitler, should we censor anyone expressing or spreading dangerous misinformation, or should we publicly point out how dangerous their views are and try to engage in a debate? What else can we do?
We can do both.

What you and nearly everyone who argues from your point of view fails to concede is that that these are not mutually opposed strategies. It is possible to censor dangerous information without falling down a slippery slope towards arbitrary thought-policing and Orwellian dystopia, or to at least attempt to slow the spread of dangerous misinformation by not allowing it to be normalized or given equal weight to truth, and it is possible to do so while attempting to engage the open-minded few.

In a world where the only thing one could do about the next Hitler is politely and civilly ask him and his neo-Nazi cohort for a vigorous series of Lincoln-Douglas style debates, one will be told to get lost while they go on about their business of saturating every platform they can with their propaganda and poisoning the well of public discourse.

And then what? Their strategy is more effective than yours. What can you do when your only option can be rendered ineffective simply by ignoring it and mocking it with Facebook memes? You've already lost the battle.

It is possible to censor dangerous information without falling down a slippery slope towards arbitrary thought-policing and Orwellian dystopia

You made an extraordinary claim without providing any evidence or explanation. It's like saying "faster than light travel is possible". How is it possible? Has anyone done that successfully?

More specifically, who's going to be the censor? Who will decide whether what I write is a dangerous misinformation or not? How will they decide that? How are they going to censor it (removing my comments on HN, cutting off my internet, fining me, arresting me, sending a predator drone after me)? This is really scary. This is exactly how the next Hitler can emerge.

I think the charitable interpretation is that the parent believes it is dangerous to enact policies based on that way of thinking, not that those thoughts in the abstract are harmful.
Everyone with a political opinion wants to enact policies based on that way of thinking. Speech is the medium by which thought becomes policy.

These can't be cleanly separated or considered in isolation. Believing that there are potential dangers to enacting certain ideas is not fundamentally different than considering the ideas themselves to be dangerous. After all, that is exactly what people who want racists, anti-vaxxers, conspiracy theorists, etc. are worried about - those ideas gaining acceptance and being put into action.

Apparently it's dangerous to want to understand things and improve the situations we find ourselves in, which is all I suggest we do.

This is exactly why the U.S. is headed where it's headed. The U.S. is full of people that blindly think that a group of guys 200-300 years ago somehow landed upon a perfect system that somehow fixes all issues of human emotion and behavior and protects against technological developments like the Internet which they couldn't even fathom at the time, while at the same time not caring that even the system they laid out has been eroded in the interest of consolidating power and corporations.

I think it does work. I think most people who don't think it works actually never try.

Case in point: this headline. Pointed out in the top voted comment as being misleading. I read the article before looking at the comments and it left me with a good impression of Bill Gates, but if I had just skipped straight to the comments I'd have immediately learned the headline was misleading.

The real problems are the huge volume of people who don't engage with "misinformation" as they see it, because they prefer authoritarian control. They think it's easier and more efficient, and don't really consider the possibility of the authorities making mistakes. It's sad to see that Gates is one of these.

Take this exchange:

The irony is that it’s digital social media that allows this kind of titillating, oversimplistic explanation of, “OK, there’s just an evil person, and that explains all of this.”

That is indeed deeply ironic, because "there's just an evil person and that explains all of this" pretty sums up everyone who complains about misinformation on the internet. There's just, for inexplicable reasons, people who spread lies and misinformation claiming scientists and authorities aren't trustworthy, and they just need to be banned from everything to fix it. No deeper analysis of what they're saying is needed. They're just opaquely evil. The lack of understanding is identical on both sides.

There are plenty of more credible explanations available, one of the most obvious being that messages get corrupted in transit. People hear things third or fourth hand and the message got garbled along the way. Then instead of targets of these theories standing up and saying, no, these claims are wrong, let's go through them, they just dismiss it all with an eyeroll and demand for surveillance and speech control. In other cases, sometimes those people spreading "misinformation" may actually be straw men, and the real people expressing concern have rather more nuanced views, but it's easier to pick one crazy person and pretend everyone is like that than engage with the actual underlying concerns the larger population has.

Interviews like this actually make the problem worse, because a large component of these 'conspiracy theories' is that people like Gates really really like tracking and control. Tech=tracking is after all, a meme pushed very heavily by journalists. So when he rails against encrypted messengers because he believes tech firms should track and control people's speech, he's throwing fuel on the fire by supporting their point, apparently without realising it.

> The real problems are the huge volume of people who don't engage with "misinformation" as they see it, because they prefer authoritarian control

...

> Then instead of targets of these theories standing up and saying, no, these claims are wrong, let's go through them

Making a convincing lie is orders of magnitude less work than making a convincing refutation of a convincing lie. That dooms approaches such as the ones you are suggesting.

Those approaches used to work, when it was expensive to widely and quickly disseminate information so most people only had a few non-local sources. Now, it is close to free and people have dozens or even hundreds of sources and there is a good chance most of the people who saw the lie won't even see the refutation. And by the time the refutation reaches those who will eventually see it, whoever made the lie has had plenty of time to make several more that work around the refutation of the first lie.

The vast majority of "misinformation" is not in fact 100% made up lies.

I believe the fact that people think this is because they've never gone and looked at what these groups are saying. I have. You won't get far by just blowing it all off as lies, because usually it's not lies. Rather, important information isn't highlighted, or interpretations of motivations are different, or some detail has been lost or interpolated (e.g. will Bill Gates himself be managing a quantum dot immunity certificate programme, or would that be local governments). And frankly sometimes they're pointing out mistakes that people in power would rather just ignore.

You're arguing, again, for authoritarianism. It doesn't work. The people who practice it end up believing lots of lies themselves, because anyone who could tell them otherwise is gone or silenced. Like the leaders in China who have no idea what's really going on in their country because the local officials all feed them garbage statistics, authoritarianism is ultimately the enemy of truth.

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With the premier non-partisan person at the peak of governmental leadership on the subject, Dr. Fauci, proved his own hypocrisy by not wearing a mask shoulder to shoulder with an elderly friend in a public setting — it seems absurd to take jabs at other leadership.
My viewpoint is not partisan. If anyone in a leadership position is not wearing a mask, that is problematic. (It's problematic for anyone to not be following the recommendations and guidelines, but it's especially problematic for those in public leadership positions, as their actions affect the efficacy of such recommendations.)