The conclusion of the article, citing: >If you assume you get an Earth-like planet, our best estimates have enormous uncertainties, but may lead to a total probability in the range of around 1-10%. To really know the answer to this question, however, we’ll need more and better data, and for that, we’ll need to wait for the next generation of astronomical observatories.<
There is no basis for the conclusion "range of around 1-10%". And no references as well.
I don't want to be dismissive, but for me, scientific articles should base conclusions on credible references.
To me this is one of the weakest articles of Ethan, and I was a regular reader.
2 comments
[ 3.0 ms ] story [ 14.0 ms ] threadThe conclusion of the article, citing: >If you assume you get an Earth-like planet, our best estimates have enormous uncertainties, but may lead to a total probability in the range of around 1-10%. To really know the answer to this question, however, we’ll need more and better data, and for that, we’ll need to wait for the next generation of astronomical observatories.<
There is no basis for the conclusion "range of around 1-10%". And no references as well.
I don't want to be dismissive, but for me, scientific articles should base conclusions on credible references.
To me this is one of the weakest articles of Ethan, and I was a regular reader.