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Perhaps someone should forward this link to Dick Costolo
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Interesting article, I wonder how it compares to prior election cycles and would love to see the data.

Anecdotally, the underlying premise rings true to me. I think it comes from a growing rise in cynicism on both sides of the political spectrum.

At the risk of sounding partisan on HN: the really scary difference here is that left-wing violence is widely denounced by our nation's leaders. On the other hand, POTUS couldn't even muster the strength to properly denounce white supremacy let alone far-right militia groups during the debates. BTW, for those that haven't watched the debates (which I personally wouldn't recomend doing while sober), the transcript doesn't do it justice here as the president's entire tone and demeanor changed as soon as he was asked the question.

I say this because in our media ecosystem (and on HN) pushing a both sides story is popular. But "both sides are bad" breeds the idea of "all of politics is broken" and so I might as well not participate. Or alternatively: "the other side is just as bad" and so anything I do is justified.

In order to start de-polarizing, politically speaking, we have to stop seeing stories that don't push have a both sides spin as being partisan and speak to the facts of the case. In particular, we can't see facts as political and dismiss them out of hand if they don't agree with our ideology or the article we read doesn't get enough of a jab in at our political rivals. It is possible to both hold partisan opinions and respectfully debate and disagree with people that differ from you as long as you stick to that type of principle.

Even if the Senate apportionment is not fixed, the electoral college needs to be made more representative of the population, it was apportioned based on the number of slaves owned ffs. And either let DC get a senate seat or merge parts of it into MD/VA so they can vote there. Feelings of disenfranchisement among the population is not good.
Maybe it was based on the number of slaves. It hasn't been for 150 years, though, so... what's your point?
At what point do we even begin to consider the possibility that systems intended to serve an eighteenth century slave-owning agrarian society of only a few million people might not be the most effective in representing the interests of a multicultural 300 million strong global superpower in the year of our Lord 2020?
First, it was intended to serve a half-slave-owning society.

Second: When do we begin to consider that? Maybe in 1868, when the 14th Amendment was ratified?

> First, it was intended to serve a half-slave-owning society.

Semantics. The point is that it was intended to serve a society which no longer exists.

The society that is currently American society is not the same in scale, scope, complexity, culture or tenor to American society in the 18th century. It's the same only in the way the Ship of Theseus is the same after having been gradually transformed from a small boat to a modern aircraft carrier, which is to say, fundamentally different in every way that matters.

>Second: When do we begin to consider that? Maybe in 1868, when the 14th Amendment was ratified?

How about now?

The Electoral College had one job - to prevent a demagogue like Trump from taking power. He was elected by a fraction of a fraction of the populace, and a minority of those who voted, thanks in no small part to a system in which only a few votes in one or two swing states actually ever matter. In a truly representative democracy, Trump would never have happened.

No, that wasn't the job of the Electoral College. It was to make it so a demagogue like Trump had to win more than just the nine largest states to take power.
Because it conferred extra power to the hands of people who hold racist beliefs and vote that way to this day.
The problem with that is the rural/urban divide.

If it’s just a straight majority, then rural areas despite being just under half the population will never have political representation again, and indeed that disenfranchisement is part of what led to Trump’s victory in the first place.

Hunter games here we come.

Amen to this. If anyone is considering dismissing those areas as unimportant, rural areas are where all the food, water, natural and mineral resources, and so forth that cities depend on come from. With respect to the violence angle, rural areas also supply a huge percentage of recruits for the military, much more than major cities.

Trying to disenfranchise rural areas is not going to work out well, to put it mildly. An accommodation needs to be reached between rural and urban America. I just wish we had a presidential candidate who I thought had a chance of accomplishing that.

Presidential candidates preferred by the rural areas have won 3 of the last 5 elections this century -- only once with a larger number of votes. There is a very good chance that they will make it 4 out of 6, again without a majority. It seems that whatever thumb they have on the scale, it overweighting them.

They've also controlled at least one house of the legislature for all but two years of that time -- and for all but a few months had enough votes to veto all proposals. Changing the Electoral College wouldn't affect that.

So I'd argue that "never have political representation again" is unlikely. They hardly seem disenfranchised, except in their own imagination.

What you describe is a relatively balanced scenario.

No serious model calls Trump’s chances ‘very good’ right now. The Economist says it’s 10%, and FiveThirtyEight says 20%.

So, we’re looking at 50% of the last 6.

There is no overweighting except if you imagine a Trump victory.

The three fifths compromise was reached to reduce the effect that you are bringing up. The northern and southern states saw the writing in the wall for slavery when the constitution was signed. Virginia’s part was already merged, Maryland should remerge.
IT was apportioned on the number of slaves, but remember, slavers wanted the slaves counted as a full person and the free states didn't want the slaves counted at all. Decide which one is more true to 'representative democracy'
It should be agreed that no violence should be tolerated.

Unfortunately, this years protests/riots have set sort of a bad precedent. In an ideal world, I'd hope they would be roundly condemned from all sides immediately.

+1. The second order effects are really troubling. I've heard that millions of people became first time gun owners. I support the right to keep and bear arms, but there were millions of people who didn't feel the need to own a gun and something changed this year. It doesn't portend well for the future. I hope it really is that case that an armed society is a polite society.
It seems increasingly obvious we are being set up for violence.

Good folks are going to have to stand up to the extremists on their own sides (and the and provocateurs pretending to be.)

I've been hearing that guns and ammo have become scarce(r) in some places (like California). Don't know if that's accurate, and I wouldn't know how to check, but that's what I've heard. Concerning.