> Currently my model is predicting a peak of around 140,000 average weekly new cases right around Thanksgiving with a steep decline due to herd immunity thereafter. It is also predicting that the Pandemic will be pretty much over by the end of February.
No one else is predicting anything like this. Makes the whole article a little suspect.
Whoever wrote this is a charlatan who can't even figure out which words are capitalized in English.
She has no expertise in epidemiology. Her projections are a joke.
She thinks "herd immunity" is a thing. It's not. At least it's not proven to be, with covid-19, and we are so far away from attaining any useful degree of "herd immunity" that it's painfully premature to even mention it right now.
She's still right that family get-togethers for Thanksgiving are an idiotic idea, though.
To summarize, the author estimates that 120k lives could be saved if everyone who plans to travel home for the holidays gets tested prior to traveling (and avoids travel if they test positive).
In addition, the author makes some unsupported claims that the COVID-19 epidemic in the U.S. will subside in Feb. 2021 due to herd immunity.
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[ 1.5 ms ] story [ 21.3 ms ] threadNo one else is predicting anything like this. Makes the whole article a little suspect.
She has no expertise in epidemiology. Her projections are a joke.
She thinks "herd immunity" is a thing. It's not. At least it's not proven to be, with covid-19, and we are so far away from attaining any useful degree of "herd immunity" that it's painfully premature to even mention it right now.
She's still right that family get-togethers for Thanksgiving are an idiotic idea, though.
In addition, the author makes some unsupported claims that the COVID-19 epidemic in the U.S. will subside in Feb. 2021 due to herd immunity.