Not wanting mail-in voting is pretty understandable. It's incompatible with having a secret ballot because then somebody can force you to show them your ballot outside of a polling place where there are monitors to prevent that. Then people can be punished or bribed for their vote.
This has obvious significance in a union vote where those things have a greater history of happening, but it's true in general.
The problem isn't poll workers, it's the goon who shows up at your house the day the ballots are delivered and sits there to watch you fill it out and mail it back in.
Or, in the less organized crime case, when your spouse refuses to let you vote for who you want to because they want you to vote for somebody else.
For a union vote that happens once and has millions of dollars on the line for thousands of voters? Not an insurmountable cost. Also, again, because mail-in voting happens over weeks, you don't need that many goons, just have the same goon visit everybody once in that period of time, when everybody understands they'll be punished for voting without them there.
In ordinary elections you get something different -- decentralized coercion. Your boss says hey, I want everybody to vote, everybody bring your ballots to work on Tuesday and we'll all fill them out together. Now they don't even have to look at them, all they have to do is put a fear in people that they might so that people fill out their ballots the way the boss wants in case that happens. The same thing happens with many bosses in many places, so the total effect is significant even if they're not coordinating. People fear for their jobs if they report it.
This doesn't make sense. If anything, it would seem likely mail-in voting has less chance of applying pressure into the individual voter. You can cast your vote without having to physically face another human.
On another note, what a low-quality article the original piece is. I'm not sure this belongs even on HN.
It expands the space in which you could be coerced from a polling place with monitors to the entire world where someone could force you to bring your ballot and fill it out in front of them.
I don't know how many people are partaking in this ballot, but even with a small number of people it's much less economically feasible to individually travel to and pressure people at their homes versus having a set number of places you can arm with your "political guard."
Except that the set number of places have monitors from both sides who can prevent anyone from having to show their ballot in the 30 seconds between when they fill it out and when they put it into the box.
The way Oregon handles this is any voter can always contact an elections office and report coercion, or modify their vote, or fix it if it is somehow not countable.
That coercion is a crime.
Given a time window to vote and mail, and a secrecy process where the validation of the vote is physically separated from the vote to be counted, secrecy is there.
The real question is whether Oregon style processes are available.
If they are, the election will be solid.
On the back end, validation, counting are done in a secure place under camera.
Election fraud is also a crime.
Vote by mail works just fine when well implemented.
Of course it's a crime. The problem is criminals. If you don't show them your vote they break your kneecaps, if you don't vote the way they want they break your kneecaps, if you report them to the cops they break your kneecaps.
So you vote the way they want and don't report it to the cops and without any other mechanism of detecting it they get away with it.
> Votes are cast over a period of a couple weeks and are distributed well in both time and space.
How does this help you? It makes it easier because you can send one goon to a hundred people over the course of weeks instead of needing a hundred goons. Everybody knows ahead of time that this is going to happen and they'll be punished if they submit their ballot before the goon arrives to watch.
> And the criminals cannot really verify the vote cast.
What do you mean? They watch you put it into a mailbox. Or just take your ballot and mail it themselves.
> So, let's say they unionize. Break a lot of kneecaps over the next year?
That only happens if they fail. If they succeed you don't have to punish anybody.
> All that will come out and won't look pretty.
Assuming people who have just had a violence demonstration will be inclined to invite more for reporting it to the police.
> By contrast, discouraging votes by forcing everyone to gather in one hard to miss group takes far fewer criminals. It all happens on one day too.
Except that all happening in one place on one day is the advantage because it allows that day and that place to be secured by impartial monitors who ensure that nobody there is looking at anybody else's ballot.
Secret ballots were devised in response to people historically doing things like this. Then they stopped happening because the countermeasures worked. If you take away the countermeasures, what then? Have criminals ceased to exist? Are the incentives somehow different now?
Three states exclusively use mail in ballots (starting with Oregon in 2000 I believe so at least 20 years), and if there is epidemic of criminal kneecapping going on, I feel like we'd have heard about it by now.
> It's incompatible with having a secret ballot because then somebody can force you to show them your ballot outside of a polling place where there are monitors to prevent that.
Wait, what? What specific scenario are you talking about and who would have the resources, incentive, and immunity from law enforcement to actually pull it off?
If I receive my ballot at home, complete it at home, and then deliver it to mailbox or drop box, at what point can someone intercept me and "force me" to show it to them?
> Then people can be punished or bribed for their vote.
So you think someone could sway an election by intercepting people holding mail-in ballots, "forcing" them to show them the ballot, and then bribing/punishing(?) them as an incentive to change the vote? Like you think someone could do this at a large enough scale to change the outcome of an election?
And if that's true, why aren't there any documented cases of this happening?
As soon as someone forced you to change your vote, you could call your elections board, report it, file a criminal complaint, and submit a new ballot.
> This has obvious significance in a union vote where those things have a greater history of happening, but it's true in general.
It's much easier to change a unionization vote with intimidation tactics than a large-scale political election. If unions were still organized criminal organizations in many places, this would be a legitimate concern. But it's also not 1950 anymore, so it's not a concern.
> If I receive my ballot at home, complete it at home, and then deliver it to mailbox or drop box, at what point can someone intercept me and "force me" to show it to them?
At the point the next morning when you go into work without your ballot and your boss says "I told you to bring your ballot" and you get punished. Or your spouse/parents/housemates take it and fill it out differently than you would have. Or you're institutionalized and the employees of the institution apply for and take the ballots of all the patients and "help" them by filling them all out for the same candidate and submitting them.
> So you think someone could sway an election by intercepting people holding mail-in ballots, "forcing" them to show them the ballot, and then bribing/punishing(?) them as an incentive to change the vote? Like you think someone could do this at a large enough scale to change the outcome of an election?
One person doing this is unlikely to change the result. 0.1% of people doing this to ten people each when the margin of victory is 1% would change the outcome of an election.
> And if that's true, why aren't there any documented cases of this happening?
The unknowable question is how many undocumented cases there are because the perpetrators are difficult to catch when the victims fear retaliation for turning them in.
> As soon as someone forced you to change your vote, you could call your elections board, report it, file a criminal complaint, and submit a new ballot.
How does that help if the method of coercion used to make you change your vote is also used to keep you from reporting it?
Do you get a lot of interference putting mail in the mailbox where you live? Because it's not really a big thing in industrialized nations like the US, afaik.
It's pretty easy and quick for me to mail stuff. Convenient too, I can use any mailbox at any time of day or night, or go to the post office. Mostly I use my building's outgoing mailbox.
Anyway if I was worried about some sort of anti democratic street toughs or whatever it is you are positing, I'd say decentralized efforts would be way harder to disrupt or influence.
This seems just like a way to delay and disrupt the vote under the guise of election integrity. So basically classic voter suppression.
> Do you get a lot of interference putting mail in the mailbox where you live?
Does your mail change the result of an election? Because people might care about it more then.
And, of course, it's mostly not the mail, it's the fact of having your ballot outside of a polling place where someone could coerce you to vote a particular way. Or just reward you to hand over your blank ballot, or punish you for not doing so.
I think it's undeniable, that mail in voting has a larger attack surface than in person voting.
However, mail in voting, also has greater ease of use.
It is the classic security vs ease of use dilemma that is faced by software engineers and architects every day. Many times stuff you do to increase security, decrease ease of use, and stuff you do to increase ease of use, decrease security.
The ballots spend multiple days in unmonitored and poorly secured locations where they could be intercepted or modified. Ballots are filled out in places (e.g. your house) without monitors to prevent anyone from coercing you to vote in a particular way.
The key is to find a way to avoid the trade off, e.g. instead of mail-in voting, keep the polls open for 30 straight hours into election day so that you're not locking out people with unusual schedules who can't make a specific window.
The supposed hypocrisy is that Amazon, a company, has a different view on mail-in voting than Jeff Bezos, a person.
While true, and while likely that Bezos could possibly change Amazon's stance on this, it shouldn't be surprising that a large company relying on low wages would take any stance to stop it. Amazon may consider unions to be an existential threat.
There's no story here, just like there's no story that many companies donate to Republicans despite having liberal founders/CEOs. Elon Musk famously donates to both parties, although one assumes he personally has a preference for one (or neither) of them.
> The supposed hypocrisy is that Amazon, a company, has a different view on mail-in voting than Jeff Bezos, a person.
Jeff Bezos is the CEO of Amazon and controls the majority of its voting shares, so they're entangled enough that the actions of one can show the hypocrisy of the other.
> There's no story here, just like there's no story that many companies donate to Republicans despite having liberal founders/CEOs. Elon Musk famously donates to both parties, although one assumes he personally has a preference for one (or neither) of them.
You might as well just say that since the Civil War is so well known and understood, there's no point teaching about it in school. Not everyone actually knows the things you think are so basic to warrant no mention, and there is value in reporting the specific instances that back up a generalization.
Unless a state legislature has created an entire government organization with staff and rules to oversee mail-in ballots for corporate entities, I don’t see how this anything but an apples-to-oranges comparison.
They don’t have the infrastructure that a state brings to bear to oversee a fair election, nor are there laws to protect the integrity of mail-in ballots for a corporate election. It’s just disingenuous to compare the two.
> They don’t have the infrastructure that a state brings to bear to oversee a fair election, nor are there laws to protect the integrity of mail-in ballots for a corporate election. It’s just disingenuous to compare the two.
That's completely wrong. Corporations definitely have the infrastructure to conduct a mail elections. They literally do it all the time for shareholders, to do things like elect the board of directors: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/proxy-vote.asp. As far as I can tell, there's even an industry of 3rd party companies that have sprung up to provide the logistics for them.
I am not sure if amazon could afford that. Afterall its a big investment and you couldn't be sure if it worked. And amazon wants to ensure the best and fairest election for its workers. /s
I can't believe that people are defending amazon, even at HN. Their practices are undefendable especially for the biggest company in the world.
The NLRB says, “A mail ballot election will enfranchise employees who cannot enter the voting location for health reasons or due to positive COVID tests.” Fearing an unfavorable outcome, however, Amazon now insists that current COVID outbreaks aren’t dangerous enough to warrant this NLRB decision.
If only irony could be harnessed as a power source this would light a large city for a year.
46 comments
[ 3.4 ms ] story [ 113 ms ] threadThis has obvious significance in a union vote where those things have a greater history of happening, but it's true in general.
Or, in the less organized crime case, when your spouse refuses to let you vote for who you want to because they want you to vote for somebody else.
That is an awful lot of goons, goon payments, goon logistics, etc...
In ordinary elections you get something different -- decentralized coercion. Your boss says hey, I want everybody to vote, everybody bring your ballots to work on Tuesday and we'll all fill them out together. Now they don't even have to look at them, all they have to do is put a fear in people that they might so that people fill out their ballots the way the boss wants in case that happens. The same thing happens with many bosses in many places, so the total effect is significant even if they're not coordinating. People fear for their jobs if they report it.
Come on, this is silly. Vote by mail works great. Oregon and other states have outperformed for many years now.
Fear a low wage job? Hardly. Trust me, that shit would get out, if on nothing but principle.
On another note, what a low-quality article the original piece is. I'm not sure this belongs even on HN.
That coercion is a crime.
Given a time window to vote and mail, and a secrecy process where the validation of the vote is physically separated from the vote to be counted, secrecy is there.
The real question is whether Oregon style processes are available.
If they are, the election will be solid.
On the back end, validation, counting are done in a secure place under camera.
Election fraud is also a crime.
Vote by mail works just fine when well implemented.
So you vote the way they want and don't report it to the cops and without any other mechanism of detecting it they get away with it.
Votes are cast over a period of a couple weeks and are distributed well in both time and space.
It is very difficult to line up the needed criminals and have them lean on many people over a non trivial amount of time and space.
And the criminals cannot really verify the vote cast.
So, let's say they unionize. Break a lot of kneecaps over the next year?
All that will come out and won't look pretty.
By contrast, discouraging votes by forcing everyone to gather in one hard to miss group takes far fewer criminals. It all happens on one day too.
The key thing is that distribution in time and space. The mechanics of coercion are very different.
Nobody knows who has ballots, when and whether they have voted and or any number can report too.
Criminals would be facing a high risk scenario and a high resource requirement.
How does this help you? It makes it easier because you can send one goon to a hundred people over the course of weeks instead of needing a hundred goons. Everybody knows ahead of time that this is going to happen and they'll be punished if they submit their ballot before the goon arrives to watch.
> And the criminals cannot really verify the vote cast.
What do you mean? They watch you put it into a mailbox. Or just take your ballot and mail it themselves.
> So, let's say they unionize. Break a lot of kneecaps over the next year?
That only happens if they fail. If they succeed you don't have to punish anybody.
> All that will come out and won't look pretty.
Assuming people who have just had a violence demonstration will be inclined to invite more for reporting it to the police.
> By contrast, discouraging votes by forcing everyone to gather in one hard to miss group takes far fewer criminals. It all happens on one day too.
Except that all happening in one place on one day is the advantage because it allows that day and that place to be secured by impartial monitors who ensure that nobody there is looking at anybody else's ballot.
Apparently it also saves a bunch of money.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vote-by-mail_in_Oregon
Wait, what? What specific scenario are you talking about and who would have the resources, incentive, and immunity from law enforcement to actually pull it off?
If I receive my ballot at home, complete it at home, and then deliver it to mailbox or drop box, at what point can someone intercept me and "force me" to show it to them?
> Then people can be punished or bribed for their vote.
So you think someone could sway an election by intercepting people holding mail-in ballots, "forcing" them to show them the ballot, and then bribing/punishing(?) them as an incentive to change the vote? Like you think someone could do this at a large enough scale to change the outcome of an election?
And if that's true, why aren't there any documented cases of this happening?
As soon as someone forced you to change your vote, you could call your elections board, report it, file a criminal complaint, and submit a new ballot.
> This has obvious significance in a union vote where those things have a greater history of happening, but it's true in general.
It's much easier to change a unionization vote with intimidation tactics than a large-scale political election. If unions were still organized criminal organizations in many places, this would be a legitimate concern. But it's also not 1950 anymore, so it's not a concern.
At the point the next morning when you go into work without your ballot and your boss says "I told you to bring your ballot" and you get punished. Or your spouse/parents/housemates take it and fill it out differently than you would have. Or you're institutionalized and the employees of the institution apply for and take the ballots of all the patients and "help" them by filling them all out for the same candidate and submitting them.
> So you think someone could sway an election by intercepting people holding mail-in ballots, "forcing" them to show them the ballot, and then bribing/punishing(?) them as an incentive to change the vote? Like you think someone could do this at a large enough scale to change the outcome of an election?
One person doing this is unlikely to change the result. 0.1% of people doing this to ten people each when the margin of victory is 1% would change the outcome of an election.
> And if that's true, why aren't there any documented cases of this happening?
There are documented cases of this happening:
https://nypost.com/2020/09/27/project-veritas-uncovers-ballo...
The unknowable question is how many undocumented cases there are because the perpetrators are difficult to catch when the victims fear retaliation for turning them in.
> As soon as someone forced you to change your vote, you could call your elections board, report it, file a criminal complaint, and submit a new ballot.
How does that help if the method of coercion used to make you change your vote is also used to keep you from reporting it?
It's pretty easy and quick for me to mail stuff. Convenient too, I can use any mailbox at any time of day or night, or go to the post office. Mostly I use my building's outgoing mailbox.
Anyway if I was worried about some sort of anti democratic street toughs or whatever it is you are positing, I'd say decentralized efforts would be way harder to disrupt or influence.
This seems just like a way to delay and disrupt the vote under the guise of election integrity. So basically classic voter suppression.
Does your mail change the result of an election? Because people might care about it more then.
And, of course, it's mostly not the mail, it's the fact of having your ballot outside of a polling place where someone could coerce you to vote a particular way. Or just reward you to hand over your blank ballot, or punish you for not doing so.
- Jeff Bezos
However, mail in voting, also has greater ease of use.
It is the classic security vs ease of use dilemma that is faced by software engineers and architects every day. Many times stuff you do to increase security, decrease ease of use, and stuff you do to increase ease of use, decrease security.
The supposed hypocrisy is that Amazon, a company, has a different view on mail-in voting than Jeff Bezos, a person.
While true, and while likely that Bezos could possibly change Amazon's stance on this, it shouldn't be surprising that a large company relying on low wages would take any stance to stop it. Amazon may consider unions to be an existential threat.
There's no story here, just like there's no story that many companies donate to Republicans despite having liberal founders/CEOs. Elon Musk famously donates to both parties, although one assumes he personally has a preference for one (or neither) of them.
Jeff Bezos is the CEO of Amazon and controls the majority of its voting shares, so they're entangled enough that the actions of one can show the hypocrisy of the other.
> There's no story here, just like there's no story that many companies donate to Republicans despite having liberal founders/CEOs. Elon Musk famously donates to both parties, although one assumes he personally has a preference for one (or neither) of them.
You might as well just say that since the Civil War is so well known and understood, there's no point teaching about it in school. Not everyone actually knows the things you think are so basic to warrant no mention, and there is value in reporting the specific instances that back up a generalization.
They don’t have the infrastructure that a state brings to bear to oversee a fair election, nor are there laws to protect the integrity of mail-in ballots for a corporate election. It’s just disingenuous to compare the two.
That's completely wrong. Corporations definitely have the infrastructure to conduct a mail elections. They literally do it all the time for shareholders, to do things like elect the board of directors: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/proxy-vote.asp. As far as I can tell, there's even an industry of 3rd party companies that have sprung up to provide the logistics for them.
I can't believe that people are defending amazon, even at HN. Their practices are undefendable especially for the biggest company in the world.
If only irony could be harnessed as a power source this would light a large city for a year.