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this pie chart is great but ignores the fact NFTs are growing exponentially as we speak. once we move to proof of stake everything will resolve.

however, if you consider the comparison in OPs link - "1.5 thousand hours flight" - and assume 1.5 hour flight averages $50, then 1000 x $50 = $50,000 for a piece sold for how much? millions? not only a great deal for the buyer but also for the environment, considering any business may have way over $50k in expanses (~= CO2 emissions) to generate this revenue.

You’re right to try to compare to emissions in a physical sale but I think your estimate is way off.

Most NFTS are selling for under a couple thousand. Even over many editions, the millions figure is not common.

Reasoning like this is why the world is insane. These comparisons are not equals. There is no bargain or great deal, there is only euphoria from people who figured out a new way to shake the money tree. And "shaking the money tree" is a deep an understanding as many of these NFT grifters go. This is a signal, and that signal is increasing levels of fraud. Laypeople "share the fact" that the environmental expense of these NFT are what legitimize them, which is a bastardization of the concept to the degree they can't see the difference between the correct distinction and the pop culture watered down vague description.
Why are you calling artists making a fair living off their work grifters and scammers? What's your problem?
Artist making a fair living sell their art, this selling of NFTs is not them selling their art, they are selling an immaterial bragging right. It's insane.
It's irrelevant what it is or isn't, people are paying money for their art. How can you tell someone like this guy https://twitter.com/deekaymotion who recently starting making good money off his work that he's a grifter?
What proportion of the NFT mania is actually artists making money vs grifters and scammers making money?
If there are artists making money that previously weren't then that proportion is irrelevant. It's a completely voluntary system, no one is forced to use it or care about it.
Except for the many artists who are having their work stolen.
Those are unauthorized. Too bad to the collectors who gave their money to scammers, but those NFTs are worthless the moment the artist declares them forgeries.
Worthless according to who? It's not like the artist can take ownership of the NFT
The value of an NFT is in its provenance, just as with traditional works. If you forge a Mondrian, it won't be worth as much as an original Mondrian. It's even worse for NFTs since anyone can own the file data; the value of the NFT is almost purely its relationship to the artist.
"once we move to proof of stake" -> Alas, there is no PoS algorithm (who's security does not depend on PoW blockchain), so it's not "once" but more "if we ever move to PoS after we manage to invent it".
> Alas, there is no PoS algorithm (who's security does not depend on PoW blockchain)

What does this mean?

It means that you validators use PoW algorithms to hold their stake (like in Ethereum 2.0) and/or write the state of the PoS blockchain on a PoW blockchain once in a while to prevent long range attacks (long range attacks = when someone steal all the keys of the validators in the genesis block, and create and equivalently long PoS with hardly any effort)
You need to quantify what that means for energy usage, as that is the main point of contention. Fossil fuels are the primary contributor to global warming as they're used now, but no one should have any problem with, say, a portable gas generator used during an occasional blackout.

You explained how this applies to ETH 2.0, how about Cardano and Polkadot?

Your assumption is off base. Cardano has PoS, hovers between the top 5-3 cryptos. It works,and works quite well.
No, Cardano works towards a PoS, but at the moment is federated. They began from the "Byron era" (federated by the Cardano organization) and are now in the "Shelley era" (federated by the Cardano community).

https://roadmap.cardano.org/en/shelley/

Ethereum has something like 100,000 validator nodes up right now with a plan to switch completely this year, summer I believe. Polkadot, while not nearly as popular/big, is already running as a pure PoS blockchain.
These validator nodes all have stake in Ethereum PoW blockchain and are worthless without it.

Polkadot is not "pure PoS" as well, but feel free to bring a citation to prove me wrong.

I think it will still take years until the migration to PoS is done. Therefore why don't use a blockchain which is already PoS and has the needed infrastructure??? Tezos has everything needed. A lot of NFTs are beeing minted there right now. But it could be much more. It would make sense to spread the word instead of complaining about the bad impact PoW has. We should talk about the solutions not the problems.
> once we move to proof of stake everything will resolve.

...For those of us who do not eat, drink, sleep, and breathe cryptocurrency news, could you please explain what this means?

A bunch of people have been mentioning "Proof of Stake," but it's a term I've never heard until the comments on this article.

Rather than having a ridiculous number of computers competing to be the fastest to complete the calculations that underlie blockchain activities (the source of the power usage), blocks are instead given to a single node to complete, and your chances of getting that block are higher the more existing token owners have "staked" with it. PoW: you get blocks because you're working hard; everyone has to work harder to keep up. PoS: you get blocks because your node is popular, within a certain limit (because you give good rewards, because your node is owned by a good cause, w/e).

But this is part of the problem: people passing doom-and-gloom judgment without knowing what is going on. This information is easy to find and people have been screaming it for weeks, but it gets drowned out by the hysteria. Meanwhile, I STILL don't see any new fossil fuel regulations or a GND on Biden's desk, and no one seems to care.

These numbers are outrageous, and only solidify my already skeptic stance towards cryptos in general. In an era where people are encouraged to reduce their carbon emissions to protect the future of the planet, it seems irresponsible and stupid to waste hundreds of TWh annualy on solving completely pointless equations. Western governments need to step in and put an end to this madness.
We need a functioning Carbon trading/tax regime. I don't care if does something useless with a computer, that's literally most people, I care that we don't make people pay the price of their insanity.
Indeed, targetting a specific industry seems like too focussed and approach that won't actually solve much.

Especially when you have e.g. the aluminium smelting industry that uses around 10x more energy*. Arguably more useful, but the externalities of using unclean energy for that process, and all other unclean energy consuming industries, should still be priced in.

If cryptocurrency miners want to use that energy, they can knock themselves out, but they should at least be strongly economically incentivised to do it in a CO2-minimizing way.

* (15,000 kWh per tonne) * (63.2 million tonnes annually) = around 948 TWh sources: - https://aluminiumleader.com/production/how_aluminium_is_prod... - https://agmetalminer.com/2015/11/24/power-costs-the-producti...

And better infrastrucure. If theres a need for NFTs then just do it on a already PoS blockchain like tezos. The migration should not be that much of a deal. Infrastructure and community is there. Tools which would help to migrate smart contracts also. I think it is really the lack of knowledge, that there is a blockchain solving the actual problem.
There is not, and will (likely) never be, a need for NFTs. They are a solution looking for a problem.

Some (mostly already very wealthy) people want them. That is not the same as a genuine need.

People are free to do what they want with their money. But it's just stupid to do it on a monster like ethereum. You could burn toiletpaper to power a datacenter. But it is stupid.
Completely pointless? These equations guarantee the integrity of the distributed ledgers that power cryptocurrencies. Governments "stepping in" is exactly what motivated the creation of these things in the first place.
Blockchain technology doesn't really do anything in practical terms that a conventional, simple ledgering system wouldn't have been able to do much better and without wasting so much energy.
Conventional systems require centralized third parties and allow easy government intervention. The energy costs are nothing compared to the value humanity receives from decentralized ledgers.

Have you ever had all the funds in your bank account confiscated by the government? This happened decades ago to every citizen in my country. Have you ever had your bank deny you the money you need because everyone keeps trying to withdraw at the same time? Have you ever seen the government impose a $100/person/day cap on bank withdrawals?

You're telling me I have to pay some energy costs in order to make sure stuff like that never happens again? I pay it gladly.

Except with Bitcoin, you're now relying on the liquidity of actors like Tether to get your money out, which is even more centralised and less trustworthy, certainly, than any bank subject to western regulations and backed by our governments guarantees. Congratulations on destroying the environment to make an act of defiance that achieves less than nothing.
Binance has a BTC/BRL trading pair and peer-to-peer trading. I don't see how I'm depending on tether at all. I agree that centralized exchanges are a single point of failure but they're necessary for the time being. It's always possible to withdraw all assets to local wallets, it just makes trading harder.

Cryptocurrency has never been about "cashing out" though. The whole point is to be able to pay for things with the coins themselves, without the need to convert to fiat money. I believe Monero is the only one which will one day achieve this goal.

I'm not destroying the environment either. All the energy consumption of bitcoin doesn't add up to even 1% of global consumption. There are far worse offenders here yet somehow people are up in arms about non-fungible tokens. Why? Cryptocurrency is an easy and convenient target compared to entrenched and powerful industries like fossil fuels.

Also, "achieves less than nothing" is just factually wrong. By using even the pseudonymous bitcoin you make it that much harder for the government to seize your assets. They can't just order the bank to do it. They'd have to literally seize your computer in order to obtain those coins. Monero raises the bar even higher and changes the balance of power so thoroughly it's subversive.

Just like the stock market was never about cashing out during the 1920s. But that situation can change very fast. In fact, the only reason Bitcoin wasn't wiped out during the last panic in 2017 is because no one was stopping Tether from simply minting out of thin air and propping up the price.

The simple fact is that every dollar spent buying a new lambo by some crypto hotshot millionaire has to come from someone else buying their ticket to the carousel. Just like in any Ponzi scheme. There is no creation of value there, just an ever increasing pool of greater fools.

And now we even have companies with millions/billions of dollars worth of BTC on their balance sheet. What happens if one of those companies goes to bankruptcy court? Do you think their equity and debt holders won't want those tokens converted to fiat currency as soon as possible? How do you think that happens?

If you're truly paranoid about the government seizing your assets (which you have no reason to be unless you're already doing something stupid), you can always buy a precious metal or simply take out cash and keep it buried in your backyard.

Also, 1÷ of global emissions is already a huge number. And if Bitcoin should become as widespread as some people claim that number would still need to grow by a vast amount.

> In fact, the only reason Bitcoin wasn't wiped out during the last panic in 2017 is because no one was stopping Tether from simply minting out of thin air and propping up the price.

That wasn't even necessary. It doesn't matter if bitcoin price hits $0. What matters is whether people continue to believe in it. As long as people see value, there will still be value. It doesn't matter how many crashes it experiences. Short term speculators getting liquidated is a good thing.

> The simple fact is that every dollar spent buying a new lambo by some crypto hotshot millionaire has to come from someone else buying their ticket to the carousel.

Can't sell without buyers. Just like how startups pay people with company stock: cashing out to fiat depends on people believing in the company and buying their shares. All the money evaporates the second people stop believing in it. Doesn't mean it's a Ponzi scheme.

> What happens if one of those companies goes to bankruptcy court?

They'll sell the coins. If it's a big volume it'll cause a flash market crash because people will notice and panic sell. It doesn't really matter in the grand scheme of things.

> If you're truly paranoid about the government seizing your assets (which you have no reason to be unless you're already doing something stupid)

Ah yes, I'm sure my parents must have been doing stupid criminal stuff when the government seized everyone's bank accounts in a desperate attempt to combat runaway inflation. Everyone in my country absolutely deserved to have their entire life savings stolen. They deserved being left with nothing but $50 in their bank accounts.

> you can always buy a precious metal or simply take out cash and keep it buried in your backyard.

I can also buy cryptocurrency which is much easier. I have cash too and precious metals. My parents were also smart enough to withdraw all funds from the bank before the government seized everything and it's the only reason my family enjoys some measure of prosperity today.

> Also, 1÷ of global emissions is already a huge number.

In absolute terms, yes. In relative terms, no. There are far worse polluters out there and attacking cryptocurrency achieves less than nothing until those polluters are regulated.

> And if Bitcoin should become as widespread as some people claim that number would still need to grow by a vast amount.

By that time the cryptocurrency ecosystem will hopefully have moved on to better less expensive systems.

It just reminds me of the people who pay to get "titles" in Scotland, etc. or "land" in Ireland - when you just get some pretend certificate.

Like the NFT isn't directly linked to the real world, it's only useful if everyone agrees to abide by it and that you own the thing (although I suppose you could say the same thing for most property ownership).

Yeah lol. If there is no physical entity enforcing the contract, then the contract is worthless.

Whereas with Bitcoin, the entire thing is digital. The only thing that is non-digital is the valuing of the bitcoin itself. That takes places in each individuals mind. Thus Bitcoin (store of value) is a solid usecase of this. NFTs are dumb.

I'm even skeptical of Bitcoin as a store of value. Sure it's deflationary, but it only has value if people will buy it.

The only thing that ensures some value are transactions being made, and right now that is just a low level of illegal black markets in drugs, etc. you can't use it to purchase normal goods or services - I don't feel that justifies the current prices so it seems like a pump and dump.

In case you find it useful, I'll mention that I use Bitcoin as a store of value: it lets me store a portion of the output of my production (i.e., my salary) that I don't need to consume right away. Occasionally, I convert a portion back to other currencies and consume it. I never have and don't intend to ever trade in black markets. I expect that thousands of other users like me will continue to be willing to buy/sell, needing to "consume" it (convert to other assets) at different times.

In a very real sense, I've used Bitcoin to buy real things — and I really don't care at all about the fact that I had to convert to Euros first; it still was just as useful for me to store value I've produced until the time, months later, I'm ready to consume it.

There are other technologies to store wealth and we can compare them, Bitcoin is certainly not the only one. But I think failing to acknowledge this would be just as foolish as pretending it is the only means to do this.

But why use Bitcoin for that? You could use GME shares and get the volatility without the crazy power usage, or use a stable ETF.
> > In case you find it useful, I'll mention that I use Bitcoin as a store of value: it lets me store a portion of the output of my production (i.e., my salary) that I don't need to consume right away. Occasionally, I convert a portion back to other currencies and consume it

> But why use Bitcoin for that? You could use GME shares and get the volatility without the crazy power usage, or use a stable ETF.

Because if you plot the BTCEUR, the EUR ETF of your choice, and GME *USDEUR over the last 10 years, and apply a moving average equal to your financial buffer (say 6 month), you will see one is clearly trending up: BTC

Someone who put 1% of their income or use DCA to regurlarly buy an equivalent amount of BTC, GME, any ETF will quickly find than the BTC represent 90% of their saving, meaning it grew much faster than anything else.

It's not the volatility or the greeks, but the time trend if you can afford to delay your spending!

If you spend 2/3 of your saving to acquire something that you realize is worth 9 times less than what the other 1/3 of your savings purchased, you quickly stop and reevaluate your automated purchase decisions!

Yeah I wouldn’t say that’s a helpful analogy. You could equally say that they remind you of traditional money, or real art, or gold, or a fancy pure bred dog, or anything with value beyond its practical application

At least titles are relatively harmless

The difference with "real art" is that you have something tangible to hang on your wall. As opposed to a .jpg that anyone else can access as easily as you can.
You don't even "own" the JPG, you have a signed piece of paper that reads "iamacyborg owns that image", and which has no legal value at all. Anyone can make them regardless of who created and has legal copyright of the actual image.

If you're thinking "but it can't be that stupid" then well...

It's almost like a parody of private property ownership.

As when you think about it, what gives some rich aristocrats the right to own all the land? It's not as though God Himself came down and gave it to them (though they used to claim this with Divine Right) - they just have some piece of paper which they use to enforce their "ownership" with violence, and demand rent.

I hope at least the absurdity of NFTs might make more people see the absurdity of privately claiming the Earth's land and resources too.

> they just have some piece of paper which they use to enforce their "ownership" with violence

Technically, the state has the "monopoly of the legitimate use of physical force" and other actions, so the threat of violence to non-compliers is part of the law (and probably the largest part if you go far enough back in time to when the land claim originated).

But this is a digression, unless you're making the point that NFTs and suchlike junk are lacking even that customary legitimacy. Without it, a dollar is mere "paper fiat". With it, it's a buck.

> It's almost like a parody of private property ownership.

Yep, without backing, this is make-believe ownership. Not technically enforceable on a .jpg image, not legally enforceable because existing property rights laws take precedence.

Oh no, I'm fully onboard the "this is dumb" train.
Art collection is often not about the art itself. NFTs function like traditional art purchases ACTUALLY do: as proof of support for an artist and their expression.
My impression is that the whole 'contemporary art market' is a nexus of the rich and a very small group of people that decide "good art".. at best it's speculative investment and at worst a front for money laundering..

Happy if someone with real insight in the industry can share their thoughts..

Doesn't help that this is being driven by what can only be described as a bubble right now and that NFT's are being used as a vehicle to commit fraud by selling other people's art.
This is no different than what already happens in other platforms such as Twitter, Instagram, YouTube, etc where people steal other people's content to make money for themselves. There are mechanisms in place to prevent this in most of these NFT platforms just like there are on the aforementioned ones.
Reposting someone's art on Twitter/IG/whatever is a bit different to literally selling someone else's art though, isn't it?
I don't think so. Anyone who's buying this stolen art and finds out about it understands that they got scammed because it didn't come from the original artist.

It may feel worse to the artist because they can see someone making money off their work more directly rather than through ads such as how it happens on YouTube for instance, but it doesn't decrease the value of their art if they were to sell it themselves.

Complaining that NFTs don't prevent art theft is like complaining that my physical dollar bills don't prevent muggings. Ultimately, it's up to policies and mechanisms on the level of the action to prevent that action. Moderators have to strike illicit goods; collectors have to recognize the authenticity or inauthenticity of provenance; viewers have to observe and respect that a forged, unauthorized piece is valueless, regardless of the resemblance to the original. The computer doesn't care, nor should it.
I resist this eco-shaming we see everywhere. Flying: bad. Crypto: bad. Avocado: bad. It's total nonsense.

What we need is a very heavy tax on CO2eq, or on all pollution/ resource waste. A tax so heavy that we can lower other taxes as a result.

This way some products and services become more expensive in relation to others: the market will optimize low-pollution.

Eco-shaming is just sand in our eyes. Ban the plastic straws! Are you eating an avocado, seriously? This will not solve anything except for some people to have something to whine about.

I agree with a carbon tax in general but it misses the point when it comes to crypto. When it comes to domestic travel you can tax airlines directly; for manufacture it’s harder but you can in theory tax at the border. For cryptos, which were designed to subvert government control, there is no way to tax them since mining can just move to somewhere with less environmental controls.
That's not a problem unique to crypto, it's true of all manufacturing. And honestly I think the solution is to declare war (whether via sanctions, violence, or some other means) on regions that are refusing to be responsible with the global ecosystem.

I think it's a mistake to single out crypto as a unique actor in this growing issue, and that we should look for solutions that will generalize across all industries. Because all industries are contributing to the modern ecological crisis.

And I'll add, crypto does not care if energy becomes more scarce. What crypto cares about is that energy is equally scarce for attackers and defenders. If, due to regulation of production, the cost of energy goes up, crypto will use proportionally less energy and keep chugging away quite happily.

It's important to undersrand that the EU and the US account for ~25% of the world economy each. They could push reforms unilaterally if they so desired. They just don't, because it's convenient to their business interests.
Well said, though jumping to violence so quickly is.. concerning. It does appear that there's a coordination / commons problem here that might not be easy to resolve without force
Again though, sanctions work for manufacturing but not for cryptocurrencies. Iran is sanctioned from banking from the US and EU but is still a major Bitcoin mining center.
All it takes is for the US and EU to ban cryptocurrency itself and the problem goes away. It doesn't matter if mining is done in countries beyond their borders because the demand will go through the floor and those countries will have no incentive to keep wasting energy on it.

The idea that cryptocurrency is beyond government control is fundamentally wrong. Most people don't want to be criminals.

Yes, they could block the fiat pipes out instead of the crypto pipes in. Even if it wasn’t a perfect plug, it would devastate the prices and might cause the whole industry to unravel.
I agree with you. And the irony is that the western wealthiest countries have the highest carbon footprint per capita. So the biggest impact would be made by changing our own lifestyles, but it's easier to rip on crypto art than give up your laundry dryer or SUV.
It might make NFT fans feel better to imagine their detractors getting around in an SUV, but I think you’d find that a lot of us are anti-SUV (both aesthetically and in favor of different incentives around fuel consumption) as well.
Not an NFT fan but point taken. We need to go at this from all directions, but picking energy use cases one by one will make a mess of it. We need incentives at the base layers (energy production, fuels etc.)
The difference between manufacturing and crypto is that manufacturing actually, you know, manufactures stuff. It makes stuff that is useful to people. It contributes to human society.

The energy consumed to power cryptocurrencies contributes nothing to society. It's literally destroying the environment in order to run as many SHA256 hashes as possible per second.

This problem is specific to proof of work systems. Alternative solutions are already being designed and implemented. Whether existing coins like bitcoin, ethereum and monero will implement these new systems is unknown.

> The energy consumed to power cryptocurrencies contributes nothing to society.

This is simply false. The energy spent guarantees the integrity of the decentralized ledgers that power cryptocurrencies. Perhaps there are better solutions out there but it's wrong to say that the energy consumption produces no value.

Whether or not other systems are possible is not really relevant: cryptocurrencies as they exist today work like this. The fact that one day potentially we will have proof-of-stake doesn't change the fact that today we are destroying the earth for no reason at all.
Destroying the planet? Don't exaggerate. Even the submitted article has the following disclaimer:

> Of course even these figures — and anything an individual does — are a drop in the ocean of global emissions (~50 billion tonnes CO2e).

There are much higher priority targets for carbon footprint reduction. Eventually cryptocurrencies will use different less expensive algorithms and electricity generation and storage will be a lot friendlier to the environment.

> The energy spent guarantees the integrity of the decentralized ledgers that power cryptocurrencies.

This is not of anywhere near sufficient value to society to justify the obscene amount of resources consumed for it. Personally, I would say that it, in fact, contributes nothing to society.

How is it not? With these systems people can transact with anyone else on the planet with near complete privacy and with no need to trust any third party. This is world-changing technology.

You could say that the system is inefficient. I agree with that. It's not just energy consumption and carbon emissions either. Users literally pay the cost in the form of ridiculously expensive transaction processing fees. It must change in order to be more efficient and less expensive to use.

I don't agree that it doesn't offer sufficient value to society. It's extremely valuable technology that is currently being limited by high costs. We need to drive the costs down.

Rather than declaring war which is impractical, you can work out a fine based on tons of CO2 or whatever and put it as a tariff on their exports.
I've been avoiding this discussion on HN for months now because most of it appears to be in bad faith / wholly misinformed. But okay, I'll bite.

> there is no way to tax them

You put a heavy tax on power consumption. Done.

> just move to somewhere with less environmental controls

Crypto isn't the first industry to take advantage of tax arbitrage. By this logic, few businesses should run in the US.. and yet the only ones commonly taking advantage of havens and tax arb are larger orgs with the resources to structure.

Business and money are fluid, but not that fluid.

> Business and money are fluid, but not that fluid.

Manufacturing and moving physical goods is not fluid, but creating and transferring a fungible, pseudonymous asset is. It would be possible for a country to block or put a tariff on imported goods from a country that didn’t do enough to curb carbon emissions, but it wouldn’t be possible to block imports of crypto without overstepping.

Miners outside the US are paid by US investment into crypto. It’s an externality with multiple solutions, but increasing the cost of electricity in the US does nothing.
How do you politically get the world to agree on a power consumption tax? I like the idea but it seems unlikely at a global level.
Tax the outflows at crypto exchanges.

The only reason anyone cares about this stuff is that you can sell it to the next sucker for real money. Make that unappealingly expensive, and the retail investors will go away.

That defeats part of the purpose of a carbon tax. In theory, having all crypto be on non-carbon energy is ecologically safe. A carbon tax applied at the level of energy purchase is the most reliable way to move even crypto energy consumption to renewables.
You can target the energy suppliers directly, who then pass the cost on to consumers of the electricity. With a sufficiently high tax, it becomes unprofitable to mine crypto using non-renewable energy.

In theory, if the world had a high energy PoW blockchain solely powered by solar energy, that would be ecologically harmless.

Except that would generate the same sort of run on solar panels and/or their constituent components that is did for GPUS before ASICs got big.

Solar panels that could otherwise be used to replace fossil fuels.

> Except that would generate the same sort of run on solar panels and/or their constituent components that is did for GPUS before ASICs got big.

Yes, and there's nothing inherently wrong with that, because supply isn't constrained.

For any good (or service) for which there is sufficient supply elasticity, when demand increases prices increase temporarily, but that's then followed by an increase in supply to meet that demand.

The inflation adjusted price of high-end GPUs has been basically flat since 2000 -> https://hexus.net/tech/news/graphics/103399-inflation-adjust.... Insofar as there has been variation, it has largely been due to other confounding variables.

In other words, solar panels will be used to replace fossil fuels no matter what. As long as there's a carbon tax, all crypto mining does is stimulate the demand for solar panels. Right now, I stand to gain a lot of money by starting a solar panel manufacturing company (because of crypto), but the net result (fully developed solar panel supply chains) is still good for humanity no matter what. That only happens if we have targeted environmental policy that magnifies that incentive.

You don't stop crypto by taxing it. You stop it by banning it at the ISP level. It won't stop 100% of transactions but the price would crater for Bitcoin to $10 and that alone will kill it.
Bitcoin runs over tor, you know.
True, but what percentage of user who own on Coinbase are going to setup Tor to buy/sell Bitcoin? What percentage are going to be comfortable setting up a Trezor? I did say it wouldn't stop 100% of transactions. If a government bans it, the hedge funds are dumping their positions too. Bitcoin would go back to being a $5 crypto. To be clear, I'm not sure the US government is poised to do this. I was merely saying that you can't carbon tax it out of existence.
That externalities such as pollution are not properly accounted for means market economies will not work not even in theory. It's high time we solved this.
It's not often I find like minded people on this one.
I don't like the idea of a carbon tax in comparison to a fixed carbon budget. Why would we let politicians decide on a percentage, which might or might not lead to the desired outcome, when we can just limit the budget and trade emission certificates? I also think the government should not sell the certificates but issue them equally to all people (e.g. once a year) who can then sell or consume them.

Disclaimer: I am not subscribing to the climate alarmism, but I see that there is a majority now which does, so I at least demand efficient solutions and not more bureaucracy and cronyism.

I have mix feelings about this. OTH the ban the plastic straws is silly. But I do think it's better than norms keep people in check rather than formal regulation. It's just that norms should not be meme based.
The plastic straw ban is silly because the cost/benefit ratio is almost completely cost.

First and foremost the ban has hurt segments of the disabled community that need easily manipulable straws in order to be able to eat. And then to add insult to injury, according to https://earth.stanford.edu/news/do-plastic-straws-really-mak... plastic straws make up less than one-percent of ocean pollution.

That disparity between consumer and environmental impact underlines why measures that rely on individual actions are doomed to fail: They are a minuscule improvement per person with nowhere long enough a tail to get close to the impact of the top polluting companies and sectors. Add on top of this the complacency that passing an over-hyped bill generates and how it paints all environmentalists as controlling jerks, and you have a bad situation all around.

You are very right and very wrong at the same time. Yes shaming is an extremely poor substitute to such tax but I don't see such tax happening any time soon. So what is the alternative? And shaming has a function: It creates awareness and more importantly momentum to establish such tax.

I expect that the counterpoint to this would be that shaming doesn't convince people. Well, I'm not so sure about that. It's not like there's a happier substitute. These things are not fun. We are spending our planet. We need to tighten our extravagances. It isn't fun.

> It creates awareness

It does not. It pits the common people against each other while billionaires have jets, rockets and fully stocked houses they do not live it.

We need to fix something big here, and saying that tax will not happen is simply giving up a lot of species on earth (possibly humans as well).

> I expect that the counterpoint to this would be that shaming doesn't convince people.

:) It might convince one here and there, but that will add just one whiner to team whiny-whine. Ecosystems are suffering under the exploitation of human's profit maximization. Only a super heavy de-incentifizing tax can truly save us. And the reason that tax in not possible is the reason a revolution will be inevitable.

Shouldn't we just shame billionaires a lot and millionaires a little then? On top of calling for revenue neutral carbon taxation that will hit them the most and benefit the common people?
> but I don't see such tax happening any time soon

Curious, why do you feel this way? From where I sit, carbon pricing has been slowly (but surely) making its way into policy all around the world: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/04/02/climate/prici...

"Canada currently has one of the most ambitious carbon pricing programs in the world. Under Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, the Liberal government has enacted a nationwide tax on oil, coal and gas that starts at $15 per ton of carbon dioxide this year and will rise to $38 per ton by 2022. Most of the revenue will be refunded to Canadians on their tax bills; the government estimates that these refunds will offset higher energy costs for about 70 percent of people."

"With Congress largely gridlocked on climate policy, the main carbon pricing efforts in the United States have unfolded at the state level.

In the Northeast, nine states currently participate in the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, a cap-and-trade system that auctions to power plants a steadily dwindling supply of carbon pollution permits. Carbon prices under this system have been fairly modest to date, and it is unclear how much the prices themselves have driven emissions reductions in the region. But states have used the money raised by the auctions to invest in efficiency and clean energy programs.

California, meanwhile, has enacted its own cap-and-trade program that goes beyond power plants and also covers manufacturers, refineries, and other polluters. Here, too, carbon prices under the system have remained modest to date, in part because the initial cap was set fairly high, and most of California’s emissions cuts to date have come as a result of other climate policies. Those include the state’s efficiency standards for buildings, and aggressive renewable power targets. State officials are now struggling to tighten the cap so that it drives bigger cuts in future years.

There are some signs that carbon pricing could expand further in the states. Virginia and New Jersey are making moves to join the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, and several Northeastern states are planning a similar program for cars and trucks that would put a price on transportation fuels and invest in mass transit, electric buses or other low-carbon solutions."

"Since 2011, China has been experimenting with cap-and-trade programs in several pilot cities, including Shanghai and Shenzhen. The country plans to gradually roll out a nationwide cap-and-trade program starting in 2020, with several years of testing before expanding to major sectors like electricity, steel and concrete.

If China manages to follow through, it will have created the largest carbon-pricing program in the world. But the government has not yet finalized key details, like how high it will set the overall emissions cap. Chinese officials have been talking with representatives from California and the European Union, trying to learn from their often-rocky experiences in designing cap-and-trade programs."

It hasn't been without its hiccups and we haven't reached maturity yet, but it's clear which way the political winds are blowing. The same can be said for crypto, funnily enough.

>It creates awareness ... of the wrong thing

You get people thinking banning plastic straws is fixing things when it doesn't do much and what we need to fix warming is more like a $100 carbon price.

If blockchain is worthy of it's proponents claims, it should be possible to establish a cryptocurrency which incorporates a blockchain for trading renewable energy where mining consumes the renewable energy coins at a consensus rate.
Proof of Stake fixes blockchain's energy problem. It's already fixed. See Cardano and Polkadot.
Doesn't solve the problem. Bitcoin isn't going anywhere.
excluding lost keys, there's close to a trillion in personal incentives for the invested to solve bitcoin's problems, Paul Keating used to say 'always back self-interest — at least you know it's trying'.

Even if POS doesn't replace POW, I'm curious whether the combination of POS and game theory does, in that breaking POS becomes incredibly expensive, because breaking the system would destroy the value of the stake.

No one in these situations ever talks about political capital. These shame based tactics arise from our powerlessness, as whether consciously or not, people who care about the environment realise that neither party, nor any private industry, will ultimately enact any true change on this front, so the only tool they have left is shaming. We are mired in plastic straws and twitter arguments purely because that is the only avenue left by those that actually hold the ability to change anything.
> These shame based tactics arise from our powerlessness

Or they are sand in our eyes! There is a vested group who does not want to status quo to change. They make money on pollution, CO2eq-heavy stuff. We need to rearrange the system and the best avenue for this is a very heavy tax on pollution (so big we can lower the tax on wholesome behaviours, like, say, income from labour or housing).

> It's total nonsense.

The total non sense is selling an avocado that traveled 6000km to your local supermarket. Just pause for a second and think about it... We'll all need to make sacrifices, and shipping fucking fruits and veggies to the other side of the world is going to be one of them sooner than later.

There are already CO2 taxes on cars and it doesn't change much, people still buy them and it's still unsustainable on the long term. Taxing stuff doesn't automagically make the negatives disappear

> This will not solve anything except for some people to have something to whine about

Let's see how our grand children will be whining in 2150... I'd bet my left nut that your plastic straw and avocado issues will seem very distant to them

> There are already CO2 taxes on cars and it doesn't change much, people still buy them and it's still unsustainable on the long term. Taxing stuff doesn't automagically make the negatives disappear

Are you sure about that? Over the last few years, EV + PHEV proliferation has exploded around the world. Electric cars now make up 54% of the market in Norway (https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/jan/05/electric...). In the US, renewable energy consumption surprassed coal for the first time in 130 years (https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=43895).

You're right that magic doesn't exist, but it applies to electric technology too; you can't just "will" fully featured replacement power systems into existence overnight. There's still a lot of R&D left to do, and the world is simultaneously working towards improving battery technology while also mass marketing existing technology.

Replacing the 1.4 ICE vehicles running worldwide with lithium battery powered electric vehicles will be fun...

imho we're just displacing the problem in time, lithium isn't magic either and will bring its own share of problems. As long as we keep building and using more and more vehicles we'll always hit pollution and recycling issues which aren't sustainable in the long run.

Also, Norway isn't India or Africa, it's a very small country with lots of resources, a very rich population and _massive_ monetary incentives to buy electric vehicles.

No matter how much we'll improve out tech, earth is still a finite planet with finite resources and we can't just keep our exponential growth targets indefinitely (more cars, more planes, more roads, more travels, more computers, &c.). It reminds me of plane engine improvements, every XX years we gain 5% on pollution and efficiency but we run 30% more flights... we'll eventually have to make sacrifices

Okay, but this is all very different from your original argument that was of the tune that carbon taxes don't work. They clearly do work specifically as it relates to CO2 emissions, but don't do much with respect to, say, road congestion (to your last point). Fine, but that's unrelated to cryptocurrencies.

Regarding whether or not "more electric cars" is a worthwhile goal, I recommend reading this: https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/we-will-not-ban-cars

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Do NFTs (i.e., CryptoArt) add any ecological cost to the ongoing cost of Ethereum?
Yes.
“No”. Energy usage is independent of transaction volume.
More folks wanting to participate, more folks buying and trading Ether, more transactions, more CO2.
No, this is not true. Mining costs (in energy) are independent of: tx vol, tx complexity, ether cost and client versions. They depend only on global hashrate setting difficulty, to ensure block times.
Folks aren't incentivised to mine a blockchain with little activity.
No, the amount of txs does not effect the CO2.
I'm mildly glad to discover they found some good real uses of crypto..
Is there a solution that provides the value of the blockchain for cryptoArt without the wasteful power consumption?
MongoDB or MySQL.

Seriously a lot of the NFTs are centralised enough that you might as well just store em in a $50 cloud hosting solution.

When the tezos blockchain is used for NFTs then there is no PoW involved. The footprint would shrink dramatically. For me it is unreasonable to not mention a already existing infrastructure in an article like this.
> ...seemingly introduces a scarcity to those assets that might otherwise be unattainable.

For most of history, scarcity was something that humanity wanted to overcome (and the internet offered a glimpse into a world where it had been overcome).

Now a lot of brain power is spent to "attain" scarcity.

Where did we take the wrong turn?

Mainstream artists are the masters of empty posturing. I am quite certain that the vast majority of them do not give a flying fuck about cryptoart's impact to the environment, one way or another.

There are people who stick to their guns and those who were always critical/proponents of crypto- good! But it'll all be forgotten once the fad goes through its course.