> By using historical data and a Bayesian structural time-series model we can predict what the count of questions asked on Stack Overflow would look like after February 2020 sans pandemic.
And average predicted is literally flat at cut out point whereas there was constant growth beforehand. Is that a reasonable estimate?
There was a big spike at the start of pandemic, but we’re now where we would be without pandemic (which author acknowledges). That prediction was way more pessimistic than warranted, it appears.
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[ 3.0 ms ] story [ 8.8 ms ] threadAnd average predicted is literally flat at cut out point whereas there was constant growth beforehand. Is that a reasonable estimate?
There was a big spike at the start of pandemic, but we’re now where we would be without pandemic (which author acknowledges). That prediction was way more pessimistic than warranted, it appears.