Historically, I would expect to see a country in China’s situation seeking to expand alliances with sympathetic powers. The article mentions courting the Philippines from a few years ago, but it sounds like that has fizzled. Maybe Russia to put pressure on France and Germany? I am not sure that will be enough, but don’t know enough Europeans to gauge their élan vital. Or maybe we will see the 21st century version of the Zimmerman Telegram (seems very doubtful). Perhaps Brazil? That also just seems so unlikely. I just don’t see a lot of other countries willing to join this effort with China, and they probably think that they don’t need it. I’m an American, so my perspective on Taiwan may be wholly detached from other countries.
The about the author tells you everything you need to know about this article and whether to take it seriously. These are not universities. They’re right wing think tanks that carry water for oil companies and defense contractors.
About the authors: Michael Beckley is a Jeane Kirkpatrick Visiting Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, where his research focuses on U.S.-China competition, and is an associate professor at Tufts University. Hal Brands is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, where he studies US foreign policy and defense strategy, and is the Henry A. Kissinger Distinguished Professor of Global Affairs at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies.
China doesn't need to go to war. It is already on track to become the 'Number One' country within very few years. A war would only slow it down.
On the other hand, the US is paranoid about the inexorable prospect of being demoted from 'Number One' to 'Number Two'. It's only way of stopping that IS a war.
The trouble is, the US has left its run too late. War or no war, the US is destined in a few years to be demoted. If it chooses war, it will be destroyed like Germany was in 1945.
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[ 1.7 ms ] story [ 23.7 ms ] threadAbout the authors: Michael Beckley is a Jeane Kirkpatrick Visiting Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, where his research focuses on U.S.-China competition, and is an associate professor at Tufts University. Hal Brands is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, where he studies US foreign policy and defense strategy, and is the Henry A. Kissinger Distinguished Professor of Global Affairs at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/6UoprWnLdauS/
On the other hand, the US is paranoid about the inexorable prospect of being demoted from 'Number One' to 'Number Two'. It's only way of stopping that IS a war.
The trouble is, the US has left its run too late. War or no war, the US is destined in a few years to be demoted. If it chooses war, it will be destroyed like Germany was in 1945.