Striking that the major stories that occurred this year weren't mentioned anywhere in any of the top voted comments, or where mentioned in exactly the wrong way:
ordered by my subjective level of importance:
- Increased spread of covid variants right until the end of 2021 (along with prolonging of lockdown measures).
- Official recognition by the Fed that inflation is no longer transitory
- State Capitol attack.
- Increased confrontation with Russia.
- Taliban taking over Afghanistan in a blink of an eye.
- Stock market smashing all time high after all time high.
- Evergrande collapse.
- Lira collapse
- The Great Resignation
- web3, nft and metaverse dominating tech discussion.
tbf some of these are quite contradictory no way anyone could have predicted them and not look like a fool, which is a sign of the crazy time we live in.
Evergrand and Lira collapsing with the markets barely reacting for example.
This is an excellent list though I think the last two have little impact outside of tech-heavy fora like this (tbf you specifically mention "tech discussion").
Most of the others actually mean something in the real world.
I have doubts it will ever be "Supreme" but I can genuinely believe it will help locate solutions, subsequently confirmed by traditional methods, which are then optimised to be as quick or quicker.
Run enough times, find the statistically satisfying minima or maxima or point of interest. Mainly it's about coherence and noise. Stable qbits are like Noah's cubits: hard to find.
ubiquitous RSA factoring in nanoseconds? Don't personally think so. Specific key finding for post-hoc analysis? Dunno, but not in 2022 or by 2030 (to agree with you)
> my third pick is that 2022 will be the year of linux desktop
Don't do that, don't give me hope. /j
In all seriousness though, I don't know if we'll ever see it. That being said, if the Steam Deck materializes, is popular, and people don't go straight to booting Windows... It could actually happen!
The next incoming trend of startups is Buy Now, Pay later. A series of companies will offer you to keep your standard of living and assume you can pay it off at a later date.
Many will abuse these services assuming they can have their pre-Covid lifestyles and just “wait out” whatever recession.
There was log4j the last few weeks, the malicious packages in PyPI and the ua-parser-js that was taken over. At least that's what I remember from this year.
The process of drug approval is so slow that I can’t predict a one year revolution, but given a few years, I do expect to see mRNA vaccines/treatments to emerge as a broad category treating dozens of medical conditions.
Only one mention of climate change. Which was the biggest problem of the world before covid. Here's a tweet (in Malay) back in 2019, warning that parts of the country would be underwater in 2050: https://twitter.com/CentGPS/status/1191913321391247360
Floods hit hard a few weeks ago, really hard. Cars were underwater, homes completely wrecked. A lot of the damage were in line with the chart above. They're working on drainage but I don't really think that'll help for rising sea levels.
I’m from Germany and we were hit really hard by the flood.
People died, lost their homes - but after a few months most of it is already forgotten.
There is little to no action taken to prevent this from happening again - at least in the village my parents live.
A friend of mine lost everything. It makes me freaking angry. We all have to adjust our behavior or we are really fucked sooner than most people think.
when last flood was in your area ? I heard about it, cos Im from Poland and we have plenty of areas that are probe to flooding but people still try to build homes in floading prone areas coz of X ( dunno why )
34 comments
[ 2.2 ms ] story [ 77.9 ms ] threadordered by my subjective level of importance:
- Increased spread of covid variants right until the end of 2021 (along with prolonging of lockdown measures).
- Official recognition by the Fed that inflation is no longer transitory
- State Capitol attack.
- Increased confrontation with Russia.
- Taliban taking over Afghanistan in a blink of an eye.
- Stock market smashing all time high after all time high.
- Evergrande collapse.
- Lira collapse
- The Great Resignation
- web3, nft and metaverse dominating tech discussion.
Evergrand and Lira collapsing with the markets barely reacting for example.
Reality is and always was much crazier than our imagination and sense of what is normal/possible.
Most of the others actually mean something in the real world.
my second pick is that quantum supremacy will not happen in 2022
my third pick is that 2022 will be the year of linux desktop
Run enough times, find the statistically satisfying minima or maxima or point of interest. Mainly it's about coherence and noise. Stable qbits are like Noah's cubits: hard to find.
ubiquitous RSA factoring in nanoseconds? Don't personally think so. Specific key finding for post-hoc analysis? Dunno, but not in 2022 or by 2030 (to agree with you)
Don't do that, don't give me hope. /j
In all seriousness though, I don't know if we'll ever see it. That being said, if the Steam Deck materializes, is popular, and people don't go straight to booting Windows... It could actually happen!
https://github.com/koekeishiya/yabai
Is there really no way to do that on Mac?
Everything is crashing, but it seems crypto less so than national currencies.
You know what?
Maybe this time, you could be right.
Let's come back to this in a years time and tell everyone about it.
Many will abuse these services assuming they can have their pre-Covid lifestyles and just “wait out” whatever recession.
Not sure if it's become more of a thing but it is pretty dang relevant these last few weeks.
What’re you referring to?
Floods hit hard a few weeks ago, really hard. Cars were underwater, homes completely wrecked. A lot of the damage were in line with the chart above. They're working on drainage but I don't really think that'll help for rising sea levels.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8455KEDitpU
People died, lost their homes - but after a few months most of it is already forgotten.
There is little to no action taken to prevent this from happening again - at least in the village my parents live.
A friend of mine lost everything. It makes me freaking angry. We all have to adjust our behavior or we are really fucked sooner than most people think.
Climate change is already here.