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mikewarot
It looks like the moon will be mostly dark (4%) on March 4, is it possible that you could see this from the ground? I know it'll be fast because there's no atmosphere to push back and keep a fireball in place.
gregoriol
Not sure there will be a fireball if there is no fuel left nor atmosphere, maybe more like a dust cloud?
mikewarot
The kinetic energy will melt things at the impact site and turn them into a glowing vapor cloud... which will dissipate quickly in the vacuum. I just wonder if it'll be bright enough to see on the ground if you happen to glance at that instant.

The moon will be below the horizon where I live, oh well.

bener
The article states the far side of the moon will be impacted, surely that would make visibility much less likely...
mikewarot
Oh well, there was a 50/50 chance of that... I missed it in my reading, thanks for sharing.