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having worked a lot in creating industrial automation machines, if one day we get general purpose robots, it's going to change nearly everything. But given the issues I have with my Roomba, which is still great, I think we shouldn't expect too much, I'd be super impressed if we could get something that can do something simple like take my wheelie bin of garbage to the curb in the next decade or so.
Mow the lawn, trim the bushes, clean the patio- basically, replace the teenager on summer vacation. I’m super dubious. I’ll bet Elon $50k these aren’t solved in 5 years, except for simple cases of mow the lawn. (Chop up the flower beds, that’s a scratch.)
I would rarely consider betting against Elon Musk.

However, I've worked with robots starting a research group at Joe Engelberger's Unimation in 1976 (https://www.google.com/search?channel=fs&client=ubuntu&q=joe...).

One of my recent efforts at CMU involved human/robot collaboration to change a car tire. I am currently doing research on self-reproducing systems, essentially robots building robots.

If Musk thinks he underestimated how hard self-driving was then I think he is seriously underestimating general purpose robotics.

That said, I really hope he succeeds. I want to be the first one to shake the robots hand.