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The only way to "forgive" loans without causing inflation would be to screw over the banks by writing off the debt, forcing a credit crunch.
Banks haven't held any standard student loans since way back in the Obama administration.
That actually happened, yo. Obama did a federal takeover of all standard student loans, way back in 2010.

I mean, you can look it up. Over 90% of student loan debt is now held directly by the federal government (rather than merely being guaranteed by it, as was the case in the past).

> screw over the banks by writing off the debt

The banks don't hold this debt, the federal government does. That's why the federal government can forgive it. That's why the federal government has been able to suspend payments for 2 years. The government can't forgive debt held by someone else.

"Most lenders are huge institutions, such as international banks or the government. After a loan is originated, however, it represents an asset that can be bought and sold on the market."

Source: https://www.investopedia.com/articles/personal-finance/08121...

Look at the source of investopedia's stats:

"The outstanding federal loan balance is $1.620 trillion and accounts for 92.7% of all student loan debt." https://educationdata.org/student-loan-debt-statistics

So yes, banks do hold some student loan debt, but most of it is held by the federal government.

I believe your federal good government has fully guaranteed these loans so it doesn't really matter. The lenders still get paid as the write off would mean government taking the hit.
The federal government doesn't forgive debt, it just changes who's paying for it
Right, they change the who from "former student" to "no one".
Do they? Or are they (the gov't) just paying the loan using taxpayer money?
Hence the changing who's paying for it. Spending and revenue will be unaffected, which is the problem.
No, if the federal government "forgives" student debt, neither spending nor budget receipts will decrease to compensate.

If any other institution ventured to forgive such massive amounts owed, they would be forced to compensate with their budgets, but they don't have monopolies on violence.

Inflation? You mean price gouging?
The entire student loan debt issue has been framed badly, because hardly anyone understands the real problem: "As of March 2021, 54% of borrowers with outstanding education debt owed less than $20,000; 45% of the outstanding federal education loan debt was held by the 10% of borrowers owing $80,000 or more." https://research.collegeboard.org/media/pdf/trends-college-p...

Forgiving $10K across the board is dumb and mistargeted. $50K would be better but is still mistargeted. What we really need to do is get the unmanageable >$80K balances down to a manageable <$20K amount. It's the 10% minority of borrowers who are really hurting.

In my opinion we should be talking more about years of debt held rather than amount of debt held. In theory, college is supposed to "pay for itself", but if some people are continuing to hold student loan debt 10 years, 20 years, 30 years after college, then college obviously did not pay for itself in those cases.

In America, we stopped being objective a while ago and everything is "The other side is out to get us. Other side BAD". One side there are people who are pissed because they had to pay off loans and why should kids get it for free now while the other side is crying about the uncontrollable rising costs of education where a History Major costs $80K for 4 years. No one is looking at this problem objectively which is to understand why and where the costs are rising and how we can control it instead of just band aids.
'Affordable housing' is a euphemism for "unaffordable housing that is subsidized".

Democrats refuse to see the problem (if the residents can't afford it, can the rest of us?) and Republicans just hope that if they don't build "affordable housing" the residents will go to some other town.

One angle is that adding more money makes things more expensive. If the money isn't there then people will do with less or do without. People have long been concerned that student loans contribute to increasing tuition and the evidence is accumulating for that

https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/staff...

codegeek wrote:

> No one is looking at this problem objectively...

I know it appears that way. But there are 100s of orgs working every single issue from all sides.

It's very, very challenging for these elites (experts) to get any attention. Death of journalism. Everyone's already overwhelmed. There's a zillion issues to care about.

Consequently, most issue central orgs now focus on direct lobbying.

FWIW, I was a serious activist (2004-2012). Media was a huge time sink. In retrospect, I wish we'd just focused on lobbying.

Paul Houle wrote:

> Democrats refuse to see the [housing] problem...

I have friends working on housing issues. Policy people absolutely understand the shape and scope. And the developers I've spoken with (casually, not policy work) do too and have been clear eyed about the situation.

My local party org does dozens of endorsement interviews every year. Housing has long been a hot issue.

The sad truth is that NIMBY has been the norm.

It's a mistake to think "Democrats" are left-wing, or are as "progressive" as we'd hope. Being "progressive" is usually on just 1 or 2 issues. Like a candidate who has been awesome on LBGTQ issues being utterly opposed to upzoning.

(Further, my town now only elects "Democrats". So all the competitive candidates label themselves "Democrat", which has very low predictive power what their actual positions are.)

A huge group of Americans have less than $1000 in the bank. A student loan of $20k can still be a huge financial hardship for them.
That doesn't sound intuitive to me. Who are these people with $80k balances of debt? How did that happen? Are they maybe correlated with higher earnings e.g. med students? Would they benefit the most from aid in terms of actually improving society? They might not actually be the "poorest" even if they have the lowest net wealth, if they have high incomes.

More surprising to me: > As of March 2021, 23% of the $1.59 trillion outstanding federal loan balance was held by borrowers who were 50 or older, up from 18% in 2017. (Figure SA-12A

Off the cuff, this group seems like the least important to pay off

> Who are these people with $80k balances of debt?

A lot of them are graduate students.

> Off the cuff, this group seems like the least important to pay off

Why do you say that?

We're now seeing senior citizens get their Social Security garnished for student loan payments! Do you want to see people with a lifetime of student loan debt?

What kind of grad students? Excluding PhDs because people don't typically take on debts for those we've got med school, and masters programs. The former should be cheaper but it seems very inappropriate to bucket them in with the general population. The latter could vary wildly in terms of ROI.
> Excluding PhDs because people don't typically take on debts for those

I can tell you from personal experience that you're very wrong about this.

Well... that's dumb. TIL STEM phd programs with teaching requirements and piss poor stipends are not the bottom of the barrel
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> Excluding PhDs because people don't typically take on debts for those we've got med school, and masters programs.

Also law school.

> We're now seeing senior citizens get their Social Security garnished for student loan payments!

You can find a person for every situation. How many people on this earth have a nickle up their ass this very instant? Also, incentives matter.

> We're now seeing senior citizens get their Social Security garnished for student loan payments! Do you want to see people with a lifetime of student loan debt?

shrug. If you're old and not working anymore and have debts you can sell your shit to pay off the debts. If you don't have shit to sell then you're poor. I do agree that debts shouldn't be able to take your income below a certain livable level, but there's some level between liveable and full social security payments, then sure, let people who lived a life of debt drop to the lower bound. There is basically no upside to subsidizing these folks.

There's quite a lot of benefit to freeing young people from debt at the beginning so that they can build up wealth.

*I'm aware a 50 year old person is often not "old and not working anymore"

What's the moral or economic case for forgiving debt of people who borrowed to go to undergrad and then borrowed further to get a fairly useless grad degree like an MFA?
What's the moral or economic case for charging every major the same tuition regardless of potential earning power?

The other side of the question is, what's the case for having the arts or academia in our society? Would you rather just abolish any human activity that isn't financially lucrative?

MFA is a high degree that needs a lot of education. It may not pay well, but it still has quite an impact for general education. Even if knowledge is just replicated.
Is there societal value in art and the humanities at all? If not, why do we produce anything except engineers and financiers? That seems like a bigger cultural question that society needs to answer over decades, rather than saying to an individual student, "Haha! You picked the wrong major. Now you're fucked for life. Too bad."

Most college kids going into school have no idea what they're going to be doing in the future. There aren't really standard systems in place to help guide them. Even a basic lifetime ROI analysis by major isn't something you encounter organically through the school system, and whether you're lucky enough to have done that sort of evaluation before choosing a path just totally depends on the circumstances of your upbringing or internet browsing.

Our higher-ed system was inherited from Old World elites, and there's probably a case to be made that it's not as relevant to the modern workforce or society anymore, but that's not a very fair thing to pin on any individual degree or student.

Morally, if we've decided that the humanities have any intrinsic worth at all, it stands to reason that we should be feeding the people who practice the humanities. And unless we want them all to be slave-artists, maybe even pay them a livable wage. Maybe the moral failing here is our lack of funding for the arts, or our lack of appropriate valuation at least. Especially in a create-one, share-unlimited-times digital economy of production.

Economically, what societal value is there in an indentured class of artists not making art? Does society really get more value out of painters flipping burgers while their loan sharks muck around in spreadsheets making more money?

Personally... as a tax-paying dev, I would be happy to pay a little more tax if it means people who chose a different path in life got to eat, sleep under a solid roof, and create beautiful things. I don't want to live in a ruthless, hypercapitalist society where human worth is reduced to dollars and bankers determine our destinies.

You're arguing against a strawman. No one here is seriously claiming that there is no societal value in art and the humanities. But we are currently producing a surplus of college degrees in those fields. Many of those graduates have no real artistic talent and no future in academia. Their educations were largely wastes of time and resources. As a tax payer and voter I am unwilling to continue funding that (or suffering inflation because of loan forgiveness). We ought to steer some of the less talented students towards other career paths.

By the way, most of the greatest artists throughout history never attended college at all.

You could use the exact same argument even for many engineering degrees. A lot of people spend a lot of time, and money (from loans) trying to get CS degrees, only to fail to get through to upper division courses before changing majors. Is that money wasted? Should we move towards a model where your major is preselected for you before you attend college, based on your aptitudes, without you having any say in the matter? After all, we don't want to waste any money. What about if the major was preselected and you still failed to make any progress?
We should move towards a model where the availability and interest rate of student loans is based on actual risk as determined from the default rate of previous students who attended the same school with the same declared major. Students will then be able to make informed decisions about which major to select and how much debt to take on.
That seems pretty reductionist. An education shouldn't just be dollars in, dollars out for future job training. We don't merely need good workers, we need better citizens.
Please provide evidence to show that a college education reliably makes people into better citizens. In my experience there is very little correlation.
Well, they're more likely to not vote Republican, for starters. That's a good thing, almost always.
My reading of the OP was, "Society shouldn't fund useless art degrees". I was arguing against the "society shouldn't fund" part, because IMO art and other careers have social value beyond the ROI of income vs tuition. By the same token, teachers are generally extremely underpaid, and could use help with student loans as well (they get it in some localities, to various degrees). In fact I think all higher education should be paid for by taxpayers rather than students -- which you are free to disagree with.

However, if you're arguing that art degrees don't produce good artists, that's a separate argument altogether. It's a valid consideration, I think. But that's less of a question of "who should pay for education" and more "what is the value of education". I don't know enough about MFAs to comment on that, but I do know that there are many, many majors that don't produce high-income careers. I don't think that should be their goal or metric, personally. Maybe that's valid for trade schools, but society shouldn't only have tradespeople learning industry skills and nothing else.

That's the underlying concern... it's not a strawman, it's the whole point: that morally or economically, we shouldn't be evaluating human productivity on dollars alone.

Pay As You Earn more or less solved this. Your repayment is capped to a percentage of your discretionary income and then after 20 years any remaining balance is forgiven. You can quibble about how long until the payment is forgiven or the percentage or how discretionary income is calculated, but the general idea is spot on, IMHO.

The problem with blanket forgiveness is "moral hazard". Meaning if you do a blanket forgiveness now people will continue/increase taking out student loans in the hopes they might be forgiven. Also, just because someone has a lot of student loan debt doesn't mean they're in need. Early career doctors, as an example, will have a ton of debt but are going to be a top earner for the next 20-30 years.

IIRC, PAYE requires you to pay taxes on the amount forgiven. Depending on how large that is, this just repeats the cycle outside of this "student loan" bucket.
I guess it seems to me that there are way more questions about those with > 80k. I am going to assume they ended up that way because they made poor decisions, like taking out massive loans to do things like not work, to attend over priced schools, to slack on school work and have to repeat school.

I mean I worked full-time through school, raised a family and still managed to finish my BS in 18 months and MS in 12 more a few years later, mostly because I didn't want to end up in debt.

It seems pretty messed up that I've been strenuously paying back student loans to avoid debt, and then the people that partied hearty during school get their loans forgiven because they make piss poor decisions.

> partied hearty during school

This is a straw man.

Not necessarily, we don't have the stats in front of us. My anecdata matches this pretty well though.
So the most important follow-up question to all of this is when did you do it? College costs have risen exponentially faster than just about everything other than healthcare, especially over the last 10-20 years.

I graduated almost 15 years ago, and I am starting to think that anyone who graduated more than a few years ago simply cannot comprehend how bad it is to have to pay for school now. Average annual tuition at all 4-year institutions is just under $29k.[0] Real median HHI for the same year was $65k.[1] As a student you simply cannot work enough to pay for school anymore; it's not physically possible. So loans, grants, scholarships etc are a requirement.

Completely unrelated to the math, the idea that everyone with a high loan balance is there because of "piss poor decisions" is not only insulting, but also idiotic. You need to have a pretty impressive lack of understanding about a half dozen or so topics to truly believe that.

[0] https://www.ontocollege.com/average-college-tuition/ [1] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA672N

Finished my MS last year, finished my BS in 2018. So there's that, and you don't need to go to a fancy pants top of the line university. Plenty of ways to make things more affordable, like go to a community college for your associates then transfer to a full university.

Maybe I do have an impressive lack of understanding of a dozen or so topics, but I grew up as the oldest of over 5 children to a single mother who was a school teacher, I spent most of my school time on free or reduced lunch, and was categorized statistically speaking as likely to end up low achieving. So sure there might be mitigating circumstances for some people, but I don't think that we can completely abscond with the idea of personal responsibility.

Further the reason school costs have continued to rise is because the schools know everyone will get a loan for it because the government pumps a bunch of money into just this one sector through the loans, by forgiving loans you are incentivizing a continuation of school's increasing price because they face no consequences for it and will still receive the money they want.

Finally if you aren't convinced by my account, I have a friend currently finishing his degree, he has spent his entire summer laying concrete in the hot sun for hours a day, busting his but to provide for his family and have enough money to finish his degree, so that is currently happening. To pretend that college can't be afforded without ridiculous loan is hokum.

The schools have already received money for this loans. Anything you do with them doesn't affect the school at all. It doesn't affect whether or not they got paid 10 years ago and it doesn't affect the loans that will be taken out over the next 10.
>> I guess it seems to me that there are way more questions about those with > 80k. I am going to assume they ended up that way because they made poor decisions, like taking out massive loans to do things like not work, to attend over priced schools, to slack on school work and have to repeat school.

> So the most important follow-up question to all of this is when did you do it? College costs have risen exponentially faster than just about everything other than healthcare, especially over the last 10-20 years.

The only kind of student debt forgiveness that I'd maybe support is the kind that allowed the debt to be discharged in a bankruptcy, then claw back the money from the school. That would create consequences that would incentivize positive changes. A money giveaway would just be a socialize-the-risk/privatize-the-gains perversion.

I'm torn on clawing the money back. I can think of 2-3 instances just off the top of my head where you could (legitimately) declare bankruptcy but the school shouldn't necessarily lose $50-100k because of that. Especially if nothing else about the current climate changes, all that will do is cause costs to rise even faster as the school just increases tuition to compensate.
> I can think of 2-3 instances just off the top of my head where you could (legitimately) declare bankruptcy but the school shouldn't necessarily lose $50-100k because of that.

Do you have an example? Like buying too much house and getting then getting fired from your job?

I suppose the bankruptcy judge could make a determination of the student debt was a major cause of the bankruptcy, and only clawing back the money in those cases.

> Especially if nothing else about the current climate changes, all that will do is cause costs to rise even faster as the school just increases tuition to compensate.

But wouldn't that quickly spiral out of control for the school? If they just increase tuition, then they'd get more money clawed back down the road (assuming it's an ongoing policy, not a one-time program). I'm thinking they'd mainly have to cut costs, dip into endowments, or do some fundraising to fill the gap.

Yeah, really anything that isn't "I got a worthless degree and my earnings as a barista don't cover it" isn't really the school's fault. I'm sure there are some gray areas. You'd probably need to have some sort of income threshold where the loans are no longer dischargeable. But then what happens if you're unemployed? If your degree has gotten you a $200k/yr job in the past but you're unemployed now, are they dischargeable? What happens if they're discharged and you get another $200k/yr job two weeks later? Etc.
Assuming you have 100K, just pay 500 a month would clear it even if interest is at 5% after 36 years. Interest is fixed for student loan so it wont go up and down like current fed rates. And that is extreme. Most have loan around 30K which can pay down in 6 years at 500 per month. Most students coming out to work can easily earn 2K a month. But nearly all has no discipline. They need netflix. They need clubbing. The need vacations. They need broadband. They need the latest iPhone Samsung. Just suffer like a monk for 5 years. Eat like a monk. No sex. No clubbing. Every dollar earned is used to pay down the debt. Dont rent expensive. Rent as cheap as possible. Even if you work in Walmart for 5 years you can pay it off. Most students cant because they prioritize life indulgences over debt. And now we must reward them by paying off their debt because they cant.
I agree, I put off finishing school to work and not go into debt, I’m happy with that decision and it isn’t fair to retroactively change the rules
Biden Admin just cancelled $3.9b debt of students attending ITT Tech school. What I gleaned from the news is ITT did a bunch shady stuff. Like steering students towards high interest rate loans and jacking up tuition prices. Reminds me of the subprime loan crisis.

Insult to injury, ITT didn't actually teach students much. At least with the scammy mortgages, you sort of got a house.

--

It seems to me the Biden Admin is doing triage, reviewing the student loans very deliberately, cancelling categories on a case-by-case basis.

I have no dog in this fight and only a shallow understanding of the issue. I expect that Biden Admin continue to cancel and reduce the most egregious loans. And then provide some kind of relief to the remaining borrowers who are most pear shaped.

--

Our society and government forgives debts all the time. Bankruptcy and bailouts. Crucial to keeping our economy healthy.

I don't see why individual's debts, like student loans, should be treated any differently.

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> I am going to assume they ended up that way because they made poor decisions

That's a fairly flawed assumption.

Everything I've ever seen seems to back up that people with the most debt that aren't doctors did so due to bad decisions. In most cases some or all of the following are true: never got a degree, went to out of state or private school, took 5+ years to get a bachelors degree, or signed for as many loans as possible each semester.
> went to out of state or private school

Funny how going to the best school that you're talented enough to get admitted to is considered a bad decision. That's fine though, just don't try to tell me that society is a "meritocracy", as opposed to an aristocracy.

The worst decision I ever made was being born to parents who couldn't afford to pay for an expensive education. I'll always regret that.

When I was 18, I had to pass up the opportunity to go to an Ivy League school. I went to a state school instead. Some people might claim that was the "responsible" choice, but it wasn't even my choice, it was my parents' choice. I don't think I was directly eligible for loans at the time; if I was, I might have taken them.

I’ve a dear friend who became a doctor. She had to take on $380,000 in debt to pay for school. Even with the good salary she has as a doctor, she will need many, many years to pay off the debt.
> In my opinion we should be talking more about years of debt held rather than amount of debt held. In theory, college is supposed to "pay for itself", but if some people are continuing to hold student loan debt 10 years, 20 years, 30 years after college, then college obviously did not pay for itself in those cases.

We should also be talking about the federal government's pullback in funding higher education. Public universities used to be the primary route for people to get a higher education.

We need to be talking about WHY college is so expensive.

Even the length of time won't tell you much. I owe about $15k, but I graduated in 2008. For the longest time I was making basically interest-only payments because I didn't make enough. Then I was making interest-only payments because I was trying to catch up on my retirement contributions. Then I was making interest-only payments because I was making more money in the market. Then COVID. Now if payments are re-instated I'll continue making interest-only payments because my interest rate is less than inflation, and there's a chance that most of my balance could disappear.

I'm not struggling at all, but I have zero incentive to make any payments as long as inflation stays where it is and there are no penalties. But then you look at stories like the person mentioned in the article - six figures of student debt, probably at 2-3x my interest rate, with a master's degree working as a secretary probably making $40k/yr.

I'm so conflicted because on the one hand I'm not going to intentionally make a decision that puts me or my family worse off financially; it'd be silly to expect anyone to do that. But at the same time as someone who had a job in school, did work study, didn't go to grad school, all to keep my loan balance as low as possible at graduation, I struggle not to roll my eyes a bit when I read articles like this about someone getting a master's degree from a private liberal arts college that charges $2k/credit then getting a job as a secretary and complaining they can't make student loan payments. I mean.. that seems obvious.

I don't have a problem with liberal arts education - I went to a small private liberal arts college - and I don't think there's necessarily a problem with getting a degree in something that doesn't have a direct track to industry and a six figure job. But it's hard to square all that with even the slightest bit of "maybe think about what jobs you can get after school with whatever you want to study, and change your plans for what school you go to, whether you do work study, etc. accordingly."

> maybe think about what jobs you can get after school with whatever you want to study

What if the answer is "college professor"?

We can't have college at all without college professors, and it's a very long, treacherous road from undergrad to grad school to tenure track to tenure. Many people, perhaps most, get lost along the way. Yet society needs kids to keep trying, or we have nobody at the end.

There are a surplus of students trying to become college professors. We would still have a surplus even if we cut off half of them at early stages of the pipeline.

And we have too many people going to college anyway. Many of them would be happier and better off in the long run if they attended trade school or joined an apprentice program or enlisted in the military. College is an excellent choice for some people, but it shouldn't be the default option.

I think this says more about grad school than it does the costs of undergraduate education. You just have to look at the competition for tenure track faculty positions to see that there are plenty of people qualified for the positions who want them today. As far as I know there is no drought of applicants for prestigious grad school programs either.
Does it really pay for itself or is that only true for law, medicine and engineering degrees?
An applied mathematics degree also pays for itself.
The real problem is that running an economy on interest and usury will result in the outcomes we're seeing today. Let's address the root cause and not the symptoms.
I think you're talking about debt restructuring on a massive scale rather than untargeted "UBI" "grants".

The problem is universities are for-profit factories motivated by monetary extraction to squeeze their customers for every dime they don't have in the future.

Until students stop paying insane amounts of money they don't have like a credit card and HR departments don't absolutely "require" a college degree for decent jobs, universities will keep finding ways of spending money on lavish buildings ever year or two and keep raising the prices.

I think there are three issues. 1) student loan interest rates are to high. They should be like 1%. 2) the minimum payment is to low. Some students aren't paying their debt down, so it grows larger. Finally I think loan forgiveness benefits the wrong group of people
Didn't they forgive a massive amount of bank debt during the 2008 financial crisis?

And that didn't cause any worrisome inflation.

Forgive these kids loans, who were just trying to go to college to learn and gain job skills to compete in the world and are now debt slaves.

Do you mean the taxpayer absorbing the debt should target loans given to people who did job skill-related degrees?
>Forgive these kids loans, who were just trying to go to college to learn and gain job skills to compete in the world and are now debt slaves.

Nah. Those kids spent 4 years partying and treating adult life like an extension of high school with no consequences and free rent. I graduated highschool in ‘08, and I can clearly remember wondering how in the hell all of my friends on social media were living the lives they were, as I scraped by working minimum wage jobs in the depths of the recession.

I’m all for forgiving things like nurses and teachers who meet some public service requirements, but the people who spent $100k they didn’t have on a Communication degree can cry me a river.

I agree. But I also think that they should be able to bankrupt out of them like Trump and many other rich people have done numerous times.

Trapping students into non-bankruptable student loans is pure debt slavery.

Then every student will just declare bankrupty when they graduate and already have non-existent credit.
You mean just like how rich people bankrupt out of their failed loans and then the taxpayers bail out the banks?
2008 was on the verge of a massive deflationary spiral. Bank debt forgiveness likely did cause inflation, but we needed it then! We are now in a period of high inflation already, so we would very much not like more.
Looks like inflation's was as high as it was today in 2008.

https://www.whitehouse.gov/cea/written-materials/2021/07/06/...

No, it's not at all actually: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=T1OA
2008 had one of the top 5 or 6 peaks of inflation over the past century!

So not sure how you're deducing there was no inflation. The deflationary spiral happened AFTER the bank bailout.

> 2008 had one of the top 5 or 6 peaks of inflation over the past century!

More like the 9th or 10th, but nonetheless I see what you're talking about with the summer 2008 oil spike. The problem with this analysis is that a deflationary spiral is really more about price jerk than inflation itself. In other words, the rate at which inflation is changing is the bigger concern than the inflation rate itself.

> So not sure how you're deducing there was no inflation.

This is a strawman you've entirely made up, so I won't respond to this portion.

> This is a strawman you've entirely made up, so I won't respond to this portion.

> More like the 9th or 10th

I think you just did.

wow, what an abstract and deplorable example of NIMBY.

i.e. "we want people to suffer crippling debt because we are worried about bananas costing 10 cents more"

To be fair the NIMBY cruelty of it all must really kind of sneak up on you when all you do is watch CNN or something for news
If person A paid back his student loan, why would he have to cover other's student loan by his taxes (or price increase or whatever)?
For the same reason my taxes and insurance premiums pay for someone else’s healthcare.

Student loan debt at this scale should’ve never existed. It’s a policy failure (but so is a lot of US policy, so ¯\_(ツ)_/¯)

Healthcare is insurance for possible future accidents. A may have higher risk of breaking a leg, B may have higher risk of cardiovascular accident. Eventually it evens out. No matter how healthy lifestyle you lead, you've a risk of ending up in hospital. For active lifestyle it may be even higher :)

Meanwhile student loan is past decision. As well as paying it back or not. Some people may have lived on noodles to pay it back asap while others took the easy route. Maybe all payments shall be returned too?

Of course, US high education costs are stupid. There needs to be more incentive to guide people towards degrees that will pay for themselves too.

You’re implying morality on rows in a database (the debt in question).

> Some people may have lived on noodles to pay it back asap while others took the easy route.

Indeed, life isn’t fair, and why policy shouldn’t inflict suffering “because it was hard for me.” (broad strokes) That’s not just silly, it’s toxic when expressed as policy.

At the end of the day, law is morality. Both inspired by (a part of) society's moral code and enforcing (a part of) society's moral code.

Some people might think that life isn't fair, thus law shall not be fair either. But other people think that law shall make the world more fair. In today's world, frequently former group ends up :surprised pikachu: when later group ain't happy.

Personally, it's toxic if a law promotes irresponsible behaviour. Choose whatever crappy degree, never mind paying back the student loan... Society will bail you out! Same „too big to fail“ BS, just targeting a different audience.

Student debt is a personal responsibility. It is a personal choice. There are people who knowingly decided not to take higher education because they knew it would make them go into debt and instead went to work instead, providing for their family. These are real tangible opportunity cost for these people who decided that they couldn't afford college debt.

If you forgive student loans, then those people who went on debt with abandon in expensive universities, expensive cities, and intentionally took out loans more than they can afford, you are giving these people who made bad decisions advantage over people who didn't.

America is about personal responsibility, at least that's my view as an immigrant, that's why I came here.

If you want to make things fair, then just give everyone $80k. Went to college or not. Of course that would destroy the economy.

I care less about being called names like deplorable or NIMBY. It's not like it would change my mind.

> Student debt is a personal responsibility. It is a personal choice.

While I agree with you, to an extent, you cannot ignore than many young people were pressured into going to college, and going to a 'good school' by the authority figures in their life at the time (be it parents or school counselors).

they were sold the lie that college would pay for itself, and for many it has not.

I got lucky, personally, and don't have much in the way of college debt due to scholarships and such, but my degree is still just a very expensive piece of paper since I have done absolutely nothing with it.

Yeah and now they have a good degree from a good school which is advantageous over someone who was more frugal.
I went to get my CompSci master in a public college somewhere in NYC, total cost $20k.

Now I earn more than $250k/yr.

You can get into college without spending insane amount of money. You can also choose a more marketable major.

What year was this?
4 years ago. 2018 graduation.
Interesting. I'm glad to see there are still programs that aren't obscenely expensive. I went to Ohio State in Computer Science in 1984 and full time tuition was $600 per quarter or $1800 per year or $7200 for a 4-year degree.
then you also have to realize that you are in the minority, even within your field. the vast majority of software engineers dont make nearly that much.
But going to my college with just $20k is not a privilege that only a minority can do. Its public college, anyone can get in.

I show my income only to state that people should major in a more marketable major.

> many young people were pressured into going to college

When I was young, drunk, and impressionable, a pit boss pressured me to apply for casino credit and get hosted in Vegas.

Of course, I took out my entire line in markers and lost it all.

If being young is a valid excuse to discharge the consequences of stupid choices, this is great news. I'll be awaiting my check.

Any of you who signed up for those $1000 unsecured "student credit card" offers should be lining up for the gravy train, as well.

Looking forward to teaching my kids that financial responsibility is only for old people, to rack up as much unserviceable debt as humanly possible while they're in whatever government standard age bracket is defined as "young", get it all forgiven, and then start acting like a responsible human being. There's no moral hazard in this line of reasoning whatsoever.

Many of these students lay at the generational divide between college guaranteeing a great job (during the generation when most people went to high school and then trade) and college being a prerequisite for any job (today). And those universities only became so expensive because the federal govt guaranteed loans in the first place. University is radically more expensive than it was a few decades ago.

It's not as simple as you lay it out to be.

His point still stands that giving everyone 80k is more fair. The people who took out huge loans for degrees still have degrees from nice schools which will likely help them in the future. This shouldn’t be a win-win for people who mismanaged their money
Well, there are many many many problems in this world. Nothing is simple in this world. Including forgiving student loans. Forgiving student loans will create another sets of problems, like Pandora's Box that we can't ever put back.
very bad take. inflation hurts the lower class the most, and these are likely to be people who don't even have student loan debt because they never went to college. so you're advocating for giving the middle and upper class a break at the expense of the poorest demo in America.
I shouldn't be responsible for someone taking out a $40k loan for their art degree in poetry and not being able to find a job that can pay it back.
Just make student loans easier to eliminate in bankruptcy. Problem solved.
and make the endowments of the Universities eat the loses.
but isn't that equivalent to just forgiving the loan?
No, loan forgiveness doesn’t wreck your ability to get a future loan.
It changes the risk profile for the lender when thinking about future loans and gives people who got caught in a bad situation more options.
Though result would just be a lot less people able to go to college.
There are millions of people attending university who do not belong there, enrolled in programs that should not exist, in order to study theories that are wrong.
I’m not an economist, but it would seem reasonable that the printing of money would cause inflation, yes?
It's more complicated than that. Inflation is a combination of supply and demand. Too few goods for an extended period of time? Inflation. Excess money allowing people to bid up for the goods they want? Inflation.

A sudden reduction of debt might contribute to people spending more for the same goods they already buy, or it might lead to more savings and investment as people are able to escape living paycheck to paycheck and start entering stock markets. It might mean they are able to buy goods and services they couldn't before, but those goods might have ample supply.

It's just not as simple as, X therefore inflation.

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I don't know how you can have a blanket forgiveness of student loans without also addressing college costs. Otherwise consumers become even less price-sensitive, expecting another round of forgiveness in a decade or so.
College isn't a consumer good.

We need to stop thinking of it as such. It's a prerequisite for the vast majority of jobs. Which makes it a vital public good that should be run as a utility. We should be running a public university system with the goal and assumption that everyone has a seat at their local university - covered by their tax dollars.

College shouldn't be a prerequisite for so many jobs. My bachelors is directly related to the field I'm working in and I don't think the content that I learned was that useful and the most impactful thing has been the college recruiting job fairs where I got internships and a job.
Water and electricity are vital public utilities too, despite the taxpayers not being forced to pay for those for everyone else.
Obviously college isn't a prerequisite for the vast majority of jobs. The majority of people working today don't have college degrees. Look outside the tech industry bubble. In many cases, employers only list a college degree as a job requirement because it's an easy way to filter down an excess of job applications. If they were actually short of labor they would eliminate that requirement in order to get more applicants.

Most people don't belong in college in the first place. It's just a waste of their time, and a waste of resources. I'm certainly not willing to pay higher taxes so that students can goof around and party for 4 years. What we really need is expanded access to trade schools and apprentice programs.

Yeah, the trend in higher education costs seem especially out of line with the trend towards schools relying more on contract adjunct instructors, and shrinking down their core, tenure-track faculty. They're simultaneously spending less on actual instruction and spending more on administrators, and fancy facilities. I wonder if some regulation can make schools 'unbundle' instruction from other services, and allow students to enroll only in instruction, and opt out of services they don't intend to use, over-priced student housing, fancy sports facilities etc. And wherever we report student-faculty ratios, also reporting a student-non-teaching-staff ratio would clarify things.
If student loans are forgiven, would those who already paid them off be eligible for rebates?

If not, why would we want to reward large amounts of debt? Isn't that a recipe for disaster in a country where the average citizen already has ~6,000 dollars of credit card debt?

And what about those who never took it? Wouldn't it be fair to them to also give them same amount of money possibly helping them to set up business or investment?
Yeah, they are also included. Anyone who had their education financed any other way should also be eligible, otherwise this doesn't seem very egalitarian. It punishes those who made the responsible financial choice of avoiding debt.
Well, it would/will. It would be no different than if the government wrote everyone massive stimulus checks and those with student loans used said checks to pay them down.

You'd see a huge spike in demand for various things as people would have more money to spend. That said I know a lot of people who were railroaded into college as 17 year old children before they even knew how credit cards worked, got a useless degree because they had no direction, and by the time they wised up were up to their eyeballs in debt and unable to get a well-paying job to pay it down.

I'm hesitant to pile even more inflation on top of what we have already, but if I could wave a magic wand I'd want to forgive a lot of those debts as matter of justice. They were mostly kids who were given false promises by every person and every institution they ever trusted up to 17 years old, and then told to make a decision based on said information that ended up saddling them with a lifetime of irrevocable debt. Society at large should take responsibility for that misguidance.

I’m not sure if it would be that significant in the short-term. Required student loans payments are still deferred, so cancelling them wouldn’t increase cash flow (at least today).
Maybe the colleges and universities that made big money out of all these loans should be paying off these student loans. Why do I and other tax payers need to bail out Jimmy's fine arts degree in 14th century calligraphy?
usury always eventually ends up in impossible situations like this

there's a reason traditional societies had jubilees

> Usury: the illegal action or practice of lending money at unreasonably high rates of interest.

These are federal loans. The interest rate on these are currently mid-single digits (not accounting for 0% since March 2020). They've been low single digits for the past decade.

This is not usury.

Setting aside the issues of ethics and fairness, it's worth noting that debt jubilee-type proposals are not a sign of a robust economy. They are a sign of an economy locked in a debt spiral.
I thought we declared debt to be irrelevant years ago? Why not create a company that buys all the toxic debt after people declare insolvency and then safe that company with tax dollars? Then feign surprise about the toxicity of the debt. Seems to be the goto strategy.
FTA: "Some borrowers say they would not change their spending habits if their college debt — or a portion of it — is canceled."

As someone who paid off student loans four years ago, I can tell you that this (at least for my family) wasn't the case. When you have more money, you find new ways to spend it (and enjoy doing so).

I think the real crux of the issue is : why does education cost so much in the first place? Because it's excessively bloated.

I thought European universities were bloated, but they look like lean running operations compared to American ones: high quality food, parks, gardens, recreational facilities, sports facilities including personal trainers, courts, etc. It's more like a vacation resort and I think students often end up treating it like one.

Back in my day, the food at the university cafeteria was pig slop and we liked it!

Inflation of university education is already terrible. What used to be a ticket up into middle class and beyond has become a way to get clerical work. Number of graduates across developed world has risen considerably in the past decades, but what kind of benefit it had?

From something special and extraordinary, university education became mundane, expected, requirement. Something you just have to do. Never mind if it's going to give you anything.

In all seriousness. How many graduates do you think society needs? Do we really need people to spend 4 years in school, just so they can sit behind desk and fill forms all day? I'm sorry I don't think we do. And this isn't a take from US btw, this is from Europe. And yes, I am mostly talking about liberal arts.

At this point, the only thing the system works as is a buffer to keep youth from workforce.

These are bad loans that are not being paid. We need to get over this.
I think a first step should be to forgive all interest and fees on student loans in excess of the interest of the feds rate over the period of borrowing. That, in my opinion, is some of the worst of it. People are stuck making payments while at the same time seeing the amount they owe increases!

So let's try that first. Eliminate the predatory interest and fees first and see how that works out.

59% of Americans are correct, but damn! Have they really thought through what they're saying? They've profited handsomely from these kids and now they're worried if these kids have more money so they can live then that'll make things harder for the rest of Americans? That's just messed up.

That's not to say that student loan forgiveness across the board is necessarily a good idea, but inflation worries is not what we should be considering when discussing this topic.

Let this sink in: there are people today who owe over a million dollars in student loan debt who may never be able to pay it off. (Dr. Evil Pinky finger included)

The "requirement" of "more $$ education always = good" lowered academic standards, increased costs to individual workers, and made university endowments extremely rich.

Edit:

https://www.businessinsider.com/how-you-get-to-1-million-in-...

https://www.businessinsider.com/debt-vs-cost-vs-salary-medic...

https://usdebtclock.org

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