It's not confirmed yet that it was a russian missile. If it was - NATO should react strongly (by introducing no-flight zone over Ukraine at the very least - it is impossible to stop missiles flying over Ukraine if we only shot down once they cross the border). Otherwise Russia will test the collective defense more over time.
After Turkey shot down a russian bomber that one time in 2015 there was no further russian military planes flying over Turkey without permission.
NATO could make the case that Russia needs to stop shooting missiles since they cannot aim.
Alternatively, NATO could say that they can shoot down any Russian missiles since Russia cannot be trusted and has bad aim.
It's really suspicious that two rockets hit Poland.
If it were one rocket, it could be due to some kind of component failure that caused the rocket to go off course.
Two rockets are not likely to both fail, so that suggests Poland was targeted on purpose.
If it's russian cruise missiles (as some people claim) - then it was on purpose. In that case it's Russia testing NATO resolve in defending Eastern Europe. In that case NATO must respond strongly or Russia will escalate quickly.
Others claimed it's S-300 (anti-air missiles). Ukraine uses them to defend against russian missiles (they should self-destruct when they miss but sometimes they malfunction and they are very fast so they can hit random places far away). These same S-300 missiles are also used by Russia against ground targets (they are low-accuracy in that application cause you can only correct them with radar at the starting phase). If there were 2 S-300 missiles it's more likely it was Russia cause it's very unlikely 2 anti-air missiles missed their target and landed near each other (and self-destruct mechanisms failed in both).
It could also be a russian missile that got damaged by Ukrainian anti-air missiles and missed.
We just need to wait for more information, no reason for knee-jerk reactions.
The area hit doesn’t seem a likely target to me, so I think it’s likelier somebody made a typo trying to fire a pair of rockets at a target in the Ukraine, or that jamming caused such a pair of rockets go of course in a similar way.
It also might turn out to not be Russian.
And of course, this news is fairly new and fog off war exists, so it may turn out to be a single missile that broke up in flight and showed up as two radar images of a while.
Im surprised there aren't any NATO anti missile defense systems at the border in Poland. Wouldn't that have been a smart thing to have done? Was it that impossible that this sort of thing would happen?
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[ 5.3 ms ] story [ 33.8 ms ] threadAfter Turkey shot down a russian bomber that one time in 2015 there was no further russian military planes flying over Turkey without permission.
Alternatively, NATO could say that they can shoot down any Russian missiles since Russia cannot be trusted and has bad aim.
It's really suspicious that two rockets hit Poland. If it were one rocket, it could be due to some kind of component failure that caused the rocket to go off course.
Two rockets are not likely to both fail, so that suggests Poland was targeted on purpose.
Others claimed it's S-300 (anti-air missiles). Ukraine uses them to defend against russian missiles (they should self-destruct when they miss but sometimes they malfunction and they are very fast so they can hit random places far away). These same S-300 missiles are also used by Russia against ground targets (they are low-accuracy in that application cause you can only correct them with radar at the starting phase). If there were 2 S-300 missiles it's more likely it was Russia cause it's very unlikely 2 anti-air missiles missed their target and landed near each other (and self-destruct mechanisms failed in both).
It could also be a russian missile that got damaged by Ukrainian anti-air missiles and missed.
We just need to wait for more information, no reason for knee-jerk reactions.
I'm all for NATO responding strongly, but what is Russia going to do at this point against NATO?
If it's intentional, highly likely they will use NATO's response as an excuse to pull out of Ukraine.
That would be good, wouldn't it?
It also might turn out to not be Russian.
And of course, this news is fairly new and fog off war exists, so it may turn out to be a single missile that broke up in flight and showed up as two radar images of a while.