What's next.next after ChatGPT and hype of NPL
Ok, I didn't know anything about NPL, ML. Now I feel overwhelmed about all the knowledge that is going around. I also feel that when there is too much hype, the odds of being useful in a certain field decreases. So what's going to be hot after the NPL stuff becomes cold? And what is going to be hot after that new thing becomes cold as well?
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[ 3.5 ms ] story [ 12.9 ms ] thread"The sky is blue" -> signed by Alice -> Bob vouched for Alice -> Cindy vouched for Bob -> Dom vouched for Cindy -> Dom is in my own list of vouches -> Therefore I can reliably trust Alice's report that the sky is blue.
(The reliability of this information will increase with multiple vouches throughout this tree.)
A consequence of this type of information structure may be that traditional authoritative sources of information will become irrelevant almost overnight, because reliable and auditable word of mouth will outweigh a professional reporter anyday.
Next after that is the same thing, but multi-directional. This is a much longer chain, but much more useful too. Example:
"There is a person who needs help at location X,Y" -> Signed by Alice -> "I'll reimburse and reward whoever helps the person at location X,Y" -> Signed by Bob -> "I helped the person at location X,Y by doing Z" -> Signed by Cindy -> "I observed this and it really happened" -> Signed by Alice -> "I gave Cindy a gold nugget weighing 0.1 oz" -> Signed by Bob -> "I received a gold nugget weighing 0.1 oz from Bob" -> Signed by Cindy "I witnessed this exchange" -> Signed by Dom
A logical consequence of this information structure is rapid slide into irrelevance of traditional commodity currencies and radical decentralization.