Ask HN: Does anyone else feel like they're just waiting for the axe to fall?

59 points by ramesh31 ↗ HN
Seems like team morale is at an all time low. Most people are just phoning it in at this point. Our business is doing great, but I guess that's not enough to maintain job security anymore. Feels like Q1 the execs are just waiting for annuals to come in to make their list, as there's been total radio silence since the holidays. I fully expect to be laid off in the next 2-3 months.

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Well its the grass hopper and the ant isn't it?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Ant_and_the_Grasshopper

If you've been the ant you'd have prepared for the winter. I guess in reality most of us fit somewhere in between the ant and the grasshopper. It'll teach us all a bit of prudence we'd do well to remember thereafter.

How do you plan your life and career around the idea that you can be let go at any time for and be unemployed for an unknown amount of time, with no assurances you’ll be employable in the future?

For sure, one should not overextend themselves, but conversely you can do everything right (live below your means, invest vs frivolous spending, robust emergency fund) and still fail.

The anxiety of those faced with this reality is understandable, and there is substantial data demonstrating the harm of such an environment (chronic stress) to the human.

Well, one step would be some self-honesty about living within means. Throw out some numbers, let's talk about the specifics that no one here really wants to engage in.

Someone with this perspective, please, help me understand - Give me a base salary, a rent, and a monthly expense that doesn't let you save up 6months of runway after 2+ years of employment.

You seem to have created this account 4 hours ago with the sole purpose of lecturing HNers about how their problems aren't real and the solution is for them to be more like you, a generally superior human being.

I wonder, why would an ubermensch feel the need to spend their day doing this?

No one wants to live on that runway even if they have it. How is any of your condescending attitude conducive to discussion?
Lol. Juxtaposing a bit, I kind of imagine you as an immortal wondering how anyone could lead a mortal life what with all its precariousness.
> be unemployed for an unknown amount of time, with no assurances you’ll be employable in the future?

I mean realistically we're not facing 3rd world famine here. Things are probably going to be less comfortable for the next few years, and some of the most overinflated salaries might not return for a long while, but there are still going to be plenty of reasonable opportunities out there. That might mean relocating to a place where real estate isn't so inflated, or working on something less sexy, maybe taking an unrelated job for a few years, but nothing worse than what the overwhelming majority of people already live comfortably doing. You don't need to put enough away to support yourself for the rest of your life, just enough to let you land on your feet.

I think you’ve set up something of a straw man there.
Yep, absolutely feel this way. Meanwhile they're asking for more and paying the same amount, and the market has dried up. Very hard to stay optimistic for the year.
Be pro-active. Get out and look elsewhere before you're trying to out-compete all those others that will be laid off from the company at the same time as you.
Too late - market dead - even if you are an individual contributor of some type and willing to work for less - imo.

i usually advise a double-approach - look for a new gig (i.e. feed the stomach) - but also try to start/join a union and look at other employee empowerment ideas, like allowing H1b holders to freely transfer between employers without the drama, etc.

> …like allowing H1b holders to freely transfer between employers without the drama

That’s not going to go over well when people are looking for work in droves and the purpose of these visas is (allegedly) because they can’t find qualified citizens to do the job.

> Our business is doing great, but I guess that's not enough to maintain job security anymore.

Find a job at another company “doing great” and be the first let go because you’re the new guy?

I learned during the Great Recession that if you have a job then keep the job.

Also, as one of the other commenters posted, don’t take a job making less than what McDonald’s pays just because the company thinks you’re desperate.

Yeah, and it’s a bit closer for me. I was asked to resign after not returning to the office when asked. I refused, hoping to get severance or unemployment insurance. I’m a few weeks past the deadline and am just waiting for HR to make their move.
Are you getting paid still? Are you still doing office work?
Yes and yes. It’s still business as usual and I’m happy to work as long as they’ll allow.
Be prepared for a long haul, some of us without degrees are still looking a year later, despite having a decade of experience doing the role.

About the only offers I've gotten are a systems architect role starting at 50k, where they then come back on the second interview and say its 30k since I'm not qualified since I don't have a degree. Take it or leave it.

I have a decade of direct experience doing this work and have set up hundreds of clients with cloud or hybrid depending on regulatory requirements. 50k was low for that work, but now 30?

Bunch of scumbags out there.

Too low anyways but

Take it and keep looking

Or take it and maliciously comply with whatever they want in the most brutal way possible

Or stay true to your professional standards? Maliciousness usually is detectable.
Leaving after 2 months would actually damage low paying company more than passing the role entirely. And you have pocketed an extra few thousand in the interim
Yes, but I can't justify taking a position like that. It was US based, and was not a one-off tactic unfortunately. As others have said it was effectively minimum wage, and the job search started last Mar 2022 (biotech let a lot of people go around that time).

I would rather flip burgers than provide my hard-earned and considerable expertise for glass beads. Its such a waste that exploitation is the norm, and if you don't go for it you can't use your expertise. I'm damn good at what I do, and that kind of interference in labor relations should be illegal.

Fortunately for me my savvy investments cover my fixed expenses so I'm not desperate to put food on the table. This kind of thing is fairly common for those without a degree, and in my opinion it is truly a despicable type of employment discrimination.

> This kind of thing is fairly common for those without a degree, and in my opinion it is truly a despicable type of employment discrimination.

The paper ceiling is real, and I'm starting to feel it as well. Past a certain point, it really doesn't matter how "good" you are at what you do, all that matters is pedigree. Constantly having to prove yourself at all times is exhausting. And you can forget about ever even being considered by any "hard tech" companies.

It's a shame. Making it in this industry as a self taught dev used to be a source of pride. Now it's become a scarlet letter.

> Making it in this industry as a self taught dev used to be a source of pride.

I can't agree more, teaching yourself these things you come to intuitive insights and understandings that aren't taught, and most likely can't be taught in any good way. Experience that shows you can perform and do the role should trump all else.

I did say maliciously comply.

Do what they want just make it difficult.

Play stupid games, win stupid prizes. And in this case they’re playing a very stupid game.

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What country? 30k is minimum wage now in California…
$50k is four times as low for that role if you have a decade of experience.
It’s funny how degrees become such an issue in this environment, normally experience is fine as a substitute, but things change quick
Are you saying there's a time where you weren't constantly anticipating your entire life unraveling at a moment's notice?
I get the meme of this, but I’ve noticed I am always thinking about what would happen or what I would do if/when I got fired.

1 perk of being childless is you really only have to worry about feeding yourself I guess

(I am not a childfree proponent)

"I guess"? One month of tech salary would cover a studio rent and feed an adult human for a very, very, very, very long time. As I've touched on several times and NO ONE wants to really engage with, there's a lot of out of touch people here that have no idea what "live within your means" means and don't want to be remotely honest about their expenses.

Or somehow thinks "within [their] means" means that they're untouchable and unfirerable. Bet the general sentiment towards unemployment and collective bargaining has changed around here recently! Or not, tech workers are great at excusing-exceptionalism.

EDIT: This actually makes me wonder. I would really like to see data about peoples' empathy regarding unemployment/homelessness/unions and their ability to withstand an unexpected job-loss - how much "F you" money do they have saved, how much do they live conservatively?

The folks around me born into money are much more comfortable "spending their paycheck" than those of us that came from more middle-class backgrounds and graduated into comfortable money.

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What are you talking about? A month of tech salary at $180k annually is maybe $10k after taxes. In the high CoL areas where those salaries are “common”, $2k/mo might get you a studio with a reasonable commute.[1] Throw in utilities and food and you’ll be lucky to make it 4 months.

That is absolutely not a “very, very, very, very long time”. You can’t compare the cost of a studio in Albuquerque with a salary from the Bay Area.

1. https://www.avaloncommunities.com/california/sunnyvale-apart... - 1 bedrooms here start at 2800 and this isn’t even a good location apart from reasonable commutes on the 101.

Why are you assuming a studio and not roommates?
The comment they’re replying to said “one month of tech salary would cover a studio rent and feed an adult human for a very, very, very, very long time.”
Commute to where? You'd have no job.
So what are you proposing? When you get laid off you immediately pay a couple of months rent to break a lease and move to somewhere with a lower cost of living?

Given that moving also incurs a significant cost (outside of a lease breaking fee), you have to be sure you won’t find work for >6 months for that strategy to pay off.

If you can build 4 months (or even just 3) of runway on 1 month of salary, it doesn't take long to get a really good buffer in place.
This wasn’t about the ability to build a buffer, it was about what can be done on a single months salary.

Anyway, it takes longer than you think, especially if you had to relocate to take the new job. Once you take into account paying off that type of stuff, paying car insurance, car payment, funding your 401k, etc, you’ll be lucky if you can buffer one month for each month.

It's definitely easy to spend all your money, but with a little budgeting it's not harder to buffer more.

Maybe I've read too much FIRE financial independence content though.

1:1 is still pretty great imo, and really difficult for a lot of people. That's probably about the average rate I put together my savings, and the result is that I get to look at layoffs as a potential paid sabbatical.
I'm really confused where you're getting your numbers from. One month of $140k salary, post tax, gets you less than 4 months of studio rent + food around here (Seattle suburbs). Sure, you're not on rations the moment you're laid off, but it's not necessarily "safe" or a good feeling. And absolutely not a "very very very very long time".

Add a car payment, car insurance, and you're probably looking at 3 months.

Edit: that's also not supposed to imply that folks only have a single month's worth of salary saved. Just trying to highlight that your comment had some wonky numbers.

Just to represent the "other side", a perk of having a child (and spouse) is that you have an emotional support system at home. My daughter has brought us joy for almost her entire 18 years of life (aside from a few glitches in the Matrix which happen to every kid along the way).

Having left a job of 12 years, I am gradually working up my next phase -- new job, my own company, side gigs... it's both exciting to contemplate and stressful in these increasingly difficult times.

But coming home and dealing with family stuff, both good and bad, is a welcome distraction, usually. YMMV, of course!

I just wish it would have happened a couple years ago. The one time I actually have something going for me is the time I get laid off.
Yep, that's a good point, and the best way to deal with this. After being laid off 2 or 3 times over the years, I have learnt to just not leave anything on my desk or in my drawers, make sure I have everything I care about on my own devices, resume up to date, have plenty of savings, live life one day at a time.

If I do get laid off, it's a bonus with the extra severance, if not, being prepared is relieving in and of itself.

Yeah, I think that is a totally reasonable set of feelings to have. The recent wave of layoffs seems to be about something very different than P&L. I thought this McSweeney's piece portrayed it well: https://www.mcsweeneys.net/articles/macroeconomic-changes-ha...

> There’s no easy way to say this: I have made the difficult decision to lay off over six thousand of you. In the past two years, we have achieved huge wins together. But unfortunately, the macroeconomic environment has shifted in ways none of us could have foreseen, from an economy in which I did feel like paying you, to one in which I’d rather not.

Took me a while to work out that it is a parody and not just vanilla tone deadness...
You were actually paid to increase headcount to impress investors.
yes, my company pretty much focused all their efforts on core products and i was brought in to work on "new" products. on one hand i don't want to quit but on the other hand, i have no meaningful work. Part of me wishes to get laid off so i can get severance.
Yeah I'm feeling uneasy. Even if all the feedback at work is okay. And the company is in the black on top of that.

There's a general frantic nature to management lately. Every project starts behind schedule which in turn means there's constant needling to go faster. Lots of "we think this should have gotten done faster" from managers who don't have enough information to even have that opinion. They clearly have pressure from their boss to "up velocity."

So it feels like I could get laid off in the next few months - hoping the severance is solid. Not too worried but it's inherently unpleasant. I'm gonna make the most of the severance if need be.

The short term planning horizon of many leaders appears to be trending towards zero.

Which means they're no longer leaders, even if they retain their position.

I can't tell if it's rational in my case - my company also seems to be in good shape financially - but I am quite nervous.
Having been through a few layoffs at companies, I think it's still helpful to remember that even when a company does lay-offs and while thousands of people are losing their jobs, the vast majority are not. News articles don't state "100K engineers at company XYZ not effected by lay-offs".

I don't want to downplay the stress that comes from working in an environment like this. And news articles showing how thousands are being laid off can be really stressful, especially as jobs are means for housing, immigration, feeding your family! While you should always be prepared for the worst, it's by no means a certainly that you will be impacted by lay-offs.

When I read that the OP fully expects to be laid off; I hope they're wrong, and statistically they are. I don't say this to take away from the real pain that comes from this uncertainty, but more to offer a ray of hope.

>I think it's still helpful to remember that even when a company does lay-offs and while thousands of people are losing their jobs, the vast majority are not. News articles don't state "100K engineers at company XYZ not effected by lay-offs".

You are absolutely right. I think it's just a bit of a personal reckoning that I'm coming to terms with lately, given the prospect of losing my job.

I've spent the last decade committing my entire life to software. I eat, think, sleep, and breathe software. It's the sole source of my sense of self worth. But I don't have a college degree, and it feels like things have changed dramatically over that decade. The market is flush with CS grads with 5+ years of experience now, and I know that I don't stand a chance against them in landing a job. I think the vast majority of my anxiety now is that I will never get another job again after being laid off. I have no other skills or education, so it's either six figures making software, or flipping burgers for me.

I'm sorry to hear that and I wish you the best. Don't sell yourself short. You've spent a decade creating software and dedicating yourself to it. A degree doesn't change that (a degree is much easier to go and get than 10 years experience).

Keep your chin up, things will be OK.

I have in the past few weeks survived a round of layoffs, fully expect another round this year if things don't improve. What can I do? try to save a bit more money and keep looking for other jobs (but what if they go into layoffs as well? What industry/sector is "safe" these days?).
I dropped out of a cushy job to start contracting, and since then the axe has always been there. I have 4 months left in my current contract, but with only verbal promises of extension, I have been networking for the past 8 months to make sure that I can get back up into a new contract with days to weeks.
What made you leave the job for contracting?
Higher pay (for EU standards) and more flexibility on where and how I can work. I relocated all the way from Europe to Asia, while serving European, US and Asian clients. Back then I could only serve local clients who wanted me to work for them in a hybrid way or WFH, less than a few hours from their main offices. Working from a different continent, is also a no-go for most people on pay-roll (taxes and such).
Yes, I just hope I'm not picked next..
I definitely know the feeling, and would suggest controlling what you can:

- try to maximize savings starting right now

- cancel all subscriptions

- look for a roommate

- look up how to apply for unemployment

- look up how to apply for food stamps

- research local food banks

- cut all luxury spending

- research what loans you have that can forgiven via bankruptcy

The act of doing something proactive can feel very therapeutic, as opposed to waiting for a negative event that may or may not happen.

Yes, although not for the reason you're describing. )
I've been stressed about getting fired for a few years now. I'm slow. I was a high performer once, but they outsourced that job. I think I'll just feel this way for the rest of my career.