Ask HN: What stage of grief are you at regarding climate change?
Five years ago I joined the "green party" in my country wanting to make a difference with regards to climate change. I found out I'm not really cut for political activism, so I left after a couple of years. When I read about record after record being broken these days, I realized that I am at stage 5: acceptance with regards to climate change. We are going down, and there is nothing I can do about it. What stage are you?
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[ 3.7 ms ] story [ 127 ms ] threadI personally prefer the guy carrying the sign that reads "KEEP CALM AND CARRY ON" because that's the best individual action we can take.
The issue is not so much the sign being held by a young activist, but from all the other 100's of k's of scientists and experts behind it.
One can try to argue that she was misinterpreting or misrepresenting something, or her source was junk, or whatever else. But in the end that's what she chose to put on her sign. Where were those "100's of k's of scientists and experts" 5 years ago, telling her that such comments were inappropriate sensationalism? This is really pushing people, including myself, away from caring at all about this issue.
[1] - https://web.archive.org/web/20210520015841/https://twitter.c...
EDIT: Found a Forbes article on it. Seems pretty reasonable, though Greta posted a sensationalised headline of it so I guess all climate change science can be safely ignored now.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/jeffmcmahon/2018/01/15/carbon-p...
Those "100's of k's of scientists and experts" are completely happy to abide sensationalism, and that's the problem. It leaves me with 0 confidence in anything of what's said, and climate papers are written, in my opinion, in an intentionally obfuscating fashion. I can comfortably read the latest papers in astrophysics or quantum mechanics, yet I find climate papers completely, and needlessly, obtuse.
So I clearly cannot trust what anybody says, I cannot comfortably read the papers. That leaves me left to look at what I've seen happen over the past ~20 years (and what apparently happened in the 20 before it, though that was before my time) and assume that will be the ongoing trend. In that case, climate change is really just not a particular concern for me anymore.
What about the Pakistan floods? What about the rising temperature trends and acidification of the oceans? What about the heatwaves and etc. I mean I could go on forever...
Yes, there is sentationalism sometimes. But things are looking potentially really dire. Maybe they are overestimating probabilities but "the chances of being eaten by a lion on wall streets are very, very low. But one time would be enough". If the cost of an event is very severe, the Expected value of the risk is high.
That is, at best, a childish reaction and, at worst, a sign of oppositional behaviour disorder.
Think about it. Virtually every climatologist is in unified agreement — a rarity among scientists — that extremely difficult climate conditions are going to cause extreme suffering and upheaval. Just the crop failures alone will force mass migration and, inevitably, mass conflict.
But because some kid half a world away engaged in hyperbole, you reject it all. “I just don’t care any more, because «100’s of k’s of scientists and experts» didn’t put her in her place.”
I mean, seriously? That’s just mental.
Until then i am on the Kepp calm and carry on boat, but i share my practices of ressourcefulness to others. That starts with how i wash my hands over better planning my food logistics to reduce spoilage/waste to driving around unnecessarily.
I think small things multiplied by thousands of people go a long way and it's really the only thing i can do.
However, to the general public, science looks like the mild hysteria or sensations attached to every new study by the mainstream media that reports on them. The mainstream media is how the general public consumes their science, and so it's through a deliberately ignorant and sensationalistic filter that wants their engagement and enragement, not their thoughtful and curious discussion.
But hey, it's been about the same for a long time. Remember Greenpeace, and the rainforest controversies in the 70s and 80s? Remember the hole in the ozone layer? There's always room to panic over the environment, calm scentific approach be damned.
How to say you're an aging white man without saying it explicitly.
If you had said this about any other race your comment would be flagged right now and you might even lose your job if your employer got wind of it. But as things stand, you'd probably be showered with praise if your employer is a big tech, mainstream media, or academia institution.
FWIW, I'm a mid-age white man myself, so no need to be offended for me.
Damn, the shit you've let the establishment feed you...
Where's the leverage the consumer has with their behaviour? Why don't we use that? Because it's uncomfortable. People want to travel 2 times a year, they want infinite stock in the supermarket, they want more, now, fast.
I don't mind people talking. But at the end it's useless if these people don't act also until we're fully renewable (or near that)
yesterday i happened to tell this same story to a friend on the island where i live in south asia. he responded, “oh yes, it is the same with us. our ancestors knew, but nobody listened.”
the powers that be seem determined to fly this thing right into the ground, while we stand around idly discussing it.
Have multiple subscriptions to carbon removal + climate lobbying groups, try to do my part where I can.
Lol.
What do you think these "charities" are doing? Genuinely curious.
Also speaking with clients, corporations want to help. Yes there is some marketing and tax incentive, but we've seen more interest in making permanent change beyond just a PR stunt.
[1] https://klimato.co
(1) I don't deny the potential impacts of climate change and the need for something to be done, rather, I'm in denial that there will be a catastrophe (and very selfishly I acknowledge that it will be a catastrophe for others).
The problem is that CO2 emissions values are largely estimated and modeled. So there are model precision issues, and political bias issues of the model author (include some factor, exclude, give different weight etc.). On the other hand actual CO2 level in the atmosphere can be measured directly and can't be fudged in any way. It's a cold uncaring fact which we can't appease or talk to persuade.
I really do want to emphasize that we need to do something about the situation. But, my view is more of being in a house with hundreds of dirty dishes with more piling up by the minute. Yes if we did nothing about it the house would fill with rot and insects and we will all die. But, much is already being done and my suspicion/delusion is the amount of effort will only increase as the problem gets worse.
1 https://www.statista.com/statistics/1049662/fossil-us-carbon... 2 i looked at Germany and France.
I left tech to pursue med school - I feel compelled to do something to help other people now, with all of the looming problems in front of us. And feeling like I'm doing more than just making monthly donations to NRDC and others helps.
We'll survive as a species... but many people will die and we'll lose a lot of Earth's natural beauty and diversity.
I had a gut feeling that we wouldn't do anything to cut emissions until we were feeling the repercussions on a regular basis and sadly that seems to be the case.
The green party of my country has successfully revitalized the coal industry, by getting rid of nuclear energy.
My "stage of grief" is that even in western countries only a minority cares. Outside of the west they regard it as an inevitable crisis where the only question is what you can do now to come out on top. Believing that climate change can be stopped by political activism (especially by a group of hypocrits) when the two largest popultion groups on earths clearly are not interested in stopping it, at best, extremely naive.
I try to focus on the positive things, like the fact that renewables are being rapidly deployed and that the global CO2 emissions have stabilized in the past 10 years.
Really? That's no way to live man, cheer up. No one can predict the future, and doomsayers have always been around and will always be around. Sure: things might get hairy, but even then we will manage (or perhaps some of us will).
And if not: then not. Enjoy yourself in the meantime while doing the best you can in terms of being environmentally conscious
Good stewardship of the resources of creation is common sense; let our energies be directed at that.
My faith in humanity generally has been near fatally wounded by this experience though, so if any other big problem appears I can see us ending civilization rather than sorting it out.
About 20 years ago I was relatively engaged in climate activism. But my views shifted over the years after endless declarations of 'if we do nothing in 5-10 years, the world will end.' Each of those 5 or 10 years came, and it turned out that not only did the world not end, but I'd have been hard pressed to tell you it had even changed. At some point I began to wonder why should I think the next 5-10 years will be any different than the past repeated decades as it relates to this?
If I were to go back in time and optimize for encouraging activity on climate change I would make it the most boring thing imaginable. Any prediction I might make I would not only make in a clear and falsifiable fashion, but I would also make sure to lowball it. So that each and every one of my predictions could be clearly tested, even by laymen, and shown to not only be effectively 100% accurate, but even understating what was to come. I understand the point of the hyperbole is to draw people to the cause, and that may work in the short term, but in the long term you achieve the exact opposite. And it's not just me. You can see this in the longterm trends data perfectly clearly. [1]
[1] - https://news.gallup.com/poll/1615/environment.aspx
The only thing I do is trying to keep my energy usage as low as possible, but I know it doesn’t matter much. And I vote green, but that vote is wasted, as people care more about keeping refugees out and care less about the future their children and grandchildren will endure. But climate change only creates more refugees.
As long as Capitalism - with its need for endless growth - rules the world we don’t stand a chance. Our wealth and standard of living is based on buying stuff we don’t need with money we don’t have to impress people we don’t like. So we keep on wasting resources, generating needless carbon emissions and nothing will change.
Yes, we deploy more renewable energy to reduce carbon emissions but it will not be enough.
And platforms financed by Paul Graham will help spread misinformation about climate change so the populace will not want to change until it’s too late.
5 years ago Greta said we had 5 years.
"I'm not dead. I'd like to go for a walk now."
Once things are getting too uncomfortable in industrial countries, they will reduce temperatures using geo-engineering and possibly carbon capturing. Today that may be controversial, because people are still dreaming of being able to cut CO2 emissions enough to make a difference, but once things are getting uncomfortable, people will demand a quick relief, and it will be a no-brainer.
I'm between fourth and fifth stage, trying to think how I could best prepare for the uncertain future.
That's how I've seen the world. My grief has always been that with current scientific process and progress of technology we should be moving much faster towards better, more just world. Instead climate change, the first major problem we encountered with our new technology and powers, we completely screwed up our response and are taking a huge risk of massive loss of lives and ecosystems, while we're fighting about the most stupid stuff and choosing ridiculous leaders with bad reasons. Instead of critical thought, lots of people just get stuck with opinions they want to have, no matter how clearly they're wrong and based on lies and feelings.
And I've felt it's quite hard to stay motivated in this world. My motivation has always been really finicky, I can get extremely motivated on correct circumstances, but have a complete lack of motivation when things are wrong. During past decades these have led me to do a lot of drinking (I've finally mostly stopped few years back) and progressing through life really slowly, sometimes just stopping for months or even a year. I wish I could get over it, but it feels harder and harder. Everything I predicted how the future would be screwed came through, just much much worse I ever could have figured. Even if we beat climate change, there's other problems on the way and I'm not so optimistic how we'll handle those. Feels though to try to be building a better future when it feels most people don't even try or care, when they could affect so much change for better for so little.
Capitalists aren't as bright as ppl think. Most are trapped in infinite loops they don't have the creativity or sense to exit.
We saw during COVID companies and supply chains collapsing just cause demand for x y or z dropped off over night.
That's all it takes - targeting demand of one product globally and forcing them out of their loops.
Funny how the solution to climate change (and covid, and inflation..) is always strict top-down control. Just eliminate demand, no mention of the coercion needed to make that happen. Always the same solution, by the same people.
Makes me extremely skeptical of the whole climate change enterprise.
I'm not saying it's not an issue, it's just that I'm very optimistic for the (near) future. And most of the scare comes from some very wrong estimates of expert's inability to recognise an S Curve of progress and not a linear one.
I recommend everyone to watch the Brighter series of videos from RethinkX [1]
Especially in episode 5 there's some graphs with every year's estimate of coal use and renewables that are really crazily wrong. I really can't understand how can "experts" be so wrong for tens of years and keep going.
It's already cheaper to install PV & Wind instead of any other fossil fuel alternative. And the price is only going down with scale. Also battery prices are going down so the problem of renewables intermittency will be solved as well.
Also, because of the fact that we need to have more power installed than consumption (because of intermittency) we will have more and more extra power (what Tony Seba from RethinkX calls Superpower or what we hear lately in news that energy price is negative). And with that what we can do is dump that energy into CO2 capture that was not feasible before because it was generating more CO2 with the power it used than what it captured.
[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hk9VQt5Nt64&list=PLxB143vg5_...
We all know we're watching a slow moving train wreck. We all know our lives are going to be greatly impacted in ways we can't even imagine, up to and including dying as a result. We all know we could have prevented this catastrophe but refused to do so for reasons.
What I sincerely hope is as humanity comes out the other side of this disaster, they will have learned how to spot the disingenuous, the charlatans, and the liars. Those people will still exist, of course, and there will still be people swayed by them, but hopefully they'll be on the fringe and have no power to effect their lunacy.
This may not happen of course, but I hope it does. Which brings me to the sixth stage of grief: hope. Now that I've accepted what's going to happen to us, I hope our civilization is so much the stronger for it and we can set aside the BS that's been plaguing us for centuries once and for all.