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and of course, now the market rallies today

this guy had a big win in 2008, which i heard someone made a popular movie about, but otherwise track record mixed at best

He had a huge win in both 2001 and 2008. Ultimately he's not encouraging anyone to follow his lead, so it is all palace intrigue. His bets are interesting because unlike economists and Wall St analysts, he puts his money where his mouth is.