It's sure as fuck not going to be Java on the desktop. Sun was one of the only companies that could have made crossplatform desktop GUIs work, and they fucked themselves over repeatedly. The only crossplatform GUI that's succeeded has been the Web.
For desktop apps the present and future is native: Cocoa on is stellar and .NET is getting better as they dogfood more. GTK isn't very good, but it's the best you can get for Xlib — hopefully a brand-new Xcb-based library will emerge soon.
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[ 3.1 ms ] story [ 18.6 ms ] threadhttp://blog.appjet.com/2008/11/18/whats-next-for-appjet/
For desktop apps the present and future is native: Cocoa on is stellar and .NET is getting better as they dogfood more. GTK isn't very good, but it's the best you can get for Xlib — hopefully a brand-new Xcb-based library will emerge soon.