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The comment that makes me think:

Spec'ing HTTP 2.0 has been such a clusterfuck. According to Mark in an email to the HTTP Working Group, as of January 2012 they were "past the four year mark (on a WG that was originally chartered for a year and a half)".

No wonder he's concerned about failure through "spending five years fighting and gazing at our navels."

This doesn't really follow. They spent four years doing nothing; that doesn't mean that it will take five more years to create the 2.0 spec.
I agree that past is not always an indicator of future.

But in this case, doing exactly the same things and expecting a different outcome is insanity defined.

They're not doing the same things; now we have two proposals on the table, one of which has been widely deployed.
Hopefully they team together, it would be better for everyone, but then again, they usually don't care about standards in that way.