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Who is this guy? Why should we take his word for any of this? Why does he think any of those scenarios are likely?
Good question.

Googled „Tuomas Malinen” and it seems like he is associate professor of economics from Finland who was born (or teleported) recently into Earth. No track of record, I mean…

He is a far-right, pro-russia, anti-vax troll. We shouldn't.
I read some of his Russia posts and they do seem somewhat suspect. Can you link his far-right and anti-vax posts?