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When the bourgeoisie speak, they are not speaking for the benefit of the proletariat.

I do enjoy the byline!

Andreeson is hardly bourgeoisie.
Perhaps you're looking at the 18th century definition of 'bourgeoisie', which commonly means middle class.

However, the clue was the use of 'proletariat' which is the wage-earning class while 'bourgeoisie' would be the class which owns the means to production, in a Marxist context.

Yep.

Though he's not really rentier, either--he's more like meta-rentier, and probably closer to aristocracy (though I don't know marks isn't well enough to know if he had that as a separate group)

> Perhaps you're looking at the 18th century definition of 'bourgeoisie', which commonly means middle class.

Its the same class that became the capitalist ruling class; just prior to the effective displacement of the titled nobility as a center of power as a distinct class the bourgeoisie was a relatively narrow elite that was the middle class between the titled nobility and the peasantry, in much the same way that the petit bourgeoisie under capitalism is a relatively narrow elite when looking at society as a whole, but still the “middle class” between the haut bourgeois pure/major capitalist and the wage-labor-dependent proletariat.

There is wealth and power accumulation in every known human social system. Capitalism just makes the wealth and power contingent on having delivered value to a large number of people, were “value” is judged by those same people. The problem comes when the people do not judge value correctly, such as when they weigh positive first order effects over much worse Nth order effects (for example obesity inducing foods). Tearing down the current system would not address the problem of wealth or power concentration, it would just change where it is concentrated. Better regulation is needed. Definitely removing the ability of the wealthy to directly influence regulation is needed.
This is what happens when someone gets super rich from a lucky investment, we have to hear their dumb ideas for the next 30 years...
At least the gas station lottery ticket winners don’t dress it up as individual exceptionalism. Not a hot take, not flippant. Enjoy the luck if you have it, but call it what it is.

https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/beautiful-minds/the-rol...

Seriously?

Have you never met anyone who thinks they're "lucky?" Whether they are the big lotto winners or "just missed it" you constantly hear from them how "lucky" they are.

If you won lotto you _are_ lucky though (though note: descriptive rather than prescriptive).

Past performance does not indicate future performance goes several times stronger for luck.

Many years ago HN had a post about Andreessen giving advice and I drunk posted that "the only reason people listen to him is because he's rich", only to have the honor of our lord and savior pg stating that my comment was "the dumbest thing he's ever heard".

Yeah, I was drunk and bitter about a guy who was at the right place and the right time and sold out and is a bazilionaire. But Netscape's success really was only in making him and others rich. Ning failed too.

No longer drunk and trying to be less bitter but I remain unimpressed.

Thank you for the validation, for what it is ;-)

He has founded three successful companies Netscape, Opsware and A16Z so it’s not luck only.
When you also add all the companies his investments failed at, suddenly it becomes a game of numbers, that only the very wealthy can play.
Absolutely, skill and effort where required too.

But also once you've got your first millions and network of investors, entrepreneurs, and talent then starting a new company is now in a pipeline that was predicated on the element of luck of the first success that started the pipeline.

The man pitched NFTs as a worthy investment vehicle, for crying out loud. That is a solid case of him being wrong, ergo, his advice should not be considered indisputable.

He and Eric Bina also created the first web browser with the IMG tag.
Of course talent and effort matter and should be recognized, but the only reason we're talking about him is because of his success, in which good fortune played a significant role in that happening.
Maybe. I think he’d still be reasonably famous even if the only thing he had done was Mosaic.

I don’t agree with everything in his manifesto, but I think he’s achieved more than enough for people to refrain from painting all of his success as pure luck.

If you disagree, make a counter argument!

> refrain from painting all of his success as pure luck

It's not that all of it is pure luck -- it's that it was a significant factor. The dotcom bubble was awash with cash and the distribution of same was not exactly merit based. And a fair chunk was being in the right place at the right time and knowing the right people.

Going back to the OP title, perhaps its overly harsh but we can meet in the middle that his success is not a guarantee that he's a savant. The fact that he pushed NFTs tarnishes his reputation in my eyes.

Oh really? I'd suggest it's equally or more true that we live in an age where we have to endure the pseudo-intellectual dross of the perpetually insecure and envious who want to inflict their neocommunist agenda upon the world and have us settle for a universal level of bland instead of permitting those with vision to make the world better.

Well if it addressed their fundamental insecurity, it might be an argument with at least some validity. Sadly, I suspect they'll remain insecure irrespective.

Writing a bad take-down of a bad idea is doing a service to the bad idea.
I enjoy the service you’ve done to the article with this post
That said, I wouldn't have known about and read (skimmed) the bad idea without the reference via the bad take-down.
It’s sounds like Andreessen and the Accelerationists are foolishly optimistic and out of touch, but the author seems to be trying his best to make you take their side by offering the worst counter-arguments in the most disingenuous way.

Everyone in heaven is an Accelerationist these days. I like to think Sam gave up his crusade and went sailing with Jan and Renfrew.

He should talk about his feats at the AMC theaters back when he was a coop at IBM. The staff certainly did.
I'm sure there are intelligent criticisms of Andreesson's manifesto, but this piece doesn't seem to contain any. I stopped reading after the second straw man argument it made.

The best I can say of this piece is that it made me aware of the existence of this manifesto. I don't think I'll be able to sleep without finding and reading it.

The fact that this is on the front page shows how steep the decline in intelligence of the average HN reader has been.

People literally don't read articles anymore. They just upvoted based on the title (and if they agree with it)

Well it did catch my eye. I need to publicize an open source project I'm working on soon, so perhaps I can learn from the techniques used.

Maybe I will write badly on why my project will fail, encouraging rubberneckers...

No seriously, when you write your title, base it on something the HN community agrees with even if it's completely irrelevant to your article.

It'll do a lot better since HN readers now just upvoted based on the title without looking at the article.

Been my observation at least as I've noticed a steady drop in HN quality and more politics BS on the front page.

Indeed. I'm sure a reasonable case can be made to oppose Andressen's screed. But this author doesn't make one. The entire article can be summed up as: I disagree, and Andreessen is a poo poo head! It's sorta ironic that the author writes for gizmodo, literally living off the backs of what tecno-utopists built (or at least financed). The lack of self-awareness is just... I can't find the words.
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Care to elaborate on what points you're saying are strawmans? Sure it's a gizmodo piece, written in the typical style, but that doesn't preclude it from making legitimate criticisms.
>Andreessen’s newly espoused ideology did not spring up in a vacuum. Instead, it’s part of a broader movement that seeks to take all the guardrails off of technological development and push forward with “progress,” whatever the cost may be.

Pretty clear strawman starting at the third paragraph. I'm sure we could dig up many more.

This article is just a snarky rant. Embarassing.

How is that a strawman?
> a broader movement that seeks to take all the guardrails off of technological development and push forward with “progress,” whatever the cost may be.

The manifesto starts with this as a defining motif. Growth is life, no-growth is death. Homeostasis be damned!

Do you seriously think that Andreesen would advocate for technological progress regardless of an arbitrarily high cost to human welfare?
When he's one of the biggest backers of the surveillance state and is advocating for even more of that.. yep. I do.

I'll raise a strawman of my own: pretty indicative to see one of the co-authors of the Fascist Manifesto listed in Andreessen's list of "patron saints".

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fascist_Manifesto

Yes? I think that's pretty clearly what he's advocating in his manifesto that we're discussing.
Thanks for the assist, amigo
The quote given isn't a strawman though, it's a perfectly valid summary of just a few points from the actual manifesto:

    Techno-Optimists believe that societies, like sharks, grow or die.

    We believe growth is progress – leading to vitality, expansion of life, increasing knowledge, higher well being.

    We agree with Paul Collier when he says, “Economic growth is not a cure-all, but lack of growth is a kill-all.”

    ...

    Our enemy is corruption, regulatory capture, monopolies, cartels.
https://a16z.com/the-techno-optimist-manifesto/

It's all in for unlimited growth, unlimited consumption, unlimited population, zero regulation, magic free market will fix things.

You can argue for or against that vision, but you can't claim that the above is not his manifesto.

It's very clearly a distortion and not a valid summary of the manifest. Monopolies and captured regulators are not the same thing as "guardrails" in the authors summary.

You may benefit from reading about what straw man arguments are before commenting further.

That's quite the attitude you have there.

You also might benefit from further education.

I'd strongly suggest you start with reading the full manifesto and not rely on technical point scoring on the basis of short quotes.

I did read the manifesto, and while we can all benefit from more education, you, specifically, would benefit from learning what a straw man is.

Hint: All I have to do to prove the rebuttal relies on a straw man is to show that it mischaracterized or meaningfully distorts the ideas in the manifesto. I have done that.

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And as we all know, sharks grow indefinitely and never die. That's why ancient sharks are still alive and outmass the planet itself.

That's definitely the model we should be aiming for.

I agree with the general idea of the article (that MA is a silly goose), but even then it's pretty easy to see that the content of the article is not of the highest quality.
The article doesn't say much of anything at all, other than that the author really doesn't like Marc Andreesen, it makes that much really clear.

It doesn't actually demonstrate how Marc is wrong about anything, it's sort off thought as a given I suppose.

All it does it just amplifies my general distaste for so called "journalists".

A straw man is a distorted or mischaracterized recapitulation of another person's argument. This distorted argument can then more easily be attacked. It's a very common way for politicians, ideologues, and other dumb people to argue. Sometimes, fair or unfair, a straw man argument can even be effective at winning over a crowd.

In this case the writer is distorting what Andreesson wrote in order to attack it. Here's an example:

"...it’s part of a broader movement that seeks to take all the guardrails off of technological development and push forward with “progress,” whatever the cost may be."

One thing I can say with almost 100% certainty - even though I have not read the manifesto -- is that Andreesson would never make such a stupid argument. Only an idiot would make such a dumb and absolutist argument, and only a politician or other dishonest person would try to assign such a dumb argument to her ideological opponent.

I've no doubt that readers of gizmodo, big government socialists, and many of their fellow travelers found this piece and it's writer to be a fresh new voice for the deep state and managerial classes. But I'm underwhelmed.

How can you call it a strawman if you haven't read the manifesto that the supposed strawman is for? Doesn't that make anything you say about the manifesto an accidental strawman because your, apparently intentional, lack of reading distorts your own arguments in order to convince others? Or at least make it indistinguishable from a strawman?

Just go read the damn thing, friend. Sheesh.

I don't know you and I'm not your friend.

I have since read the manifesto and while it was always obvious even without reading the manifesto that the author of this piece distorted it, I can now say for sure that he distorted it.

It's a straw man.

Thanks for reading it, friend. Love and kisses, and I hope your family is doing well in these hard times. <3
I've been observing Marc for years now. He is a pump-and-dump extraordinaire. Any and every technology he can shill to the average (dumb) American to squeeze a penny (or their life savings) out of them he will do it. Rinse and repeat. The snake oil salesman of our time.
He's the tech bros' Alex Jones. Odious.
A foaming-at-the-mouth screed punctuated only by short quotes, which, even in their brevity and without context, are a hundred times more interesting than the article's replies to them.

    "We believe the measure of abundance is falling prices. Every time a price falls, the universe of people who buy it get a raise in buying power, which is the same as a raise in income. If a lot of goods and services drop in price, the result is an upward explosion of buying power, real income, and quality of life."
    
    Lower prices are always nice, sure, that’s true. But it’s also true that totally unfettered capitalism of the kind Andreessen envisions does not lead to falling prices. Actually, one of the best ways to lower prices on goods (some of them, at least) is to subsidize them through public funding.
Ah yes, "that's not true", the hallmark of considered economic thinking.

I hate articles like this, because I want to defend folks like Andreessen like I want a hole on my head, but here I am!

What stood out to me about the original piece was how much it sounded like a less articulate version of the Italian Futurist Manifesto[1], which today primarily is relevant for the not so great ideologies it influenced, to put it mildly.

That also gives the entire thing accidentally a completely retrofuturistic tone. It's ironic that a movement if you can call it that which claims to be aligned with the future, has adopted the tone and imagery of a 20th century World Fair.

[1]https://www.societyforasianart.org/sites/default/files/manif...

“Beauty exists only in struggle” “We want to glorify war” “We want to demolish museums and libraries”

Tone aside, these documents are pretty different in what they’re advocating for. There’s a shared looking toward the future but I read futurism as a desire for violent overthrow of the past.

that is fair, the futurism of the Italian variety was a lot more explicitly martial. But I think the parallels are still pretty noteworthy.

> We believe in the romance of technology, of industry. The eros of the train, the car, the electric light, the skyscraper. And the microchip, the neural network, the rocket, the split atom.

> We affirm that the world’s magnificence has been enriched by a new beauty: the beauty of speed. A racing car whose hood is adorned with great pipes, like serpents of explosive breath

> We believe in ambition, aggression, persistence, relentlessness – strength.

> We intend to exalt aggressive action, a feverish insomnia, the racer’s stride, the mortal leap, the punch and the slap.

Even the "we .." rhetoric is weirdly similar. But the broader point is really the marriage of technological modernity with a sort of reactionary cultural attitude. The essay The Californian ideology even noticed this a few decades ago. And as far as militarism is concerned, it is noteworthy that this manifesto comes at a time when people seem pretty eager to advocate fusion of the defense sector and tech. This is quite different from the futurism of say, Sergey Brin at early Google, quite a bit darker.

> This is one of the most prevalent and destructive delusions of the libertarian ideology: that the marketplace and the private sector are actually better at delivering important services to the public than the government.

Drivel.

"We are told that technology takes our jobs, reduces our wages, increases inequality, threatens our health, ruins the environment, degrades our society, corrupts our children, impairs our humanity, threatens our future, and is ever on the verge of ruining everything."

Ok, fair enough. I wouldn't pin any of these issues on "technology". I lay them at the feet of "businesses" specifically operating within a capitalist landscape. Unfortunately "technology" is tightly coupled to "businesses" in the Western world and I don't think that removing constraints on the latter will benefit anyone except, you know... rich people.

"We believe the techno-capital machine of markets and innovation never ends, but instead spirals continuously upward. Comparative advantage increases specialization and trade. Prices fall, freeing up purchasing power, creating demand. Falling prices benefit everyone who buys goods and services, which is to say everyone. Human wants and needs are endless, and entrepreneurs continuously create new goods and services to satisfy those wants and needs, deploying unlimited numbers of people and machines in the process."

Calls for further doubling down on Capitalism given the dire inequality and our inability to meet even basic needs for so many people in our already rich society strikes me as the utmost expression of societal tone deaf.

While you won't win rationale arguments with ad hominem attacks and theatrics you certainly will get lots of clicks and ad impressions. The irony being that the author would have had an incomprehensibly different life if Marc Andreessen and others like him acted the way the author would want them to act.

Society really should have a reasoned and thought through discussion on the impacts of AI specifically and technology generally. The author is not helping.

I use the Fire service as an example. This is something that always works massively better as a tax-funded government service rather than a market-driven service. The thought of 3 different fire trucks turning up to your burning house and then pitching for your business, or refusing to save your burning house because you didn't pay for some optional add-on, or only saving your burning house but not rescuing your pets because of some contract clause, is horrifying [0].

And obviously, if there are some things that are better delivered as tax-funded government-provided services, there are others. Where you draw that line is arguable. But it's definitely not at "markets are universally better for everything". Because Fire Service.

[0] and outside the USA, we think like this about healthcare too, but it's less obviously simple and straightforward.

If 3 different companies showed up to put out the fire, you'd get a fair deal for the cost of putting out the fire, because they'd have to bid against one-another, but I take your point otherwise.
But that's the point, really. If my house is on fire, what I want is a single fire truck to turn up as soon as possible and do whatever it takes to save as much of my stuff (without endangering anyone) as possible.

Three fire trucks is unnecessary (and inefficient). Wasting time arguing about pricing is counter-productive. If all my stuff is burning then it's reasonable to assume that any savings I might get from a better price is going to be outweighed by the extra damage done in the time it takes to agree the price.

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Did Andreesson argue that fire services should be privatized in his manifesto?

Damn. Now I must read it immediately.

He said "markets are better for everything". So yes.
I just searched Andreesson's manifesto and I cannot find the phrase you are attributing to him.
There's a whole section entitled Markets that you obviously missed:

"We believe free markets are the most effective way to organize a technological economy." - is what I'm paraphrasing, and the first sentence in that section.

but there's more:

"Markets prevent monopolies and cartels." - provably wrong. Anti-trust regulations are needed to interfere in markets to prevent monopolies and cartels.

"We believe markets are an inherently individualistic way to achieve superior collective outcomes." - see Fire Service for counter-argument

"We believe there is no conflict between capitalist profits and a social welfare system that protects the vulnerable. " - laughably wrong in the face of US healthcare vs everywhere else in the world

"We believe central economic planning elevates the worst of us and drags everyone down; markets exploit the best of us to benefit all of us." - again, Fire Service

(FYI: you're arguing with someone who, four minutes before the post you responded to, admitted they've not actually read it.)
haha, fair point. It's worth reading, I think. It's a coherent point of view. I agree with a lot of it. Just not the "trickle-down economics" version of market-driven capitalism that he supports.
I have now read the manifesto. It is clear that you attempted to pass off a distorted and inaccurate paraphrase as his words. You should not have done that. It was dishonest and you have wasted everyone's time.
I disagree. I think "markets are better for everything" is an accurate paraphrase of "We believe free markets are the most effective way to organize a technological economy.". Especially given the context of the rest of that Markets section. Nowhere in that section does he concede that markets might not be the best solution for any given problem.
If "everything" was the same as a technological economy" it would be an accurate paraphrase. But those two are not the same things. And while you're welcome to disagree, you're not welcome to waste any more of my time.
The reasons we're not going to live in a technological utopia in the future are the reasons we aren't living in one now: money goes up, not down. When you create a robot to do the job of five men you haven't given five men a life of leisure, you've given them a pink slip and their boss a higher profit margin. We're not happier than we used to be. We're not healthier than we used to be. We are lonelier yet more crowded, sicker despite medical advancement, and miserable, so what the fuck are we doing this all for?
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> Our enemy is anti-merit, anti-ambition, anti-striving, anti-achievement, anti-greatness.

if you run with this attitude, it sort of destroys society. Everyone is too focused on being better than everyone else. It essentially sacrifices culture on the altar of economic growth

And I seriously think this GDP-worshipping attitude is outdated. Net economic output means very little if people like horowitz come in and steal most of it for themselves

A much better metric would be life expectancy, or average level of educational attainment. Imo instead of prioritizing GDP at the expense of everything else, we should prioritize having a functioning society where people are happy, healthy, and the system is sustainable

>much better metric would be life expectancy

I think that's a good start. Perhaps it's a combination of life expectancy, sustainable birthrate, and some sort of quality of life measurement.

Basically, measuring health, society health, and happiness.

GDP is a gameable metric. Life expectancy is not everything we want, but it’s not bad. “The Federal Reserve announced today that life expectancy was up 0.1% this quarter. Stocks rallied on the news.”

If we want to do that though we still need merit, ambition, striving, achievement, and greatness.

> If we want to do that though we still need merit, ambition, striving, achievement, and greatness.

We will die to heat death before anyone in the current ruling class is able to measure merit, much less striving, achievement, and greatness.

We still need all of those things though so I’m putting out a Request for Metrics on merit, ambition, striving, achievement, and greatness.
Once you figure out a way to measure any of those without bias I'll write the software for you for free. And then I'll burn it.
Life expectancy of those in the bottom has gotten quite close to those at the top. Horowitz may have 100000x the amount of money, but he won't live even 2x as long as your average American (or global citizen). https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/life-expectancy

Thankfully educational attainment is also way up

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/literate-and-illiterate-w...

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/population-having-attaine...

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This is a good takedown I read [1] My own take: Andreesen doesn't get that politics/law/society also has "software", i.e. rules that advance and get complex as civilization gets complex. In a sense there is human/social "technology" as well that has to evolve and advance as well. Hard Tech needs Soft Tech, they are not "enemies".

[1] https://davekarpf.substack.com/p/why-cant-our-tech-billionai...

Heh:

> Economic inequality does not solve itself. Markets are not perfect, self-correcting mechanisms. At one point, Andreessen writes “The market naturally disciplines (…) Markets prevent monopolies and cartels.” I take this as evidence that he doesn’t read any actual economists. One could make an argument that the 90s techno-optimists did not yet know any better (we were just trying global capitalism for the first time, maybe it’d work great!). But, for a Silicon Valley set that likes to pretend at being hardcore Bayesian rationalists, there is something downright comical about how they have managed, across the past thirty years, not to update a single one of their priors.

I like "number of girls that cycle to school every weekday".
Why is this flagged? It's a genuine article from a known website - sure the take is critical but it isn't saying anything particularly offensive.
The Glorious Leader will tolerate no dissent!
It's notable that this is flagged and that the Andreesen advocates are just so... low wattage... attacking people when they clearly have not read or understood what they are defending.

The real danger is not the warmed up trickle-down deregulation shite. That is nothing new and already a cause of current problems. It's that it's in furtherance of a techno-authoritarian fascist cult of the twitter poisoned. God knows where that will take us but given the vast wealth and power of the people losing their minds, it's a greater threat to democracy than Q.