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The answer is no. Until anyone here gets a call from their mom asking how to play a 10 bit encoded 1080p MKV file and it can't be solved by downloading VLC / MPC the answer will be no.

Even if it did become a huge issue MSFT would simply bundle the codecs into the next Windows update.

Simple answer is no until there is no need to ever pull out a command line the typical none college grad, non-techie person isn't going to us it. Windows has the perfect balance of stupid simple and cheap price that makes it a standard in personal computing.
However, there is no need to 'pull out a command line' on Ubuntu.

The mere possibility of using a terminal does not in any way force anyone to use it. If that were true, we'd judge Windows as being too hard because newbies don't understand PowerShell.

I'd say not.

Got ubuntu 11.1 on Friday and it was a beautiful 30 minutes of linux bliss and excitement.

However, wouldn't update when I installed chrome and lost features when I installed graphics drivers. Oh and Random Freezes. Didn't shutdown properly on Saturday night and then it wouldn't boot on Sunday morning. Painful.

Interesting. Of all the problems I've ever had with Linux, those don't sound like any I've generally encountered. I'd be tempted to suggest trying out the 12.04 beta (which is what I wrote about) since the Kernel it's on is one of the more stable that has come out.
It does sound tempting.
2012. Why are we talking about operating systems?
Because, like it or not, not everybody is doing everything via web.