I'm more interested in the situation where Russia or China take control of starlink with a digital hack when Taiwan is invaded in 2027 (according to geopolitical experts).
I'm not sure the post parent to yours was serious, but I've seen arguments that international diplomacy is currently based on assuming a (somewhat abrupt?) incoming end to the Pax americana that has held since the Cold War
Most generally, that the class divide and apparent drop in quality of life of the lower classes would cause the US to go some economic and political turnoil. And that most likely it'd end in a return to the non-interventionism of the early XXth century
In this particular case meaning China would be "waiting" for the US to largely withdraw military presence from mostly everywhere
We may be cursed with some interesting times ahead.
The 2027 date gets thrown around a lot because of some congressional testimony claiming their goal was to be ready to invade by 2027.
But the broader concern is because of a convergence of factors towards the end of the decade. US forces are currently in a transitional period where they are retooling from fighting goat herders in the sandbox to fighting a peer conflict. This takes time though and the minimum relative peer strength of the Navy is expected to be late in the 2020s. At the same time China is running out of gas on their growth model and has an enormous demographic catastrophe coming their way by the mid 2030s so their capabilities may well start declining next decade. Thus the CCP faces a “now or never” moment with regards to forcing the Taiwan issue in the last few years of this decade and there is speculation Xi may be ballsy enough to try it, especially after Putin was aggressive enough to roll the dice on Ukraine.
More likely and easier scenario: instead of hijacking, brick the cars.
Cars have become computers with a different form factor. I'm not confident that automakers can keep their SW/FW stack up to date and secure, given their complex supply chains, scrambling to build products that are new to them, while competing with big tech to retain SW engineering talent.
There's also a massive Tesla lot, filled with hundreds of cars, along a major freeway in northwest Houston - I assume that's a hub that they do deliveries from? Seems like that would be a good source for a drone car army.
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[ 6.6 ms ] story [ 37.4 ms ] threadMost generally, that the class divide and apparent drop in quality of life of the lower classes would cause the US to go some economic and political turnoil. And that most likely it'd end in a return to the non-interventionism of the early XXth century
In this particular case meaning China would be "waiting" for the US to largely withdraw military presence from mostly everywhere
We may be cursed with some interesting times ahead.
But the broader concern is because of a convergence of factors towards the end of the decade. US forces are currently in a transitional period where they are retooling from fighting goat herders in the sandbox to fighting a peer conflict. This takes time though and the minimum relative peer strength of the Navy is expected to be late in the 2020s. At the same time China is running out of gas on their growth model and has an enormous demographic catastrophe coming their way by the mid 2030s so their capabilities may well start declining next decade. Thus the CCP faces a “now or never” moment with regards to forcing the Taiwan issue in the last few years of this decade and there is speculation Xi may be ballsy enough to try it, especially after Putin was aggressive enough to roll the dice on Ukraine.
As for invading Taiwan, again, is the US going to stand idle and let China take over or intervene?
Cars have become computers with a different form factor. I'm not confident that automakers can keep their SW/FW stack up to date and secure, given their complex supply chains, scrambling to build products that are new to them, while competing with big tech to retain SW engineering talent.
You’re safe New York!
There's also a massive Tesla lot, filled with hundreds of cars, along a major freeway in northwest Houston - I assume that's a hub that they do deliveries from? Seems like that would be a good source for a drone car army.