Ask HN: Has the tech recession affected you?

107 points by throwaway494749 ↗ HN
I don't see much talk of it here, but are we in the depths of a serious tech recession? VC world seems to have been decimated, massive layoffs at most tech firms, IT consulting and contracting also decimated.

Have you been affected? Is there any end in sight? Sharing your experiences can help others to know they're not alone.

174 comments

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I was just told today that my team is being cut in half soon. No idea if that's going to include me too.

As far as I've been told, the funding for most startups is gone right now.

I personally know a half dozen people laid off last fall and 2 were at startups than ran out of money. Fiscal tightening has a lot to do with it, investment funds are now competing with 5% guaranteed returns on short term investments.
I didn’t get laid off, and my startup managed to raise more money during the height of the layoffs. However im starting to look for a new job and the market is definitely not what it was in January 2022 when I last looked for an engineering gig (and found one in less than a week.)
I don't know that it's a serious tech recession; my understanding is that the major players are still posting serious revenue growth. As far as I can tell, a lot of the VC/startup world was mostly a low interest rate bubble.

I suppose I'm "lucky" that I got laid off in 2021 after the company I was working for was acquired by private equity. It wasn't a bad time to find a job, and I went looking for something different which ended up being a small, local company that does fairly boring software development.

Indeed it doesn't seem to be a recession for the tech companies themselves, they're still raking in adverttising $$ or whatever.

But it's certainly a recession for tech workers.

I had to let go of all my contractors. Aside from that, we're still hiring for many FTE's. (40~ next fiscal).

I suppose contractors are a "make hay while the sun shines" situation and it can turn...

Contractors are an elastic workforce. They can be expanded or reduced depending on market conditions.
Jobs are harder to get. Lots of people flooding the market after lay offs. I have 3 positions so far that I went deep into interviews and then it was - there is no budget for the position - it is cancelled, maybe next year.

Pay is also inching lower.

This happened to me a lot on the other side. I’d apply for a job, hear nothing, assume I got screened out and then months later get an email saying “oops we aren’t hiring anyone for this role anymore”.
Scaled down from 150 people and high burn to 120, much higher revenue, and clearly on a road to break even. I do find it quite challenging. Financial markets are tighter than they've ever been and it feels out of whack with market rate salaries/and the level of effort people put in.
I've struggled to find a Software Engineer job for many months, even with FAANG on my resume. It's nowhere as easy as it was when I graduated college 7 years ago.

I send out my resume and barely get any answers. I don't even get a chance to interview.

That being said, I had a good luck streak in December! I'm waiting to hear back from several companies right now.

Same -- FAANG, Dropbox, quant hedge fund on my resume, ~10 years of experience, senior engineer. I don't actually want a new job, to be fair, but I prefer to interview at least a couple times a year to keep skills sharp and get a good idea of my value in the market. Right now, my value appears to be approximately nil. It's wild.
How is that even possible? There's a demand for engineers for sure... no?
The market has been unnaturally juiced by low interest rates for the last decade or so. It should get better but won’t ever get back to what it was for a long time.
I keep hearing whispering of an "AI boom" happening soon on HN but don't see in the real world. Has anyone seen signs either way?
You probably hear it from people that have to sell you AI-powered products. At best it'll turn into a bubble, but more realistically LLMs will not cause any economic boom in and of themselves, especially in these shaky times. Content generation is not really what the world is looking for to return to the highs of early 2010s.
AI boom isn't coming from content generation, it's coming from new forms of automation and the newfound accessibility from it.
In theory, we're expecting big things and putting big money to make it happen.

I am hoping to ride the wave. I'm doing far more than I am qualified because of LLM.

Well I work at a FAANG and at the beginning of the year (after our round of layoffs) we were more or less told "no growth, flat headcount, no spending money, lean times, austerity etc" and now I'm hearing "ok we need to hire some (albeit slowly) and we need to spend some money for this AI thing".

So maybe "boom" is the wrong word, but it sure seems to have put a stop to the outright austerity mindset.

AI boom and austerity on hiring can be happen at the same time.

AI boom is interesting in the sense, if the AI successfully increases programmer productivity, then it also would drive down the demands, unless AI can increase the pie by eating away other industries. So far I haven't seen this, AI seems to have a bigger impact on software industry itself than any other industry out there.

Not very optimistic that AI alone can change the tide, but considering how fast things can change (GPT-5 might be the AGI, or GPT-4 level model gets open sourced and runs much cheaper everywhere), 6 months in the future the outlook might change drastically.

Clearcase was a big AI win.. A copilot for lawyers.
I work in a technology that's great to work in but has a bad reputation in places like HN because of irrational bias, there's no recession and salaries are still going up. Glad it keeps the competition away.
> irrational bias

Then say it. :)

Sure, already got plenty of downvotes, it's C#, F# and the .NET ecosystem.
I can think of a lot of reasons why companies and startups would find it bad for their use cases tbh. It's hamstrung by microsoft licensing and ecosystem, and while building tools for enterprisey stuff is great, web-style startups are more of the focus here.
All of it is distributed under MIT license.
Off-topic but I'm curious: Where do you find .NET jobs? I don't see many on linkedin...
I work for a large consulting company that does work all around the world. From what I've seen, the midwest appears to have a pretty heavy use of .NET and other Microsoft technologies. Very large banking and insurance companies moving their .NET code bases to Azure. As you move further to the coasts, AWS takes over more as the cloud provider of choice for most enterprises and you see a lot more Java. Right now I'm looking for .NET + Azure architects in Iowa, Nebraska, Minnesota, Kansas and Illinois.
I'm going to guess Palantir or Anduril. Or similar.

Honestly they have some really interesting-looking roles open. I've also heard great things about working at Anduril and not-so great things about working at Palantir.

I'm sure they're talking about crypto.
Except the job market around crypto has largely cratered and it's actually not the technically interesting to work in.
It's C#, F# and the .NET ecosystem. Haven't gotten this many downvotes in a long time.
Well, those haters are just stupid. That ecosystem is probably better to work in now than it ever has been and both of those languages are have a great developer experience.

LINQ is powerful technology. Don't let anyone snub their noses at you.

If the only options for professional engagement were the languages popular with the HN commentariat (Python, Golang, Rust), I'd probably slit my wrists.

I've worked with loads of languages -- even PHP and Perl -- and would do it again without a second thought for the right company/project.

He didn't get the downvotes because of the technologies though.
I downvoted it because the tone of the response was rather annoying, more fitting to some popular subreddit than HN.
I worked most of my career in .NET. Couldn’t get a single place to hire me. Eventually ended up getting a Java role ¯\_(ツ)_/¯.

I do miss some of that nice syntax sugar.

not affecting me personally, but last year we were hiring for a lead engineer (for a fortune 50 company) - got 2 resumes.

5-6 months later we needed another lead engineer and we got over 300 for the exact same position, same pay, same location.

Well, I got laid off. I have a decent resume. In past job hunts, I got call backs on 50% of applications. Now responses are closer to 1%.

Sure seems recessionish to me.

Personally it’s led me to try out some contract work on the side for small businesses, eg building little websites and performing technical SEO work via https://www.divinatetech.com

Eager to improve my non-technical skills with this work.

I’m curious to see how the field fluctuates in these next years with the upheaval of cheap interest and split opinions on doom/boon of tech workers via LLM automation.

Doing a period of consulting will uplevel your non-technical skills (sales, accounts receivable, marketing) greatly, as well as your appreciation for those who do that type of work, IMO.
Sent a few hundred CVs last spring/summer, got maybe 5 interviews, got burnout and disgust at the modern tech hiring practice.

Since then, with the help of a few sporadic clients, government help, and living like a pauper I decided to go all in in becoming an entrepreneur, instead of continuing my 17+ year career as a consultant or someone else's employee. Seems like stuff hasn't improved in the past 9 months.

Not having a stable job is very stressful, but the interview rat race these days is more akin to real life Squid Game than anything I've experienced before. It is dehumanising. I'd rather be penniless, stressed, and working on my product at this point. If you can afford to, do it. Even if you don't, tbh.

> got burnout and disgust at the modern tech hiring practice.

In my experience it's even worse outside of tech.

Because I really need a job I've just been applying to everything. Minimum wage: I don't care. In a way I'm actually looking forward to just show up, do my job, and go home, without stress.

But I get almost no response on those. And I actually spent MORE time for cover letters for those than the tech stuff. On tech I get a response (interview or rejection) for about 1 in 4. Outside of tech? About 1 in 30.

I guess "15 years CV as software dev, that guy is too smart for us" or something like that.

I keep reading about "labour shortages" for lots of low-skilled jobs... Hmkay...

Also not eligible for social security because I'm technically homeless (as in: renting "unofficially").

Might be properly homeless soon... No idea what I'll do.

I don't have a right to work in tech or a high salary, and fine, there's a downwards turn. No problem. But that I have no options beyond "burn all your savings and go homeless fuck you" has left me rather ... disappointed.

Anyway, what I'm trying to say is: it's not "tech hiring" that's the problem. It's just "hiring" or "companies" or whatever.

> Because I really need a job I've just been applying to everything. Minimum wage: I don't care. In a way I'm actually looking forward to just show up, do my job, and go home, without stress.

> But I get almost no response on those.

Weren’t these the same people bitching about how no one wants to work?

Fuck cover letters. I come from a country where cover letters aren't much of a thing, and most of the dehumanising is writing one, sucking up to the hiring manager why that company might be the best place ever and you're just praying someone, is all their wisdom, gives your CV half a glance, may God shine upon them.

There is something Victorian in this prostration a working-class person must have to do just to be thrown a coin, and when you've sent your 50th CV, your tongue is sandpaper dry from the forced boot licking.

Look, I am not applying to the best company in the world, and you're not offering that much compared to the competition, nor your product is earth-shatteringly interesting. If only I could write "I need money, I am capable for this position, that's all there is to it." Because we all know that is the truth.

And all that effort, just to be ignored in the best of cases. Not even an automated "No. End of message." email.

Interviewing is like flirting. Your vibe right now is "fuck dating, I'm a man, you're a woman, let's get married because we don't completely hate each other. You aren't that good looking, neither am I, but time's ticking."

Who wants to settle for that type of partner/employee, especially if that's who they are in the honeymoon phase of dating/interviewing.

Conflating finding a partner (flirting) with finding a place that will transact your time and expertise for money (job searching) says more about how you see the world than you might realize.
Not everyone flirts for the exclusive purpose of 'finding a partner', to take the analogy further. Some people do it to find someone to sleep with.

Not everyone works to 'transact your time and expertise for money' - some people want to 'fulfill a mission' with meaningful work, and build a purpose driven career.

The analogy works better than you think - at the end of the day, all I'm talking about is making a good first impression. What you may be looking for is up to you, but if you are looking to enter a mutually beneficial relationship whether it's personal, romantic, or financial - acting like a sourpuss isn't going to help you.

You are nitpicking my phrasing to fit your rhetoric device - 'finding a partner' does include finding a partner... for the night.

Of course people want a meaningful job to some extent. According to Herzberg's dual-factor theory, challenging or meaningful work is a motivator that gives positive satisfaction in the workplace. But Herzberg successfully identified that the hygiene factors such as salary (meaningful in the 'transaction' sense of a job) are much more important.

'Transacting your time and expertise for money' is one of the main drivers for working (a hygiene factor), 'fulfill a mission' is merely a motivator. We have known and taught this to managers since the 70s.

A competent employer will of course know about this - be it through having competently trained management or just experience. Managers know that some candidates are completely happy with a high hygiene + low motivation mix. In some situations, this is completely fine and not 'acting like a sourpuss' as you describe it.

>depths of a serious tech recession?

Are we?

Who wants to be hired? (2023)

Oct: 547

Nov: 431

Dec: 461

-----

Who wants to be hired? (2022)

Oct: 272

Nov: 307

Dec: 200

More people without jobs = more people that are looking to be hired.

Given the numbers, I would say tech unemployment was 2x worser in 2023 than the year before.

Aside: has anyone actually got value out of "Who wants to be hired?" Because when I posted a few months ago all I got was spam and nonsense. I haven't bothered posting since (well, I did this month).
I haven't used the full-time page, but I had a fantastic experience with a client that found me via the freelancer page a couple months after I posted.
I've also gotten a few clients from the freelancer thread. I got nothing at all from the "Who wants to be hired?" thread.
Based on that data, tech unemployment has doubled.
EDIT: This is "Who is hiring?" not who wants to be hired?
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Fortunately, no.

I work as a DoE contractor and that means my job is pretty much stable unless I intentionally try to get fired or if the federal government is insolvent (in which case we have a much bigger problem than just 1 random dude not having a job).

I turned down an offer from a bulge bracket 2 years ago and I am glad I did because that company had its own little down sizing.

I got laid off last fall and competition for interesting, well compensated roles is higher than ever.

My decision to take my time and find a “perfect” job is feeling a lot less achievable now.

Have had to stay in a job I probably would have left sooner because of the crappy jobs market. It also seems like the conditions at that job have deteriorated.
Struggling a lot with the response rate, once I could get one interview in three applications, now it's one in 50. I am hoping that it will pick up this January since everyone is making plans for the entire year. I was told by a manager in a large startup that they plan to complete hiring for the whole year by the end of February, and it might be the case for the entire industry.
That's a scary but realistic thought.
For anyone wondering about the best times to apply, conventional wisdom is that January is the best time, since it's planning season for the whole year, and then around August, to get some quick help to reach the end-of-year goals. Of course this is anecdotal and applies in normal circumstances, which I don't think the industry is at.
A ton of people have the impression that "nobody hires in December" but it's the furthest thing from the truth.

Almost every job I've ever landed I interviewed in December. Just last month I interviewed a dozen people or so for roles in my company. My recruiter friends that I talked to all landed a bunch of offers last month.

Everyone is about to get swarmed with resumes right now but there's a pool out there with a three week headstart and less competition because of the reasoning I mentioned.

Ideally you want to apply all the time, and not wait for the best time. Still, I am hoping that applicants will get some encouragement and try a bit harder in the next few weeks.
The problem with December is the 2 week scheduling break for holidays as everyone leaves the office. Even if your application is in, you probably aren't scheduling interviews for that whole back half.
Except we did and all of those employers I interviewed with in December did as well. Not everyone leaves the office.

Late December is a perfect time for interviewing because of code freezes and lack of progress on bigger projects. We had more time to interview than candidates in pipeline during that back half. Plus it's a time of year when generally people are relaxed and in a good mood.

Your experiences are very different than mine then. I've been interviewing all December and no one was able to schedule for those weeks.
Did you apply in December?

In my experience, you _can_ get hired but it tends to be much slower. These were all also small companies so only 1 - 2 people were sorting through applications.

A lot of my colleagues bailed on the company at the height of COVID moves for FAANGs and have since been downsized. Meanwhile my company has done its best to keep layoffs far from engineering. Our sales aren't doing super well, but we have cash on hand and a very low amount of debt. And we're already public so we don't need to look for funding.

I'm still saving money in case layoffs happen, especially because I'm remote and moved far outside of tech markets and bought a house last year.

I have a large amount of anxiety looking around my network at folks who I know are competent and have been out of work for more than 6 months. I'm very glad I didn't follow the trend and stayed at a more stable company.

Yup. I got laid off in April, and iirc have had about 3 legit interviews, and conservative guess of 10-15 screening calls. I'm now applying for whatever I can do, like driving a moving truck, but it's tricky with a resume that's overwhelmingly software related. Also considering just switching into a different trade, but as rent and cost of living continue increasing, as well as interest rates being what they are, it's a scary time to take on debt. I'm thankful to have what I'd consider a relatively minimalist set of expenses, but I anticipate being in the negative by the end of the year. Not negative as in I've had to dip into my savings, negative as in I'll be out of money with no prospects if I don't figure something out. I figure if I can land a job that covers rent in that time, it will help stave off that decline. (Canada btw)

Otherwise though I'm very well rested, and my M+ rating in World of Warcraft is better than ever.

It seems like there is a recession - there seem to be plenty of jobs available, yet no one is hiring. COVID didn't help any and my personal situation complicates the job hunt even more.

So, it may just be my perception is skewed for other reasons than a recession. Either way, it sucks.

It has affected me, although I never lost my job and my employer has handled things comparatively well. Several great teammates were laid off and our comp increases have not kept up with inflation. I also get the sense that there are fewer opportunities out there which drives down perks and wages for the whole industry.
I tried to negotiate a verbal offer, swapping the signing bonus for base salary, ultimately moving base up not even 7%

and they didn't even counter and moved on. very established company too, a highly unusual practice according to every recruiter, article, AI rehash, and person I’ve told this to

I would say this is a symptom of the market. Employers flexing on the big pool

Employers feel like they've been forced into remote work and salary creep by covid and faangs. They feel so powerless that any pushback from a potential employee makes them think they're going to have a permanent headache working with you.

The way things are you'd have much better luck negotiating a salary review after a six month probation or something.

yes, this was objectively an L for me and in hindsight I should not have negotiated a single aspect of the position, so take notes everyone

California, by the way.

Not trying to rub it in, sorry. I don't actually think you did anything wrong either. Companies are just being assholes right now.
you’re fine, thats not what you did but I’d much prefer that to the unquantified optimism people

many people, including engineers, are obsessed with looking for a silver lining when the reality is that I lost all my leverage and every new recruiter call is at least a month and a half from new money hitting my bank account, if everything goes perfectly.

hang in there. I'll be rooting for you.
If they ended the conversation after a modest ask like that, you probably dodged a bullet. I bet they are also miserly at every annual review.
organization had generous company wide bonuses not tied to individual performance

I’ve had great experiences with many companies that did something weird during the interview process or administratively

these functions are separate

there is no need to look for a silver lining