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I agree:

If you lose the hearts and minds of developers, you've lost. Eventually, your financials will reflect it, even if it takes a while.

By behaving in ways almost no one likes, from a dominant position, Apple is risking losing the hearts and minds of developers.

This seems very on point. I cannot shake the feeling that Apple's abuse comes across as much more morally decrepit because of the company's deluded self-perception as "the good guys".
I like Microsoft a lot these days, but Apple's policies have remained essentially unchanged for the past 13+ years, so I'm not sure where the new anger is supposed to be coming from. They cut their fees in half for smaller developers back in 2020, down to 15%. That's about as low as it gets for a full-service distribution channel. Even BMT Micro charges around 10%.

They're about to be forced to allow sideloading in the EU. These are all positive developments, willing or no.

The issue is they are charging a 27% fee on top of any third-party payments for any apps linking to an external payment gateway.

So technically they comply with the ruling(s) around the world but in a way that it makes zero sense for any app developer to change their payment model since they are paying 30% in payment fees anyway.