The lab leak theory doesn't necessarily imply engineering or contradict a zoonotic origin.

This is just an argument from faith and predisposition at this point. All the positions people have taken have now calcified into non-falsifiable nonsense.

For myself: if we were going to get evidence for WIV having engineered a pandemic virus we'd have had it long before now. Biologists aren't spies, and they're not good at coverups. Someone would have blabbed or lost a laptop or took a position at a western university and then fingered their coworkers, etc... Sure, it could have been manufactured, but it probably wasn't.

I couldn't follow this personally. It seems to be scattered notes pasted into a Google Doc saved to PDF on Google Drive without a whole lot of journalistic narration. I see what sounds like science but I cannot for the life of me find where those intermediate number came from. But, here's the conclusion, as a summary: "In my Bayesian analysis, modeled after Michael Weissman's analysis I concluded PO(LL) / PO(ZO) = 1.7E-3 The product of my updates, I concluded P(LL) / P(ZO) = 2.125 The final, then is PO(LL) / PO(ZO) * P(LL) / P(ZO) = 3.6-3 I concluded that there is approximately a 1 in 300 chance that SARS-CoV-2 was the result of a lab leak." That is the structure of Bayes theorem, but I have no idea where the numbers came from.