> Peer review, for instance, will become even more important in a gen-ai world. It must be beefed up accordingly, perhaps by paying reviewers for the time they sacrifice to scrutinise papers.
So the cost savings in writing will be offset by additional costs of reading. Playing good defense is harder than playing offense.
The only strong argument here is that you can't tell anyway. Like effective doping in sport.
Only seniors will read, and juniors will never have the ability to write and learn. It reminds me of what could happen with programming: a train wreck slowly happening.
> So the cost savings in writing will be offset by additional costs of reading.
Also the more enjoyable tasks will be replaced with more drudgery. "I wish I could automate writing code so I could spend more time doing code reviews," said no-one ever, but that's the glorious future the "AI" developers are selling.
> And most worrying of all, writing can be an integral part of the research process, by helping researchers clarify and formulate their own ideas. An excessive reliance on llms could therefore make science poorer.
This. The mistake so many people seem to make is to think of writing merely as outputting text, when it's a lot more.
I predict LLMs will cause general competence levels to decrease, and an increase in the intellectual equivalent of three-fingered hands as more and more people lose the ability to notice the problem.
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[ 3.0 ms ] story [ 33.3 ms ] threadSo the cost savings in writing will be offset by additional costs of reading. Playing good defense is harder than playing offense.
The only strong argument here is that you can't tell anyway. Like effective doping in sport.
Also the more enjoyable tasks will be replaced with more drudgery. "I wish I could automate writing code so I could spend more time doing code reviews," said no-one ever, but that's the glorious future the "AI" developers are selling.
This is the "reverse centaur" metaphor by Doctorow (for example here https://doctorow.medium.com/https-pluralistic-net-2024-04-23...)
which describes the exact problem with this.
This. The mistake so many people seem to make is to think of writing merely as outputting text, when it's a lot more.
I predict LLMs will cause general competence levels to decrease, and an increase in the intellectual equivalent of three-fingered hands as more and more people lose the ability to notice the problem.