Any good books on why Trump has so much support in America?

8 points by federalauth ↗ HN
I’m trying to better understand why a decent number of people in the US seem to support a second Trump presidency. I’m sure there are many factors influencing different kinds of supporters (from the billionaires to the working class). Are there any good books (or even documentaries, anything longer form preferably with data) on why Trump has so much support in America?

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Not directly about Trump but this will help you understand the foundation.

Strangers in Their Own Land

By Hochschild

Looks good, thank you for the recommendation
One of the things I saw her alluding to in her interview is that a lot of those people are gravitating to Trump in sort of protest against losing the old school democrats. There’s really no representation now for socially conservative fiscally “liberal” anymore. Not that Trump seems to be either but I think the Trump mythology is.

I think fundamentally what your seeing is what happens when people feel like they have no representation.

I went to a book site and grabbed some titles, newest first. Only books by the likes of Tucker Carlson and Alan Dershowitz were omitted, as were books on how to prosecute Trump. These seem to address the "how" and "why", and some of the collateral damage.

How Autocrats Seek Power; Resistance to Trump and Trumpism, Richard L. Abel

Trump and Hitler: A Comparative Study in Lying, Henk De Berg

People vs. Donald Trump: An Inside Account, Mark Pomerantz

Tired of Winning : Donald Trump and the End of the Grand Old Party, Jonathan Karl

American Evangelicals for Trump: Dominion, Spiritual Warfare, and the End Times, André Gagné

Why Didn’t Evangelicals “See Him Coming”?: Donald J. Trump’s Deception and Dismantling of American Democracy, Paul A. Pomerville

The Origins and Development of the Destructive Politics of Trump and Trumpism: The Destructive Politics of American Fascism, Andrew Kolin

Tyranny from Plato to Trump: Fools, Sycophants, and Citizens, Andrew Fiala

Confidence Man: The Making of Donald Trump and the Breaking of America, Maggie Haberman

Revenge: How Donald Trump Weaponized the US Department of Justice Against His Critics, Michael Cohen

Trump and Mussolini: Images, Fake News, and Mass Media as Weapons in the Hands of Two Populists, Anna Camaiti Hostert, Enzo Antonio Cicchino

I was told this book by Stripe Press is unofficially about the rise of Trump: https://press.stripe.com/the-revolt-of-the-public

That's what got me to start reading it recently

Looks like they've added an analysis of his rise to presidency in an updated version

Fascinating, big fan of Stripe Press’s other titles, will take a look thanks
Yeah, that whole secure southern border, lower taxes, no new wars, new peace deals signed (Abraham Accords), much better economy (1.4% inflation) would be terrible...

The better question would be, considering the wreckage of the past 3 1.2 years, why would anyone vote against their own best interests and vote Democrat?

People keep trying to tell us we were better off four years ago and really we weren’t. Yes, having an adult running the country who isn’t advocating to control the fed so interest rates can be juiced for short term benefits is kind of hard, you have to have an adult-level of self control to not go for the instant gratification or as much short term growth as possible.

Trump is the kind of guy who will claim credit for getting America out of Afghanistan and then blame Biden for withdrawing America from Afghanistan again. He is just a petulant five year old, and we really can’t risk the country under his leadership again.

It isn’t a mystery why inflation kicked up after the pandemic, and none of Trump’s solution (low interest rates, high tariffs) would have made the problem any less, and actually would have made it much worse if you just do the math.

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Most people never read "Art of the Deal" or watched the Apprentice. From my perspective your assessment is way off. Trump has very little to do with the Republican party, and is more like its own 3rd party, but because of how the system works he had make room within the Republican party.

In short, I believe most people who are considering a Trump 2nd term are seeing an out-of-control American political establishment, and an alternative of someone who is objectively bad (Kamala) from any angle. There is a lot more to this analysis and also there are more ways to look at it, but for sure the people who are blind zealots of Trump are in the minority.

For what it's worth I'm a filthy centrist, I like to build bridges and enjoy the chaos of the clown world. I think we can all agree the world has entered a transitional phase and is experiencing a series of historical events.

Trump is a centrist -- I think you've spotted this here.

He's an extreme populist authoritarian centrist -- a centrist dictator wannabe.

(I don't think people understand that successful dictators don't need to take a left or right position, and indeed any position they do take will ultimately be sacrificed to whichever policy choice centres power on the executive.)

Trumpism is its own thing, and this is why he beat Hillary (who was a mildly authoritarian, technocratic centrist).

The 2016 presidential election did not take place on the left-right axis. It took place on the populist-libertarian axis of the Political Compass:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Political_Compass

He only had to gesture towards the people he wanted to vote for him, which he did without care for consistency.

All dictators take as much power as soon as they can. They get elected and immediately secure indefinite power. Trump did nothing of that sort for four years, and then arguably he was grossly negligent on J6... which would have been bad on its own if he wasn't constantly being made a martyr by people in power.

I would say "Trumpism" is just a 3rd party that had no choice but to graft on to the Republican party, and only recently has more or less consolidated power, changing the party. Before that both parties were basically aligned on almost everything, and it never mattered who was the president.

The whole dictator narrative started even before 2016 and has no evidence behind it other than some statements quoted out of context. If Trump was left alone after losing 2020, I'm pretty sure people would have moved on, so ironically or coincidentally, the people who are trying to stop him are helping him, which is what happened in 2016 as well.

> Trump did nothing of that sort for four years

This just isn't true. Look at how he proposed to force the sale of Tiktok USA to Microsoft: purely dictatorial. And there was an enormous amount of pure strongman talk, which is a harbinger of dictatorialism.

He wasn't merely "grossly negligent" on January 6th, and anyone sane knows that. Simply because: there is no legal way the Vice President could intervene.

Everything that happened on January 6th was planned, promoted (including by Trump -- "will be wild") and deliberately focussed to put pressure on Pence to act illegally. "Mike Pence didn't have the courage".

Trump even wanted armed people to be able to gather in the protest (because they weren't coming for him).

> If Trump was left alone after losing 2020, I'm pretty sure people would have moved on

Except with all the bits where he and his campaign tried everything possible including illegal means to stay in power, on a multi-state basis.

Normal presidents don't ring up the people who run elections and ask them to "find" votes.

I disagree and most of that sounds like a biased take that is heavily influenced by all the lies and smears that were constantly being pushed for 8 years.

Let's back up before he ran for president. He was a celebrity, a businessman, appeared in movies, had a reality TV show. As soon as he wins against all projections, they start smearing him about colluding with Russia... which if true is literally treason!!... except it was all a lie and nobody cared afterward, and he was never charged with treason, and then everyone just forgot about it. If it were true we would have had president Pence. Yet nobody apologized or said "oh, i guess this was a huge lie and we messed up", absolute silence. Instead they used that as an excuse to attack him for four years, and when he lost in 2020, only THEN they admitted it was not true.

To me, this is a key event. Show me Trump colluded with Russia, and why people forgot this is treason and should be punished... or explain why nobody is holding people accountable for such a huge lie.

If they lied about that they can lie about anything, and they have. Trump is by no means a great candidate, but he is the only candidate that can withstand all of this smearing and lying, which has never happened to any other president before.

Do you disagree that Trump pressured the Georgia elections people to find him votes? On a phone call? Because he very clearly did. He had no business making that call at all otherwise. And lots of people were on it and were in no doubt about what it was about.

Do you disagree that his campaign -- headed by him, reporting to him, with him aware of it -- created fake slates of electors to try to steal electoral college votes? Because that seems pretty obviously to have happened.

Do you disagree that Trump knew the January 6th protests would lead to people marching on the Capitol? Do you think it plausible he didn't know and wasn't advised what would happen? He had no business organising that march otherwise -- there was nothing that could happen on January 6th to change the outcome that wasn't against the constitution.

--

The Russia collusion stuff was not, in fact, all a lie, at all.

https://time.com/5556331/mueller-investigation-indictments-g...

People were convicted for actively misleading the FBI about their contacts with Russia, so it could not be prosecuted properly. That's pretty serious (and it has precedents: Scooter Libby for example).

Mueller just pulled the final punches. Including that Trump -- then a sitting president -- lied to the investigation.

Nobody has ever "admitted that it is not true" because nobody knows for sure except probably the people who lied to the FBI about pretty much everything. But there is a hell of a stink (and that stink started with Manafort, who -- surprise surprise -- Trump tried to recruit again for this cycle, and who got the 2016 RNC platform changed to stop promising to arm Ukraine)

None of those charges are related to what was widely reported that Russia helped Trump win the election. It was also admitted that the entire investigation was inconclusive at best, and the fact remains that it would have been an historic corruption scandal that could have removed Trump from office. They tried extremely hard and the best they could do was find some minor charges on Trump's team. There is a clear double standard, in my opinion. Let's not forget the Steele dossier that as far as I know was full of lies, yet that is not investigated and the media just forgets about it after using it to play dirty politics and smear not just Trump but everyone who is around him or supports him.

> Do you disagree that Trump pressured the Georgia elections people to find him votes? On a phone call?

Yeah he did, but the context is that Trump thinks there was election fraud, and millions of people also had the same concerns. Even if there was misinformation on all of this, it's still within the realm of possibility that Trump believed it and was delusional about it. Being delusional and aggressive about it is completely different than intentionally stealing an election. As I mentioned before, this could have been enough for people to move on from Trump, but it seemed as if the government establishment was fully committed to going after Trump for everything and anything and has turned him into a martyr.

> Do you disagree that his campaign -- headed by him, reporting to him, with him aware of it -- created fake slates of electors to try to steal electoral college votes? Because that seems pretty obviously to have happened.

They were alternate slates, and this has happened before in 1960 (Nixon) and 2020. There is precedent for what Trump was trying to do, and pursuing every legal path aggressively is still completely different than trying to end democracy. In the worst case scenario, it would have been like Bush/Gore in 2020 and he would have served another 4 years. There is no chance at all of becoming dictator or changing the system. The US system with the constitution and division of power cannot be easily subverted!

> Do you disagree that Trump knew the January 6th protests would lead to people marching on the Capitol? Do you think it plausible he didn't know and wasn't advised what would happen? He had no business organising that march otherwise -- there was nothing that could happen on January 6th to change the outcome that wasn't against the constitution.

It was clearly meant to be a protest to show support and then it devolved into a large riot. Here is what does not make sense: that Trump planned a half-assed insurrection just to have plausible deniability. That does not make sense, either you go in planning a full insurrection with a militia and/or the backing of the military, or you don't. I think Trump is ruthless businessman that often thinks and behaves like a CEO, which is completely different than career politicians. What is really happening is that the system does not want an outsider as a leader, they want another career politician that will be predictable and controllable.

I think the biggest difference in perspective here has to do with trust in the existing institutions. People who give Trump the benefit of the doubt are seeing institutions that are corrupt and will do anything to remain in power. I think this a justified perspective given all of the things that the US government has been involved with over the years from unjustified wars, lying to the American people (i.e. Iraq), and surveilling and manipulating American citizens (i.e. NSA).

There is overwhelming evidence that we have a corrupt system that is fighting as hard as it can against this one individual that is representing millions of people. What is more unbelievable to me is that Trump somehow convinced millions of people to support completely different issues than what they really care about. Trump is adopting the issues people care about and people are finally feeling tha...

> They tried extremely hard and the best they could do was find some minor charges on Trump's team.

Lying to the FBI to impede an investigation is not minor. It's federal time. The investigation faltered partly because of these lies. (This is why Patrick Fitzgerald indicted Scooter Libby)

> Yeah he did, but the context is that Trump thinks there was election fraud, and millions of people also had the same concerns.

No, he doesn't. All the fraud claims were inflated to try to find a way to explain his loss and hold on to power. And if they were not, he said, on that call:'I just want to find 11,780 votes’. Plenty of witnesses.

That is not concern over fraud, it's an attempt to pressure the election officials to change the result by a specific number. There's no honesty or civic function there.

> There is precedent for what Trump was trying to do, and pursuing every legal path aggressively is still completely different than trying to end democracy.

Producing alternate slates of electors is a criminal offence. Which is why they met in secret -- one group, Georgia IIRC, met in a parking garage -- and tried to sneak into the state houses. It's an obvious, anti-democratic, criminal conspiracy. And we will know how it was co-ordinated and linked to Trump because Jenna Ellis has now pleaded guilty to her involvement in attempts to create a false slate in two states -- Georgia and Arizona.

> It was clearly meant to be a protest to show support and then it devolved into a large riot.

No, it wasn't. "Mike Pence didn't have the courage" shows you what it was about. It was an attempt to pressure Pence and the legislature into an illegal action. And everyone knew what would happen. The internet was alive with what was going to happen, days before, and it could have been stopped; stopping it would have been presidential. Because he had lost the election and there was no more measure for which "support" could possibly have a legal outcome that changed it.

> Let's not forget the Steele dossier that as far as I know was full of lies.

So what if it was? And it's not clear it was. It was opposition research. Initially funded by a Republican. But written by an experienced spy who did ordinary human intelligence work and qualified all his claims.

If I were a gambling man I'd bet that it is true in substance.

We'll just have to disagree on those points. For the most part I think one has to interpret all those events with the worst intentions and biases against Trump in order to arrive at such extreme conclusions (that Trump is such a threat and so evil etc).

> So what if it was?

It shows the gigantic double standard that only anti-establishment conservatives are scrutinized by the establishment and persecuted into oblivion. There were many riots that were condoned by the Left with fires and people getting injured. We had a several groups take over several blocks in multiple cities, and then declare themselves independent from the union (CHAZ), and that was not called an insurrection? Nobody was jailed, or charged, and the mainstream media downplayed as "mostly peaceful", with politicians even celebrating it... meanwhile for J6 they locked up people who were just trespassing or were in the wrong place at the wrong time, including some older people. They went after people for years, opened investigations, etc.

I simply don't buy the demonization of everything Trump, which started many years before there was any "insurrection". Before J6 he was still the most hated person by the establishment and those who trust the establishment.

> It shows the gigantic double standard that only anti-establishment conservatives are scrutinized by the establishment and persecuted into oblivion

No it doesn't. It shows that opposition research is done on everyone, and Trump (who already had an unprecedented reputation for lying, racism, sharp business practices, infidelities, bankruptcies, bullyig lawsuits and dubious associations) maybe got more.

Everyone in business and politics has always known Trump is a shady, thin-skinned bullying narcissist. Of course the opposition research on him was going to be a field day.

> Before J6 he was still the most hated person by the establishment and those who trust the establishment.

Because he's a shady, narcissistic bully with an unprecedented record of dodgy dealings.

> who already had an unprecedented reputation for lying, racism, sharp business practices, infidelities, bankruptcies, bullyig lawsuits and dubious associations

And other politicians are much better? It shows a double standard. Let's be hypercritical about every detail in this celebrity's entire life, even though politicians have abused power and have done much worse.

> Of course the opposition research on him was going to be a field day.

They had to lie over and over, and then years later admit they were lies. It's just nonsensical that Trump is somehow the greatest evil ever and somehow his political opponents knew this even before he got elected. How convenient.

> Because he's a shady, narcissistic bully with an unprecedented record of dodgy dealings.

Believing any of it is "unprecedented" is a clear sign of bias here, or at least ignorance of what other politicians have done, from sexual affairs to warmongers that don't value human life.

Fun fact about The Art of the Deal: Trump was so desperately keen to have a book ghostwritten he ignorantly gave Tony Schwartz one of the best ghostwriting deals in publishing history (if not the best).

From Trump's perspective it was about the worst possible deal he could have struck if he'd approached it from the point of view the book is trying to portray.

I've always thought this to be enormously instructive about who he is. Strip away the politics, the authoritarian-populist schtick, and he fails on his own terms, again and again and again.

Here's a recent viral post that goes over the surface level reasons for a lot of people, including back in 2020. I couldn't find the original, but the author is linked in there: https://x.com/phucdatbichcafe/status/1814657829027872804

For a more substantive analysis, I don't think there is one definitive source. I'm not sure which sources to start with, really. So it's more about a general research and watching, reading many different sources.

The explanation has something to do with the understanding that Americans do not feel represented by the American political establishment, understanding that the American political establishment and the military industrial complex are prioritizing the expansion of a kind of empire and/or influence around the world, at the expense of the citizens who pay taxes. Americans pay hundreds of billions to influence the world, but large cities are falling apart with crime, homelessness, etc.

Trump comes into the picture because he is challenging this status quo... he is not doing so in a traditional political way... because that "game" is already rigged. If you don't hack into the political game, no candidate outside of "the machine" will ever win. Trump achieved hacking this machine by being a kind of political "character" and out-playing the establishment's tactics, however the cost of doing this is that many people who don't understand this will see it as disrespectful and harmful to politics. Then his policies reflect a moderate stance that at the very least slows down the aggressive expansion of the "empire", while attempting to fix a few things at home.

That's a lot, but it doesn't even scratch the surface. I suspect this is part of the reason there are information bubbles. There is so much information that cannot really be disseminated efficiently. It's hard to talk about this and so it's hard to come to a wider consensus.

So I watched that video and I found it really weirdly argued so I went to try and figure out who that guy is and what his past beliefs are and his latest video is him being drunk and “dickriding” (his words) the whole daily wire crew and he’s apparently obsessing over their videos and movies.

So it’s unfortunate but it’s doesn’t seem to be the moderate take he sets it out to be, which I think really gets at something about this election, which is like it’s not about the issues, it’s really about vibes, and for some people a very real desperation

But more than that I think it’s interesting that in 2016 there was this real come to Jesus moment for liberals in acknowledging that Trump really spoke to portion of the country that liberals really wanted to take credit in speaking for.

But now? I think Trump has become the establishment he disrupted so many years ago. And it’s crazy how he went from the independent guy to someone really who seems controlled by billionaires. And the sad thing is, be it age or whatever he doesn’t seem to have the messaging and enthusiasm he did back then.

Which is in a way a disservice to the people who are counting on him.

But I think people are clinging to Trump in a sense just the only icon pf conservatism you can right now. Even if in so many ways he’s not really conservative. And of course his MAGA supporters in many ways actually hate Republicans more than liberals do. This is the fundamental problem with the two party system. What are you supposed to do if you have deeply held conservative beliefs? Give them up and vote democrat? I almost feel sorry for the people voting Trump now as he seems to have given up the fight.

I’ve also been watching a bunch of Reagan debates and speeches recently and it’s sad what a turn conservative leadership has made in 40 years.

You're right in making a distinction between the regular Republicans and Trump supporters. The difference is that Republicans and Democrats have become in essence one party that has the same agenda. This agenda includes expanding the American empire through wars, manipulating governments across the world, and using similar tactics with American citizens.

They claim Trump is a threat to democracy, and I think the reality is that at the federal level we have not had democracy for many decades if not an entire century. There is only the illusion of choice, when the two parties who march in lockstep and each choose a candidate, so no matter who wins the agenda of the empire will move forward.

I think once someone starts looking out for this American empire establishment, and seeing how the machine is built, so to speak, then it becomes apparent. If American citizens cannot have a say in the direction of this empire, then I'm afraid that it's going to spiral out of control with catastrophic consequences at a global scale. It's continuing what Israel is doing, continuing wars with Russia, and potentially China, meanwhile manipulating Americans to not pay attention, and lie to the entire country like they did with Iraq. If we can't stop this because people are scared of "racism" and they want more "diversity", the 21st century is going to be really, really dark period in human history.

Imagine someone having an opinion other than yours...
This guy named JD Vance had a bit to say about it in 2016

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/07/opioid-...

Crazy coincidence that this cogent anti-Trump guy has the same name as the weird chap running to be GOP Vice President in 2024.

Reading this it can't possibly be the same guy, right?

The Cult of Trump was pretty good I think.