Spoiler: He concludes it was mechanical failure of a landing leg/strut during a hard landing, causing engine bell(s) to hit the barge deck, causing fiery failure(s) at the fuel/LOX end(s) of the engine(s).
Caveat: Scott is working from SpaceX's usual landing video - limited quality, and poor camera placement for where the initial failure seems to occur.
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[ 5.0 ms ] story [ 9.4 ms ] threadCaveat: Scott is working from SpaceX's usual landing video - limited quality, and poor camera placement for where the initial failure seems to occur.