Certainly history suggests Republicans have done a smart job rigging their fiefdoms to make it difficult for electoral wins for Democrats. It's the same national polling vs state polling that skews the perception.
Still, Biden covered in 2020, so hard keep track of a Biden less outcome.
>we have the Electoral College in toss-up range even if Harris wins the popular vote by between 2 and 3 points. And she’d need to win the popular vote by roughly 4 points to truly “safe” in the Electoral College.
Idk why people are afraid of a model than forecasts that Trump is still a threat and the election is still close. If anything it’s an important reminder that your opponent poses a threat and you shouldn’t let your guard down.
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[ 4.0 ms ] story [ 17.7 ms ] threadStill, Biden covered in 2020, so hard keep track of a Biden less outcome.
>we have the Electoral College in toss-up range even if Harris wins the popular vote by between 2 and 3 points. And she’d need to win the popular vote by roughly 4 points to truly “safe” in the Electoral College.