I suspect front end will be similar to how AI impacts other domains: experts who can leverage the tools will be able to be more productive at the cost of junior engineers. Even before AI, low or no-code frontend solutions already impacted the frontend market.
I suspect that’s true of most commoditized domains where AI has enough training data. Niche domains will be less impacted.
This is a totally reasonable take for the current tooling. But it's strangely short-sighted in my view as far as a prediction, even going 3-5, maybe 10 years out.
Predictions on this come down to worldview, how you feel about technology in general, about AI, and if you have heard about exponential progress and bought into it.
It looks to me that when you close the loop with agents that can directly output and test work products, and get slightly more robust reasoning, you are going to make most current knowledge jobs obsolete. I think initially there will be a transition period where people handhold AI to do their jobs for them and maybe leverage AI to be more productive.
But after a few years of that and improved reasoning and tooling, it will become obvious that the humans are bottlenecks.
I think the answer is to move towards a widely entrepreneurial economic system where everyone has their own team or teams of robots and AIs.
To make anything work in a post labor world will require an upgrade to government that properly integrates new technologies, tracks resources, and also fully values human life.
The closer you are to immediate business concerns, the less likely your job is at risk. Frontend has very strict requirements directly tied to business wants compared to the backend.
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[ 5.1 ms ] story [ 28.8 ms ] threadI suspect that’s true of most commoditized domains where AI has enough training data. Niche domains will be less impacted.
Predictions on this come down to worldview, how you feel about technology in general, about AI, and if you have heard about exponential progress and bought into it.
It looks to me that when you close the loop with agents that can directly output and test work products, and get slightly more robust reasoning, you are going to make most current knowledge jobs obsolete. I think initially there will be a transition period where people handhold AI to do their jobs for them and maybe leverage AI to be more productive.
But after a few years of that and improved reasoning and tooling, it will become obvious that the humans are bottlenecks.
I think the answer is to move towards a widely entrepreneurial economic system where everyone has their own team or teams of robots and AIs.
To make anything work in a post labor world will require an upgrade to government that properly integrates new technologies, tracks resources, and also fully values human life.