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A bit of a repeat of https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42490343 (10 days ago, 583 comments).

Still, it's ten days later, and we might have learned some things in those ten days.

Here's two bold ones:

- Trump manages to extend the Abraham Accords in the Middle East, but not bring peace between Ukraine and Russia.

- By the end of the year, the easy gains from LLMs are obviously over. Incremental improvements are still happening, but it is widely recognized that a new approach is needed. (Not admitted by all, but widely recognized.)