Ask HN: How Do Google Willow's Results Affect Quantum Computing Timelines?

8 points by danielkweber ↗ HN
As a model question, I think it is most interesting to consider when RSA-2048 will be factored using a quantum computer. Are we going to see the internet's cryptography breaking much sooner than expected?

Edit: Also curious if any experts have hard dates when they expect this milestone to be reached.

2 comments

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What time frame do you think, 15 or 20 years or longer?